Moshe Milevsky: Learning from History with Annuities (From the Vault)

In this fascinating throwback, Stan The Annuity Man talks with Moshe Milevsky, one of the world’s leading experts on retirement math and longevity economics. Together, they explore how ancient ideas like tontines connect to modern retirement planning.
They discuss:
- Why annuities often get a bad reputation
- What exactly a tontine is (and why it matters today)
- Strategies to outpace inflation
- Planning ahead for declining health
Highlights:
- Annuities can be misunderstood—complex products sold to vulnerable audiences often create confusion rather than confidence.
- Tontines were an early version of pooled retirement funding, where survivors shared the remaining income—turning mortality itself into a kind of interest rate.
- As inflation and longevity risks rise, understanding mortality pooling becomes more relevant than ever.
- Health span and life span aren’t the same. Planning for long-term care lets you enjoy your income while you’re healthy instead of saving it all for what might come later.
CONNECT WITH MOSHE MILEVSKY:
Website: https://moshemilevsky.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/RetirementQuant
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)
0:03
[music]
0:04
Welcome to Fun with Annuities, where
0:06
every single week I welcome a celebrity
0:08
guest expert that can help you maximize
0:11
chapter 2 of your [music] life. Listen,
0:14
learn, laugh, and love every minute of
0:17
the most unique financial podcast on the
0:20
planet. Let's get to it.
0:29
Welcome to Fun with Annuities. My name
0:31
is Stan the Annuity Man, America's
0:33
annuity agent. Yes, I am licensed in all
0:34
50 states. I'm so glad you joined me
0:37
today on all major podcast platforms.
0:40
And also, we have a Fun with Annuities
0:41
YouTube channel if you want to see me
0:42
and the guests interact and see our
0:44
facial expressions when one of us says
0:46
something that's funny or crazy or
0:48
something like that. But I'm going to
0:49
tell you something. Today is a special
0:51
day for me. Um, this is almost I'm
0:55
almost a fanboy at this point in time.
0:57
And what that means is I really look up
0:59
to my guest. He is a he is a person that
1:01
I follow. I read pretty much everything
1:04
that he writes. Um, if there was ever an
1:08
icon in the financial business and the
1:10
annuity business, it's our it's our
1:11
guest today. His name is Mosha Mleski.
1:13
And let me tell you a little bit about
1:14
him. He's a tenur professor of business
1:17
finance. He's a published author and a
1:19
well-known consultant. and he's based in
1:21
Toronto, Canada. He has an MA and he got
1:24
that in 1992 in mathematical statistics.
1:27
He has a PhD, got that in 1996 in
1:30
financial economics. Um, he is a 2002
1:34
fellow of the Fields Institute for
1:36
Research and Mathematical Sciences
1:38
Sciences. Now, now we get to the the fun
1:42
part, and this is where I start
1:43
following him because that other stuff's
1:44
way above my head. He's published 16
1:47
books translated into six languages and
1:50
has authored over 70 peer-reviewed
1:52
scholarly artic articles. I need you to
1:54
hang in there with me. Put your seatelt
1:56
on. This is important. One of his books
1:58
called King Williams Tantine, which
2:00
we're going to talk about is about why
2:02
the retirement annuity of the future
2:04
should resemble its past. And it's very,
2:06
very interesting. Has a new book coming
2:08
out uh this month and at the time of
2:11
this taping is June of 2022. and it's
2:14
called how to build a modern ton tantine
2:16
scripts tips and algorithms.
2:19
He is also a fintech entrepreneur. Yes,
2:21
he is very busy with a number of US
2:24
patents and and computational
2:26
innovations. In 2014, he sold a startup
2:29
company to a company that we use called
2:31
CANX that provides the fees to our
2:33
calculators. Um he was named by
2:36
Investment Advisor magazine as one of
2:37
the 35 most influential people in the US
2:41
financial advisory business over the
2:43
last 35 years. He's delivered over 1,500
2:47
presentations and keynote lectures
2:49
around the world including academic
2:52
seminars at Stanford, Colombia and MIT
2:56
etc etc. His current research is
3:00
fascinating because he's his interest
3:02
revolves around the history of how aging
3:06
consumers financed and paid for the last
3:08
few decades of their life. But he's
3:11
researching that on how that happened
3:12
over the last few centuries. It is my
3:16
absolute honor to have Mosha Malefki on
3:20
Fun with Annuities. Thank you so much
3:21
for being here
3:23
and you're very kind with your
3:25
introduction and your praise and uh as
3:28
you know uh you're quite the legend
3:30
yourself. So I appreciate being here and
3:33
uh hopefully I can ask you just a couple
3:35
of questions when you're asking me
3:37
questions so that we get a bit of a
3:38
dialogue going.
3:39
Absolutely. Obviously I went through
3:41
your background and and and your
3:42
education which is unmatched. Um how did
3:46
you land in the annuity space? I mean I
3:48
mean you have a you know an a masters in
3:51
mathematical sciences a PhD in financial
3:54
economics. How do you get to annuities?
3:57
How did that happen?
3:59
Yeah. So as as I'm sure you know
4:01
annuities are sort of a small part of
4:03
what I do my day is teaching
4:05
undergraduate and graduate students. Uh
4:07
my 22-year-old undergraduates don't
4:09
really care very much for annuities
4:11
sadly. They're 22 years old. They have
4:13
student loan debt. They're trying to
4:14
figure out what to do with their lives.
4:16
you know, if you talk about student
4:17
loans, they'll be interested. If you
4:19
talk about mortgages, housing, you know,
4:21
health insurance. So, it was there's
4:23
this enormous group of financial
4:25
products out there that consumers have
4:27
to be aware of. And as you get older and
4:29
as you get closer to retirement,
4:30
obviously annuities are a very very
4:32
important component. So uh you know I I
4:35
often tell people that uh when we have a
4:38
uh session for parents who want to send
4:40
their students or their kids to uh
4:43
university they come to our you know
4:45
gymnasium and they walk around and they
4:47
see the different areas that are
4:48
available and students come with their
4:49
parents you know these are high school
4:51
kids and they stop at my desk uh where
4:53
I'm selling the uh you know business
4:55
course and the students say so what do
4:57
you teach and I say well I teach
4:58
retirement income planning and then they
5:00
move right along you know 10 seconds
5:01
here the parent state. The parent state
5:06
the parent state. So you know clearly
5:09
this is something that is age specific.
5:11
So let me respond to your question how I
5:13
got into annuities. Sure. Uh I got into
5:15
annuities because uh I came face to face
5:18
with longevity risk at a very young age.
5:21
Longevity risk as you know is this
5:23
uncertainty about how long you're going
5:24
to live. So my dad passed away at a very
5:26
young age. He developed colon cancer and
5:29
passed away in his late 40s.
5:32
So you know that's one side of longevity
5:34
risk. My grandfather on the other hand
5:36
just passed away recently. He lived to
5:38
his late 90s.
5:39
So look at that divergence there
5:41
comparing.
5:42
So to me what interested we sort of I
5:45
looked at that and said okay so you know
5:46
there's got to be some way to manage
5:47
your financial affairs with that sort of
5:49
uncertainty. How do you manage your
5:50
financial affairs when you know it may
5:52
last as short as 45 years. it can go as
5:55
long as 95 years. So that sort of led me
5:58
to the insurance as a solution and
6:00
insurance as risk management. Uh that
6:02
that's sort of the short response to how
6:04
I got into it. Uh and you know I'd be
6:06
delighted to dig a little bit deeper.
6:08
But uh you know coming face to face with
6:10
longevity risk is something that alerted
6:12
me to the fact that there's a need for
6:14
uh the annuities solution. I also worked
6:17
as an intern for a while at a very large
6:20
uh insurance company in New York called
6:21
TIFF. you know, back in the 1980s and of
6:24
course they're very very big in in in
6:27
the in annuity space obviously for
6:30
qualified 401k, 403b plans, 401A plans.
6:33
So I learned a little bit about the
6:34
industry there as an actuarial trainee
6:37
many many years ago when I was trying to
6:38
figure out what I wanted to do with
6:40
myself. Uh so you know there are a lot
6:42
of paths that lead to it and recently
6:43
it's been an interest in history and the
6:45
fact that as I'm sure you know annuities
6:47
predate stocks and bonds. So you know
6:49
you think mutual funds have been around
6:51
forever. uh no actually annuities have
6:52
been and and that's the way people
6:54
finance their retirement.
6:56
Then my question to you being just
7:00
actually the thought leader in our space
7:03
is how has the annuity industry done
7:06
such a poor job in your opinion on
7:08
messaging the fact that we have the
7:10
monopoly that everybody wants the
7:12
product which is lifetime income. How
7:14
have we how have we messed that up as an
7:16
industry? because that just confounds me
7:17
every single day, especially when people
7:19
say, "Well, I hate all annuities." And
7:21
I'm like, "Well, that's stupid. That's
7:22
like saying you hate all restaurants."
7:24
Um, it makes no sense.
7:26
Yeah.
7:26
What has happened? How is the How have
7:28
we gotten here to where annuity is
7:31
actually a curse word in a lot of the
7:33
consumer circles and also un uneducated
7:37
financial circles,
7:39
right? So, you know, Stan, with every
7:40
question that you ask me, you have to
7:42
tell me whether you want the 10-second
7:43
response, the 10-minute response, or the
7:45
10-hour lecture series response. So, I
7:48
I want the consumer response. So, dig in
7:50
as long as you want to dig in.
7:51
Look, so let let me try to put this in
7:53
bite-sized pieces. I think there's a lot
7:55
of confusion over what an annuity really
7:57
is. The word annuity today is as
8:00
meaningless as fund. You called it
8:02
restaurants, I say funds. You know, when
8:03
a reporter calls me up and says, "What
8:05
do you think about annuities?" I say,
8:06
"What do you think about funds?" you
8:08
know, private equity funds, venture
8:10
capital funds, mutual funds, bond funds,
8:11
stock. It's a meaningless word. You can
8:13
attach it to almost anything. And uh
8:15
legally what an annuity is, it's very
8:17
different to what an economist would
8:18
call an annuity. It's certainly
8:19
different from what uh you know, a media
8:22
writer would call an annuity. It's just
8:24
there's this vagueness. What is it? Uh
8:26
and if you go back a few hundred years,
8:27
the annuity meant something very very
8:29
specific, very well-known, very defined.
8:32
And then for some reason, you know, 300
8:33
years later, it means almost anything to
8:35
anyone. So number one is confusion about
8:37
what this thing means
8:38
uh is number two I think that uh there
8:41
was a period in the late 80s possibly
8:44
early 90s where the commissions the fees
8:46
that people were paying uh for these uh
8:48
either as you know commissions that were
8:51
explicit where you know really only 80%
8:53
of your money goes to work or
8:54
commissions that were hidden and paid
8:57
because you couldn't surrender for 20
8:58
years uh were very very high atrociously
9:01
high unconscionably high and they gave
9:02
these instruments a very bad name Now,
9:05
those were very specific types of
9:06
annuities and they, you know, certainly
9:08
weren't all annuities. So, that that was
9:10
part of it. Uh, I think that another
9:13
problem with annuities, you know, this
9:15
will be my last point before I, you
9:16
know, sort of turn it back to you is
9:18
annuities are sold, annuities are sold
9:20
to a group of people that are
9:21
vulnerable. You know, they're sold to
9:23
older people. You know, we're not
9:24
selling it to 23 year olds. We're
9:26
selling it to people that are older. And
9:27
in some sense, you know, the point of
9:29
this product is to generate some sort of
9:31
predictable income when you're no longer
9:34
able to make decisions yourself,
9:36
cognitive decline. So when you have a
9:38
product that really is meant to help
9:40
people that are eventually going to
9:42
cognitively decline and help them deal
9:44
with the finances, you know, there's a
9:45
higher burden of care there because you
9:47
got to make sure that they understand
9:48
what they're buying, they continue to
9:50
understand what they're buying.
9:51
Sure.
9:51
And in many cases, annuities are quite
9:53
complicated. So you have something very
9:54
complicated going to someone whose
9:56
ability to make those decisions decline
9:58
over time and that's a recipe for
9:59
disaster. So in some sense there's a
10:01
whole bunch of reasons but I do agree
10:03
with your premise. There's a lot of
10:04
confusion. There's a lot of fear uh and
10:06
there's certainly a lot of backlash
10:08
against it. Hopefully that helps put
10:10
this in context.
10:11
And it does and I've and I've said to
10:14
industry leaders and and and CEOs of
10:17
carriers to say just just let's just get
10:19
it down to a couple of words. I'm you
10:21
I'm a marketer. I understand how to
10:23
brand things obviously and I think it
10:25
really comes down to um I I I go back to
10:28
the got milk ad where it just said got
10:31
milk. I think we should have one that
10:32
says got guarantees or got lifetime
10:34
income.
10:34
I really believe we can frame the value
10:37
proposition of what we're doing and what
10:40
we're offering which you know with
10:42
10,000 baby boomers hitting the age 65
10:45
they're not looking for the next Tesla
10:47
or the next Microsoft or the next growth
10:49
stock. They're looking for guarantees
10:51
and they're looking for lifestyles.
10:53
Which leads me to my next question and I
10:55
had this vision of you Mosha in the in
10:58
the boughels of some library in Europe
11:02
reading about tantines and doing your
11:04
research on where annuities first
11:06
started. But the reason I bring that up
11:09
is I want you to
11:11
correlate that to to the products that
11:14
are out there now and your hope to where
11:17
things are going to go. And maybe you
11:19
can just give a brief um history of of
11:23
tant because when you Google it, it's
11:26
amazing what comes up. One of the
11:27
questions that people have is are are
11:29
tant illegal? That's one of the main
11:31
questions that pop up. So give us the
11:34
the dumbed down version of what that is
11:36
and why you're attracted to that.
11:38
So you know, as usual, Stan, your
11:40
questions could could take me, you know,
11:43
five hours to answer. So I I I'm going
11:45
to selectively pick certain pieces of it
11:47
because for many of your viewers, this
11:49
may be the first time in their life
11:50
they've heard the word tantine. They
11:52
don't know how to spell it yet and and
11:53
maybe they're googling it right now. So
11:55
you know, there's a lot going on. So let
11:57
let me explain a little bit of
11:58
historical background and hopefully this
11:59
partially answers the many questions
12:01
you've just asked. What interests me,
12:03
why I'm fascinated with history is
12:05
because the narrative right now in the
12:07
financial industry is that pensions are
12:09
going away. Pensions are going away.
12:11
defined benefit pensions are no longer
12:13
the norm for employees. Social security,
12:16
the trust fund in the US is, you know,
12:18
on its way down. So, there's questions
12:20
about sustainability and uh employers
12:23
don't really care about their employees
12:25
once they retire. So, you're on your
12:26
own, buddy. Ergo, we must all move into
12:29
the annuity space. What interests me is
12:32
what in the world did people do prior to
12:34
defined benefit pensions? Not what are
12:37
they going to do in the demise and
12:38
decline of defined benefit. what did
12:40
they do before? And uh you know, if you
12:42
take a look at when defined benefit
12:43
pensions started, you know, we're
12:44
talking about the beginning of the 20th
12:45
century, Social Security, FDR, the
12:48
1930s. Uh if you're really familiar with
12:50
pension history, then you'll know the
12:51
name Bismar. You know, the German
12:53
chancellor, he starts pensions in 1880.
12:56
And and everybody's entitled when they
12:58
get old to get a pension. What did old
13:00
people do before these state programs?
13:04
Now, the the ignorant response is that
13:06
there were no old people prior to 1880
13:09
and that Bismar somehow discovered that
13:11
there's old people and we need to give
13:12
them pensions. That is simply not true.
13:14
Life expectancy at birth might have been
13:16
very low. There were many old people. In
13:19
fact, if you go back to the archives,
13:21
there are people that made it into their
13:22
80s and 90s. And I could spend an entire
13:24
hour going through all the famous
13:26
philosophers and statesmen and you know
13:29
US presidents from the revolution onward
13:31
that lived far beyond life expectancy.
13:34
What did they do? How did they get to
13:37
retirement stop being able to work and
13:40
how did they get an income? And the next
13:42
response tends to be well their f family
13:44
supported them. They lived at home and
13:46
they didn't need it. That's also not
13:47
true because of the fact that not all of
13:49
them had families and and many of the
13:51
families had moved away. So once you
13:53
sort of eliminate all the nonsense,
13:54
you're left with to how did they finance
13:56
their retirement? And the answer is they
13:58
went out and they bought annuities. They
14:01
went to the state, they went to the
14:03
government, they went to early insurance
14:05
companies, they went to their local
14:06
church, they went to their parish, and
14:08
they entered into a scheme where they
14:10
would be receiving an income for the
14:11
rest of their life guaranteed a word
14:13
that you like as long as they live in
14:16
exchange for a lump sum right now. Uh in
14:18
fact the earliest nursing homes were uh
14:20
monasteries where people would go in
14:22
they were called karotis where you go
14:24
into the monastery and say look I got a
14:25
bunch of money this is my nest egg you
14:27
take it take care of me for the rest of
14:28
my life and they would in a sense issue
14:30
an annuity and the annuity would be paid
14:33
not just in in in living somewhere uh
14:35
they'd be paid in beer and bread and
14:38
wine and you know a shirt once a year
14:41
and and that would be your annuity would
14:42
be paid in goods and services part of
14:45
the products that people bought hundreds
14:48
of years ago to maintain themselves in
14:49
retirement was a name, a word that you
14:52
just mentioned called a tantine. A
14:54
tantine was one of the many schemes that
14:56
people used to finance themselves in
14:58
retirement. It was a scheme in which the
15:00
longest living people got the most
15:02
amount of income. The people that didn't
15:04
live a long time got a smaller amount of
15:06
income. It was a type of an annuity. And
15:08
I think that, you know, with that
15:09
background, we we understand that there
15:10
are many different ways to finance
15:12
retirement in the Middle Ages. And and
15:15
that was one of them. And I find the
15:16
tantine an interesting scheme and I
15:18
think that there's more discussion about
15:19
bringing it back. That's sort of the
15:21
three minute summary.
15:23
No, I I got you. One of the words that
15:24
popped out when you use is the word
15:26
scheme. And in the United States, scheme
15:29
is a bad word. Scheme means we're taking
15:32
advantage of you. Scheme means you're um
15:35
you there's something we're not telling
15:37
you. And I think that that word attached
15:40
to annuity
15:42
um even though you know and I know
15:45
that's not the intended use, people go,
15:48
"Yeah, see it's a scheme." It's not a
15:50
scheme. What he's saying is this was the
15:52
strategy that people were using at that
15:55
point in time. Um but even when you
15:58
Google tantine, it says a scheme used,
16:01
you know, hundreds of years ago, etc.
16:04
Um, that's an interesting word, but
16:07
don't you agree that that word has some
16:09
connotation that's negative that people
16:11
that aren't up to speed on the history,
16:15
they say, "Well, you know, scheme means
16:17
scheme's bad, right?"
16:18
Yeah. So, I'm a mathematical economist,
16:21
so I can use the word scheme because,
16:23
you know, I I don't answer to that. I
16:25
don't answer to that crowd. I'm not a
16:27
politician running for office trying to
16:29
figure out, you know, let's test 10
16:31
different words and see which one the
16:33
public likes. And I'm describing it the
16:35
way, you know, is described
16:37
historically. You go back to the
16:38
documents, that was the one. But I I
16:40
certainly agree with you is that if I'm
16:42
a marketing department in a modern
16:43
insurance company, right? I I will
16:46
stress test every word I use with focus
16:48
groups and you know, I'm not even sure
16:50
I'd use the word tanteen. Stan since you
16:52
brought this up many of the tant that
16:55
are emerging around the world and they
16:57
are emerging there are many examples of
16:59
it if I were to take a look at the
17:00
common denominator of all of them uh
17:03
there is certainly a very successful one
17:04
that was just launched in Australia uh
17:07
there was one in South Africa I was
17:08
involved with there's some in Canada all
17:10
of them all of them the common theme is
17:13
they don't use the word tantine and they
17:16
certainly don't use the word scheme they
17:19
use the thinking behind it they use the
17:21
pooling and the risk sharing. Uh, but
17:23
they don't use the word because they
17:24
feel that like you, you know, people
17:26
Google it and and they hear that, you
17:27
know, Homer Simpson in an episode of The
17:30
Simpsons lost money on a taunt. So, hey,
17:32
if Homer Simpson law, I don't want Marge
17:34
yelling at me if I, you know, or or they
17:37
hear that it's illegal because the state
17:38
of New York in 1906 banned Taine. So I
17:42
agree with you that words matter and we
17:44
don't want to use scheme and maybe not
17:46
even use tantine but the thinking behind
17:49
it namely that people that live a long
17:51
time are subsidized by people who don't
17:53
and as you live longer your income goes
17:55
up. Uh that's something that uh that
17:58
makes sense and you know to get to a
17:59
point that you made earlier. We all like
18:01
the word guaranteed. It's it's an
18:03
important word, you know, that's a word
18:04
we use, scheme, we don't use, guarantee,
18:06
we use. But the problem is is that
18:08
what's guaranteed in today's lexicon,
18:10
what's guaranteed is a nominal cash
18:13
flow. Nominal. Nominal means I have no
18:16
idea what this is going to buy me in
18:18
real terms. Nominal usually means it's
18:21
not adjusted for inflation. Nominal
18:23
means we have no idea what goods and
18:25
services I'm going to be able to buy
18:26
with it. I mean, honestly, if I
18:28
guarantee you $1,000 a week for the rest
18:31
of your life, do you really know 20
18:33
years from now what you'll be able to do
18:34
with $1,000? I mean, we really don't.
18:38
So, we use the word guaranteed, but in
18:39
some sense, it's a guarantee of a
18:41
something, but anything that I want to
18:43
buy with that is not guaranteed. So, one
18:46
of the reasons that the tantine concept,
18:48
whatever you call it, is gaining
18:50
credence is the idea is, hey, the longer
18:51
I live, I want those payments to go up.
18:53
I'm not interested in guarantees, but I
18:56
want something that keeps up with the
18:57
cost of living, roughly speaking. And I
18:59
think that's one of the appeals. But to
19:01
sort of wrap this up and to answer your
19:03
question, I think there are lessons to
19:04
be learned from how people financed
19:07
themselves in their older age hundreds
19:09
of years ago. There are lessons to be
19:11
learned for today. I may not design an
19:13
iPad or an iPhone the way it was
19:15
designed 300 years ago. They didn't
19:17
exist. But when it comes to financing
19:19
retirement, there's something about the
19:21
way we did it in the past that might
19:22
resonate with the future.
19:24
And hold that thought for a second.
19:26
We're talking to Mosha Malefki, just an
19:28
icon in our business. Now, he's written
19:29
some fantastic books and we're going to
19:31
have those links on our site. He's going
19:33
to have his own page like like all of
19:34
our celebrity guests do. But some of the
19:36
books that I would tell you to to look
19:38
at is one of them that I love. The seven
19:40
most important equations for your
19:41
retirement was fantastic. Obviously,
19:44
I've talked about King Williams Tantine,
19:46
which is one of his books, recent books,
19:48
which I've read a couple of times. He
19:50
also has one called Pensionize Your Nest
19:52
Egg, which I think is very good. And
19:54
then one that I really like called
19:55
Longevity Insurance for a biological
19:57
age. So, he he brings it down to your
20:00
level. He can do that, but you can tell
20:02
by just him talking that he's at another
20:04
level. I think if there's ever an
20:06
annuity odd couple that gets along and
20:09
and is on the same page, it's us, you
20:12
know, because for me, I consider myself
20:14
the annuity whisperer that's that's
20:16
trying to dumb it down to a level that I
20:20
always tell people, if you can't explain
20:21
it to a nine-year-old, don't buy it. No
20:23
offense to nine-year-olds. Um, and I
20:26
think the great part about Mosha is he
20:29
he can change gears and bring it down to
20:32
a consumer level. And those books that I
20:34
just mentioned are are some of the ones
20:37
that I'm going to point you to and have
20:38
links to where you can go get them on
20:40
Amazon. Let's go back to the Tantines.
20:43
Mosha, I um I'm fascinated with this and
20:45
I'm always thinking, okay, where's the
20:47
puck going to be? I'm giving some hockey
20:49
analogies since you're a Canadian. Um,
20:52
instead of skating after it, where is it
20:54
going to be? Do you ever see tant
20:58
entering this country in a fashion that
21:00
it's the consumers can get it,
21:03
understand it, and then eagerly buy it?
21:06
So, you know, it it depends on who the
21:09
audience is that's listening to my
21:11
response. you know, if if this is
21:13
consumers, it I don't really if I don't
21:17
really see the word taunting catching on
21:20
uh and and becoming an alternative to an
21:23
annuity because of some of the
21:24
historical issues there. Um, but I do
21:27
think that here here's the the business
21:30
challenge. asset managers, large asset
21:33
managers are realizing that their
21:36
inability to offer guarantees might
21:39
hinder their asset gathering and
21:42
certainly assets under management uh
21:44
model.
21:45
So, people are moving into retirement
21:47
and they're saying, "All right, these
21:48
mutual funds, these ETFs were great to
21:50
help me accumulate wealth, but now I
21:53
need a stable, predictable, I like that
21:55
better than guaranteed stable and
21:57
predictable income for the rest of my
21:59
life. and I just can't get that from
22:00
this very volatile ETF or mutual fund.
22:03
And the asset managers are going to see
22:05
some of that money perhaps a lot of that
22:06
money leak and leave towards the type of
22:09
solutions that you've been discussing
22:11
whether it's the annuities or the migas
22:12
or the QAX or the Diaz and so on. So
22:15
there are two ways that uh from a
22:17
business point of view asset managers
22:19
can deal with that. They can say, "Well,
22:20
we're going to partner with insurance
22:22
companies and we're going to somehow try
22:24
to share revenue or we're going to try
22:26
to, you know, keep some of the assets
22:28
and and and partner with insurance
22:30
companies because people like the
22:32
predictability and stability." Or they
22:34
might say, you know what, maybe we can
22:35
enter into this business without
22:37
offering those guarantees and the only
22:39
way to do that would be taunting like
22:40
structures. So the short answer to your
22:43
question is I think that within five
22:44
years you're going to see asset managers
22:47
offering things that you and I would
22:49
call a tantine whether or not they use
22:51
that word as separate.
22:54
Fascinating. I think when pe when you
22:56
were initially describing tant I think
23:00
people stopped the car and jumped off
23:01
the treadmill when you said the word
23:04
increasing income because that's the
23:06
biggest question I get in this
23:09
inflationary world that we're living in
23:11
is you know how do we how do how do we
23:14
adjust for inflation how do we address
23:16
inflation and as you well know Mosha and
23:18
I'm just telling this for the consumers
23:20
that are listening to this when you
23:22
attach an increase to a current
23:23
commercial annuity
23:25
It's called a cost of living adjustment.
23:26
In the past, there was CPIU, consumer
23:28
price index increases. But annuity
23:31
companies had the big buildings for a
23:32
reason. As I always say, they don't give
23:33
that away. They just simply lower the
23:35
initial payment to make up for that. But
23:37
when you start talking about tant
23:39
adjusting and increasing, can you go
23:42
into that for the consumer on what that
23:45
might look like from a 30,000 foot view?
23:48
Yeah. So you understand that when I sit
23:51
here and we're having a conversation, I
23:53
have four hands tied behind my back. I
23:55
don't have a blackboard. I don't have my
23:56
slides. I don't have the the graphics. I
23:59
certainly can't do equations. You'd
24:00
probably shut me down. So [laughter]
24:02
there's a li there's a limit as to how
24:04
much this can be explained to the point
24:06
where the consumer says, "Ah, I get it.
24:08
You I'm sorry. We need to explain
24:10
things, you know, using certain
24:11
techniques." But the idea here is is
24:12
that if you enter into an arrangement
24:16
where people that live a long time get
24:18
to share uh the benefits from something,
24:21
since there are less people living a
24:22
long time, they're going to share more
24:24
benefits. So, let let me try to put this
24:26
without any algebra. Imagine that you
24:29
and me and a group of our neighbors
24:32
decided to buy a 30-year Treasury bond
24:35
from the US Treasury. And it was a
24:38
unique type of bond that we all bought
24:40
together. Us, all our buddies, we bought
24:42
it. It's a bond that pays coupons for 30
24:45
years, but it never pays back the
24:47
principal at the end. Never pays back
24:49
the principal at the end. And you're
24:50
saying, Mosh, why would I buy something
24:52
that never pays back my principal at the
24:53
end? And the answer is because instead
24:54
they'll give you higher coupons. So, you
24:57
know, right now the 30-year rate would
24:58
be 3%, but you're getting your principal
25:00
back at the end. they'll give you seven
25:02
or six% and then you don't get the
25:04
principal back at the end, which is kind
25:06
of an evening out of your coupons. We
25:08
all all of us in the neighborhood decide
25:10
to buy one of these bonds that are
25:12
paying, you know, let's say 6% a year,
25:14
right? And here's what we do. We've
25:16
bought this bond and we enter into an
25:17
agreement. You and me and many others
25:19
and look, whoever is alive gets to share
25:22
those coupons. We at the end of every
25:25
year are going to go to the local golf
25:27
club or the local bar and we're gonna
25:29
all toast whoever's alive and we get to
25:31
split those coupons. But if you're not
25:33
around, you can't split the coupons. So
25:35
let's imagine what happens when all of
25:37
us have bought this bond that after one
25:40
year we're all healthy, we're good. We
25:41
all get 6%. We're getting the $6,000 a
25:44
year on our $100,000. And then in a year
25:47
from now we come back to celebrate. Are
25:49
we alive? And yeah, we're all alive. So
25:51
we're getting 6,000. But then at the end
25:53
of the third year, God forbid, one of us
25:55
has a heart attack or one of us has a
25:57
stroke or one of us is in a car
25:59
accident. We're not there to toast our
26:01
longevity and suddenly there are less of
26:03
us. There's less of us, but we still
26:05
have that $6,000 coupon. We're sharing
26:08
it over a smaller group. At the end of
26:11
the year, we have that $6,000 coupon
26:13
that's being paid, but it's being split
26:15
with a smaller group. How does this
26:17
work? We have the same amount of cash in
26:18
the numerator to use a mathematical term
26:21
but the denominator is shrinking. There
26:22
are less of us. And then 10 years later,
26:25
you know, say half of us are still
26:27
there. Other half if not many. Well, the
26:29
numerator is still exactly the same. The
26:31
denominator is shrinking. Each one of us
26:33
is getting a bigger and bigger payment.
26:35
Whoever's around 30 years from now,
26:37
whoever's around 30 years from now,
26:38
they're still giving out the 6,000, but
26:41
we're splitting it over a very, very
26:43
small group. We're getting a really big
26:45
coupon which is a naturally increasing
26:48
hedge in some sense against inflation
26:51
even though none of us bought an
26:52
inflation linked bond. Mortality becomes
26:56
a real interest rate mortality mortality
26:59
rate without having to worry about
27:01
buying inflation link bonds and tips and
27:03
I bonds and and reserves. So that is
27:06
incredibly uninteresting when
27:09
inflation's at 2% or less and nobody
27:12
knows what inflation is. But suddenly in
27:15
the last year or two, inflation is a
27:17
very hot topic on Google. You Google it
27:19
and you get, you know, the engram.
27:21
That's a that's a word that's coming up
27:22
a lot. President himself is using that
27:25
word. Maybe people start to get
27:27
interested in a scheme where there's
27:29
this natural increase. So that's one of
27:31
the reasons you're seeing more.
27:32
Hopefully I've explained why this is
27:34
increasing over time, but that's one of
27:36
the reasons you're seeing more of an
27:37
interest in this.
27:38
And I'm I guess in a glass half full
27:42
scenario, this rising inflation is is
27:46
pushing people to
27:49
talk to you, listen to you, read you,
27:51
and say, "Okay, let's let's look deeper
27:53
in this." I was writing down as my
27:56
marketing brain was rolling on what
27:58
could you call this and what could you
28:00
stamp this at and just the acronym to oi
28:04
came out which is transfer of risk
28:06
income which is that's what it is you're
28:09
transferring the risk and you're or
28:11
you're sharing the risk um for income
28:14
and you can add another eye on top of
28:16
that which is increasing income which I
28:19
think I think that's the part that
28:21
people will listen to because in essence
28:23
it sounds like to Hey, it's a life only
28:25
annuity that you're as long as you're
28:27
living your um people that that that
28:29
have followed my work that you know what
28:31
a life only annuity is. I always tell
28:33
people when you're le jet hits the
28:34
mountain money goes poof. Now Moses gave
28:37
a a much better um example of that but
28:41
it's a lifeonly
28:43
taunting shared pulled risk of which
28:46
income increases for the people that um
28:50
are still breathing. And I think if it
28:52
could be explained like that, I don't
28:54
think people in this country would have
28:56
a problem with doing a product like that
28:59
um or at least a portion of their what I
29:01
call their income floor, which is social
29:04
security, dividends, annuities,
29:07
commercial, and these type of new
29:08
annuities. The interesting part is going
29:10
to be how they're distributed
29:13
within the industry. And I think that's
29:15
going to be the challenge. Obviously,
29:17
you're you know that everyone else
29:18
looking at it knows that. But I think we
29:21
need as an industry to, hey, forget the
29:23
distribution. Let's put it out there.
29:24
Let's get it out there to where it's,
29:26
you know, and show people that it that
29:28
it works. And I think it would help the
29:30
annuity industry as a whole because
29:32
people would understand you're
29:33
transferring risk for lifetime income. I
29:34
always tell people I don't know the ROI
29:36
until you die.
29:38
You know, up until that point, it is a
29:40
is a transfer risk. Now, you find
29:42
yourself over in Europe a lot in in in
29:46
libraries. Am I correct? I'm envisioning
29:48
you over there all the time. Um,
29:50
actually you're you're you're catching
29:52
me when I just came back two days ago
29:54
from the archives in Edinburghough in
29:57
Scotland. Uh, I I don't want to bore
30:00
your audience to death, but the Church
30:02
of Scotland uh introduced one of the
30:04
first funded annuities in the early 18th
30:06
century. When you take a look at
30:08
annuities, it's one thing for me to
30:09
guarantee you a payment for the rest of
30:11
your life. But if you're smart, you're
30:13
going to say to me, Moa, how are you
30:14
going to make sure that that payment is
30:15
actually going to stay there for the
30:17
rest of my life? It's one thing for the
30:18
king to promise payments, but I want the
30:21
king to set aside some money to make
30:23
sure that those payments are going to be
30:25
made. That's called a funded annuity.
30:27
So, you can go back to biblical times.
30:29
Kings were promising annuities from
30:31
biblical times and then they defaulted
30:32
on them because they'd never set aside
30:34
any money for it. The first entity, the
30:37
first entity to actually set aside money
30:40
and say, "All right, we've just promised
30:41
annuities to ministers, we better make
30:43
sure we manage this money to pay those
30:45
annuities and we have to have a large
30:46
pool." The first entity that did that
30:48
was the Church of Scotland in the early
30:50
18th century. It's the first funded
30:52
annuity period. So I went and I was able
30:55
to gain access to their documents in
30:57
their archives to see how they designed
30:59
it. It's the subject of my next book.
31:01
And I don't want to give away too much,
31:02
but I found it fascinating how they set
31:05
that scheme up. And it was because
31:07
ministers and eventually university
31:09
professors said, "Hey man, I want an
31:11
annuity when I retire. I want an annuity
31:13
for my spouse. I want an annuity for my
31:15
kids. I don't want to give them money.
31:17
They're going to squander it. Somebody
31:19
will steal it from them. They don't know
31:20
how to manage money. Give them an
31:22
annuity. So that that was to me uh quite
31:24
interesting. And I spent a couple of
31:26
weeks there and they were very kind and
31:28
they gave me access to it. So uh the
31:30
short answer is yes. I do spend a lot of
31:32
time in archives and libraries.
31:34
When you don't give away the farm
31:35
because I want people to buy the book
31:36
because I'm going to buy it as well. But
31:39
were you surprised with some of the
31:41
things you found? Did you have any oh oh
31:44
oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh
31:44
oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh
31:44
oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh
31:44
oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh oh
31:44
oh oh oh oh oh oh oh my goodness moments
31:45
hitting your forehead when you found
31:46
stuff or was it predictable what you
31:49
found in the archives?
31:51
You know, to be honest, I thought I was
31:52
going there to cross the tees and dot
31:54
the eyes because like I know what I'm
31:55
going to find. It's going to be these
31:56
documents, but you know, you got to go
31:57
through, you got to do it, right? You
31:59
just got to make the pilgrimage. You got
32:00
to touch the documents and come home.
32:01
No, there was a lot of very shocking,
32:03
very interesting things in terms of how
32:04
they did things. Uh some of the
32:06
participants in these annuities I found
32:08
interesting the management of it. uh
32:10
some of the concerns around fraud, some
32:12
of the choices that people had. There
32:14
was a parallel to some of the things
32:15
that we see today in defined
32:16
contribution plans, there were defaults.
32:18
I one of the issues that they had to
32:20
contend with is, you know, this is in
32:21
Scotland. They are presbyteries uh
32:23
spread across the country. You know, how
32:26
do you do you force people into the plan
32:28
or do you just, you know, tell them if
32:30
you want you can join the annuity fund?
32:32
Uh which is sort of very similar to
32:33
defaults now in 401ks and DC plans. So
32:36
what they said was, "Well, you had a
32:37
year to to to default to say I'm not
32:40
interested." So they gave you a year
32:42
unless you were in the north of
32:43
Scotland, then they gave you two years
32:44
because, you know, it's a long time to
32:45
get your notice back there. But if we
32:47
didn't hear from you, we would default
32:49
you into the annuity. And this is
32:51
echoing some of the discussion now with
32:54
secure 2.0 about what should happen to a
32:57
plan as they approach retirement. Should
32:58
we default people into an annuity? And
33:01
they struggled with the same thing 280
33:03
years ago. I mean, you know, we're
33:04
forcing them into an annuity. It's a
33:06
lifetime income product. Are they going
33:07
to are the ministers going to complain?
33:09
How do we default them? So, what I found
33:11
interesting was a lot of the parallels
33:13
with some of the things we deal with
33:14
today. Uh they they dealt with at that
33:17
time and uh it was uh you know, that was
33:19
interesting to me. Some of the
33:20
administrative aspects of managing this,
33:22
you know, the actuarial theory is 3%.
33:25
The administration is 97%. How do you
33:28
get the lists of who's alive and who's
33:30
not alive and who's contributed and at
33:31
what rate did they contribute? How big
33:34
did their pool have to be? You know,
33:35
there weren't enough ministers in
33:36
parishes. So, they asked university
33:38
professors to join because they got a
33:40
couple hundred more people and now they
33:42
can use the law of large numbers.
33:44
Anyway, this is things that interest me.
33:45
I'm a professor. I can afford to have
33:47
that habit.
33:48
That is fantastic. No, I'm not a
33:51
professor and and you're sitting there.
33:52
I'm like, you know, listening intently
33:54
to every word because it just sounds
33:56
fascinating because my and I can't read
33:59
wait to read the book because I want to
34:01
hear how they dealt with these things,
34:02
how they dealt with the problems that
34:04
are similar in fashion to what we're
34:07
going to do now. Please tell me, Mosha,
34:09
that our government, the United States
34:11
government, is hiring you to help with
34:13
these types of ideas.
34:17
Look, I I've helped uh I have one foot
34:19
in the US, one foot in Canada. So, I I
34:21
spent time teaching here, but I have a
34:23
place in Florida. So, I've done a lot of
34:25
consulting work for the state of
34:26
Florida, the Florida State Board of
34:28
Administration. So, I spent quite a bit
34:29
of time in Tallahassee many years ago.
34:32
And uh that was about them converting
34:34
their defined benefit plan to defined
34:36
contribution because you know at the
34:37
time the governor Jeb Bush you may
34:39
recall uh one of his ideas was you know
34:42
we've got to give people choices and not
34:44
everybody wants a DB plan especially if
34:45
they're younger but the key was we
34:47
wanted to ensure the designers of the
34:49
fund wanted to ensure that uh people had
34:52
access to annuities at retirement. when
34:53
you take away someone's defined benefit
34:55
pension and you say to them, "No, you're
34:57
you're not going to get a guaranteed
34:58
income for life," you have to give them
35:00
something similar, which is an annuity.
35:01
So, I was there to help vet what
35:03
companies and what products would be
35:06
allowed into the plan, put it on the
35:08
shelf, so to speak, uh that people would
35:10
be able to select as they moved into
35:11
retirement. And you'll appreciate this,
35:13
the uh sponsors and certainly the
35:16
politicians didn't want complicated
35:17
annuities in there. They didn't want the
35:19
the the security type annuity. They
35:21
wanted simple DAS and SPAS and and QAX.
35:25
And the question was, you know, do you
35:26
go with the highest payout? Well, that's
35:29
not necessarily safe because sometimes
35:30
the highest payout isn't necessarily
35:32
from a credit quality that you want. Do
35:34
you go with the highest credit quality?
35:36
Well, the payout won't be high. What
35:37
sort of options do you give people? So
35:39
the short answer to your question is I
35:41
have been involved a little bit in some
35:43
localized projects, state projects, but
35:46
there are many brilliant minds in the US
35:48
in this space and I know that many of
35:50
them are helping uh whether it's the
35:53
Treasury or the or the Fed or certainly
35:55
the IRS in terms of the tax treatment of
35:57
these things. So the short answer is I
35:59
am one of many researchers that are
36:01
interested in these things and yes they
36:03
are being tapped as a group to help
36:05
governments although you know sometimes
36:06
there's a communication gap there. It
36:08
sounds too academic, too theoretical.
36:10
Politicians may not like it.
36:13
Yeah, it's it all comes down to
36:14
messaging when you're talking to the
36:15
consumer. The consumer is the the
36:17
listener to this podcast and and I think
36:19
that's one of the reasons this is one of
36:20
the fastest growing podcast in the
36:22
financial sector is because we're having
36:24
people on like you that's making people
36:26
think and they're hearing what you're
36:28
doing. [clears throat] I guarantee they
36:29
don't know what a ton tantine is. By the
36:31
way, it's spelled t n t i ne if you're
36:34
googling it. Um, but we'll have that
36:37
link on on the site for Mosha as well.
36:40
Um, so
36:43
for you, you're always, it seems like
36:45
you're always digging in and trying to
36:47
find the next blue water, as I call it,
36:50
you know, things that other people
36:51
aren't thinking about. What hit me when
36:53
you said, you know, I'm not I'm not
36:55
looking about what people are going to
36:57
do. I wanted to see what they were doing
36:58
back then. That's a contrarian thought.
37:01
That's not an a natural thought. Maybe
37:03
it is for an academian like you, but not
37:06
for the normal person out here. What's
37:09
the next
37:11
mountain you're looking to climb? Is
37:13
there something that's piqu your
37:14
interest that has caught your eye and
37:16
attention that you really want to dig
37:17
into because you've I know you can keep
37:19
digging into tant and and that, but is
37:22
there anything in the annuity space that
37:24
you're looking at that is new?
37:27
So, so look s you know it is when we
37:29
academic it's like watching a star that
37:31
exploded. The light that you're seeing
37:33
today was generated millions of light
37:35
years ago. Even the light that comes
37:36
from the sun came seven or eight minutes
37:38
ago. So, you know, the taunt stuff
37:40
that's coming out now, I worked on that
37:42
10 years ago. I'm not saying I'm bored
37:44
by it. I'm not saying I'm not interested
37:45
in it, but you know, that that's been
37:46
done. You can't sit, you know, your
37:48
entire life at the same well. What
37:50
interests me now once I get this uh
37:53
annuity fund out of the way, what
37:54
interests me now is long-term care.
37:57
namely that as people age as people age
38:00
it's not just that they want predictable
38:02
income for the rest of their life which
38:04
is great or guaranteed income they need
38:06
to know what will their expenditures be
38:09
and what will their health expenditures
38:11
be and how do they manage hedge and
38:13
ensure that so I have become interested
38:15
in the gap between lifespan and health
38:18
span lifespan is how long you live we've
38:21
talked about that longevity risk health
38:23
span is how long do you live healthy and
38:26
the gap between health span and lifespan
38:29
can be, you know, zero. You got hit by a
38:32
bus, sadly. And the gap between lifespan
38:34
and health span can be 20 years. You
38:37
know, you get hit with something, you're
38:38
just not in very good health anymore,
38:40
and now you got to manage for the next
38:42
20 years. I think long-term care
38:44
products, annuities that are linked to
38:46
long-term care, long-term hedges, long I
38:48
think that's something that that needs
38:50
to get more uh investigation. It needs
38:53
to get more attention. Uh, money doesn't
38:55
solve your problems. And I know that
38:57
sounds cliche. You You need to do
38:59
something with it to solve your
39:00
problems. How many times do you throw
39:02
money at a problem and it didn't solve
39:03
it? What do you mean? I fixed that
39:05
bloody air conditioner last year. Why
39:07
didn't it get fixed? And we got to throw
39:09
How do we throw money at things
39:11
efficiently when it comes to health
39:12
care? Is something that interests me?
39:13
Because as you age, that's going to be a
39:15
big deal. It's not the money. How do I
39:17
get better? How do I, you know, deal
39:18
with arthritis? Forget about the annuity
39:20
check. That's great. Thank you, Stan,
39:22
for the annuity check. I need to deal
39:23
with my arthritis. Can you give me some
39:25
suggestions? No, that's not my Bailey
39:27
Wick. I don't deal with it. Well, maybe
39:28
you should. Maybe you should get an
39:30
annuity that pays in arthritis
39:32
medication. And and I mean that just
39:33
sort of half as a joke, but that's
39:35
something that interests me now. How do
39:36
we deal with the long-term care
39:37
challenge?
39:39
Boy, that's a big one. I wasn't
39:41
expecting that from you, but I'm glad I
39:43
asked because I'm now feel comfortable
39:45
with you going at it and figuring it
39:47
out. Obviously, the long-term care space
39:49
is a different space because it's a
39:51
health insurance product, not a life
39:53
insurance product. A life insurance
39:55
products, life insurance companies issue
39:57
annuities for the people listening out
39:59
there. And there are some annuity types
40:01
that have what's called confinement care
40:03
or enhanced benefit type um guaranteed
40:06
issue u products out [snorts] there and
40:09
we certainly can show you those. But
40:11
that's not what he's talking about. He's
40:13
talking about literally
40:16
solving for specific things. Now, are
40:18
you thinking, and I'm I'm if I'm off
40:20
base, tell me, are you thinking that in
40:23
the future there will be annuity type
40:25
products that are addressing not only
40:28
income, but specific issues of health
40:31
and long-term care?
40:33
I do. And I I think that, you know, when
40:35
you think of activities of daily living
40:37
that trigger a long-term care policy,
40:39
why can't I why can't I buy a SPIA that
40:43
uh as soon as you're diagnosed with uh
40:45
you know, let's say you can't do three
40:47
of five activities of daily living, you
40:49
can't bathe, you can't clo yourself, you
40:51
can't walk to the bathroom. Like just,
40:53
you know, the payment triples. Why would
40:55
I want the payment to triple? Well,
40:56
because now you're going to have to hire
40:57
someone to help you with that. Mhm.
40:59
I mean, so because I it's not so much
41:01
the income that I want. It's the
41:03
services that I'm going to get. I I
41:04
really need the income. Income is just
41:06
part of it. I need the income to get
41:08
goods and services. You've solved part
41:10
of my problem, Stan. You're getting me
41:12
the income for the rest of my life. I
41:14
need to get services and I need to get
41:16
goods. Are you helping me with that? And
41:18
some people might say, "That's not my
41:20
problem. That, you know, go talk to a
41:21
medical professional. Go talk to a
41:22
social worker." And what I'm trying to
41:24
say is, no, I think this is going to be
41:25
part of the financing because if you
41:27
give me a sum of money that doesn't
41:29
quite cover the services and the goods
41:30
that I need, what's what's the point of
41:32
that sum of money, especially if it's
41:33
depreciating over time? So, the answer
41:35
to your question is yes, I see annuities
41:38
having long-term care writers, just like
41:39
a lot of the life insurance policies.
41:41
You can buy a life insurance policy that
41:43
is going to pay out $100,000 as a death
41:45
benefit, but if you need long-term care,
41:47
they'll multiply it by five.
41:49
Let me say that again. You have life
41:51
insurance. If you die, the beneficiary
41:54
gets $100,000. But if you're still alive
41:56
and you need long-term care, you can
41:57
draw down like a bathtub $500,000 worth
42:00
of long-term care over time. And and I
42:03
could see a lot of people saying, "Yeah,
42:04
I want that. I want that. I need to deal
42:06
with aging. I need to deal with aging.
42:08
I've seen it with my parents. I need to
42:10
deal with myself." So, this is something
42:11
that interests me. You ask me, "What's
42:13
where's the puck going, right? I'm a
42:14
Canadian. I think it's great. Where's
42:15
the puck going?" Yeah.
42:16
No, I I love it. I think the um I think
42:18
the issue and I'm always thinking from
42:20
the consumer standpoint [snorts] how to
42:22
get the policy approved and to the
42:24
consumer and the benefits in place. So
42:27
when I'm thinking that I I'm thinking
42:29
okay underwriting issues if if there are
42:33
any uh pricing issues from the carrier
42:35
that's issuing the policy. But my hope
42:38
is that with this type of thought,
42:41
people that have diabetes or that have
42:45
pre pre-existing conditions, it would be
42:48
really nice if they could buy a
42:50
guaranteed issue product that addressed
42:52
that specific thing without having to go
42:56
and get underwritten, whether simplified
42:59
issue or full underwriting. Because, as
43:00
I always say, annuity or or long-term
43:04
care companies, they want to they want
43:05
to ensure young, healthy people. Um, I
43:08
think with 10,000 baby boomers hitting
43:10
65 every single day, most of us, and I'm
43:14
in I'm not that there yet, but I'm I'm
43:17
not going to tell everybody my age
43:18
because I look so vibrant and young,
43:19
right? Most of um but I I would want to
43:23
buy something for pre-diabetic, which is
43:25
who I am, you know? Can I buy an annuity
43:27
that addresses that? Boy, you talk about
43:30
opportunity
43:32
and a niche market because it sounds
43:34
like to me that you're thinking from the
43:37
life insurance standpoint that you can
43:39
buy if you're a smoker, you can buy life
43:41
insurance because you're a smoker. You
43:43
know, it might cost you a little bit
43:44
more, but it's never been addressed from
43:46
the standpoint of health issues from an
43:48
annuity standpoint. And that's what
43:50
you're talking about. That is absolutely
43:52
fascinating. Which means my my SPIA
43:55
calculator would be SPIA calculator
43:57
healthy, SPIA calculator pre-diabetic,
44:00
SPIA calculator cancer, SPIA calculator
44:03
whatever.
44:05
You know, St. One of the things that
44:06
I've been sort of puzzled by is why
44:09
people don't ask for underwritten
44:11
annuities uh more meaning look I want an
44:15
annuity but I'm not in good health. Pay
44:16
me more. I'm not going to cost you as
44:18
much. uh in the UK, in uh England,
44:21
Scotland, there's something called
44:23
impaired annuities where you say, "Look,
44:25
I want an annuity."
44:26
So, I I I could certainly see that. Uh
44:28
if we can dig just a little bit more
44:30
into the actuarial without turning off
44:32
your audience, when you buy an annuity
44:34
from an insurance company, they're
44:35
worried you're going to live a very very
44:37
long time. That's their fear. They've
44:38
got to set aside capital and reserves
44:40
for that. But if at the same time you
44:42
add to it something that pays out in the
44:45
event of a long-term care need, then
44:47
there's an internal hedge in there
44:49
because the actuaries are saying, "Look,
44:51
both aren't going to happen. This person
44:53
isn't moving into a nursing home
44:54
tomorrow and living 40 years." So they
44:56
can suddenly be a little bit better in
44:58
pricing. What I mean is usually you buy
45:01
a toaster and you buy a fax machine. You
45:03
know, using the historical analogy, you
45:05
never think of combining a toaster and a
45:07
fax machine. Like what? Yeah,
45:09
but what if I told you get a really
45:11
really cheap because the underlying
45:12
mechanism for the toaster and the fax
45:14
machine are exactly the same. We can
45:16
combine it. We can make it cheaper. I
45:17
think when it comes to long-term care,
45:19
you might be able to get a better SPIA
45:20
payout, a better pay. Your calculator
45:23
will show a higher payout if not
45:25
necessarily they come in and they say,
45:26
"I've got pre-diabetes." I say, "I also
45:29
want to buy a long-term care rider
45:31
attached to it. It'll be cheaper than
45:32
combining them together." I I I do think
45:34
that if you're in the annuity industry,
45:36
you have to have some conversations
45:37
around this. You have to be aware of it.
45:38
it's going on in the background. You
45:40
need to understand it's not the money
45:43
that people want, it's the stuff they're
45:45
going to do with it. I think that's the
45:47
key message here.
45:49
And I think the future of the annuity
45:50
industry is solving is right now the
45:53
annuity industry says we can solve the
45:55
income stream. Here's the income stream.
45:56
Then go solve whatever you got to solve.
45:59
And I think the future is like you're
46:00
saying,
46:02
here's the annuity income stream that
46:04
will also solve and and target what
46:08
you're worried about instead of just
46:10
throwing it at you and say go get it. I
46:12
think that's um
46:13
that's fascinating. Now to answer your
46:15
question about why don't people do um
46:18
underwritten spe there's just not many I
46:20
mean it's not competitive and the great
46:22
part about the annuity industry in my
46:23
opinion for most products SSDs QAX Mos
46:26
index annuities whatever these are
46:28
commodity products there's there's
46:29
there's bunches of them and you shop
46:31
them for the highest contractual
46:32
guarantee I always tell people to do
46:33
that you own annuity for what it will do
46:35
not what what it might do but if you're
46:37
doing an underwritten SPIA and for the
46:39
consumer out there what you're saying to
46:40
the annuity company is you're proving to
46:42
them that your life expectancy is
46:44
actually less which means that the
46:46
payments will be fewer which means that
46:48
the payments will be higher. That's what
46:50
that means. That's what Mosha is talking
46:51
about. The problem now is there's maybe
46:54
one or two maybe three tops companies
46:58
that are doing underwritten immediate
47:00
annuities at this time in the United
47:01
States. That is a problem big time. So I
47:05
would love that but I for whatever
47:07
reason companies have shied away from
47:08
that.
47:09
Yeah. So Stan, you know it's a chicken
47:10
and egg issue. You know what comes
47:12
first? I mean nobody's interested in it.
47:14
So companies don't find the need to
47:16
maintain an active line marketing
47:18
keeping your registrations you know
47:19
satisfying it's not worth it. Uh but
47:22
then if the demand comes there then they
47:24
the company see an opportunity. So you
47:27
know the question is what's going to
47:28
happen first? Is somebody going to get
47:29
up and say we're starting to offer
47:30
impaired annuities and just let's give
47:32
it a try. Or will advisors people such
47:35
as yourself influencers you know with a
47:37
very wide audience and readers just say
47:39
hey you know it's time to bring these
47:40
things in. We might increase the size of
47:43
the annuity message from people who say,
47:45
"Look, I'm not in great health. I would
47:47
like to get one of them."
47:48
Well, and what we have to do when we we
47:50
go through that process is someone says,
47:52
"I want to underwrite a SPIA to see if I
47:54
can get a better payout because I'm
47:55
going to prove that my life expectancy
47:57
is less." We warn them upfront that
48:00
there is a good possibility you're going
48:02
to be denied.
48:04
And that's a problem as well. I I think
48:07
if there would be a simplified issue
48:09
type underwritten SPIA consumerfriendly,
48:12
I think people would flock to it just
48:14
because a lot of people have underlying
48:16
conditions and would like to get, you
48:18
know, in essence an accelerated payment.
48:20
But I I think it's fascinating where
48:22
you're headed with this. I encourage you
48:24
to to dig into the long-term care side
48:26
because,
48:28
as you know, the long-term traditional
48:31
long-term care, there's not many
48:32
carriers left in the United States for a
48:34
myriad of reasons.
48:35
And there's three different types of
48:37
long-term care, which, you know, I have
48:39
a long-term care expert on, and we go
48:40
through those things. His name is Jack
48:42
Lindenberg. He's fantastic if you want
48:44
me to point you to him. Um, but I think
48:48
that's that's interesting for where
48:51
you're headed. What's the difference
48:53
between Canadian and US type annuities?
48:56
You know, I get I get a lot of calls
48:57
from from people that watch my videos
49:00
and and podcasts. I'm sure that you're
49:02
you being on will give those Canadian
49:04
calls in.
49:05
Um Yeah. So,
49:06
what do you see up there?
49:07
Yeah. So, it's it's very interesting
49:08
that you you asked that. So, I am a
49:10
Canadian and US citizen, right? Which
49:13
means that I file taxes in both
49:15
countries. Lucky me. Um, I mean, I don't
49:19
even want to start talking about what a
49:21
patriot, huh?
49:22
Yeah. What get Well, there's some tax
49:24
credits that you get for one, not 100%
49:26
tax credits. I I I could do a whole
49:28
podcast on on tax regimes. In fact, my
49:30
PhD thesis was on the reconciliation of
49:32
the Canadian and US tax system. But to
49:34
answer your question, there are many
49:36
annuity products that are available in
49:38
the US that are simply unavailable in
49:40
Canada.
49:41
Correct.
49:41
So, when I p I own three annuities. I
49:44
mean, we can get into which ones, but I
49:45
I bought them all as an American citizen
49:47
with a residence in Florida because you
49:49
simply can't get them here. They don't
49:51
exist. They're not offered. And why the
49:54
innovation hasn't hit here, may be part
49:56
of the fact that there's more defined
49:58
benefit pensions here per capita than
50:00
there is in the US. But for all of you
50:01
that are listening to this, all three of
50:03
you that happen to be Canadian and US
50:05
citizens, who happen to have a Canadian
50:07
residency and a US residency, all one
50:09
all one of you, if you're buying one of
50:11
these things, get it from Stan in the
50:13
US, even if there's a stand in Canada.
50:15
That's right. That's that Well,
50:17
obviously we we we appreciate that. U
50:20
and we do like working with people all
50:22
across the United States. And if there
50:23
was a chance for us to do Canadian, we
50:25
would because we do get a lot of those
50:26
calls. Um, if you were annuity zar
50:31
and you were sitting over top of
50:33
everything, what would you change?
50:37
I know it's loaded and broad, but pick
50:39
something.
50:39
Yeah. Yeah. So, unfortunately, there
50:42
isn't such a position. You know,
50:43
insurance is regulated by the state. So,
50:45
there are 52 or 51.
50:47
Let me dream. I'm dreaming.
50:49
Okay. All right. Um, I I think that uh
50:54
if I could throw, you know, a couple
50:55
hundred million dollars at the problem,
50:57
which is what ZARS are allowed to do
50:59
these days, they can go to Congress,
51:01
they put in a footnote, and before you
51:02
know it, $100 million has come into
51:04
their budget. Uh, you know, a public
51:07
advertising campaign to clarify what
51:09
these things are and how important they
51:11
are to reduce the financial illiteracy
51:15
around these products. Don't have it run
51:18
by companies or affiliated organizations
51:21
that where you got a bias. They're not
51:24
and I'm I'm the last one to say let's
51:25
hand it over to government. But you've
51:27
just given me a government job. I got to
51:28
figure out what to do. Right? I'm not
51:30
saying let's hand it over. If you handed
51:32
me a government job, I would suck out
51:34
that budget and say, "Let's get this
51:36
thing clarified. Here are the different
51:38
types. Here's what they do. These are
51:40
the different vitamins A, B, C, D, and
51:43
here's what the vitamins do." And we put
51:44
it on the package. And there's clarity
51:47
around the nutritional content of these
51:49
things. I go to the store, I pick up my
51:51
vitamins. I know am I getting zinc in
51:52
there? There's no zinc. My doctor said I
51:54
needed zinc. Let's pick up the
51:56
multivitamins with that sort of clarity
51:58
of message and clarity of ingredients
52:01
and clarity of what are these things is
52:04
what I would do. Let's get a messaging
52:07
campaign out there. uh instead of
52:09
putting more roadblocks or barriers or
52:11
legislative uh roadblocks in front of
52:13
the or or mandating anything for that
52:16
matter.
52:16
And I would do the exact same thing. It
52:18
would all be about messaging. It would
52:20
all be simplified. It would all be
52:22
repetitive and easy to understand. It
52:24
would stick in the back of your head and
52:25
you'd understand when the word annuity
52:27
was used, whether it was got guarantees
52:30
or transfer of risk or whatever we came
52:32
up with. I think that's the biggest
52:34
problem with an industry that has a
52:36
monopoly. an absolute monopoly on
52:40
lifetime income. How that how this isn't
52:42
a multi-t trillion dollar market
52:44
annually. I don't understand and
52:47
sometimes it feels like I'm screaming
52:49
into a hurricane with people that don't
52:51
under that the industry that doesn't
52:53
seem to care because they're making so
52:55
much money. Last question motion and I
52:57
appreciate once again Mosha Mleski.
52:59
We're gonna have his stuff on the site,
53:00
but boy has it been a pleasure and I
53:03
could talk to you forever and hopefully
53:04
one of these days we our paths will
53:06
cross. Especially in Florida. I live in
53:09
Florida and Las Vegas, so maybe we'll
53:11
our Florida paths will cross. But this
53:12
is the last question and I do it with
53:15
all my celebrity guests. I don't give a
53:17
heads up on it, but it's called the mic
53:19
drop moment. And what I want you to do
53:21
is I'm going to hand you the mic and
53:22
you're going to say something that you
53:24
think the consumers out there that are
53:26
listening to this need to hear and walk
53:28
away with because you're Mosha Mleski.
53:31
So mic drop moment Mosha Mleski.
53:36
Yeah. I I think that consumers should
53:39
pay more attention to what fees,
53:42
commissions, and u you know revenue
53:45
sharing agreements uh exist with all the
53:47
financial products that they buy. I
53:49
think many of them are embarrassed to
53:51
ask this. They have a good relationship
53:52
with their financial advisor, their
53:54
local insurance agent, their local car
53:55
insurance salesperson. And I think that
53:57
people have to become more accustomed to
53:58
look what what's the markup on this
54:00
thing. You know, I'm buying a car. This
54:02
is what I'm paying. You know, you can
54:04
easily spreadsheet and compare. I think
54:06
that would also solve part of the
54:07
problem. The skeptic in the consumer
54:09
says, "Yeah, you're making a big, you
54:10
know, you're ripping me off." Well, if
54:12
you disclose that it wasn't that much,
54:15
you know, maybe I'd feel more
54:16
comfortable with it. It's not just I
54:18
don't understand it. Even if I do
54:20
understand it, I'm concerned that it's
54:21
very opaque and I don't understand how
54:23
much I'm making. So, ask awkward
54:25
questions. That's the mic drop moment.
54:27
Learn to ask awkward questions to people
54:30
you like. Yeah, I know. I have a great
54:31
relationship with my advisor, but here's
54:34
an awkward question. Exactly. How much
54:36
money are you making from this?
54:38
I love that. I'm I'm I'm gonna That
54:41
might be a t-shirt, Mosha, that we have
54:43
is ask awkward questions to get the
54:46
right answers. I really appreciate that
54:48
and I really appreciate you joining me
54:49
and thank you so much for everyone out
54:51
there that's that's joined us on all the
54:53
podcast platforms and YouTube channel
54:56
called Fun with Annuities and I will see
54:57
you next week.
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