Moshe Milevsky: Learning from History with Annuities

July 5, 2022
56 min
Moshe Milevsky: Learning from History with Annuities
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IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND MOSHE MILEVSKY DISCUSS:
- Why annuities get a bad rep
- What’s a tontine?
- Beating inflation
- Planning for health decline

KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- Annuities are often complicated, and they are typically sold to a group of vulnerable people. That could be a recipe for disaster.
- A tontine was one of the many ways that people used to finance themselves in retirement; it was a scheme in which the longest living people got the most amount of people, and the people that didn’t live a long time got a small amount of income - it was a type of annuity.
- With a tontine scheme, the denominator keeps getting smaller as time goes by while the numerator stays the same - meaning the same amount of money is being split between fewer people. Mortality becomes a real interest rate. People don’t care much about this because inflation wasn’t that much of a hot topic, but nowadays, people should look into it.
- There’s a big difference between health span and life span, but they can have a short gap in between. Long-term health care is important because it allows you to use more of your lifetime income for things you like rather than split them between things you like and things you need.

"You have a product that’s meant to help people that are eventually going to cognitively decline and help them deal with the finances; there’s a higher burden of care there because you gotta make sure that they understand what they’re buying, they continue to understand what they’re buying and in many cases, annuities are quite complicated." — Moshe Milevsky.

CONNECT WITH MOSHE MILEVSKY:
Website: https://moshemilevsky.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/RetirementQuant

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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)

  • 0:00 Introduction
  • 0:39 About Moshe Milevsky
  • 7:06 How has the annuity industry done
  • 10:21 How to brand annuities
  • 15:33 Scheme
  • 23:03 Increasing Income
  • 27:49 Transfer of Risk Income
  • 31:44 The Archives
  • 33:59 US Government Hiring
  • 36:23 Finding the Next Blue Water
  • 39:49 The Long Term Care Challenge
  • 45:59 The Future of Annuities
  • 47:58 Simplified Issue Annuities
  • 50:25 Annuities Czar
  • 52:26 Mic Drop Moment

0:04
welcome to fun with annuities with your

0:06
host me stan the annuity man america's

0:09
annuity agent can annuities be fun can

0:12
contractual guarantees be fun

0:14
absolutely they can find out the brutal

0:17
facts about annuities with no sales

0:20
pitches or high pressure nonsense just

0:23
the brutal and factual annuity truth

0:25
which is all you need to hear

0:27
let's have some fun with annuities and

0:29
let's have that fun start right now

0:33
[Music]

0:39
welcome to fun with annuities my name is

0:41
stan the annuity man america's annuity

0:43
agent yes i am licensed in all 50 states

0:45
i'm so glad you joined

0:47
me today on all major podcast platforms

0:50
and also we have a fun with annuities

0:51
youtube channel if you want to see me

0:53
and the guests interact and see our

0:55
facial expressions when one of us says

0:56
something that's funny or crazy or

0:58
something like that but i'm going to

0:59
tell you something today is a special

1:01
day for me

1:03
um

1:04
this is almost i'm almost a fan boy at

1:06
this point in time and what that means

1:08
is i really look up to my guest he is a

1:10
he is a person that i follow i read

1:13
pretty much everything that he writes

1:15
um

1:17
if there was ever an icon in the

1:19
financial business in the annuity

1:20
business it's our it's our guest today

1:22
his name is moshe moleski and let me

1:24
tell you a little bit about him he's a

1:26
tenured professor of business finance

1:28
he's a published author and a well-known

1:30
consultant he's based in toronto canada

1:33
he has an ma and he got that 1992 in

1:36
mathematical statistics he has a phd got

1:38
that in 1996

1:40
in financial

1:42
economics he is a 2002 fellow of the

1:46
fields institute for research in

1:47
mathematical sciences sciences

1:50
now now we get to the fun part and this

1:52
is where i start following him because

1:54
that other stuff's way above my head

1:56
he's published 16 books translated into

1:58
six languages

2:00
and has authored over 70 peer-reviewed

2:02
scholarly article articles i need you to

2:04
hang in there with me put your seatbelt

2:06
on this is important one of his books

2:08
called king williams tontine which we're

2:10
going to talk about

2:12
is about why the retirement annuity of

2:14
the future should resemble its past and

2:16
it's very very interesting as a new book

2:18
coming out

2:20
this month and at the time of this

2:21
taping is june of 2022 and it's called

2:24
how to build a modern time taunting

2:26
scripts tips and algorithms

2:29
he is also a fintech entrepreneur yes he

2:32
is very busy with the number of us

2:34
patents and and computational

2:37
innovations in 2014 he sold a startup

2:39
company to a company that we use called

2:42
canx that provides the fees to our

2:43
calculators

2:45
um he was named by investment advisor

2:47
magazine as one of the 35 most

2:49
influential people in the u.s financial

2:52
advisory business

2:53
over the last 35 years he's delivered

2:55
over 1500

2:57
presentations and keynote lectures

2:59
around the world including

3:02
academic seminars at stanford columbia

3:05
and mit

3:06
etc etc

3:09
his current research is fascinating

3:11
because his interest revolves around the

3:14
history

3:15
of how aging consumers financed and paid

3:18
for the last few decades of their life

3:20
but he's researching that on how that

3:22
happened over the last

3:24
few centuries it is my absolute honor

3:28
to have moshe milevsky on fun with

3:30
annuities thank you so much for being

3:32
here

3:34
and you're very kind with your

3:35
introduction and your praise and as you

3:38
know

3:39
uh you're quite the legend yourself so i

3:42
appreciate being here and uh hopefully i

3:44
can ask you just a couple of questions

3:46
when you're asking me questions so that

3:48
we get a bit of a dialogue going

3:49
absolutely obviously i went through your

3:51
background and and your education which

3:54
is unmatched um

3:56
how did you land in the annuity space i

3:58
mean i mean you have a you know and a

4:01
master's in mathematical sciences the

4:03
bhd in financial economics how do you

4:05
get to annuities how did that happen

4:10
so as as i'm sure you know annuities are

4:12
sort of a small part of what i do my day

4:14
sure is teaching undergraduate and

4:16
graduate students my 22 year old

4:18
undergraduates don't really care very

4:20
much for annuities sadly they're 22

4:22
years old they have student loan debt

4:24
they're trying to figure out what to do

4:25
with their lives you know if you talk

4:27
about student loans they'll be

4:28
interested if you talk about mortgages

4:30
housing you know right health insurance

4:32
so it was there's this enormous group of

4:35
financial products out there that

4:36
consumers have to be aware of and as you

4:38
get older and as you get closer to

4:40
retirement obviously annuity

4:55
you know gymnasium and they walk around

4:57
and they see the different areas that

4:58
are available and students come with

4:59
their parents you know these are high

5:00
school kids and they stop at my desk uh

5:03
where i'm selling the uh you know

5:05
business course and the students say so

5:07
what do you teach and i say well i teach

5:08
retirement income planning and then they

5:10
move right along you know 10 seconds

5:12
later

5:13
the parents stay the parents stay

5:16
the parents stay so you know clearly

5:19
this is something that is age specific

5:21
so let me respond to your question how i

5:23
got into annuities sure i got into

5:25
annuities because uh i came face to face

5:29
with longevity risk at a very young age

5:31
longevity risk as you know is this

5:33
uncertainty about how long you're going

5:35
to live so my dad passed away at a very

5:37
young age he developed colon cancer and

5:39
passed away in his uh late 40s

5:42
so you know that's one side of longevity

5:44
risk uh my grandfather on the other hand

5:46
just passed away recently he lived to

5:48
his late 90s

5:49
so look at that divergence there

5:52
so to me what interested

5:54
we sort of i looked at that and said

5:56
okay so you know there's got to be some

5:57
way to manage your financial affairs

5:58
with that sort of uncertainty how do you

6:00
manage your financial affairs when you

6:02
know it may last as long as short as 45

6:04
years it can go as long as 95 years so

6:07
that sort of led me to the insurance as

6:09
a solution and insurance is risk

6:11
management

6:12
uh that that's sort of the short

6:13
response to how i got into it uh and you

6:16
know i'd be delighted to dig a little

6:18
bit deeper but uh you know coming face

6:20
to face with longevity risk is something

6:22
that alerted me to the fact that there's

6:24
a need for uh

6:25
the annuities solution i also worked as

6:27
an intern for a while at a very large uh

6:30
insurance company in new york called tia

6:32
cref you know back in the 1980s and of

6:35
course they're very very big in in the

6:37
in

6:38
annuity space obviously for qualified

6:40
401k 403b plans 401a plan so i learned a

6:44
little bit about the industry there as

6:45
an actuarial trainee many many years ago

6:48
when i was trying to figure out what i

6:49
wanted to do with myself uh so you know

6:51
there are a lot of paths that lead to it

6:53
and recently it's been an interest in

6:54
history and the fact that as i'm sure

6:56
you know annuities predate stocks and

6:58
bonds so you know you think mutual funds

7:00
have been around forever i know actually

7:02
annuities have been and that's the way

7:04
people finance their retirement

7:07
then my question to you

7:09
being just

7:11
actually the thought leader in our space

7:13
is how has the annuity industry done

7:16
such a poor job in your opinion on

7:18
messaging the fact that we have the

7:20
monopoly that everybody wants the

7:22
product which is lifetime income how

7:24
have we how have we messed that up as an

7:26
industry because that just confounds me

7:28
every single day especially when people

7:30
say well i hate all annuities and i'm

7:31
like well that's stupid that's like

7:32
saying you hate all restaurants um it

7:35
makes no sense

7:37
what has happened how has the how we

7:39
gotten here to where annuity is actually

7:41
a curse word and a lot of the consumer

7:44
circles and also

7:46
uneducated financial circles

7:49
right so you know stan with every

7:51
question that you ask me you have to

7:52
tell me whether you want the 10-second

7:53
response the 10-minute response or the

7:55
10-hour lecture series response so i

7:58
want the consumer response so dig in as

8:00
long as you want to dig in look so let

8:02
me try to put this in bite-sized pieces

8:04
i think there's a lot of confusion over

8:06
what an annuity really is the word

8:08
annuity today is as meaningless as fund

8:11
you called it restaurants i say funds

8:13
you know when a reporter calls me up and

8:15
says what do you think about annuities i

8:16
say what do you think about funds

8:18
you know private equity funds venture

8:20
capital funds mutual funds bond fund

8:21
stock it's a meaningless word you can

8:23
attach it to almost anything and uh

8:25
legally what an annuity is it's very

8:27
different to what an economist would

8:28
call an annuity it's certainly different

8:30
from what uh you know a media

8:33
writer would call an annuity it's just

8:34
there's this vagueness what is it uh and

8:36
if you go back a few hundred years the

8:38
annuity meant something very very

8:39
specific very well known very defined

8:42
and then for some reason you know 300

8:43
years later it means almost anything to

8:45
anyone so number one is confusion about

8:47
what this thing means

8:49
uh is number number two i think that uh

8:51
there was a period in the late 80s

8:53
possibly early 90s where the commissions

8:56
the fees that people were paying uh for

8:58
these either as

9:00
you know commissions that were explicit

9:01
where you know really only 80 of your

9:03
money goes to work or commissions that

9:05
were hidden and paid because you

9:08
couldn't surrender for 20 years were

9:09
very very high atrociously high

9:11
unconscionably high and they gave these

9:13
instruments a very bad name now those

9:15
were very specific types of annuities

9:17
and they you know certainly warned all

9:19
annuities so that that was part of it uh

9:22
i think that another problem with

9:24
annuities you know this will be my last

9:26
point before i you know sort of turn it

9:27
back to you is annuities are sold

9:29
annuities are sold to a group of people

9:31
that are vulnerable they're sold to

9:33
older people you know we're not selling

9:34
it to 23 year olds we're selling it to

9:36
people that are older and in some sense

9:38
you know the point of this product is to

9:41
generate some sort of predictable income

9:43
when you're no longer able to make

9:45
decisions yourself a cognitive decline

9:47
so when you have a product that really

9:49
is meant to help people that are

9:51
eventually going to cognitively decline

9:53
and help them deal with the finances you

9:55
know there's a higher burden of care

9:57
there because you got to make sure that

9:58
they understand what they're buying they

9:59
continue to understand what they're

10:00
buying sure and in many cases annuities

10:02
are quite complicated so you have

10:04
something very complicated going to

10:05
someone whose ability to make those

10:07
decisions decline over time and that's a

10:09
recipe for disaster so in some sense

10:11
there's a whole bunch of reasons but i

10:13
do agree with your premise there's a lot

10:14
of confusion there's a lot of fear

10:17
and there's certainly a lot of backlash

10:18
against it hopefully that helps put this

10:20
in context and it does and i've and i've

10:23
said to

10:24
industry leaders and and and ceos of

10:27
carriers to say just just let's just get

10:29
it down to a couple of words i'm i'm a

10:31
marketer i understand how to brand

10:34
things obviously and i think it really

10:36
comes down to

10:37
um i i go back to the got milk ad where

10:40
you just said got milk i think we should

10:42
have one that says got guarantees or got

10:43
lifetime income i really believe we can

10:46
frame the value proposition of what

10:48
we're doing

10:50
and what we're offering which you know

10:52
with 10 000 baby boomers hitting the age

10:54
65 they're not looking for the next

10:57
tesla or the next microsoft or the next

10:59
growth stock they're looking for

11:00
guarantees and they're looking for

11:02
lifestyles

11:03
which leads me to my next question and i

11:06
have this vision of you

11:07
moshe in the in the bowels of some

11:10
library in europe reading about time

11:13
teens and doing your research on where

11:16
annuities first started

11:18
but the reason i bring that up is i want

11:20
you to

11:21
correlate that to

11:23
to the products that are out there now

11:25
and your hope

11:27
to where things are going to go and

11:29
maybe you can just give a brief

11:31
um

11:32
history of of tauntings because when you

11:34
google it

11:36
it's amazing what comes up one of the

11:37
questions that people have is are our

11:39
tauntings illegal that's one of the main

11:41
questions that pop up

11:43
so give us the the dumbed down version

11:46
what that is and why you're attracted to

11:47
that

11:48
so you know as usual stan your questions

11:51
could

11:51
could take me you know five hours to

11:54
answer so i i i'm going to selectively

11:56
pick certain pieces of it sure because

11:58
for many of your viewers this may be the

12:00
first time in their life they've heard

12:01
the word tontine they don't know how to

12:02
spell it yet and maybe they're googling

12:04
it right now so there's a lot going on

12:06
so let me explain a little bit of

12:08
historical background and hopefully this

12:09
partially answers the many questions

12:11
you've just asked what interests me why

12:13
i'm fascinated with history is because

12:15
the narrative right now in the financial

12:18
industry is that pensions are going away

12:20
pensions are going away defined benefit

12:22
pensions are no longer the norm for

12:24
employees uh social security the trust

12:27
fund in the u.s is you know on its way

12:29
down so there's questions about

12:31
sustainability and uh employers don't

12:33
really care about their employees once

12:35
they retire so you're on your own buddy

12:38
ergo we must all move into the annuity

12:40
space what interests me is what in the

12:42
world did people do prior to defined

12:45
benefit pensions not what are they going

12:47
to do in the demise and decline of

12:49
defined benefit what did they do before

12:51
and uh you know if you take a look at

12:52
when to find benefit pensions started

12:54
you know we're talking about the

12:55
beginning of the 20th century social

12:56
security fdr the 1930s uh if you're

12:59
really familiar with pension history

13:01
then you'll know the name bismarck you

13:03
know the german chancellor he starts

13:05
pensions in 1880 and everybody's

13:07
entitled when they get old to get a

13:08
pension what did old people do before

13:12
these state programs now the the

13:15
ignorant response is that there were no

13:17
old people prior to 1880 and that

13:20
bismarck somehow discovered that there's

13:21
old people and we need to give them

13:23
pensions that is simply not true life

13:25
expectancy at birth might have been very

13:27
low there were many old people in fact

13:29
if you go back to the archives there are

13:31
people that made it into their 80s and

13:33
90s and i could spend an entire hour

13:35
going through all the famous

13:36
philosophers and statesmen and you know

13:39
us presidents from the revolution onward

13:41
that lived

13:42
far beyond life expectancy what did they

13:46
do how did they get to retirement stop

13:49
being able to work and how did they get

13:51
an income and uh the next response then

13:53
asked me well their family supported

13:55
them they lived at home and they didn't

13:56
eat it that's also not true because of

13:58
the fact that not all of them had

14:00
families and and many of the families

14:02
had moved away so once you sort of

14:03
eliminate all the nonsense you're left

14:05
with how did they finance their

14:07
retirement and the answer is they went

14:08
out and they bought annuities

14:11
they went to the state they went to the

14:13
government they went to early insurance

14:15
companies they went to their local

14:17
church they went to their parish and

14:18
they entered into a scheme where they

14:20
would be receiving an income for the

14:21
rest of their lives guaranteed a word

14:23
that you like as long as they live in

14:26
exchange for a lump sum right now uh in

14:28
fact the earliest nursing homes were uh

14:30
monasteries where people would go in

14:32
they were called kurodis where you go

14:34
into the monastery and say look i got a

14:35
bunch of money this is my nest egg you

14:37
take it take care of me for the rest of

14:39
my life and they would in a sense issue

14:41
an annuity and the annuity would be paid

14:43
not just in in living somewhere uh

14:45
they'd be paid in beer and bread and

14:48
wine and you know a shirt once a year

14:51
and then that would be your annuity it

14:52
would be paid in goods and services

14:55
part of the products that people bought

14:57
hundreds of years ago to maintain

14:59
themselves in the retirement was a name

15:01
a word that you just mentioned called

15:03
the taunting

15:04
a taunting was one of the many schemes

15:06
that people used to finance themselves

15:08
in retirement it was a scheme in which

15:10
the longest living people got the most

15:12
amount of income the people that didn't

15:14
live a long time got a smaller amount of

15:16
income it was a type of an annuity and i

15:18
think that you know with that background

15:20
we we understand that there are many

15:21
different ways to finance retirement in

15:23
the middle ages and and that was one of

15:25
them and i find the taunting an

15:27
interesting scheme and i think that

15:28
there's more discussion about bringing

15:30
it back that's sort of the three-minute

15:32
summary no i i got you one of the words

15:34
that popped out when you use is the word

15:36
scheme

15:38
and in the united states scheme is a bad

15:40
word scheme means we're taking advantage

15:43
of you scheme means you're

15:45
um you know there's something we're not

15:47
telling you and i think that that word

15:50
attached to annuity

15:52
um even though you know and i know

15:56
that's not the intended use people go

15:58
yeah see it's a scheme it's not a scheme

16:00
what he's saying is this was the

16:03
strategy that people were using at that

16:05
point in time

16:07
but even when you google tontine it says

16:10
a scheme used you know hundreds of years

16:13
ago etc

16:15
that's an interesting word but don't you

16:17
agree that that word has some

16:19
connotation that's negative that people

16:21
that aren't

16:22
up to speed on the history they say well

16:26
you know scheming schemes bad right

16:29
so i'm a mathematical economist so i can

16:31
use the word scheme because i agree i i

16:34
don't answer

16:35
i don't answer to that crowd i'm not a

16:37
politician running for office trying to

16:39
figure out you know let's test 10

16:41
different words and see which one the

16:43
public likes and i'm describing it the

16:45
way you know it's described historically

16:48
you go back to the documents that was

16:49
the one but i i certainly agree with you

16:51
that if i'm a marketing department in a

16:53
modern insurance company you're right i

16:55
will stress test every word i use with

16:58
focus groups and you know i'm not even

17:00
sure i'd use the word tontine and stan

17:02
since you brought this up many of the

17:04
tontines that are emerging around the

17:06
world and they are emerging there are

17:08
many examples of it if i were to take a

17:10
look at the common denominator of all of

17:12
them uh there is certainly a very

17:14
successful one that was just launched in

17:16
australia uh there was one in south

17:18
africa i was involved with there's some

17:19
in canada all of them all of them the

17:22
common theme is they don't use the word

17:25
tontine and they certainly don't use the

17:27
word scheme

17:29
they use the thinking behind it they use

17:31
the pooling and the risk sharing uh but

17:33
they don't use the word because they

17:34
feel that like you you know people

17:36
google it and then they hear that you

17:38
know homer simpson in an episode of the

17:40
simpsons lost money on a taunting so hey

17:42
homer simpson law i don't want marge

17:44
yelling at me if i you know or or they

17:47
hear that it's illegal because the state

17:49
of new york in 1906 banned taunting

17:51
insurance so i agree with you that words

17:54
matter and we don't want to use scheme

17:56
and maybe not even use tontine but the

17:58
thinking behind it namely that people

18:00
that live a long time are subsidized by

18:02
people who don't and as you live longer

18:04
your income goes up uh that's something

18:07
that uh that makes sense and you know to

18:09
get to a point that you made earlier we

18:11
all like the word guaranteed it's it's

18:13
an important word

18:14
you know that's a word we use scheme we

18:16
don't use guarantee we use sure but the

18:17
problem is is that what's guaranteed in

18:20
today's lexicon what's guaranteed is a

18:22
nominal cash flow

18:24
nominal

18:25
nominal means i have no idea what this

18:27
is going to buy me in real terms nominal

18:30
usually means it's not adjusted for

18:32
inflation nominal means we have no idea

18:34
what goods and services i'm going to be

18:36
able to buy with it i mean honestly if i

18:38
guarantee you a thousand dollars a week

18:41
for the rest of your life do you really

18:42
know 20 years from now what you'll be

18:44
able to do with the thousand dollars

18:46
i mean we really don't so we use the

18:48
word guaranteed but in some sense it's a

18:50
guarantee of a something but anything

18:52
that i want to buy with that is not

18:54
guaranteed

18:55
so

18:56
one of the reasons that the taunting

18:58
concept whatever you call it is gain

19:00
ingredients is the idea is hey the

19:01
longer i live i want those payments to

19:03
go up i'm not

19:05
interested in guarantees but i want

19:06
something that keeps up with the cost of

19:08
living roughly speaking and i think

19:09
that's one of the appeals but to sort of

19:12
wrap this up and to answer your question

19:13
i think there are lessons to be learned

19:15
from how people finance themselves in

19:17
their older age hundreds of years ago

19:20
there are lessons to be learned for

19:21
today i may not design an ipad or an

19:24
iphone the way it was designed 300 years

19:26
ago they didn't exist but when it comes

19:28
to financing retirement there's

19:30
something about the way we did it in the

19:32
past that might resonate with the future

19:34
and hold that thought for a second we're

19:36
talking to moshe milevsky just an icon

19:38
in our business uh he's written some

19:40
fantastic books and we're going to have

19:41
those links on our site he's going to

19:43
have his own page like like all of our

19:45
celebrity guests do

19:46
but some of the books that i would tell

19:48
you to look at is one of them that i

19:50
love the seven most important equations

19:51
for your retirement was fantastic

19:53
obviously i've talked about king

19:55
williams taunting which is one of his

19:57
books recent books which i've read a

19:59
couple of times he also has one called

20:01
pensionize your nest egg which i think

20:03
is very good and then one that i really

20:05
like called longevity insurance for a

20:07
biological age

20:09
so he he brings it down to your level he

20:11
can do that but you can tell by just him

20:13
talking that he's at another level i

20:15
think if there's ever an annuity odd

20:17
couple that gets along and is on the

20:20
same page is us

20:22
you know because for me i consider

20:24
myself the annuity whisperer that's

20:26
that's trying to

20:28
dumb it down to a level that i always

20:30
tell people if you can't explain it to a

20:32
nine-year-old don't buy it no offense to

20:34
nine-year-olds

20:36
and i think the great part about moshe

20:39
is he he can change gears and bring it

20:41
down to a consumer level and those books

20:44
that i just mentioned are are some of

20:46
the

20:47
ones that i'm going to point you to and

20:48
have links to where you can go get them

20:50
on amazon let's go back to the tauntings

20:53
mosha i am i'm fascinated with this and

20:56
i'm always thinking okay where's the

20:57
puck going to be i'm giving some hockey

20:59
analogies since you're a canadian um

21:02
instead of skating after it where is it

21:04
going to be

21:05
do you ever see tontine's

21:08
entering this country in a fashion that

21:11
it's the consumers

21:12
can get it understand it and then

21:14
eagerly buy it

21:17
so

21:17
you know it depends on who the audience

21:20
is

21:21
that's listening to my response i'm you

21:23
know if if this is consumers it is i

21:25
don't really i if i don't really see the

21:28
word taunting catching on uh and

21:31
becoming an alternative to an annuity

21:34
because of some of the historical issues

21:36
there um but i do think that

21:39
here here's the the business challenge

21:41
asset managers large asset managers are

21:44
realizing that their inability to offer

21:47
guarantees might hinder

21:50
their asset gathering and certainly

21:53
assets under management uh model

21:55
so people are moving into retirement and

21:57
they're saying all right these mutual

21:59
funds these etfs were great to help me

22:01
accumulate wealth but now i need a

22:03
stable predictable i like that better

22:05
than guaranteed stable and predictable

22:08
income for the rest of my life and i

22:09
just can't get that from this very

22:11
volatile etf for mutual fund and the

22:14
asset managers are going to see some of

22:15
that money perhaps a lot of that money

22:17
leak and leave towards the type of

22:19
solutions that you've been discussing

22:21
whether it's the annuities or the migas

22:23
or the culex or diaz and so on so there

22:26
are two ways that uh from a business

22:28
point of view asset managers can deal

22:29
with that they can say well we're going

22:31
to partner with insurance companies and

22:33
we're going to somehow try to share

22:35
revenue or we're going to try to you

22:37
know keep some of the assets and and

22:39
partner with insurance companies because

22:41
people like the predictability and

22:43
stability or they might say you know

22:44
what maybe we can enter into this

22:46
business without offering those

22:48
guarantees and the only way to do that

22:50
would be taunting like structures so the

22:52
short answer to your question is i think

22:54
that within five years you're going to

22:55
see asset managers offering things that

22:58
you and i would call it on teen whether

23:00
or not they use that word as separate

23:04
fascinating

23:05
i think when people when you were

23:07
initially describing tontines

23:09
i think people stopped the car and

23:11
jumped off the treadmill

23:13
when you said the word increasing income

23:15
because that's the biggest

23:17
question i get in this inflationary

23:20
world that we're living in is you know

23:22
how do we how how do we adjust for

23:25
inflation how do we address inflation

23:27
and as you well know

23:28
moshe and i'm just telling this for the

23:30
consumers that are listening to this

23:31
when you attach an increase to a current

23:33
commercial annuity it's called a cost of

23:36
living adjustment in the past there was

23:37
cpiu consumer price index increases but

23:40
annuity companies had the big buildings

23:42
for a reason as i always say they don't

23:43
give that away they just simply lower

23:46
the initial payment to make up for that

23:47
but when you start talking about

23:49
tontine's adjusting and increasing

23:52
can you go into that for the consumer on

23:55
what that might look like

23:57
from a 30 000 foot view yeah so

24:00
you understand that when i sit here and

24:01
we're having a conversation i have four

24:03
hands tied behind my back i don't have a

24:05
blackboard i don't have my slides i

24:07
don't have the the graphics i certainly

24:09
can't do equations you'd probably shut

24:11
me down so

24:12
there's a lit there's a limit as to how

24:14
much this can be explained to the point

24:16
where the consumer says i get it you

24:18
know i'm sorry

24:19
we need to explain things you know using

24:21
certain things but the idea here is is

24:23
that if you enter into a an arrangement

24:26
where people that live a long time get

24:28
to share uh the benefits from something

24:31
since there are less people living a

24:33
long time they're going to share more

24:34
benefits so let me try to put this

24:36
without any algebra imagine that you and

24:40
me and a group of our neighbors decided

24:42
to buy a 30-year treasury bond from the

24:46
u.s treasury and it was a unique type of

24:49
bonds that we all bought together with

24:51
us all our buddies we bought it it's a

24:53
bond that pays coupons for 30 years but

24:56
it never pays back the principal at the

24:58
end never pays back the principal at the

25:00
end and you're saying mosh why would i

25:01
buy something that never pays back my

25:03
principal at the end and the answer is

25:04
because instead they'll give you higher

25:05
coupons

25:06
so you know right now the 30-year rate

25:08
would be three percent but you're

25:10
getting your principal back at the end

25:11
they'll give you seven or six percent

25:14
and then you don't get the principal

25:15
back at the end which is kind of an

25:16
evening out of your coupons we all all

25:19
of us in the neighborhood decide to buy

25:21
one of these bonds that are paying you

25:22
know let's say six percent a year right

25:24
and here's what we do we've bought this

25:26
bond and we enter into an agreement you

25:29
and me and many others look whoever is

25:31
alive gets to share those coupons

25:34
we at the end of every year are gonna go

25:36
to the local golf club or the local bar

25:39
and we're gonna all toast whoever's

25:40
alive and we get to split those coupons

25:42
but if you're not around you can't split

25:44
the coupons so let's imagine what

25:46
happens when all of us have bought this

25:49
bond that after one year we're all

25:50
healthy we're good we all get six

25:52
percent we're getting the six thousand

25:54
dollars a year on our hundred thousand

25:56
dollars and then in a year from now we

25:58
come back to celebrate are we alive and

26:00
yeah we're all alive so we're getting

26:01
six thousand but then at the end of the

26:04
third year god forbid one of us has a

26:05
heart attack or one of us has a stroke

26:08
or one of us is in a car accident we're

26:09
not there to toast our longevity and

26:12
suddenly there are less of us there's

26:14
less of us but we still have that six

26:16
thousand dollar coupon we're sharing it

26:19
over a smaller group

26:20
at the end of the year we have that six

26:23
000 coupon that's being paid but it's

26:24
being split with a smaller group how

26:26
does this work we have the same amount

26:28
of cash in the numerator to use a

26:30
mathematical term but the denominator is

26:32
shrinking there are less of us

26:34
and then 10 years later you know say

26:36
half of us are still there other half

26:38
have not made well the numerator is

26:40
still exactly the same the denominator

26:42
is shrinking each one of us is getting a

26:44
bigger and bigger payment

26:45
whoever's around 30 years from now

26:47
whoever's around 30 years from now

26:49
they're still giving out the 6 000 but

26:51
we're splitting it over a very very

26:53
small group we're getting a really big

26:55
coupon which is a naturally increasing

26:58
hedge in some sense against inflation

27:01
even though none of us bought an

27:02
inflation-linked bond

27:04
mortality becomes a real interest rate

27:08
mortality mortality rate without having

27:11
to worry about buying inflation linked

27:12
bonds and tips and eye bonds and and

27:14
reserves

27:15
so that is incredibly uninteresting when

27:19
inflation's at two percent or less and

27:22
nobody knows what inflation is but

27:24
suddenly in the last year or two

27:27
inflation is a very hot topic on google

27:29
you google it and you get you know the

27:30
engram that's a that's a word that's

27:32
coming up a lot president himself is

27:34
using that word maybe people start to

27:37
get interested in a scheme where there's

27:40
this natural increase so that's one of

27:41
the reasons you're seeing more hopefully

27:43
i've explained why this is increasing

27:45
over time but that's one of the reasons

27:46
you're seeing more of an interest in

27:47
this

27:49
and i'm

27:50
i guess in a glass half full

27:52
scenario

27:54
this rising inflation is is pushing

27:57
people to

27:59
talk to you listen to you read you and

28:02
say okay let's let's look deeper in this

28:04
i was writing down as my marketing brain

28:06
was rolling

28:08
on what could you call this and what

28:10
could you stamp this at

28:12
and just the acronym t-o-r-i came out

28:15
which is transfer of risk income which

28:17
is that's what it is you're transferring

28:19
the risk and you're or you're sharing

28:22
the risk

28:24
for income and you can add another eye

28:26
on top of that which is increasing

28:28
income which i think i think that's the

28:30
part that people will listen to because

28:33
in essence it sounds like to me it's a

28:34
life-only annuity

28:36
that you're as long as you're living

28:37
you're

28:38
um people that that that have followed

28:40
my work that you know what a life-only

28:42
annuities i always tell people when your

28:44
learjet hits the mountain money goes

28:45
poof

28:46
now motion gave a much better

28:50
example of that but it's a life only

28:53
taunting shared

28:55
pooled risk of which income increases

28:58
for the people that

29:00
are still breathing

29:02
and i think if it could be explained

29:04
like that i don't think people in this

29:05
country would have a problem with doing

29:08
a product like that

29:10
or at least a portion of their what i

29:11
call their income floor which is social

29:14
security dividends

29:16
annuities commercial and these type of

29:18
new annuities the interesting part is

29:20
going to be how they're distributed

29:23
within the industry and i think that's

29:25
going to be the challenge obviously

29:27
you're you know that everyone else

29:29
looking at it knows that

29:30
but i think we need as an industry to

29:32
hey forget the distribution let's put it

29:34
out there let's get it out there to

29:36
where it's you know and show people that

29:37
it that it works

29:39
and i think it would help the annuity

29:41
industry as a whole because people would

29:42
understand you're transferring risk for

29:44
lifetime income i always tell people i

29:45
don't know the roi until you die

29:48
you know up until that point it is a is

29:50
a transfer risk now

29:52
you find yourself over in europe a lot

29:55
in in in libraries am i correct i'm

29:57
envisioning you over there all the time

30:00
um actually you're you're catching me

30:02
when i just came back two days ago from

30:04
the archives in edinburgh in scotland

30:08
uh i i don't want to bore your audience

30:11
to death but the church of scotland

30:13
introduced one of the first funded

30:15
annuities in the early 18th century when

30:18
you take a look at annuities it's one

30:19
thing for me to guarantee you a payment

30:21
for the rest of your life but if you're

30:23
smart you're going to say to me moshe

30:24
how are you going to make sure that that

30:25
payment is actually going to stay there

30:27
for the rest of my life it's one thing

30:28
for the king to promise payments but i

30:31
want the king to set aside some money to

30:33
make sure that those payments are going

30:35
to be made that's called a funded

30:36
annuity so you can go back to biblical

30:38
times kings were promising annuities

30:41
from biblical times and then they

30:42
defaulted on them because they'd never

30:43
set aside any money for it the first

30:46
entity the first entity to actually set

30:49
aside money and say all right we've just

30:51
promised annuities to ministers we

30:53
better make sure we manage this money to

30:55
pay those annuities and we have to have

30:56
a large pool the first entity that did

30:58
that was the church of scotland in the

31:00
early 18th century it's the first funded

31:03
annuity period so i went and i was able

31:05
to gain access to their documents and

31:07
their archives to see how they designed

31:09
it it's the subject of my next book and

31:11
i don't want to give away too much but i

31:13
found it fascinating how they set that

31:15
scheme up and it was because ministers

31:18
and eventually university professors

31:20
said hey man i want an annuity when i

31:22
retire i want an annuity for my spouse i

31:24
want an annuity for my kids i don't want

31:26
to give them money they're going to

31:28
squander it somebody will steal it from

31:30
them they don't know how to manage money

31:32
give them an annuity so that that was to

31:34
me uh quite interesting and i spent a

31:36
couple of weeks there and they were very

31:38
kind and they gave me access to it so

31:40
the short answer is yes i do spend a lot

31:42
of time in archives and libraries

31:44
when you don't give away the farm

31:45
because i want people to buy the book

31:47
because i'm going to buy it as well but

31:49
were you surprised with some of the

31:51
things you found did you have any oh oh

31:54
my goodness moments hitting your

31:55
forehead when you found stuff or was it

31:58
predictable what you found

32:00
in the archives you know to be honest i

32:02
thought i was going there to cross the

32:03
t's and dot the eyes because like i know

32:05
what i'm going to find it's going to be

32:06
these documents but you know you got to

32:08
go you got to do it right you just got

32:09
to make the pilgrimage you got to touch

32:10
the documents and come over no there's a

32:12
lot of very shocking very interesting

32:14
things in terms of how they did things

32:15
uh some of the participants in these

32:17
annuities i found interesting the

32:19
management of it uh some of the concerns

32:21
around fraud some of the choices that

32:23
people had there was a parallel to some

32:25
of the things that we see today and

32:26
defined contribution plans there were

32:28
defaults and one of the issues that they

32:30
had to contend with is you know this is

32:31
in scotland there are presbyteries uh

32:34
spread across the country you know how

32:36
do you force people into the plan or do

32:38
you just you know tell them

32:40
if you want you can join the annuity

32:42
fund uh which is so very similar to

32:43
defaults now in 401ks and dc plans and

32:46
what they said was well you had a year

32:48
to to default to say i'm not interested

32:51
so they gave you a year unless you're in

32:52
the north of scotland then they gave you

32:54
two years because you know it's a long

32:55
time to get your notice back there but

32:57
if we didn't hear from you we would

32:59
default you into the annuity and this is

33:02
echoing some of the discussion now with

33:04
secure 2.0 about what should happen to a

33:07
plan as they approach retirement should

33:08
we default people into an annuity and

33:11
they've struggled with the same thing

33:13
280 years ago i mean you know we're

33:15
forcing them into an annuity it's a

33:16
lifetime income product are they gonna

33:18
are the ministers gonna complain how do

33:20
we default them so what i found

33:22
interesting was a lot of the parallels

33:23
with some of the things we deal with

33:24
today uh they they dealt with at that

33:27
time and uh it was uh you know that was

33:29
interesting to me some of the

33:30
administrative aspects of managing this

33:32
you know the actuarial theory is three

33:34
percent the administration is 97

33:38
how do you get the lists of who's alive

33:39
and who's not alive and who's

33:41
contributed and what great do they

33:43
contribute how big did their pool have

33:45
to be there weren't enough ministers in

33:47
parishes so they asked university

33:48
professors to join because they got a

33:50
couple hundred more people and now they

33:52
can use the law of large numbers

33:54
anyway this is things that interest me

33:56
i'm a professor i can afford to have

33:58
that habit

33:59
that is fantastic no i'm not a professor

34:01
and and you're sitting there i'm like

34:03
you know listening intently to every

34:05
word because it just sounds fascinating

34:07
because my and i can't read uh wait to

34:09
read the book because i want to hear how

34:11
they dealt with these things how they

34:13
dealt with the problems that are

34:15
similar

34:16
in fashion to what we're going to do now

34:18
please tell me moshe that our government

34:21
the united states government is hiring

34:22
you to help

34:23
with these types of ideas

34:27
look i i've helped uh i have one foot in

34:30
the u.s one foot in canada so i spend

34:32
time teaching here but i have a place

34:33
for florida so i've done a lot of

34:35
consulting work for the state of florida

34:37
the florida state board of

34:38
administration so i spent quite a bit of

34:40
time in tallahassee many years ago and

34:42
uh that was about them converting their

34:44
defined benefit plan to define

34:46
contribution because you know at the

34:47
time the governor jeb bush you may

34:49
recall uh one of his ideas was you know

34:52
we've got to give people choices and not

34:54
everybody wants a db plan especially if

34:56
they're younger but the key was we

34:57
wanted to ensure the designers of the

34:59
fund wanted to ensure that uh people had

35:02
access to annuities at retirement when

35:04
you take away someone's defined benefit

35:05
pension and you say to them no you're

35:07
you're not going to get a guaranteed

35:08
income for life you have to give them

35:10
something similar which is an annuity so

35:12
i was there to help vet what companies

35:14
and what products would be allowed into

35:17
the plan put it on the shelf so to speak

35:19
uh that people would be able to select

35:21
as they moved into retirement and you'll

35:23
appreciate this the sponsors and

35:25
certainly the politicians they want

35:27
complicated annuities in there they

35:28
didn't want the the security type and

35:31
they wanted simple diaz and spias and

35:34
and and culax and the question was you

35:36
know do you go with the highest payout

35:38
well that's not necessarily safe because

35:40
sometimes the highest payout isn't

35:41
necessarily from a credit quality that

35:43
you want

35:44
do you go with the highest credit

35:45
quality well the payout won't be high

35:47
what sort of options do you give people

35:49
so the short answer to your question is

35:50
i have been involved a little bit in

35:53
some localized projects state projects

35:56
but there are many brilliant minds in

35:58
the us in this space and i know that

36:00
many of them are helping uh whether it's

36:03
the treasury or the or the fed or

36:05
certainly the irs in terms of the tax

36:07
treatment of these things so the short

36:09
answer is i am one of many researchers

36:11
that are interested in these things and

36:13
yes they are being tapped as a group to

36:15
help governments although you know

36:16
sometimes there's a communication gap

36:18
there it sounds too academic too

36:19
theoretical politicians may not like it

36:23
yes it all comes down to messaging when

36:25
you're talking to the consumer the

36:26
consumer is the the listener to this

36:28
podcast and and i think that's one of

36:30
the reasons this is one of the fastest

36:31
growing podcast in the financial sector

36:33
is because we're having people on like

36:35
you that's making people think and

36:37
they're hearing what you're doing

36:39
i guarantee they don't know what a

36:40
tontine is by the way it's spelled

36:42
t-o-n-t-i-n-e

36:44
if you're googling it

36:45
um but we'll have that link on on the

36:48
site for moshe as well um

36:52
so for you you're always it seems like

36:55
you're always digging in and trying to

36:58
find the next blue water as i call it

37:00
you know things that other people aren't

37:02
thinking about what hit me when you said

37:05
you know i'm not i'm not looking about

37:06
what people are gonna do i wanted to see

37:08
what they were doing back then that's a

37:10
contrarian thought that's not an a

37:13
natural thought maybe it is for

37:15
academian like you

37:16
but not for the normal person out here

37:19
what's the

37:20
next mountain you're looking to climb is

37:23
there something that's piqued your

37:24
interest that has caught your eye and

37:26
attention that you really want to dig

37:28
into because you've i know you can keep

37:30
digging into tontine's and and that but

37:32
is there anything in the annuity space

37:34
that you're looking at that is new

37:37
so so look sen you know it is when we

37:39
academic it's like watching a star that

37:41
exploded the light that you're seeing

37:43
today was generated millions of light

37:45
years ago even the light that comes from

37:47
the sun came seven or eight minutes ago

37:49
so you know the taunting stuff that's

37:51
coming out now i worked on that 10 years

37:52
ago i'm not saying i'm bored by it i'm

37:54
not saying i'm not interested in it but

37:56
you know that's been done you can't sit

37:58
you know your entire life at the same

38:00
well what interests me now once i get

38:02
this uh annuity fund out of the way what

38:04
interests me now is long-term care

38:07
namely that as people age as people age

38:11
it's not just that they want predictable

38:12
income for the rest of their life which

38:15
is great or guaranteed income they need

38:17
to know what will their expenditures be

38:20
and what will their health expenditures

38:21
be and how do they manage hedge and

38:23
ensure that so i have become interested

38:25
in the gap between lifespan and health

38:28
span

38:30
lifespan is how long you live we've

38:31
talked about that longevity risk health

38:33
span is how long do you live healthy

38:36
and the gap between health span and

38:38
lifespan can be you know

38:40
zero you got hit by a bus sadly and the

38:43
gap between lifespan and health span can

38:45
be 20 years you know you get hit with

38:48
something you're just not in very good

38:49
health anymore and now you got to manage

38:51
for the next 20 years i think long-term

38:54
care products annuities that are linked

38:56
to long-term care long-term hedges

38:58
longer i think that's something that

39:00
that needs to get more uh investigation

39:02
it needs to get more attention uh money

39:05
doesn't solve your problems and i know

39:07
that sounds cliche you need to do

39:09
something with it to solve your problems

39:11
how many times do you throw money at a

39:13
problem and it didn't solve it what do

39:14
you mean i fixed that bloody air

39:16
conditioner last year why didn't it get

39:18
fixed and we got to throw it up

39:20
how do we throw money at things

39:21
efficiently when it comes to health care

39:23
is something that interests me because

39:24
as you age that's going to be a big deal

39:26
it's not the money how do i get better

39:27
how do i you know deal with arthritis

39:29
forget about the annuity check that's

39:31
great thank you stan for the annuity

39:33
check i need to deal with my arthritis

39:35
can you give me some suggestions no

39:36
that's not my bailiwick i don't deal

39:38
with it well maybe you should maybe you

39:40
should get an annuity that pays in

39:41
arthritis medication and i mean that

39:43
just sort of half as a joke but that's

39:45
something that interests me now how do

39:46
we deal with the long-term care

39:48
challenge

39:49
boy that's a big one

39:51
i wasn't expecting that from you but i'm

39:53
glad i asked because i'm now feel

39:55
comfortable with you going at it and

39:57
figuring it out obviously the long-term

39:59
care space is a different space

40:01
because it's a health insurance product

40:03
not a life insurance product a life

40:05
insurance products life insurance

40:07
companies issue annuities for the people

40:08
listening out there and there are some

40:11
annuity types that have what's called

40:12
confinement care or enhanced benefit

40:14
type

40:15
um guaranteed issue

40:18
products out there and we certainly can

40:20
show you those but that's not what he's

40:22
talking about he's talking about

40:24
literally

40:26
solving for specific things now are you

40:28
thinking and i'm i'm

40:30
if i'm off base tell me are you thinking

40:32
that in the future there will be annuity

40:35
type products that are

40:36
addressing not only income but specific

40:40
issues of health and long-term care

40:43
i do and i i think that you know when

40:45
you think of activities of daily living

40:47
that trigger a long-term care policy why

40:50
can't why can't i buy a spear

40:52
that uh as soon as you're diagnosed with

40:55
uh you know let's say

40:57
you can't do three of five activities of

40:59
daily living you can't bathe you can't

41:00
clo clothe yourself you can't uh walk to

41:02
the bathroom i just you know the payment

41:04
triples why would i want the payment to

41:06
triple well because now you're gonna

41:07
have to hire someone to help you with

41:08
that mm-hmm i mean so because it's not

41:11
so much the income that i want it's the

41:13
services that i'm going to get i really

41:15
need the income income is just part of

41:17
it i need the income to get goods and

41:19
services you've solved part of my

41:21
problem stan you're getting me the

41:22
income for the rest of my life i need to

41:24
get services and i need to get goods are

41:27
you helping me with that and some people

41:29
might say that's not my problem you know

41:31
go talk to a medical professional go

41:32
talk to a social worker and what i'm

41:34
trying to say is no i think this is

41:35
going to be part of the financing

41:36
because if you give me a sum of money

41:38
that doesn't quite cover the services

41:40
and the goods that i need what's what's

41:42
the point of that sum of money

41:43
especially if it's depreciating over

41:45
time so the answer to your question is

41:46
yes i see annuities having long-term

41:49
care riders just like a lot of the life

41:50
insurance policies you can buy a life

41:52
insurance policy is going to pay out a

41:54
hundred thousand dollars as a death

41:56
benefit but if you need long-term care

41:57
they'll multiply it by five

41:59
let me say that again you have life

42:02
insurance if you die the beneficiary

42:04
gets a hundred thousand but if you're

42:05
still alive and you need long-term care

42:07
you can draw down like a bathtub five

42:10
hundred thousand dollars worth of

42:11
long-term care over time and and i can

42:14
see a lot of people saying yeah i want

42:15
that i want that i need to deal with

42:17
aging i need to deal with aging i've

42:19
seen it with my parents i need to deal

42:21
with myself so this is something that

42:22
interests me you ask me what's where's

42:23
the puck going right

42:25
i think it's crazy

42:26
no i love it i think the i think the

42:29
issue and i'm always thinking from the

42:30
consumer standpoint how to get the

42:33
policy approved and to the consumer and

42:35
the benefits in place so when i'm

42:37
thinking that i'm thinking okay

42:40
underwriting issues if if there are any

42:44
uh pricing issues from the carrier

42:46
that's issuing the policy but my hope is

42:48
that

42:49
with this type of thought

42:51
people

42:52
that have diabetes or that have pre

42:56
pre-existing conditions it would be

42:58
really nice if they could buy a

43:00
guaranteed issue product that addressed

43:03
that specific thing

43:05
without having to go

43:07
and get underwritten whether it's

43:08
simplified issue or full underwriting

43:10
because as i always say

43:12
annuity

43:13
or long-term care companies they want to

43:15
they want to ensure young healthy people

43:18
um i think with 10 000 baby members

43:20
hitting 65 every single day

43:23
most of us and i'm in i'm not that there

43:25
yet but i'm i'm

43:27
not going to tell everybody my age

43:28
because i look so vibrant and young

43:30
right moshe um but but i i would want to

43:33
buy something for pre-diabetic which is

43:35
who i am you know can i buy an annuity

43:37
that addresses that

43:39
boy you talk about opportunity

43:42
in a niche market because it sounds like

43:44
to me

43:46
that you're thinking from the life

43:48
insurance standpoint that you can buy if

43:49
you're a smoker you can buy life

43:51
insurance because you're a smoker you

43:53
know it might cost you a little bit more

43:55
but it's never been addressed from the

43:57
standpoint of health issues from an

43:58
annuity standpoint and that's what

44:00
you're talking about that is absolutely

44:03
fascinating which means my spea

44:05
calculator would be

44:06
spear calculator healthy spear

44:08
calculator pre-diabetic spia calculator

44:11
cancer spear calculator whatever

44:15
you know stan one of the things that

44:17
i've been sort of puzzled by is why

44:19
people don't ask for underwritten

44:21
annuities

44:23
more

44:24
meaning look i want an annuity but i'm

44:25
not in good health pay me more i'm not

44:27
going to cost you as much uh in the uk

44:30
in england scotland there's something

44:33
called impaired annuities sure and say

44:35
look i want an annuity so i i can

44:37
certainly see that uh if we can dig just

44:39
a little bit more into the actuarial

44:41
without turning off your audience when

44:43
you buy an annuity from an insurance

44:45
company they're worried you're going to

44:46
live a very very long time that's their

44:48
fear they've got to set aside capital

44:50
and reserves for that but if at the same

44:52
time you add to it something that pays

44:54
out in the event of a long-term care

44:57
need

44:57
then there's an internal hedge in there

44:59
because the actuaries are saying look

45:01
both aren't going to happen this person

45:03
isn't moving into a nursing home

45:04
tomorrow and living 40 years so they can

45:07
suddenly be a little bit better in

45:08
pricing what i mean is usually you buy a

45:11
toaster and you buy a fax machine you

45:14
know using the historical analogy you

45:15
never think of combining a toaster and a

45:17
fax machine like what

45:19
but what if i told you get a really

45:21
really cheap because the underlying

45:23
mechanism for the toaster and the fax

45:24
machine are exactly the same we can

45:26
combine it we can make it cheaper i

45:27
think when it comes to long-term care

45:29
you might be able to get a better spea

45:31
payout a better pay your calculator will

45:33
show a higher payout if not necessarily

45:35
they come in and they say i've got

45:37
pre-diabetes i say i also want to buy a

45:40
long-term care rider attached to it

45:42
it'll be cheaper than combining them

45:43
together i i do think that if you're in

45:45
the annuity industry you have to have

45:46
some conversations around this you have

45:48
to be aware of it it's going on in the

45:50
background you need to understand it's

45:52
not the money that people want it's the

45:55
stuff they're gonna do with it i think

45:57
that's the key message here

45:59
and i think the future of the annuity

46:01
industry is solving is right now the

46:03
annuity industry says we can solve the

46:05
income stream here's the income stream

46:07
then go solve whatever you've got to

46:08
solve and i think the future is like

46:10
you're saying

46:12
here's the annuity income stream that

46:14
will also solve and and target

46:18
what you're worried about instead of

46:20
just throwing it at you and say go get

46:21
it i think that's um

46:23
that's fascinating now to answer your

46:25
question about why don't people do um

46:28
underwritten speeds there's just not

46:29
many

46:30
i mean it's not competitive and the

46:32
great part about the annuity industry in

46:33
my opinion for most products bsd is qlex

46:36
mygos index annuities whatever these are

46:38
commodity products there's there's

46:40
bunches of them and you shop them for

46:42
the highest contractual guarantee you

46:43
always tell people to do that you own an

46:44
annuity for what will do not what it

46:46
might do but if you're doing an

46:48
underwritten speed and for the consumer

46:49
out there what you're saying to the

46:51
annuity company is you're proving to

46:53
them that your life expectancy is

46:54
actually less which means that the

46:56
payments will be fewer which means that

46:58
the payments will be higher that's what

47:00
that means that's what most is talking

47:01
about the problem now is there's maybe

47:05
one or two maybe three tops

47:08
companies that are doing underwritten

47:10
immediate annuities at this time in the

47:11
united states that is a problem

47:14
big time so i would love that but i

47:16
for whatever reason companies have shied

47:18
away from that yeah so stan you know

47:20
it's a chicken and egg issue you know

47:22
what comes first i mean nobody's

47:23
interested in it so companies don't find

47:25
the need to maintain an active line

47:27
marketing keeping your registrations you

47:29
know satisfying them it's not worth it

47:32
uh but then if the demand comes there

47:34
then they are the company see an

47:36
opportunity so you know the question is

47:37
what's going to happen first is somebody

47:39
going to get up and say we're starting

47:40
to offer impaired annuities and just

47:42
let's give it a try or will advisors uh

47:44
people such as yourself influencers you

47:47
know with a very wide audience and

47:49
readerships hey you know it's time to

47:50
bring these things in we might increase

47:52
the size of the annuity message from

47:55
people who say look i'm not in great

47:57
health i would like to get one of them

47:58
well and what we have to do when we we

48:00
go through that process is someone says

48:02
i want to underwrite a spea to see if i

48:04
can get a better payout because i'm

48:06
going to prove that my life expectancy

48:07
is less we warned them up front

48:10
that there is a good possibility you're

48:12
going to be denied

48:14
and that's a problem as well i i think

48:17
if there would be a simplified issue

48:19
type underwritten spea

48:21
consumer friendly i think people would

48:24
flock to it just because a lot of people

48:26
have underlying conditions and would

48:27
like to get

48:29
you know in essence an accelerated

48:30
payment but i i think it's fascinating

48:32
where you're headed with this i

48:33
encourage you to to dig into the

48:35
long-term care side because

48:38
as you know the long-term traditional

48:41
long-term care there's not many carriers

48:43
left in the united states for a myriad

48:45
of reasons

48:46
and there's three different types of

48:47
long-term care which you know i have a

48:49
long-term care expert on and we go

48:50
through those things his name is jack

48:52
lundenberg he's fantastic if you want me

48:54
to

48:55
point you to him

48:56
um

48:58
but i think that's

48:59
that's interesting for where you're

49:01
headed what's the difference between

49:04
canadian and u.s type annuities you know

49:06
i get i get a lot of calls from from

49:08
people that watch my videos and and

49:10
podcasts i'm sure that you're

49:12
you being on will give those canadian

49:14
calls in uh yeah so what do you see up

49:17
there yeah so it's very interesting that

49:19
you you ask that so i am a canadian and

49:21
u.s citizen right uh which means that i

49:24
file taxes in both countries lucky me um

49:28
i mean

49:29
i don't even want to start talking about

49:31
what a patriot huh yeah

49:33
well there's some tax credits that you

49:35
get for one not a 100 tax credits i i

49:38
could do a whole podcast on on tax

49:39
regimes in fact my phd thesis was on the

49:42
reconciliation of the canadian and u.s

49:44
tax system but to answer your question

49:46
there are many annuity products that are

49:48
available in the u.s that are simply

49:50
unavailable in canada correct so when i

49:52
purchase i own three annuities i mean we

49:54
can get into which ones but i i bought

49:56
them all as an american citizen with a

49:58
residence in florida because you simply

50:00
can't get them here they don't exist

50:01
they're not offered and why the

50:04
innovation hasn't hit here may be part

50:06
of the fact that there's more defined

50:08
benefit pensions here per capita than

50:10
there is in the us but for all of you

50:12
that are listening to this all three of

50:13
you that happen to be canadian and u.s

50:15
citizens who happen to have a canadian

50:17
residency in the u.s residency all one

50:19
all one of you if you're buying one of

50:21
these things get it from stan in the u.s

50:24
even if there's a stand in canada that's

50:26
right that

50:27
well obviously we we we appreciate that

50:30
uh and we do like working with people

50:32
all across the united states and if

50:33
there was a chance for us to do canadian

50:35
we would because we do get a lot of

50:36
those calls

50:37
um

50:38
if you were annuity czar

50:41
and you were sitting over top of

50:43
everything

50:44
what would you change

50:47
i know it's loaded and broad but pick

50:49
something yeah yeah so unfortunately

50:52
there isn't such a position you know

50:54
insurance is regulated by the state so

50:55
there are 52 or 51 let me dream i'm

50:58
dreaming

50:59
okay

51:00
all right

51:01
um i i think that uh if i could throw

51:05
you know a couple 100 million dollars at

51:07
the problem which is what czars are

51:08
allowed to do these days they can go to

51:10
congress they put in a footnote and

51:12
before you know it 100 million dollars

51:14
have come into their budget uh uh you

51:16
know a public advertising campaign to

51:19
clarify what these things are and how

51:21
important they are to reduce the

51:23
financial illiteracy around these

51:26
products

51:27
don't have it run by companies or

51:30
affiliated organizations that were yeah

51:32
they got a bias they're not excited and

51:34
i'm the last one to say let's hand it

51:36
over to government but you've just given

51:37
me a government job i got to figure out

51:39
what to do right i'm not saying let's

51:41
hand it over if you handed me a

51:43
government job i would suck out that

51:45
budget and say let's get this thing

51:46
clarified here are the different types

51:49
here's what they do these are the

51:50
different vitamins a b c dna here's what

51:53
the vitamins do and we put it on the

51:55
package and there's clarity around the

51:57
nutritional content of these things i go

52:00
to the store i pick up my vitamins i

52:02
know am i getting zinc in there there's

52:03
no zinc my doctor said i needed zinc

52:05
let's pick up the multivitamins with

52:07
that sort of clarity of message and

52:10
clarity of ingredients and clarity of

52:12
what are these things is what i would do

52:16
let's get a messaging campaign out there

52:18
uh instead of putting more roadblocks or

52:20
barriers or legislative uh roadblocks in

52:23
front of the or mandating anything for

52:26
that matter

52:27
and i would do the exact same thing it

52:28
would all be about messaging it would

52:30
all be simplified it would all be

52:32
repetitive and easy to understand it

52:34
would stick in the back of your head and

52:35
you'd understand when the word annuity

52:37
was used

52:38
whether it was got guarantees or

52:40
transfer of risk or whatever we came up

52:43
with i think that's the biggest problem

52:45
with an industry that has a monopoly an

52:48
absolute monopoly on lifetime income how

52:51
that how this isn't a multi-trillion

52:54
dollar market annually i don't

52:56
understand

52:57
and sometimes it feels like i'm

52:59
screaming into a hurricane with people

53:01
that don't under that the industry that

53:03
doesn't seem to care because they're

53:05
making so much money last question

53:06
motion i appreciate once again

53:09
moshe moleski we're going to have his

53:10
stuff on the site but boy has it been a

53:12
pleasure and i could talk to you forever

53:14
and hopefully one of these days where

53:16
our paths will cross

53:18
especially in florida i live in florida

53:19
and las vegas so maybe we'll our florida

53:21
paths will cross but this is the last

53:23
question

53:24
and i do it with all my celebrity guests

53:26
i don't give them a heads up on it

53:28
but it's called the mic drop moment and

53:30
what i want you to do is i'm going to

53:32
hand you the mic and you're going to say

53:33
something that you think the consumers

53:36
out there that are listening to this

53:37
need to hear

53:38
and walk away with

53:40
because you're moshe moleski so my drop

53:42
moment

53:44
moshe moleski

53:47
yeah i i think that uh consumers should

53:49
pay more attention to what fees

53:52
commissions

53:53
and uh you know revenue sharing

53:55
agreements uh exist with all the

53:58
financial products that they buy i think

54:00
many of them are embarrassed to ask this

54:01
they have a good relationship with their

54:03
financial advisor their local insurance

54:05
agent their local car insurance sales

54:06
person i think people have to become

54:08
more accustomed to look what's the

54:09
markup on this thing you know i'm buying

54:11
a car this is what i'm paying you know

54:13
you can easily spreadsheet and compare i

54:16
think that would also solve part of the

54:17
problem the skeptic in the consumer says

54:20
yeah you're making a big you know you're

54:21
ripping me off well if you disclosed

54:23
that it wasn't that much you know maybe

54:26
i feel more comfortable with it it's not

54:28
just i don't understand it even if i do

54:30
understand it i'm concerned that it's

54:31
very opaque and i don't understand how

54:33
much i'm making so ask awkward questions

54:36
that's the mic drop moment learn to ask

54:38
awkward questions to people you like

54:41
yeah i know i have a great relationship

54:42
with my advisor but here's an awkward

54:44
question exactly how much money are you

54:47
making from this

54:49
i love that

54:50
i'm i'm gonna that might be a t-shirt

54:52
motion that we have us ask awkward

54:54
questions

54:56
to get the right answers i really

54:57
appreciate that i really appreciate you

54:59
joining me and thank you so much for

55:01
everyone out there that's that's joined

55:03
us on all the podcast platforms then

55:05
youtube channel called fun with

55:06
annuities and i will see you next week

55:14
thanks for listening to fun with

55:15
annuities please hit the subscribe

55:17
button and make sure to go to my site at

55:20
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55:21
annuityman.com where you can run your

55:23
own spea dia and q lat quotes and see a

55:26
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55:28
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55:33
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55:35
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55:37
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55:41
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55:43
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55:45
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55:48
specific situation it will be the best

55:50
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55:53
will ever get and that's one guarantee

55:56
you should definitely take advantage of

55:58
so join me next time for the number one

56:00
annuity podcast on the planet fun

56:03
with annuities

56:07
[Music]

56:18
you

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