Moshe Milevsky: Learning from History with Annuities

IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND MOSHE MILEVSKY DISCUSS:
- Why annuities get a bad rep
- What’s a tontine?
- Beating inflation
- Planning for health decline
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- Annuities are often complicated, and they are typically sold to a group of vulnerable people. That could be a recipe for disaster.
- A tontine was one of the many ways that people used to finance themselves in retirement; it was a scheme in which the longest living people got the most amount of people, and the people that didn’t live a long time got a small amount of income - it was a type of annuity.
- With a tontine scheme, the denominator keeps getting smaller as time goes by while the numerator stays the same - meaning the same amount of money is being split between fewer people. Mortality becomes a real interest rate. People don’t care much about this because inflation wasn’t that much of a hot topic, but nowadays, people should look into it.
- There’s a big difference between health span and life span, but they can have a short gap in between. Long-term health care is important because it allows you to use more of your lifetime income for things you like rather than split them between things you like and things you need.
"You have a product that’s meant to help people that are eventually going to cognitively decline and help them deal with the finances; there’s a higher burden of care there because you gotta make sure that they understand what they’re buying, they continue to understand what they’re buying and in many cases, annuities are quite complicated." — Moshe Milevsky.
CONNECT WITH MOSHE MILEVSKY:
Website: https://moshemilevsky.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/RetirementQuant
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)
- 0:00 Introduction
- 0:39 About Moshe Milevsky
- 7:06 How has the annuity industry done
- 10:21 How to brand annuities
- 15:33 Scheme
- 23:03 Increasing Income
- 27:49 Transfer of Risk Income
- 31:44 The Archives
- 33:59 US Government Hiring
- 36:23 Finding the Next Blue Water
- 39:49 The Long Term Care Challenge
- 45:59 The Future of Annuities
- 47:58 Simplified Issue Annuities
- 50:25 Annuities Czar
- 52:26 Mic Drop Moment
0:04
welcome to fun with annuities with your
0:06
host me stan the annuity man america's
0:09
annuity agent can annuities be fun can
0:12
contractual guarantees be fun
0:14
absolutely they can find out the brutal
0:17
facts about annuities with no sales
0:20
pitches or high pressure nonsense just
0:23
the brutal and factual annuity truth
0:25
which is all you need to hear
0:27
let's have some fun with annuities and
0:29
let's have that fun start right now
0:33
[Music]
0:39
welcome to fun with annuities my name is
0:41
stan the annuity man america's annuity
0:43
agent yes i am licensed in all 50 states
0:45
i'm so glad you joined
0:47
me today on all major podcast platforms
0:50
and also we have a fun with annuities
0:51
youtube channel if you want to see me
0:53
and the guests interact and see our
0:55
facial expressions when one of us says
0:56
something that's funny or crazy or
0:58
something like that but i'm going to
0:59
tell you something today is a special
1:01
day for me
1:03
um
1:04
this is almost i'm almost a fan boy at
1:06
this point in time and what that means
1:08
is i really look up to my guest he is a
1:10
he is a person that i follow i read
1:13
pretty much everything that he writes
1:15
um
1:17
if there was ever an icon in the
1:19
financial business in the annuity
1:20
business it's our it's our guest today
1:22
his name is moshe moleski and let me
1:24
tell you a little bit about him he's a
1:26
tenured professor of business finance
1:28
he's a published author and a well-known
1:30
consultant he's based in toronto canada
1:33
he has an ma and he got that 1992 in
1:36
mathematical statistics he has a phd got
1:38
that in 1996
1:40
in financial
1:42
economics he is a 2002 fellow of the
1:46
fields institute for research in
1:47
mathematical sciences sciences
1:50
now now we get to the fun part and this
1:52
is where i start following him because
1:54
that other stuff's way above my head
1:56
he's published 16 books translated into
1:58
six languages
2:00
and has authored over 70 peer-reviewed
2:02
scholarly article articles i need you to
2:04
hang in there with me put your seatbelt
2:06
on this is important one of his books
2:08
called king williams tontine which we're
2:10
going to talk about
2:12
is about why the retirement annuity of
2:14
the future should resemble its past and
2:16
it's very very interesting as a new book
2:18
coming out
2:20
this month and at the time of this
2:21
taping is june of 2022 and it's called
2:24
how to build a modern time taunting
2:26
scripts tips and algorithms
2:29
he is also a fintech entrepreneur yes he
2:32
is very busy with the number of us
2:34
patents and and computational
2:37
innovations in 2014 he sold a startup
2:39
company to a company that we use called
2:42
canx that provides the fees to our
2:43
calculators
2:45
um he was named by investment advisor
2:47
magazine as one of the 35 most
2:49
influential people in the u.s financial
2:52
advisory business
2:53
over the last 35 years he's delivered
2:55
over 1500
2:57
presentations and keynote lectures
2:59
around the world including
3:02
academic seminars at stanford columbia
3:05
and mit
3:06
etc etc
3:09
his current research is fascinating
3:11
because his interest revolves around the
3:14
history
3:15
of how aging consumers financed and paid
3:18
for the last few decades of their life
3:20
but he's researching that on how that
3:22
happened over the last
3:24
few centuries it is my absolute honor
3:28
to have moshe milevsky on fun with
3:30
annuities thank you so much for being
3:32
here
3:34
and you're very kind with your
3:35
introduction and your praise and as you
3:38
know
3:39
uh you're quite the legend yourself so i
3:42
appreciate being here and uh hopefully i
3:44
can ask you just a couple of questions
3:46
when you're asking me questions so that
3:48
we get a bit of a dialogue going
3:49
absolutely obviously i went through your
3:51
background and and your education which
3:54
is unmatched um
3:56
how did you land in the annuity space i
3:58
mean i mean you have a you know and a
4:01
master's in mathematical sciences the
4:03
bhd in financial economics how do you
4:05
get to annuities how did that happen
4:10
so as as i'm sure you know annuities are
4:12
sort of a small part of what i do my day
4:14
sure is teaching undergraduate and
4:16
graduate students my 22 year old
4:18
undergraduates don't really care very
4:20
much for annuities sadly they're 22
4:22
years old they have student loan debt
4:24
they're trying to figure out what to do
4:25
with their lives you know if you talk
4:27
about student loans they'll be
4:28
interested if you talk about mortgages
4:30
housing you know right health insurance
4:32
so it was there's this enormous group of
4:35
financial products out there that
4:36
consumers have to be aware of and as you
4:38
get older and as you get closer to
4:40
retirement obviously annuity
4:55
you know gymnasium and they walk around
4:57
and they see the different areas that
4:58
are available and students come with
4:59
their parents you know these are high
5:00
school kids and they stop at my desk uh
5:03
where i'm selling the uh you know
5:05
business course and the students say so
5:07
what do you teach and i say well i teach
5:08
retirement income planning and then they
5:10
move right along you know 10 seconds
5:12
later
5:13
the parents stay the parents stay
5:16
the parents stay so you know clearly
5:19
this is something that is age specific
5:21
so let me respond to your question how i
5:23
got into annuities sure i got into
5:25
annuities because uh i came face to face
5:29
with longevity risk at a very young age
5:31
longevity risk as you know is this
5:33
uncertainty about how long you're going
5:35
to live so my dad passed away at a very
5:37
young age he developed colon cancer and
5:39
passed away in his uh late 40s
5:42
so you know that's one side of longevity
5:44
risk uh my grandfather on the other hand
5:46
just passed away recently he lived to
5:48
his late 90s
5:49
so look at that divergence there
5:52
so to me what interested
5:54
we sort of i looked at that and said
5:56
okay so you know there's got to be some
5:57
way to manage your financial affairs
5:58
with that sort of uncertainty how do you
6:00
manage your financial affairs when you
6:02
know it may last as long as short as 45
6:04
years it can go as long as 95 years so
6:07
that sort of led me to the insurance as
6:09
a solution and insurance is risk
6:11
management
6:12
uh that that's sort of the short
6:13
response to how i got into it uh and you
6:16
know i'd be delighted to dig a little
6:18
bit deeper but uh you know coming face
6:20
to face with longevity risk is something
6:22
that alerted me to the fact that there's
6:24
a need for uh
6:25
the annuities solution i also worked as
6:27
an intern for a while at a very large uh
6:30
insurance company in new york called tia
6:32
cref you know back in the 1980s and of
6:35
course they're very very big in in the
6:37
in
6:38
annuity space obviously for qualified
6:40
401k 403b plans 401a plan so i learned a
6:44
little bit about the industry there as
6:45
an actuarial trainee many many years ago
6:48
when i was trying to figure out what i
6:49
wanted to do with myself uh so you know
6:51
there are a lot of paths that lead to it
6:53
and recently it's been an interest in
6:54
history and the fact that as i'm sure
6:56
you know annuities predate stocks and
6:58
bonds so you know you think mutual funds
7:00
have been around forever i know actually
7:02
annuities have been and that's the way
7:04
people finance their retirement
7:07
then my question to you
7:09
being just
7:11
actually the thought leader in our space
7:13
is how has the annuity industry done
7:16
such a poor job in your opinion on
7:18
messaging the fact that we have the
7:20
monopoly that everybody wants the
7:22
product which is lifetime income how
7:24
have we how have we messed that up as an
7:26
industry because that just confounds me
7:28
every single day especially when people
7:30
say well i hate all annuities and i'm
7:31
like well that's stupid that's like
7:32
saying you hate all restaurants um it
7:35
makes no sense
7:37
what has happened how has the how we
7:39
gotten here to where annuity is actually
7:41
a curse word and a lot of the consumer
7:44
circles and also
7:46
uneducated financial circles
7:49
right so you know stan with every
7:51
question that you ask me you have to
7:52
tell me whether you want the 10-second
7:53
response the 10-minute response or the
7:55
10-hour lecture series response so i
7:58
want the consumer response so dig in as
8:00
long as you want to dig in look so let
8:02
me try to put this in bite-sized pieces
8:04
i think there's a lot of confusion over
8:06
what an annuity really is the word
8:08
annuity today is as meaningless as fund
8:11
you called it restaurants i say funds
8:13
you know when a reporter calls me up and
8:15
says what do you think about annuities i
8:16
say what do you think about funds
8:18
you know private equity funds venture
8:20
capital funds mutual funds bond fund
8:21
stock it's a meaningless word you can
8:23
attach it to almost anything and uh
8:25
legally what an annuity is it's very
8:27
different to what an economist would
8:28
call an annuity it's certainly different
8:30
from what uh you know a media
8:33
writer would call an annuity it's just
8:34
there's this vagueness what is it uh and
8:36
if you go back a few hundred years the
8:38
annuity meant something very very
8:39
specific very well known very defined
8:42
and then for some reason you know 300
8:43
years later it means almost anything to
8:45
anyone so number one is confusion about
8:47
what this thing means
8:49
uh is number number two i think that uh
8:51
there was a period in the late 80s
8:53
possibly early 90s where the commissions
8:56
the fees that people were paying uh for
8:58
these either as
9:00
you know commissions that were explicit
9:01
where you know really only 80 of your
9:03
money goes to work or commissions that
9:05
were hidden and paid because you
9:08
couldn't surrender for 20 years were
9:09
very very high atrociously high
9:11
unconscionably high and they gave these
9:13
instruments a very bad name now those
9:15
were very specific types of annuities
9:17
and they you know certainly warned all
9:19
annuities so that that was part of it uh
9:22
i think that another problem with
9:24
annuities you know this will be my last
9:26
point before i you know sort of turn it
9:27
back to you is annuities are sold
9:29
annuities are sold to a group of people
9:31
that are vulnerable they're sold to
9:33
older people you know we're not selling
9:34
it to 23 year olds we're selling it to
9:36
people that are older and in some sense
9:38
you know the point of this product is to
9:41
generate some sort of predictable income
9:43
when you're no longer able to make
9:45
decisions yourself a cognitive decline
9:47
so when you have a product that really
9:49
is meant to help people that are
9:51
eventually going to cognitively decline
9:53
and help them deal with the finances you
9:55
know there's a higher burden of care
9:57
there because you got to make sure that
9:58
they understand what they're buying they
9:59
continue to understand what they're
10:00
buying sure and in many cases annuities
10:02
are quite complicated so you have
10:04
something very complicated going to
10:05
someone whose ability to make those
10:07
decisions decline over time and that's a
10:09
recipe for disaster so in some sense
10:11
there's a whole bunch of reasons but i
10:13
do agree with your premise there's a lot
10:14
of confusion there's a lot of fear
10:17
and there's certainly a lot of backlash
10:18
against it hopefully that helps put this
10:20
in context and it does and i've and i've
10:23
said to
10:24
industry leaders and and and ceos of
10:27
carriers to say just just let's just get
10:29
it down to a couple of words i'm i'm a
10:31
marketer i understand how to brand
10:34
things obviously and i think it really
10:36
comes down to
10:37
um i i go back to the got milk ad where
10:40
you just said got milk i think we should
10:42
have one that says got guarantees or got
10:43
lifetime income i really believe we can
10:46
frame the value proposition of what
10:48
we're doing
10:50
and what we're offering which you know
10:52
with 10 000 baby boomers hitting the age
10:54
65 they're not looking for the next
10:57
tesla or the next microsoft or the next
10:59
growth stock they're looking for
11:00
guarantees and they're looking for
11:02
lifestyles
11:03
which leads me to my next question and i
11:06
have this vision of you
11:07
moshe in the in the bowels of some
11:10
library in europe reading about time
11:13
teens and doing your research on where
11:16
annuities first started
11:18
but the reason i bring that up is i want
11:20
you to
11:21
correlate that to
11:23
to the products that are out there now
11:25
and your hope
11:27
to where things are going to go and
11:29
maybe you can just give a brief
11:31
um
11:32
history of of tauntings because when you
11:34
google it
11:36
it's amazing what comes up one of the
11:37
questions that people have is are our
11:39
tauntings illegal that's one of the main
11:41
questions that pop up
11:43
so give us the the dumbed down version
11:46
what that is and why you're attracted to
11:47
that
11:48
so you know as usual stan your questions
11:51
could
11:51
could take me you know five hours to
11:54
answer so i i i'm going to selectively
11:56
pick certain pieces of it sure because
11:58
for many of your viewers this may be the
12:00
first time in their life they've heard
12:01
the word tontine they don't know how to
12:02
spell it yet and maybe they're googling
12:04
it right now so there's a lot going on
12:06
so let me explain a little bit of
12:08
historical background and hopefully this
12:09
partially answers the many questions
12:11
you've just asked what interests me why
12:13
i'm fascinated with history is because
12:15
the narrative right now in the financial
12:18
industry is that pensions are going away
12:20
pensions are going away defined benefit
12:22
pensions are no longer the norm for
12:24
employees uh social security the trust
12:27
fund in the u.s is you know on its way
12:29
down so there's questions about
12:31
sustainability and uh employers don't
12:33
really care about their employees once
12:35
they retire so you're on your own buddy
12:38
ergo we must all move into the annuity
12:40
space what interests me is what in the
12:42
world did people do prior to defined
12:45
benefit pensions not what are they going
12:47
to do in the demise and decline of
12:49
defined benefit what did they do before
12:51
and uh you know if you take a look at
12:52
when to find benefit pensions started
12:54
you know we're talking about the
12:55
beginning of the 20th century social
12:56
security fdr the 1930s uh if you're
12:59
really familiar with pension history
13:01
then you'll know the name bismarck you
13:03
know the german chancellor he starts
13:05
pensions in 1880 and everybody's
13:07
entitled when they get old to get a
13:08
pension what did old people do before
13:12
these state programs now the the
13:15
ignorant response is that there were no
13:17
old people prior to 1880 and that
13:20
bismarck somehow discovered that there's
13:21
old people and we need to give them
13:23
pensions that is simply not true life
13:25
expectancy at birth might have been very
13:27
low there were many old people in fact
13:29
if you go back to the archives there are
13:31
people that made it into their 80s and
13:33
90s and i could spend an entire hour
13:35
going through all the famous
13:36
philosophers and statesmen and you know
13:39
us presidents from the revolution onward
13:41
that lived
13:42
far beyond life expectancy what did they
13:46
do how did they get to retirement stop
13:49
being able to work and how did they get
13:51
an income and uh the next response then
13:53
asked me well their family supported
13:55
them they lived at home and they didn't
13:56
eat it that's also not true because of
13:58
the fact that not all of them had
14:00
families and and many of the families
14:02
had moved away so once you sort of
14:03
eliminate all the nonsense you're left
14:05
with how did they finance their
14:07
retirement and the answer is they went
14:08
out and they bought annuities
14:11
they went to the state they went to the
14:13
government they went to early insurance
14:15
companies they went to their local
14:17
church they went to their parish and
14:18
they entered into a scheme where they
14:20
would be receiving an income for the
14:21
rest of their lives guaranteed a word
14:23
that you like as long as they live in
14:26
exchange for a lump sum right now uh in
14:28
fact the earliest nursing homes were uh
14:30
monasteries where people would go in
14:32
they were called kurodis where you go
14:34
into the monastery and say look i got a
14:35
bunch of money this is my nest egg you
14:37
take it take care of me for the rest of
14:39
my life and they would in a sense issue
14:41
an annuity and the annuity would be paid
14:43
not just in in living somewhere uh
14:45
they'd be paid in beer and bread and
14:48
wine and you know a shirt once a year
14:51
and then that would be your annuity it
14:52
would be paid in goods and services
14:55
part of the products that people bought
14:57
hundreds of years ago to maintain
14:59
themselves in the retirement was a name
15:01
a word that you just mentioned called
15:03
the taunting
15:04
a taunting was one of the many schemes
15:06
that people used to finance themselves
15:08
in retirement it was a scheme in which
15:10
the longest living people got the most
15:12
amount of income the people that didn't
15:14
live a long time got a smaller amount of
15:16
income it was a type of an annuity and i
15:18
think that you know with that background
15:20
we we understand that there are many
15:21
different ways to finance retirement in
15:23
the middle ages and and that was one of
15:25
them and i find the taunting an
15:27
interesting scheme and i think that
15:28
there's more discussion about bringing
15:30
it back that's sort of the three-minute
15:32
summary no i i got you one of the words
15:34
that popped out when you use is the word
15:36
scheme
15:38
and in the united states scheme is a bad
15:40
word scheme means we're taking advantage
15:43
of you scheme means you're
15:45
um you know there's something we're not
15:47
telling you and i think that that word
15:50
attached to annuity
15:52
um even though you know and i know
15:56
that's not the intended use people go
15:58
yeah see it's a scheme it's not a scheme
16:00
what he's saying is this was the
16:03
strategy that people were using at that
16:05
point in time
16:07
but even when you google tontine it says
16:10
a scheme used you know hundreds of years
16:13
ago etc
16:15
that's an interesting word but don't you
16:17
agree that that word has some
16:19
connotation that's negative that people
16:21
that aren't
16:22
up to speed on the history they say well
16:26
you know scheming schemes bad right
16:29
so i'm a mathematical economist so i can
16:31
use the word scheme because i agree i i
16:34
don't answer
16:35
i don't answer to that crowd i'm not a
16:37
politician running for office trying to
16:39
figure out you know let's test 10
16:41
different words and see which one the
16:43
public likes and i'm describing it the
16:45
way you know it's described historically
16:48
you go back to the documents that was
16:49
the one but i i certainly agree with you
16:51
that if i'm a marketing department in a
16:53
modern insurance company you're right i
16:55
will stress test every word i use with
16:58
focus groups and you know i'm not even
17:00
sure i'd use the word tontine and stan
17:02
since you brought this up many of the
17:04
tontines that are emerging around the
17:06
world and they are emerging there are
17:08
many examples of it if i were to take a
17:10
look at the common denominator of all of
17:12
them uh there is certainly a very
17:14
successful one that was just launched in
17:16
australia uh there was one in south
17:18
africa i was involved with there's some
17:19
in canada all of them all of them the
17:22
common theme is they don't use the word
17:25
tontine and they certainly don't use the
17:27
word scheme
17:29
they use the thinking behind it they use
17:31
the pooling and the risk sharing uh but
17:33
they don't use the word because they
17:34
feel that like you you know people
17:36
google it and then they hear that you
17:38
know homer simpson in an episode of the
17:40
simpsons lost money on a taunting so hey
17:42
homer simpson law i don't want marge
17:44
yelling at me if i you know or or they
17:47
hear that it's illegal because the state
17:49
of new york in 1906 banned taunting
17:51
insurance so i agree with you that words
17:54
matter and we don't want to use scheme
17:56
and maybe not even use tontine but the
17:58
thinking behind it namely that people
18:00
that live a long time are subsidized by
18:02
people who don't and as you live longer
18:04
your income goes up uh that's something
18:07
that uh that makes sense and you know to
18:09
get to a point that you made earlier we
18:11
all like the word guaranteed it's it's
18:13
an important word
18:14
you know that's a word we use scheme we
18:16
don't use guarantee we use sure but the
18:17
problem is is that what's guaranteed in
18:20
today's lexicon what's guaranteed is a
18:22
nominal cash flow
18:24
nominal
18:25
nominal means i have no idea what this
18:27
is going to buy me in real terms nominal
18:30
usually means it's not adjusted for
18:32
inflation nominal means we have no idea
18:34
what goods and services i'm going to be
18:36
able to buy with it i mean honestly if i
18:38
guarantee you a thousand dollars a week
18:41
for the rest of your life do you really
18:42
know 20 years from now what you'll be
18:44
able to do with the thousand dollars
18:46
i mean we really don't so we use the
18:48
word guaranteed but in some sense it's a
18:50
guarantee of a something but anything
18:52
that i want to buy with that is not
18:54
guaranteed
18:55
so
18:56
one of the reasons that the taunting
18:58
concept whatever you call it is gain
19:00
ingredients is the idea is hey the
19:01
longer i live i want those payments to
19:03
go up i'm not
19:05
interested in guarantees but i want
19:06
something that keeps up with the cost of
19:08
living roughly speaking and i think
19:09
that's one of the appeals but to sort of
19:12
wrap this up and to answer your question
19:13
i think there are lessons to be learned
19:15
from how people finance themselves in
19:17
their older age hundreds of years ago
19:20
there are lessons to be learned for
19:21
today i may not design an ipad or an
19:24
iphone the way it was designed 300 years
19:26
ago they didn't exist but when it comes
19:28
to financing retirement there's
19:30
something about the way we did it in the
19:32
past that might resonate with the future
19:34
and hold that thought for a second we're
19:36
talking to moshe milevsky just an icon
19:38
in our business uh he's written some
19:40
fantastic books and we're going to have
19:41
those links on our site he's going to
19:43
have his own page like like all of our
19:45
celebrity guests do
19:46
but some of the books that i would tell
19:48
you to look at is one of them that i
19:50
love the seven most important equations
19:51
for your retirement was fantastic
19:53
obviously i've talked about king
19:55
williams taunting which is one of his
19:57
books recent books which i've read a
19:59
couple of times he also has one called
20:01
pensionize your nest egg which i think
20:03
is very good and then one that i really
20:05
like called longevity insurance for a
20:07
biological age
20:09
so he he brings it down to your level he
20:11
can do that but you can tell by just him
20:13
talking that he's at another level i
20:15
think if there's ever an annuity odd
20:17
couple that gets along and is on the
20:20
same page is us
20:22
you know because for me i consider
20:24
myself the annuity whisperer that's
20:26
that's trying to
20:28
dumb it down to a level that i always
20:30
tell people if you can't explain it to a
20:32
nine-year-old don't buy it no offense to
20:34
nine-year-olds
20:36
and i think the great part about moshe
20:39
is he he can change gears and bring it
20:41
down to a consumer level and those books
20:44
that i just mentioned are are some of
20:46
the
20:47
ones that i'm going to point you to and
20:48
have links to where you can go get them
20:50
on amazon let's go back to the tauntings
20:53
mosha i am i'm fascinated with this and
20:56
i'm always thinking okay where's the
20:57
puck going to be i'm giving some hockey
20:59
analogies since you're a canadian um
21:02
instead of skating after it where is it
21:04
going to be
21:05
do you ever see tontine's
21:08
entering this country in a fashion that
21:11
it's the consumers
21:12
can get it understand it and then
21:14
eagerly buy it
21:17
so
21:17
you know it depends on who the audience
21:20
is
21:21
that's listening to my response i'm you
21:23
know if if this is consumers it is i
21:25
don't really i if i don't really see the
21:28
word taunting catching on uh and
21:31
becoming an alternative to an annuity
21:34
because of some of the historical issues
21:36
there um but i do think that
21:39
here here's the the business challenge
21:41
asset managers large asset managers are
21:44
realizing that their inability to offer
21:47
guarantees might hinder
21:50
their asset gathering and certainly
21:53
assets under management uh model
21:55
so people are moving into retirement and
21:57
they're saying all right these mutual
21:59
funds these etfs were great to help me
22:01
accumulate wealth but now i need a
22:03
stable predictable i like that better
22:05
than guaranteed stable and predictable
22:08
income for the rest of my life and i
22:09
just can't get that from this very
22:11
volatile etf for mutual fund and the
22:14
asset managers are going to see some of
22:15
that money perhaps a lot of that money
22:17
leak and leave towards the type of
22:19
solutions that you've been discussing
22:21
whether it's the annuities or the migas
22:23
or the culex or diaz and so on so there
22:26
are two ways that uh from a business
22:28
point of view asset managers can deal
22:29
with that they can say well we're going
22:31
to partner with insurance companies and
22:33
we're going to somehow try to share
22:35
revenue or we're going to try to you
22:37
know keep some of the assets and and
22:39
partner with insurance companies because
22:41
people like the predictability and
22:43
stability or they might say you know
22:44
what maybe we can enter into this
22:46
business without offering those
22:48
guarantees and the only way to do that
22:50
would be taunting like structures so the
22:52
short answer to your question is i think
22:54
that within five years you're going to
22:55
see asset managers offering things that
22:58
you and i would call it on teen whether
23:00
or not they use that word as separate
23:04
fascinating
23:05
i think when people when you were
23:07
initially describing tontines
23:09
i think people stopped the car and
23:11
jumped off the treadmill
23:13
when you said the word increasing income
23:15
because that's the biggest
23:17
question i get in this inflationary
23:20
world that we're living in is you know
23:22
how do we how how do we adjust for
23:25
inflation how do we address inflation
23:27
and as you well know
23:28
moshe and i'm just telling this for the
23:30
consumers that are listening to this
23:31
when you attach an increase to a current
23:33
commercial annuity it's called a cost of
23:36
living adjustment in the past there was
23:37
cpiu consumer price index increases but
23:40
annuity companies had the big buildings
23:42
for a reason as i always say they don't
23:43
give that away they just simply lower
23:46
the initial payment to make up for that
23:47
but when you start talking about
23:49
tontine's adjusting and increasing
23:52
can you go into that for the consumer on
23:55
what that might look like
23:57
from a 30 000 foot view yeah so
24:00
you understand that when i sit here and
24:01
we're having a conversation i have four
24:03
hands tied behind my back i don't have a
24:05
blackboard i don't have my slides i
24:07
don't have the the graphics i certainly
24:09
can't do equations you'd probably shut
24:11
me down so
24:12
there's a lit there's a limit as to how
24:14
much this can be explained to the point
24:16
where the consumer says i get it you
24:18
know i'm sorry
24:19
we need to explain things you know using
24:21
certain things but the idea here is is
24:23
that if you enter into a an arrangement
24:26
where people that live a long time get
24:28
to share uh the benefits from something
24:31
since there are less people living a
24:33
long time they're going to share more
24:34
benefits so let me try to put this
24:36
without any algebra imagine that you and
24:40
me and a group of our neighbors decided
24:42
to buy a 30-year treasury bond from the
24:46
u.s treasury and it was a unique type of
24:49
bonds that we all bought together with
24:51
us all our buddies we bought it it's a
24:53
bond that pays coupons for 30 years but
24:56
it never pays back the principal at the
24:58
end never pays back the principal at the
25:00
end and you're saying mosh why would i
25:01
buy something that never pays back my
25:03
principal at the end and the answer is
25:04
because instead they'll give you higher
25:05
coupons
25:06
so you know right now the 30-year rate
25:08
would be three percent but you're
25:10
getting your principal back at the end
25:11
they'll give you seven or six percent
25:14
and then you don't get the principal
25:15
back at the end which is kind of an
25:16
evening out of your coupons we all all
25:19
of us in the neighborhood decide to buy
25:21
one of these bonds that are paying you
25:22
know let's say six percent a year right
25:24
and here's what we do we've bought this
25:26
bond and we enter into an agreement you
25:29
and me and many others look whoever is
25:31
alive gets to share those coupons
25:34
we at the end of every year are gonna go
25:36
to the local golf club or the local bar
25:39
and we're gonna all toast whoever's
25:40
alive and we get to split those coupons
25:42
but if you're not around you can't split
25:44
the coupons so let's imagine what
25:46
happens when all of us have bought this
25:49
bond that after one year we're all
25:50
healthy we're good we all get six
25:52
percent we're getting the six thousand
25:54
dollars a year on our hundred thousand
25:56
dollars and then in a year from now we
25:58
come back to celebrate are we alive and
26:00
yeah we're all alive so we're getting
26:01
six thousand but then at the end of the
26:04
third year god forbid one of us has a
26:05
heart attack or one of us has a stroke
26:08
or one of us is in a car accident we're
26:09
not there to toast our longevity and
26:12
suddenly there are less of us there's
26:14
less of us but we still have that six
26:16
thousand dollar coupon we're sharing it
26:19
over a smaller group
26:20
at the end of the year we have that six
26:23
000 coupon that's being paid but it's
26:24
being split with a smaller group how
26:26
does this work we have the same amount
26:28
of cash in the numerator to use a
26:30
mathematical term but the denominator is
26:32
shrinking there are less of us
26:34
and then 10 years later you know say
26:36
half of us are still there other half
26:38
have not made well the numerator is
26:40
still exactly the same the denominator
26:42
is shrinking each one of us is getting a
26:44
bigger and bigger payment
26:45
whoever's around 30 years from now
26:47
whoever's around 30 years from now
26:49
they're still giving out the 6 000 but
26:51
we're splitting it over a very very
26:53
small group we're getting a really big
26:55
coupon which is a naturally increasing
26:58
hedge in some sense against inflation
27:01
even though none of us bought an
27:02
inflation-linked bond
27:04
mortality becomes a real interest rate
27:08
mortality mortality rate without having
27:11
to worry about buying inflation linked
27:12
bonds and tips and eye bonds and and
27:14
reserves
27:15
so that is incredibly uninteresting when
27:19
inflation's at two percent or less and
27:22
nobody knows what inflation is but
27:24
suddenly in the last year or two
27:27
inflation is a very hot topic on google
27:29
you google it and you get you know the
27:30
engram that's a that's a word that's
27:32
coming up a lot president himself is
27:34
using that word maybe people start to
27:37
get interested in a scheme where there's
27:40
this natural increase so that's one of
27:41
the reasons you're seeing more hopefully
27:43
i've explained why this is increasing
27:45
over time but that's one of the reasons
27:46
you're seeing more of an interest in
27:47
this
27:49
and i'm
27:50
i guess in a glass half full
27:52
scenario
27:54
this rising inflation is is pushing
27:57
people to
27:59
talk to you listen to you read you and
28:02
say okay let's let's look deeper in this
28:04
i was writing down as my marketing brain
28:06
was rolling
28:08
on what could you call this and what
28:10
could you stamp this at
28:12
and just the acronym t-o-r-i came out
28:15
which is transfer of risk income which
28:17
is that's what it is you're transferring
28:19
the risk and you're or you're sharing
28:22
the risk
28:24
for income and you can add another eye
28:26
on top of that which is increasing
28:28
income which i think i think that's the
28:30
part that people will listen to because
28:33
in essence it sounds like to me it's a
28:34
life-only annuity
28:36
that you're as long as you're living
28:37
you're
28:38
um people that that that have followed
28:40
my work that you know what a life-only
28:42
annuities i always tell people when your
28:44
learjet hits the mountain money goes
28:45
poof
28:46
now motion gave a much better
28:50
example of that but it's a life only
28:53
taunting shared
28:55
pooled risk of which income increases
28:58
for the people that
29:00
are still breathing
29:02
and i think if it could be explained
29:04
like that i don't think people in this
29:05
country would have a problem with doing
29:08
a product like that
29:10
or at least a portion of their what i
29:11
call their income floor which is social
29:14
security dividends
29:16
annuities commercial and these type of
29:18
new annuities the interesting part is
29:20
going to be how they're distributed
29:23
within the industry and i think that's
29:25
going to be the challenge obviously
29:27
you're you know that everyone else
29:29
looking at it knows that
29:30
but i think we need as an industry to
29:32
hey forget the distribution let's put it
29:34
out there let's get it out there to
29:36
where it's you know and show people that
29:37
it that it works
29:39
and i think it would help the annuity
29:41
industry as a whole because people would
29:42
understand you're transferring risk for
29:44
lifetime income i always tell people i
29:45
don't know the roi until you die
29:48
you know up until that point it is a is
29:50
a transfer risk now
29:52
you find yourself over in europe a lot
29:55
in in in libraries am i correct i'm
29:57
envisioning you over there all the time
30:00
um actually you're you're catching me
30:02
when i just came back two days ago from
30:04
the archives in edinburgh in scotland
30:08
uh i i don't want to bore your audience
30:11
to death but the church of scotland
30:13
introduced one of the first funded
30:15
annuities in the early 18th century when
30:18
you take a look at annuities it's one
30:19
thing for me to guarantee you a payment
30:21
for the rest of your life but if you're
30:23
smart you're going to say to me moshe
30:24
how are you going to make sure that that
30:25
payment is actually going to stay there
30:27
for the rest of my life it's one thing
30:28
for the king to promise payments but i
30:31
want the king to set aside some money to
30:33
make sure that those payments are going
30:35
to be made that's called a funded
30:36
annuity so you can go back to biblical
30:38
times kings were promising annuities
30:41
from biblical times and then they
30:42
defaulted on them because they'd never
30:43
set aside any money for it the first
30:46
entity the first entity to actually set
30:49
aside money and say all right we've just
30:51
promised annuities to ministers we
30:53
better make sure we manage this money to
30:55
pay those annuities and we have to have
30:56
a large pool the first entity that did
30:58
that was the church of scotland in the
31:00
early 18th century it's the first funded
31:03
annuity period so i went and i was able
31:05
to gain access to their documents and
31:07
their archives to see how they designed
31:09
it it's the subject of my next book and
31:11
i don't want to give away too much but i
31:13
found it fascinating how they set that
31:15
scheme up and it was because ministers
31:18
and eventually university professors
31:20
said hey man i want an annuity when i
31:22
retire i want an annuity for my spouse i
31:24
want an annuity for my kids i don't want
31:26
to give them money they're going to
31:28
squander it somebody will steal it from
31:30
them they don't know how to manage money
31:32
give them an annuity so that that was to
31:34
me uh quite interesting and i spent a
31:36
couple of weeks there and they were very
31:38
kind and they gave me access to it so
31:40
the short answer is yes i do spend a lot
31:42
of time in archives and libraries
31:44
when you don't give away the farm
31:45
because i want people to buy the book
31:47
because i'm going to buy it as well but
31:49
were you surprised with some of the
31:51
things you found did you have any oh oh
31:54
my goodness moments hitting your
31:55
forehead when you found stuff or was it
31:58
predictable what you found
32:00
in the archives you know to be honest i
32:02
thought i was going there to cross the
32:03
t's and dot the eyes because like i know
32:05
what i'm going to find it's going to be
32:06
these documents but you know you got to
32:08
go you got to do it right you just got
32:09
to make the pilgrimage you got to touch
32:10
the documents and come over no there's a
32:12
lot of very shocking very interesting
32:14
things in terms of how they did things
32:15
uh some of the participants in these
32:17
annuities i found interesting the
32:19
management of it uh some of the concerns
32:21
around fraud some of the choices that
32:23
people had there was a parallel to some
32:25
of the things that we see today and
32:26
defined contribution plans there were
32:28
defaults and one of the issues that they
32:30
had to contend with is you know this is
32:31
in scotland there are presbyteries uh
32:34
spread across the country you know how
32:36
do you force people into the plan or do
32:38
you just you know tell them
32:40
if you want you can join the annuity
32:42
fund uh which is so very similar to
32:43
defaults now in 401ks and dc plans and
32:46
what they said was well you had a year
32:48
to to default to say i'm not interested
32:51
so they gave you a year unless you're in
32:52
the north of scotland then they gave you
32:54
two years because you know it's a long
32:55
time to get your notice back there but
32:57
if we didn't hear from you we would
32:59
default you into the annuity and this is
33:02
echoing some of the discussion now with
33:04
secure 2.0 about what should happen to a
33:07
plan as they approach retirement should
33:08
we default people into an annuity and
33:11
they've struggled with the same thing
33:13
280 years ago i mean you know we're
33:15
forcing them into an annuity it's a
33:16
lifetime income product are they gonna
33:18
are the ministers gonna complain how do
33:20
we default them so what i found
33:22
interesting was a lot of the parallels
33:23
with some of the things we deal with
33:24
today uh they they dealt with at that
33:27
time and uh it was uh you know that was
33:29
interesting to me some of the
33:30
administrative aspects of managing this
33:32
you know the actuarial theory is three
33:34
percent the administration is 97
33:38
how do you get the lists of who's alive
33:39
and who's not alive and who's
33:41
contributed and what great do they
33:43
contribute how big did their pool have
33:45
to be there weren't enough ministers in
33:47
parishes so they asked university
33:48
professors to join because they got a
33:50
couple hundred more people and now they
33:52
can use the law of large numbers
33:54
anyway this is things that interest me
33:56
i'm a professor i can afford to have
33:58
that habit
33:59
that is fantastic no i'm not a professor
34:01
and and you're sitting there i'm like
34:03
you know listening intently to every
34:05
word because it just sounds fascinating
34:07
because my and i can't read uh wait to
34:09
read the book because i want to hear how
34:11
they dealt with these things how they
34:13
dealt with the problems that are
34:15
similar
34:16
in fashion to what we're going to do now
34:18
please tell me moshe that our government
34:21
the united states government is hiring
34:22
you to help
34:23
with these types of ideas
34:27
look i i've helped uh i have one foot in
34:30
the u.s one foot in canada so i spend
34:32
time teaching here but i have a place
34:33
for florida so i've done a lot of
34:35
consulting work for the state of florida
34:37
the florida state board of
34:38
administration so i spent quite a bit of
34:40
time in tallahassee many years ago and
34:42
uh that was about them converting their
34:44
defined benefit plan to define
34:46
contribution because you know at the
34:47
time the governor jeb bush you may
34:49
recall uh one of his ideas was you know
34:52
we've got to give people choices and not
34:54
everybody wants a db plan especially if
34:56
they're younger but the key was we
34:57
wanted to ensure the designers of the
34:59
fund wanted to ensure that uh people had
35:02
access to annuities at retirement when
35:04
you take away someone's defined benefit
35:05
pension and you say to them no you're
35:07
you're not going to get a guaranteed
35:08
income for life you have to give them
35:10
something similar which is an annuity so
35:12
i was there to help vet what companies
35:14
and what products would be allowed into
35:17
the plan put it on the shelf so to speak
35:19
uh that people would be able to select
35:21
as they moved into retirement and you'll
35:23
appreciate this the sponsors and
35:25
certainly the politicians they want
35:27
complicated annuities in there they
35:28
didn't want the the security type and
35:31
they wanted simple diaz and spias and
35:34
and and culax and the question was you
35:36
know do you go with the highest payout
35:38
well that's not necessarily safe because
35:40
sometimes the highest payout isn't
35:41
necessarily from a credit quality that
35:43
you want
35:44
do you go with the highest credit
35:45
quality well the payout won't be high
35:47
what sort of options do you give people
35:49
so the short answer to your question is
35:50
i have been involved a little bit in
35:53
some localized projects state projects
35:56
but there are many brilliant minds in
35:58
the us in this space and i know that
36:00
many of them are helping uh whether it's
36:03
the treasury or the or the fed or
36:05
certainly the irs in terms of the tax
36:07
treatment of these things so the short
36:09
answer is i am one of many researchers
36:11
that are interested in these things and
36:13
yes they are being tapped as a group to
36:15
help governments although you know
36:16
sometimes there's a communication gap
36:18
there it sounds too academic too
36:19
theoretical politicians may not like it
36:23
yes it all comes down to messaging when
36:25
you're talking to the consumer the
36:26
consumer is the the listener to this
36:28
podcast and and i think that's one of
36:30
the reasons this is one of the fastest
36:31
growing podcast in the financial sector
36:33
is because we're having people on like
36:35
you that's making people think and
36:37
they're hearing what you're doing
36:39
i guarantee they don't know what a
36:40
tontine is by the way it's spelled
36:42
t-o-n-t-i-n-e
36:44
if you're googling it
36:45
um but we'll have that link on on the
36:48
site for moshe as well um
36:52
so for you you're always it seems like
36:55
you're always digging in and trying to
36:58
find the next blue water as i call it
37:00
you know things that other people aren't
37:02
thinking about what hit me when you said
37:05
you know i'm not i'm not looking about
37:06
what people are gonna do i wanted to see
37:08
what they were doing back then that's a
37:10
contrarian thought that's not an a
37:13
natural thought maybe it is for
37:15
academian like you
37:16
but not for the normal person out here
37:19
what's the
37:20
next mountain you're looking to climb is
37:23
there something that's piqued your
37:24
interest that has caught your eye and
37:26
attention that you really want to dig
37:28
into because you've i know you can keep
37:30
digging into tontine's and and that but
37:32
is there anything in the annuity space
37:34
that you're looking at that is new
37:37
so so look sen you know it is when we
37:39
academic it's like watching a star that
37:41
exploded the light that you're seeing
37:43
today was generated millions of light
37:45
years ago even the light that comes from
37:47
the sun came seven or eight minutes ago
37:49
so you know the taunting stuff that's
37:51
coming out now i worked on that 10 years
37:52
ago i'm not saying i'm bored by it i'm
37:54
not saying i'm not interested in it but
37:56
you know that's been done you can't sit
37:58
you know your entire life at the same
38:00
well what interests me now once i get
38:02
this uh annuity fund out of the way what
38:04
interests me now is long-term care
38:07
namely that as people age as people age
38:11
it's not just that they want predictable
38:12
income for the rest of their life which
38:15
is great or guaranteed income they need
38:17
to know what will their expenditures be
38:20
and what will their health expenditures
38:21
be and how do they manage hedge and
38:23
ensure that so i have become interested
38:25
in the gap between lifespan and health
38:28
span
38:30
lifespan is how long you live we've
38:31
talked about that longevity risk health
38:33
span is how long do you live healthy
38:36
and the gap between health span and
38:38
lifespan can be you know
38:40
zero you got hit by a bus sadly and the
38:43
gap between lifespan and health span can
38:45
be 20 years you know you get hit with
38:48
something you're just not in very good
38:49
health anymore and now you got to manage
38:51
for the next 20 years i think long-term
38:54
care products annuities that are linked
38:56
to long-term care long-term hedges
38:58
longer i think that's something that
39:00
that needs to get more uh investigation
39:02
it needs to get more attention uh money
39:05
doesn't solve your problems and i know
39:07
that sounds cliche you need to do
39:09
something with it to solve your problems
39:11
how many times do you throw money at a
39:13
problem and it didn't solve it what do
39:14
you mean i fixed that bloody air
39:16
conditioner last year why didn't it get
39:18
fixed and we got to throw it up
39:20
how do we throw money at things
39:21
efficiently when it comes to health care
39:23
is something that interests me because
39:24
as you age that's going to be a big deal
39:26
it's not the money how do i get better
39:27
how do i you know deal with arthritis
39:29
forget about the annuity check that's
39:31
great thank you stan for the annuity
39:33
check i need to deal with my arthritis
39:35
can you give me some suggestions no
39:36
that's not my bailiwick i don't deal
39:38
with it well maybe you should maybe you
39:40
should get an annuity that pays in
39:41
arthritis medication and i mean that
39:43
just sort of half as a joke but that's
39:45
something that interests me now how do
39:46
we deal with the long-term care
39:48
challenge
39:49
boy that's a big one
39:51
i wasn't expecting that from you but i'm
39:53
glad i asked because i'm now feel
39:55
comfortable with you going at it and
39:57
figuring it out obviously the long-term
39:59
care space is a different space
40:01
because it's a health insurance product
40:03
not a life insurance product a life
40:05
insurance products life insurance
40:07
companies issue annuities for the people
40:08
listening out there and there are some
40:11
annuity types that have what's called
40:12
confinement care or enhanced benefit
40:14
type
40:15
um guaranteed issue
40:18
products out there and we certainly can
40:20
show you those but that's not what he's
40:22
talking about he's talking about
40:24
literally
40:26
solving for specific things now are you
40:28
thinking and i'm i'm
40:30
if i'm off base tell me are you thinking
40:32
that in the future there will be annuity
40:35
type products that are
40:36
addressing not only income but specific
40:40
issues of health and long-term care
40:43
i do and i i think that you know when
40:45
you think of activities of daily living
40:47
that trigger a long-term care policy why
40:50
can't why can't i buy a spear
40:52
that uh as soon as you're diagnosed with
40:55
uh you know let's say
40:57
you can't do three of five activities of
40:59
daily living you can't bathe you can't
41:00
clo clothe yourself you can't uh walk to
41:02
the bathroom i just you know the payment
41:04
triples why would i want the payment to
41:06
triple well because now you're gonna
41:07
have to hire someone to help you with
41:08
that mm-hmm i mean so because it's not
41:11
so much the income that i want it's the
41:13
services that i'm going to get i really
41:15
need the income income is just part of
41:17
it i need the income to get goods and
41:19
services you've solved part of my
41:21
problem stan you're getting me the
41:22
income for the rest of my life i need to
41:24
get services and i need to get goods are
41:27
you helping me with that and some people
41:29
might say that's not my problem you know
41:31
go talk to a medical professional go
41:32
talk to a social worker and what i'm
41:34
trying to say is no i think this is
41:35
going to be part of the financing
41:36
because if you give me a sum of money
41:38
that doesn't quite cover the services
41:40
and the goods that i need what's what's
41:42
the point of that sum of money
41:43
especially if it's depreciating over
41:45
time so the answer to your question is
41:46
yes i see annuities having long-term
41:49
care riders just like a lot of the life
41:50
insurance policies you can buy a life
41:52
insurance policy is going to pay out a
41:54
hundred thousand dollars as a death
41:56
benefit but if you need long-term care
41:57
they'll multiply it by five
41:59
let me say that again you have life
42:02
insurance if you die the beneficiary
42:04
gets a hundred thousand but if you're
42:05
still alive and you need long-term care
42:07
you can draw down like a bathtub five
42:10
hundred thousand dollars worth of
42:11
long-term care over time and and i can
42:14
see a lot of people saying yeah i want
42:15
that i want that i need to deal with
42:17
aging i need to deal with aging i've
42:19
seen it with my parents i need to deal
42:21
with myself so this is something that
42:22
interests me you ask me what's where's
42:23
the puck going right
42:25
i think it's crazy
42:26
no i love it i think the i think the
42:29
issue and i'm always thinking from the
42:30
consumer standpoint how to get the
42:33
policy approved and to the consumer and
42:35
the benefits in place so when i'm
42:37
thinking that i'm thinking okay
42:40
underwriting issues if if there are any
42:44
uh pricing issues from the carrier
42:46
that's issuing the policy but my hope is
42:48
that
42:49
with this type of thought
42:51
people
42:52
that have diabetes or that have pre
42:56
pre-existing conditions it would be
42:58
really nice if they could buy a
43:00
guaranteed issue product that addressed
43:03
that specific thing
43:05
without having to go
43:07
and get underwritten whether it's
43:08
simplified issue or full underwriting
43:10
because as i always say
43:12
annuity
43:13
or long-term care companies they want to
43:15
they want to ensure young healthy people
43:18
um i think with 10 000 baby members
43:20
hitting 65 every single day
43:23
most of us and i'm in i'm not that there
43:25
yet but i'm i'm
43:27
not going to tell everybody my age
43:28
because i look so vibrant and young
43:30
right moshe um but but i i would want to
43:33
buy something for pre-diabetic which is
43:35
who i am you know can i buy an annuity
43:37
that addresses that
43:39
boy you talk about opportunity
43:42
in a niche market because it sounds like
43:44
to me
43:46
that you're thinking from the life
43:48
insurance standpoint that you can buy if
43:49
you're a smoker you can buy life
43:51
insurance because you're a smoker you
43:53
know it might cost you a little bit more
43:55
but it's never been addressed from the
43:57
standpoint of health issues from an
43:58
annuity standpoint and that's what
44:00
you're talking about that is absolutely
44:03
fascinating which means my spea
44:05
calculator would be
44:06
spear calculator healthy spear
44:08
calculator pre-diabetic spia calculator
44:11
cancer spear calculator whatever
44:15
you know stan one of the things that
44:17
i've been sort of puzzled by is why
44:19
people don't ask for underwritten
44:21
annuities
44:23
more
44:24
meaning look i want an annuity but i'm
44:25
not in good health pay me more i'm not
44:27
going to cost you as much uh in the uk
44:30
in england scotland there's something
44:33
called impaired annuities sure and say
44:35
look i want an annuity so i i can
44:37
certainly see that uh if we can dig just
44:39
a little bit more into the actuarial
44:41
without turning off your audience when
44:43
you buy an annuity from an insurance
44:45
company they're worried you're going to
44:46
live a very very long time that's their
44:48
fear they've got to set aside capital
44:50
and reserves for that but if at the same
44:52
time you add to it something that pays
44:54
out in the event of a long-term care
44:57
need
44:57
then there's an internal hedge in there
44:59
because the actuaries are saying look
45:01
both aren't going to happen this person
45:03
isn't moving into a nursing home
45:04
tomorrow and living 40 years so they can
45:07
suddenly be a little bit better in
45:08
pricing what i mean is usually you buy a
45:11
toaster and you buy a fax machine you
45:14
know using the historical analogy you
45:15
never think of combining a toaster and a
45:17
fax machine like what
45:19
but what if i told you get a really
45:21
really cheap because the underlying
45:23
mechanism for the toaster and the fax
45:24
machine are exactly the same we can
45:26
combine it we can make it cheaper i
45:27
think when it comes to long-term care
45:29
you might be able to get a better spea
45:31
payout a better pay your calculator will
45:33
show a higher payout if not necessarily
45:35
they come in and they say i've got
45:37
pre-diabetes i say i also want to buy a
45:40
long-term care rider attached to it
45:42
it'll be cheaper than combining them
45:43
together i i do think that if you're in
45:45
the annuity industry you have to have
45:46
some conversations around this you have
45:48
to be aware of it it's going on in the
45:50
background you need to understand it's
45:52
not the money that people want it's the
45:55
stuff they're gonna do with it i think
45:57
that's the key message here
45:59
and i think the future of the annuity
46:01
industry is solving is right now the
46:03
annuity industry says we can solve the
46:05
income stream here's the income stream
46:07
then go solve whatever you've got to
46:08
solve and i think the future is like
46:10
you're saying
46:12
here's the annuity income stream that
46:14
will also solve and and target
46:18
what you're worried about instead of
46:20
just throwing it at you and say go get
46:21
it i think that's um
46:23
that's fascinating now to answer your
46:25
question about why don't people do um
46:28
underwritten speeds there's just not
46:29
many
46:30
i mean it's not competitive and the
46:32
great part about the annuity industry in
46:33
my opinion for most products bsd is qlex
46:36
mygos index annuities whatever these are
46:38
commodity products there's there's
46:40
bunches of them and you shop them for
46:42
the highest contractual guarantee you
46:43
always tell people to do that you own an
46:44
annuity for what will do not what it
46:46
might do but if you're doing an
46:48
underwritten speed and for the consumer
46:49
out there what you're saying to the
46:51
annuity company is you're proving to
46:53
them that your life expectancy is
46:54
actually less which means that the
46:56
payments will be fewer which means that
46:58
the payments will be higher that's what
47:00
that means that's what most is talking
47:01
about the problem now is there's maybe
47:05
one or two maybe three tops
47:08
companies that are doing underwritten
47:10
immediate annuities at this time in the
47:11
united states that is a problem
47:14
big time so i would love that but i
47:16
for whatever reason companies have shied
47:18
away from that yeah so stan you know
47:20
it's a chicken and egg issue you know
47:22
what comes first i mean nobody's
47:23
interested in it so companies don't find
47:25
the need to maintain an active line
47:27
marketing keeping your registrations you
47:29
know satisfying them it's not worth it
47:32
uh but then if the demand comes there
47:34
then they are the company see an
47:36
opportunity so you know the question is
47:37
what's going to happen first is somebody
47:39
going to get up and say we're starting
47:40
to offer impaired annuities and just
47:42
let's give it a try or will advisors uh
47:44
people such as yourself influencers you
47:47
know with a very wide audience and
47:49
readerships hey you know it's time to
47:50
bring these things in we might increase
47:52
the size of the annuity message from
47:55
people who say look i'm not in great
47:57
health i would like to get one of them
47:58
well and what we have to do when we we
48:00
go through that process is someone says
48:02
i want to underwrite a spea to see if i
48:04
can get a better payout because i'm
48:06
going to prove that my life expectancy
48:07
is less we warned them up front
48:10
that there is a good possibility you're
48:12
going to be denied
48:14
and that's a problem as well i i think
48:17
if there would be a simplified issue
48:19
type underwritten spea
48:21
consumer friendly i think people would
48:24
flock to it just because a lot of people
48:26
have underlying conditions and would
48:27
like to get
48:29
you know in essence an accelerated
48:30
payment but i i think it's fascinating
48:32
where you're headed with this i
48:33
encourage you to to dig into the
48:35
long-term care side because
48:38
as you know the long-term traditional
48:41
long-term care there's not many carriers
48:43
left in the united states for a myriad
48:45
of reasons
48:46
and there's three different types of
48:47
long-term care which you know i have a
48:49
long-term care expert on and we go
48:50
through those things his name is jack
48:52
lundenberg he's fantastic if you want me
48:54
to
48:55
point you to him
48:56
um
48:58
but i think that's
48:59
that's interesting for where you're
49:01
headed what's the difference between
49:04
canadian and u.s type annuities you know
49:06
i get i get a lot of calls from from
49:08
people that watch my videos and and
49:10
podcasts i'm sure that you're
49:12
you being on will give those canadian
49:14
calls in uh yeah so what do you see up
49:17
there yeah so it's very interesting that
49:19
you you ask that so i am a canadian and
49:21
u.s citizen right uh which means that i
49:24
file taxes in both countries lucky me um
49:28
i mean
49:29
i don't even want to start talking about
49:31
what a patriot huh yeah
49:33
well there's some tax credits that you
49:35
get for one not a 100 tax credits i i
49:38
could do a whole podcast on on tax
49:39
regimes in fact my phd thesis was on the
49:42
reconciliation of the canadian and u.s
49:44
tax system but to answer your question
49:46
there are many annuity products that are
49:48
available in the u.s that are simply
49:50
unavailable in canada correct so when i
49:52
purchase i own three annuities i mean we
49:54
can get into which ones but i i bought
49:56
them all as an american citizen with a
49:58
residence in florida because you simply
50:00
can't get them here they don't exist
50:01
they're not offered and why the
50:04
innovation hasn't hit here may be part
50:06
of the fact that there's more defined
50:08
benefit pensions here per capita than
50:10
there is in the us but for all of you
50:12
that are listening to this all three of
50:13
you that happen to be canadian and u.s
50:15
citizens who happen to have a canadian
50:17
residency in the u.s residency all one
50:19
all one of you if you're buying one of
50:21
these things get it from stan in the u.s
50:24
even if there's a stand in canada that's
50:26
right that
50:27
well obviously we we we appreciate that
50:30
uh and we do like working with people
50:32
all across the united states and if
50:33
there was a chance for us to do canadian
50:35
we would because we do get a lot of
50:36
those calls
50:37
um
50:38
if you were annuity czar
50:41
and you were sitting over top of
50:43
everything
50:44
what would you change
50:47
i know it's loaded and broad but pick
50:49
something yeah yeah so unfortunately
50:52
there isn't such a position you know
50:54
insurance is regulated by the state so
50:55
there are 52 or 51 let me dream i'm
50:58
dreaming
50:59
okay
51:00
all right
51:01
um i i think that uh if i could throw
51:05
you know a couple 100 million dollars at
51:07
the problem which is what czars are
51:08
allowed to do these days they can go to
51:10
congress they put in a footnote and
51:12
before you know it 100 million dollars
51:14
have come into their budget uh uh you
51:16
know a public advertising campaign to
51:19
clarify what these things are and how
51:21
important they are to reduce the
51:23
financial illiteracy around these
51:26
products
51:27
don't have it run by companies or
51:30
affiliated organizations that were yeah
51:32
they got a bias they're not excited and
51:34
i'm the last one to say let's hand it
51:36
over to government but you've just given
51:37
me a government job i got to figure out
51:39
what to do right i'm not saying let's
51:41
hand it over if you handed me a
51:43
government job i would suck out that
51:45
budget and say let's get this thing
51:46
clarified here are the different types
51:49
here's what they do these are the
51:50
different vitamins a b c dna here's what
51:53
the vitamins do and we put it on the
51:55
package and there's clarity around the
51:57
nutritional content of these things i go
52:00
to the store i pick up my vitamins i
52:02
know am i getting zinc in there there's
52:03
no zinc my doctor said i needed zinc
52:05
let's pick up the multivitamins with
52:07
that sort of clarity of message and
52:10
clarity of ingredients and clarity of
52:12
what are these things is what i would do
52:16
let's get a messaging campaign out there
52:18
uh instead of putting more roadblocks or
52:20
barriers or legislative uh roadblocks in
52:23
front of the or mandating anything for
52:26
that matter
52:27
and i would do the exact same thing it
52:28
would all be about messaging it would
52:30
all be simplified it would all be
52:32
repetitive and easy to understand it
52:34
would stick in the back of your head and
52:35
you'd understand when the word annuity
52:37
was used
52:38
whether it was got guarantees or
52:40
transfer of risk or whatever we came up
52:43
with i think that's the biggest problem
52:45
with an industry that has a monopoly an
52:48
absolute monopoly on lifetime income how
52:51
that how this isn't a multi-trillion
52:54
dollar market annually i don't
52:56
understand
52:57
and sometimes it feels like i'm
52:59
screaming into a hurricane with people
53:01
that don't under that the industry that
53:03
doesn't seem to care because they're
53:05
making so much money last question
53:06
motion i appreciate once again
53:09
moshe moleski we're going to have his
53:10
stuff on the site but boy has it been a
53:12
pleasure and i could talk to you forever
53:14
and hopefully one of these days where
53:16
our paths will cross
53:18
especially in florida i live in florida
53:19
and las vegas so maybe we'll our florida
53:21
paths will cross but this is the last
53:23
question
53:24
and i do it with all my celebrity guests
53:26
i don't give them a heads up on it
53:28
but it's called the mic drop moment and
53:30
what i want you to do is i'm going to
53:32
hand you the mic and you're going to say
53:33
something that you think the consumers
53:36
out there that are listening to this
53:37
need to hear
53:38
and walk away with
53:40
because you're moshe moleski so my drop
53:42
moment
53:44
moshe moleski
53:47
yeah i i think that uh consumers should
53:49
pay more attention to what fees
53:52
commissions
53:53
and uh you know revenue sharing
53:55
agreements uh exist with all the
53:58
financial products that they buy i think
54:00
many of them are embarrassed to ask this
54:01
they have a good relationship with their
54:03
financial advisor their local insurance
54:05
agent their local car insurance sales
54:06
person i think people have to become
54:08
more accustomed to look what's the
54:09
markup on this thing you know i'm buying
54:11
a car this is what i'm paying you know
54:13
you can easily spreadsheet and compare i
54:16
think that would also solve part of the
54:17
problem the skeptic in the consumer says
54:20
yeah you're making a big you know you're
54:21
ripping me off well if you disclosed
54:23
that it wasn't that much you know maybe
54:26
i feel more comfortable with it it's not
54:28
just i don't understand it even if i do
54:30
understand it i'm concerned that it's
54:31
very opaque and i don't understand how
54:33
much i'm making so ask awkward questions
54:36
that's the mic drop moment learn to ask
54:38
awkward questions to people you like
54:41
yeah i know i have a great relationship
54:42
with my advisor but here's an awkward
54:44
question exactly how much money are you
54:47
making from this
54:49
i love that
54:50
i'm i'm gonna that might be a t-shirt
54:52
motion that we have us ask awkward
54:54
questions
54:56
to get the right answers i really
54:57
appreciate that i really appreciate you
54:59
joining me and thank you so much for
55:01
everyone out there that's that's joined
55:03
us on all the podcast platforms then
55:05
youtube channel called fun with
55:06
annuities and i will see you next week
55:14
thanks for listening to fun with
55:15
annuities please hit the subscribe
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button and make sure to go to my site at
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the
55:21
annuityman.com where you can run your
55:23
own spea dia and q lat quotes and see a
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55:45
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55:48
specific situation it will be the best
55:50
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55:53
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55:56
you should definitely take advantage of
55:58
so join me next time for the number one
56:00
annuity podcast on the planet fun
56:03
with annuities
56:07
[Music]
56:18
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