Chuck Jaffe: Top Money & Life Topics for 2024

January 30, 2024
57 min
Chuck Jaffe: Top Money & Life Topics for 2024
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IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND CHUCK JAFFE DISCUSS:
- Politics and economy
- Looking into how inflation affects you
- How Indexed Annuities should be used
- The question for cryptocurrency

KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- Politics don’t create the economy. There are a lot more factors that go into it than just who is in power. Economic forecasts sometimes become inaccurate because there is a huge disconnect between how we feel and how we’re doing.
- Don’t let the news dictate what you truly feel. Try to honestly assess how inflation is affecting your life because inflation is not that bad for those who have and are much worse for people who have not.
- Indexed Annuities are often pitched in misleading ways but they are good products if the consumer is taught their true features and function. They can be used as a great delivery system for income rider guarantees when future income is the goal of the client and it beats the deferred income annuity quote.
- The biggest question we must ask about cryptocurrency is this: “What problem does it solve?” The value of cryptocurrency is determined by what the market makes of it. It doesn’t have any value yet except that. Blockchain technology is much more worthy of investment.

"Keep in perspective where money is supposed to be. You didn't make it to save it. You didn't make it to be buried. The richest man in the graveyard is not the happiest man before he got there." — Chuck Jaffe

Connect with Chuck Jaffe:
Website: http://moneylifeshow.com/
Podcast: https://moneylifeshow.libsyn.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChuckJaffe

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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)

0:00
[Music]

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welcome to fund with annuities where

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let's get to

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[Music]

0:28
it welcome to fun with annuities I'm

0:31
your host Stan the annuity man America's

0:33
annuity asent yes you are correct I am

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licensed in all 50 states have a repeat

0:38
guest a good friend of mine newly

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married so if you if you're watching us

0:42
on the fun with anties YouTube channel

0:44
and wondering what they were that glow

0:46
is coming from that's from Chuck's newly

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wedness right this is the who I'm

0:51
talking to is Chuck jaffy he is the host

0:54
of money life if you go to moneylife

0:57
show.com please check check out all the

1:00
the repeats and the podcast and all the

1:02
stuff he's one of the best in the

1:03
business has been a columnist at market

1:05
watch and other places for a long long

1:07
time you probably have read his stuff if

1:10
you are in the money world at all and

1:13
trying to care about your retirement so

1:16
with that welcome newlywed Chuck jaffy

1:20
well thanks so much for having me and

1:22
yeah I can't stop smiling so it's a good

1:24
thing it's the perran you know and for

1:27
people like me who's been married 35

1:29
years and all the people that are

1:30
watching and listening they're like come

1:31
on Chuck you're killing me man but

1:35
that's good no that's good so um let's

1:37
Jump Right In I mean when I get you on

1:40
the

1:41
show we have fun and we laugh and we

1:43
Giggle and we but but I really do

1:48
want to hear what you have to say and

1:50
we're going to be all over the board and

1:52
as I told you before we started let's

1:53
just freeform this thing because that's

1:54
how we typically do um let's weigh in on

1:58
elections politics and all that stuff

2:00
and your predictions on maybe what's

2:02
going to happen to the the the markets

2:06
and money and what you're what you're

2:08
telling people at this point in time

2:10
even though at the time of this taping

2:13
um we're we're pre uh presidential

2:16
election hard hard to know a whole lot

2:19
about what's going on right now that's

2:20
for sure the but there is a few things

2:23
that we definitely do know not the least

2:26
of which is that that ultimately

2:30
election years are pretty benign for the

2:32
market this one is likely to be as well

2:35
at least until the end of it because

2:37
you're going to go through I mean it's

2:40
very interesting to me that someone like

2:41
Bob doah former meril Lynch Chief

2:44
investment officer now with crossmar

2:46
global he's the CEO there right in his

2:48
10 forecasts for the year the last one

2:51
is always political and he said we're

2:53
gonna see a flip in the White House the

2:55
Senate and Congress he said all of them

2:57
would flip really and that's the most

2:59
extreme that I've heard but it's coming

3:01
from a guy who's never extreme like

3:03
that's not his Norm

3:06
so I I have to say I don't know how this

3:09
could go yeah but I think that that the

3:13
impact of the election will be much less

3:15
on the market and the economy right now

3:18
than the impact of the FED I mean the

3:22
the the bond market is pricing in six

3:25
Bond uh rate Cuts this year six that's

3:29
what the bond market is pricing in I

3:31
don't know a single person and I

3:33
interview people every single day I do

3:35
not have a single expert who I've talked

3:37
to who said six that's my number I've

3:39
had a couple of people say yeah maybe

3:41
you could get to five but I think it's

3:43
more likely four so there is clearly a

3:46
disconnect between what the market is

3:48
expecting and what the FED is going to

3:50
do and as much as we love to see the

3:54
market at record hindes I will just

3:57
point out if I were Jerome Powell and no

4:00
I do not bear any resemblance to him and

4:02
more importantly I do not want his job

4:04
there you go but if I were Jerome Powell

4:07
a market being at record highs tells me

4:11
I can wait longer before I start cutting

4:14
rates and that while you think it's you

4:18
know okay that's you know the market's

4:21
at record highs that's good but that's

4:23
not necessarily good in terms of the

4:25
economy you're GNA have to have those

4:27
rate cuts for the economy to kind of say

4:29
oh let's get growth back in yeah it's

4:31
interesting having been through a lot of

4:33
these Cycles just like you uh typically

4:35
and what I've seen when I was with you

4:37
know Dean wooders and Morgan Stanley's

4:38
and pay weers and UBS is is not a lot of

4:42
activity during that year of the

4:44
election it's typically static there's

4:46
not a lot happening after the elections

4:48
and things kind of happen so for people

4:51
to be calling for six rate Cuts that's a

4:53
lot and I don't I don't know I might

4:55
have to take the under on that one no I

4:57
I don't see it I really don't see it man

5:00
I don't see it but again so let's look

5:03
back at the last couple years St right

5:05
because in

5:06
2022 every forecast for the year was

5:09
wrong no matter who you talk to there I

5:11
look now now you had people who said oh

5:13
it's gonna be a bad year on the market

5:15
and they were correct about it but

5:17
nobody said the Market's GNA Peak on

5:19
January the 3 and then it's GNA go go

5:21
down ever since so the way the market

5:23
went down in

5:24
2022 made everybody wrong then we got to

5:27
2023 and every Outlook for 2023 was also

5:31
wrong they were wrong for different

5:33
reasons in

5:35
2023 every forecaster was saying we're

5:38
either going to see a landing hard or

5:41
soft we'll see a recession we'll see

5:43
some sort of an event and the market put

5:46
all of that off so now you get to this

5:49
year and they'll probably be right the

5:51
outlooks that we've been hearing but

5:53
they'll probably be right for the wrong

5:55
reasons in other words they're right

5:57
because everybody went benign

6:00
and this Market likely will be fairly

6:02
benign that's it you can't make a case

6:06
that like wow the Market's Going To Go

6:08
Gang Busters that would be a

6:10
surprise you could make a case that

6:12
there could be some trouble ultimately

6:14
what does that mean means we're gonna

6:16
probably have some volatility and then

6:18
we'll see what we scratch out and the

6:20
end of the year may determine it like we

6:22
could be positive until election day and

6:24
then watch the end of the year tank it

6:25
out a little bit and then next year is

6:28
going to be the really CR one because

6:30
you will have whatever the new Power

6:32
structure is and you you will have a

6:36
situation

6:37
where there's enough talk in of what's

6:41
being done that if you give anyone any

6:44
credit for what is happening like that

6:47
politics matters sure then the question

6:49
becomes do you stop what's going on or

6:52
not and let us just point out without

6:54
getting too political because I'm not

6:56
really the guy to talk partisan politics

6:58
with me neither yeah I'm a Centrist yeah

7:01
but wi without getting too political

7:05
there's a huge disconnect in this

7:07
country right now

7:09
between like how we feel and how we're

7:12
actually doing right just this week and

7:16
and as we're recording this it's the

7:18
third week of January just in case

7:20
somebody's listening to it yeah it's G

7:22
to come out next week so it's pry timely

7:24
we

7:25
got great consumer confidence news yet

7:29
if you talk to anybody about what

7:32
they're spending at the grocery store

7:33
about what they're

7:34
spending at the gas pump or God forbid

7:38
because you can put me in this realm I

7:42
my my homeowners insurance bill is due

7:45
and it is up

7:47
39.6% from a year ago like you can talk

7:51
about inflation all you want 5%

7:53
inflation you know oh it's been high 39%

7:57
increase in a year no claims no claims

8:00
history no nothing that should drive it

8:02
other than if something happens to my

8:04
house they're GNA have to pay a lot

8:05
more everyone is

8:08
complaining about their consumer

8:11
experience and

8:12
yet you don't know anybody who really

8:15
wants to be employed who can't find a

8:17
job right now because we're at full

8:18
employment you you know yeah but yeah

8:21
but and I'm gonna step in here coming

8:23
from rural America um I read a article

8:26
recently about the bank list

8:30
society that we're in the 60% of the

8:32
people in the world in in adults in

8:34
United States excuse me have less than

8:36
$400 in their checking account um a vast

8:39
majority at least up to onethird more

8:42
than that in some cases don't have a

8:44
bank account um or checking account or

8:47
savings account so they're they're

8:48
literally carrying their net worth in

8:50
their right right pocket so I think that

8:54
the people that are listening to this

8:55
podcast are obviously wanting to hear

8:57
what you have to say by the way this

8:58
we're talking to Chuck jaffy he's the

9:00
host of uh money life moneyl show.com if

9:03
you want to go there read his articles

9:04
and columns at marketwatch.com he's

9:06
fantastic been doing this a long long

9:08
time it's great Insight but my point is

9:11
we are talking to a bubble so I always

9:13
tell my clients that remember when

9:15
you're on the highway six out of 10

9:17
people have can't if they wrecked their

9:18
car they couldn't fix it so might not

9:21
want to flip those people off but those

9:22
are also called voters and I do think

9:25
that's the angst part that people like

9:27
us forget about a lot of times is that

9:30
let's just say it's a 50% number of

9:32
people that are just living on the edge

9:36
literally every day regardless how much

9:37
they're making and there's Arguments for

9:40
that but you know politically there's no

9:41
good answers to that but it also it also

9:44
explains how politicians and why

9:46
politicians say the things they do and

9:48
talk how they how they talk well but we

9:50
have a k-shaped recovery right that's

9:52
what we seeing is so a k-shaped recovery

9:55
imagine a k where you've got one part

9:57
that comes up one part that goes down so

9:59
the halves are getting more and the have

10:01
knots are not getting more or getting

10:03
less Etc the problem from a political

10:05
standpoint is that the have knots are

10:08
much less active politically much less

10:10
likely to vote but the Oddity of the

10:12
current economy is that the halves

10:14
actually feel like they have nots I know

10:17
I I'm amazed when I talk to people

10:19
because I'll engage on either side I'm

10:21
happy to take up whatever debate we want

10:22
to have sure and I'll engage on either

10:24
side and I'll get people who will talk

10:26
about how miserable the economy is and

10:27
I'll say how is it miserable for you

10:30
like give me a specific where you are

10:32
going this is my terrible thing and then

10:36
size it up because I can I can [ __ ] at

10:38
the gas pump as much as anybody but in

10:41
my case because I work from home and I

10:43
do whatever I go through a tank of gas

10:45
maybe once every three weeks right when

10:47
I'm busy you know so I can complain and

10:50
it's really noticeable oh I didn't

10:52
haven't been to the gas pump for three

10:53
weeks or four weeks and now the price is

10:55
up 20 cents or whatever but I can't tell

11:00
you like that's not make or break for me

11:02
because that's 12 bucks you know now the

11:05
the

11:06
39.6% increase in my home

11:10
insurance you know that's more than the

11:13
stimulus check the government gave me

11:15
during covid so that's a lot more that's

11:18
a different scenario but the vast

11:19
majority of people who are

11:22
complaining their complaints are not

11:24
necessarily their own and that's the

11:26
interesting side look if you're in that

11:28
part that's

11:29
unbanked the question would be were you

11:33
in were you better off in any other

11:36
Administration the answer is probably

11:38
not right and therefore you're proving

11:41
the point that the politics don't make

11:43
the market that that it's something else

11:46
and it's not like quite honestly I don't

11:48
really blame politicians much for

11:50
inflation I I will say you know people

11:52
have asked me I do believe that whoever

11:54
wins this next election is going to be

11:56
saddled with a recession I don't think

11:58
they're going to avoid it it may not be

11:59
a bad one but they're going to be

12:00
settled with a recession and oh by the

12:03
way I would have told you the same thing

12:05
in 2016 and we managed to avoid a

12:08
recession until 2020 and that was some

12:11
good politicking even if you don't

12:13
necessarily like the person who was

12:14
doing that politicking but as a general

12:16
rule I don't give much credit good bad

12:18
or otherwise because it may have been

12:21
good politicking it may have been

12:22
leftover from the guy before him

12:24
whatever so yeah and I and I have

12:27
conversations with clients all the time

12:29
that they're they'll they'll be upset

12:32
about inflation and they'll have $7

12:33
million investable and I'm like you're

12:35
the most arrogant person I know and I'm

12:38
one of the most arrogant people on the

12:39
planet probably but listen you can buy

12:41
the eggs you can buy the gas but you

12:44
know inflation if you have seven figures

12:46
or more probably isn't going to hit you

12:48
and if you're obsessed about it then you

12:49
need to probably get medicated a little

12:51
bit um because it you you and I and I

12:54
know people are on this going Stan I

12:56
hate you please stop talking like that

12:57
you don't understand no actually I do

13:00
understand um and it's and it's called

13:02
math um and I do think you know

13:04
inflation hits that lower end hard but

13:07
for the people on this podcast in most

13:09
cases yes it's annoying inflation's like

13:11
a fly that's flying around your head and

13:13
you can't you can't catch it it keeps

13:15
landing on your ear eventually you're

13:17
going to catch it it's going to go away

13:18
whatever and I do think people and I

13:21
blame the media for for punching the

13:24
inflation um bag too many times because

13:28
the people they're talking to aren't the

13:30
people that's really hitting the people

13:31
that are really hitting aren't watching

13:33
cable news or reading Wall Street

13:35
Journal um so I I have a big Bugaboo

13:39
about people upset about inflation

13:41
because the people that are upset about

13:43
inflation most likely have a lot of

13:44
money and they're just trying to

13:46
navigate that speed bump I don't know if

13:49
you run into that with your callers or

13:50
not but boy I do with my people and I'm

13:52
like inflation I'm like what's like

13:55
playoffs I'm like inflation what are you

13:57
talking about man I think like I said

14:00
inflation's real I can look I can

14:02
complain but I can't say I can't afford

14:04
it and and I think for I I think it

14:07
brings up some good stuff that we can

14:08
get to on the annuity side and the

14:10
savings side as well sure you know at

14:12
the end of every show I my tagline at

14:15
the end of each day is until we do this

14:17
again the next time remember that the

14:18
best thing you could do for your money

14:20
is not worry too much about it right

14:23
true like keep it in perspective and for

14:25
those folks who have that amount of

14:27
money the the thing that I worry about

14:28
with a guy who's complaining at $7

14:30
million yeah who's worried about

14:32
inflation

14:33
right I do not worry that that person's

14:37
seriously going to be impacted by

14:39
inflation but what is making that

14:41
person's life significantly less is

14:45
their own money mindset because if

14:48
they're worried about inflation at that

14:49
point look if you've made that much

14:52
money you were entitled to spend it

14:53
however you want and you should make

14:55
your life as nice as you can and I can't

14:57
tell you the number of people people who

14:58
are in my audience and I'm sure you have

15:00
some in yours too who will tell you that

15:02
they have problems spending money not

15:06
like going to the grocery store paying

15:08
inflation it's I go to book an airline

15:11
flight and it's $28 cheaper to take the

15:15
flight that stops in Baltimore and then

15:17
Charlotte before I get to my destination

15:19
or whatever and I can't bring myself to

15:22
do it or you know I've been having

15:24
problems with my hip and I don't want to

15:27
spend an extra 300 bucks to fly first

15:29
class when all of this is dominous

15:32
amounts right when it comes to what

15:34
they're going to get to and and by the

15:36
way this is a huge part of the planning

15:38
industry like you and I can talk about

15:40
when people make their planning

15:41
assessments and their planning

15:43
adjustments and what they're thinking

15:44
about right and the financial planning

15:46
industry like with the whole 4 perent

15:48
rule right you know don't amass enough

15:51
money so that you're spending you're

15:52
living off of 4% right that is a great

15:56
rule for the financial advisor who gets

15:58
you to follow it because totally agree

16:02
it's been deun so many times I mean come

16:05
on I I agree I agree with that I I think

16:10
that you know it's hard it's hard to

16:12
tell people

16:14
um my wife calls it the scars of

16:17
scarcity and I think that's the best

16:18
phrase I've ever heard because we all

16:20
have scars from when we had no money in

16:23
the past or when our parents had no

16:24
money in the past and now we have money

16:27
and we still have those scars you know

16:28
we all we all can tell those stories um

16:31
a specific story I have one in my head

16:33
that I've told before and every time I

16:34
tell it I cry about when we were newly

16:37
newly married with one kid and I had to

16:39
go buy baby food on a credit card I mean

16:44
that'll make you cry that's a scar of

16:46
scarcity everyone out there listening

16:48
and watching has a scar of scarcity but

16:50
what I'm encouraging people to do is not

16:53
bring that scar with you to your current

16:56
state I always tell people you can

16:58
afford the the eggs and you can buy the

16:59
gas you're good you're fine you can fly

17:01
first class I always tell my clients fly

17:03
first class your kids will it's your

17:05
call you know and so I'm trying I'm

17:08
trying out here to talk about lifestyle

17:10
chapter 2 is all about you chapter two

17:12
is about living your life and we're all

17:15
at the age now where we have friends and

17:17
colleagues that drop dead and not to be

17:20
morbid but you know one of the reasons I

17:23
do these podcasts and the videos is to

17:25
remind people let's spend it you know

17:27
you can't take it with you there's no u-

17:28
huls behind hes so you know I that's

17:31
what I love about your show you give

17:34
Solutions but it's not life or death

17:36
inflation is not life or death politics

17:38
is not life or death even if we have a

17:41
Black Swan event we're going to get

17:44
through

17:46
it well one in 2010 I lost my brother

17:50
who at the time was 57 years old and and

17:53
just sort of won the evil Lottery and

17:55
got a disease and a few months after

17:56
that I had a heart attack so those

17:59
things will change some of your

18:01
perspective and and you know what I had

18:03
always told my kids what my parents told

18:05
me is don't expect an inheritance go do

18:07
your thing and and you know the right

18:09
thing should happen and yeah you may get

18:11
a little bit lucky and whatever that's

18:13
what I'm telling my kids go live your

18:15
life because my only promise to my kids

18:17
is I will not go broke until the day

18:20
after I die in other words we'll be able

18:22
to pay all my bills and do everything

18:24
else there may not be anything left for

18:26
you but I I promise not to outlive my

18:30
money and and that does not take the the

18:33
funny side is you know all of this is

18:35
about math and and you get it in in

18:38
anity side but everything's about you

18:39
know how scary is the math simple

18:42
examples credit card

18:44
debt if you pay the minimum they'll say

18:47
okay well if you've got the minimum if

18:49
you've got the average credit card

18:50
balance and you pay the minimum it's

18:52
going to take you 17 years to pay it

18:55
off but here's the thing let's say that

18:57
your minimum minimum payment that first

18:59
month is $100 you pay the minimum now

19:02
your minimum payment is

19:04
9925 right and then in the next month

19:06
it's 9875 and whatever and your minimum

19:10
comes down if you could afford to pay

19:12
$100 your minimum this month and you

19:14
just kept paying a $100 as your minimum

19:17
goes down but you stick with $100

19:19
because you could afford it instead of

19:21
taking you 17 and a half years it'll

19:23
take you about six is that great is that

19:26
great no but you can play on that you

19:28
don't have to look at six years and go

19:30
oh my God any setback will be horrible

19:33
for me I'll never get out of debt the

19:35
same thing when it comes to savings when

19:38
it comes to savings and you're looking

19:40
at the 4 perent rule or what have you

19:42
you have to save way more money to make

19:44
sure that you never run out of money

19:47
when you can take a realistic look at

19:48
what you're spending and what you hope

19:50
to spend and I mean look you I love

19:52
scars of scarcity I I want to keep that

19:54
and remember that yeah but I mean I'm

19:56
somebody who loves to cook

19:59
and I will tell you that my menu is

20:01
decided pretty much every single week

20:04
based on what's on sale at the grocery

20:07
store now that's not because oh my God

20:10
I'm being cheap no it's just that if I'm

20:13
gonna buy myself really good steak I'm

20:15
gonna buy it when it's on sale because

20:16
the rest of the time I can eat chicken

20:18
or do whatever else I want and eat

20:20
really well I can't stop myself from

20:22
saving the money I then spend that money

20:24
on something else so I try not to make

20:27
it that like it's scars of scarcity

20:30
let's go back to the days when you know

20:31
oh Ramen a a treat and 40 cents and

20:34
we've all been there unless you're

20:36
unless you're an inheritance baby we've

20:38
all been there all of us and even if you

20:40
were an inheritance baby if your parents

20:42
did it right you still had to go through

20:44
some period so you know for me it's much

20:48
more about conscious spending what I

20:50
dislike about inflation and where the

20:52
bringing this back to that side of

20:53
things is that you know I have no

20:55
problems paying my insurance bill but

20:57
it's kind of like you know what Arthur

20:58
Godfrey said about taxes in the United

21:00
States Arthur Godfrey said I'm I'm proud

21:03
to pay taxes to the United States of

21:05
America but I could be just as proud for

21:07
half the money right I I love that you

21:10
know like there's nothing better than

21:12
going oh I paid my insurance bill I

21:13
don't have to worry about that I did

21:14
this I did that I love paying off my

21:16
bills I love being like yep everything's

21:18
going well I'm right where I'm supposed

21:20
to be but I could be just as happy with

21:22
a little bit less money going out the

21:24
door for that stuff so that's how you

21:26
wind up with inflation you know the uh

21:29
really 39 inflation's living in people's

21:32
heads for free and it shouldn't be

21:33
living there in in a lot of cases what

21:36
are your what are your guests and

21:38
callers saying what's what's the

21:40
concerns that keep coming up or that

21:42
have surprised you

21:44
recently oh I don't know that there's

21:46
any that that have surprised me I think

21:50
that the the interesting thing is how

21:54
willing everyone is to believe that the

21:57
consumer can keep going so if you take a

22:00
look at all of the things that had

22:02
people saying in 2023 we expect

22:05
recession they were actually things on

22:07
which we were kind of early like an

22:09
inverted yield curve which we still have

22:12
right an inverted yield curve normally

22:14
takes 18 to 24 months before it really

22:17
comes to

22:18
roost so couple that with the high

22:22
interest rates that we've had what

22:24
happens when interest rates go high you

22:26
get more defaults but we haven't seen

22:29
more to Falls they're creeping they're

22:31
starting to creep the delinquencies are

22:34
starting to creep in exactly right we're

22:36
starting to see numbers that show that

22:38
okay consumers are under stress yeah

22:40
we're seeing numbers that say there's

22:42
record credit card debt and credit card

22:44
debt is at record high levels of

22:45
interest rates correct but it hasn't

22:48
stopped consumers yet there everyone's

22:50
talking about well with these high rates

22:52
nobody can get a mortgage

22:54
well not that many people need them I

22:56
know they do and that's overstating it

22:58
but the fact is we're now at a spot in

23:01
this country where where when couples

23:03
are separating they're not fighting

23:05
about who gets to keep the house they're

23:07
fighting about who gets to keep the

23:08
mortgage because the mortgage is a 3%

23:11
mortgage from X number of years ago like

23:14
I may not want the house but I want the

23:15
document because that's cheap money that

23:17
I can't get someplace else if that falls

23:20
under I used to love you but I love the

23:22
low rates

23:23
more I'm not I'm not sure but I I know

23:27
that it's

23:28
I I know that that you know anybody who

23:31
has

23:33
like as someone who could be looking

23:35
because I just got married my wife and I

23:37
are talking about where we want to be

23:38
living and what we want to be forward I

23:41
will not say that my mortgage is like a

23:42
golden handcuff to the

23:44
house but the math works very

23:48
differently now with me having a low

23:51
rate mortgage and looking at something

23:53
that would be much

23:55
higher you know Etc so it makes me say

23:58
okay what situation do we want and we're

24:00
not quite ready to move to a lower cost

24:03
area of the country we go oh who needs a

24:04
mortgage or whatever but we're close and

24:08
so it changes the conversations and it

24:10
changes the numbers but again the things

24:14
that we haven't seen happen yet there

24:16
has been no wave of defaults not at any

24:18
level we haven't seen junk bonds have a

24:20
wave of of defaults we haven't seen

24:22
creditors have a wave of defaults you

24:25
only have to go back six seven years we

24:28
had municipalities that were on the wave

24:30
of

24:31
default you know Puerto Rico bonds and

24:34
and Chicago bonds and Detroit bonds and

24:36
whatever else we're all in trouble all

24:39
that problem has quote unquote gone away

24:41
and remember we're less than a year

24:43
removed from Silicon Valley Bank and

24:46
problems there now the one that would

24:48
worry me if you want the scary one the

24:52
scary one is how many banks have a

24:54
significant amount of paper out on

24:57
commercial real estate yes and if you

25:00
can't solve the commercial real estate

25:01
problem could you have a wave of bank

25:04
failures you could you

25:07
could and at the same time and let's

25:09
point out I just had a guest on the the

25:13
January 24th edition of money life um

25:16
anat adadi she's a Stanford University

25:18
Professor who wrote a book that that by

25:22
by the way moneylife show.com

25:25
so she wrote a book the Banker's new

25:28
close okay here it is here because I

25:30
just they happen to have it handy and

25:32
it's what's wrong with Banking and what

25:33
to what to do about it and one of the

25:37
things that she points out and I

25:38
strongly believe that this is right is

25:40
that you know we keep saying oh this

25:42
bank is too big to fail and oh you you

25:44
didn't follow FDIC Insurance things but

25:46
we'll insure you anyway Etc all of that

25:49
is incentivizing bad behavior of course

25:52
and so we can't get rid of the bank

25:54
failures until we tell the banks oh

25:56
we're going to let some of you fail like

25:58
guess what you're you're in trouble and

26:00
we're going to let you go down and you

26:03
know politicians but politicians then

26:06
get in the way because now you have

26:08
voters and blah blah blah and that's the

26:11
problem is is there's

26:13
no there's

26:15
no they got there someone's got to pay

26:17
the bill you know and it's just there it

26:22
all of this has got to come home to

26:23
roost eventually you and I both know

26:25
that we're just waiting on it so your

26:27
worry SC scenario the worry scenario is

26:30
there are plenty of things out there

26:32
that had people saying we were going to

26:33
have a hard Landing none of that has

26:35
been repealed right none of that there's

26:38
no guarantee we've just seen enough

26:41
things happen and remember that

26:42
everything that we've seen happened was

26:44
coming out of a covid environment and

26:47
it's not just covid and along side of it

26:50
we had a recession in three months right

26:53
go back they actually consider that a

26:55
recession but they don't consider what

26:57
we were seeing like at the end of last

26:59
year where we had had six months of of

27:02
you know negative GDP growth or whatever

27:04
that's a classic definition of a

27:05
recession with a few other things thrown

27:07
in they weren't willing to call that a

27:09
recession yet the covid drop- down Spike

27:12
they called a recession it messed up

27:15
numbers not just during covid but then

27:17
what are your year-over-year comps and

27:19
what are your whatever comps and right

27:21
you know oh this looks good but where is

27:23
it relative to preco levels versus

27:25
postco levels there a a lot of stuff out

27:28
there that the worry to me the odd case

27:31
is the one that says yeah there's still

27:33
plenty of trouble we got to work it out

27:35
are you bullish on the stock market

27:38
always because my time Horizon is long

27:40
term bullish on the bond

27:42
market right now I am I believe that

27:45
fixed income has been fixed it's

27:47
generating a return for you but I think

27:50
that people want to try to make sure

27:52
that they're getting their returns from

27:53
a couple of different places and

27:55
remember your time Horizon you know

27:59
at this point if all you're worried

28:01
about is a safe haven you can do

28:03
reasonably well in bank accounts sure

28:06
but you're gonna face a lot of

28:07
reinvestment risk and and that's I think

28:10
what we're gonna start to see now once

28:11
rate Cuts happen yeah right once we see

28:14
I don't know is the yield curve disin

28:16
verting un inverting whatever yield the

28:19
yield curve goes back to like being a

28:20
curve sounds like a great jazz album dis

28:23
dis inverting of the uninverted you know

28:26
you know whoever that is

28:28
dis inverting dis inverting the yield

28:30
curve sounds like somebody's next album

28:32
that's like yeah that's like Miles Davis

28:33
the they lost the Lost album exactly the

28:37
Yi curve but yeah I I I think that um I

28:41
think we're all kind of waiting on

28:43
whatever shoe to drop whatever that shoe

28:45
to drop is because there's so much

28:46
happening and I know there's always

28:48
things happening if you go back but you

28:51
know couple couple Wars and you know

28:54
crazy election and I don't know it's

28:57
just uh my clients there the flight to

29:00
safety has been unbelievable in the

29:02
annuity industry because not only can

29:04
you get lifetime income products at very

29:06
good payout rates but you can also get

29:08
guaranteed interest rate products too

29:10
that people have been flocking to that

29:11
combine with treasuries and combined

29:13
with CDs and combined with quality bonds

29:16
for a fixed income portfolio I think the

29:19
Savers are winning here and after

29:22
Decades of them getting hammered I'm I'm

29:24
pulling for them yeah but I'm also

29:26
telling them

29:27
it ain't gonna be here forever player

29:29
because you know the we have to service

29:32
the debt which means they're going to

29:34
have to lower these interest rates

29:36
period here's a question for you with

29:38
regard to what you're seeing from those

29:40
Savers which is as the rate environment

29:43
has changed have some of the people who

29:45
are now turning to you for annuities

29:47
were they not coming to you before

29:49
because they were looking at reverse

29:50
mortgages before in other words no no no

29:53
because because in a rising rate in

29:57
environment you definitely want to go

29:59
with the annuities in a falling rate

30:02
environment in a low rate environment

30:04
you want to go with let me let me that

30:07
that's a logical progression and in a

30:09
perfect world of people with high IQs it

30:11
makes sense but um but in the world of

30:14
annuities where there's a horrific

30:17
messaging of from an industry standpoint

30:19
except for Mah um what happened is

30:22
people realized that there was more than

30:24
one type of annuity see most people are

30:26
walking around there thinking there's an

30:27
immediate annuity and if you die money

30:29
goes poof that's insane but that's what

30:31
a lot of people think they they started

30:33
realizing wait a minute

30:36
annuities plural there there are types

30:38
that are like CDs boy let's buy that

30:41
because we can get a really good yield I

30:43
think it was a discovery of the consumer

30:47
filtering through all of the crap sales

30:49
pitches to find out that there are

30:52
annuities that actually fit what they're

30:53
trying to do and a lot of people have

30:55
enough money always it my my comment is

30:58
if you won the game why are you still

31:00
playing they can they can live off the

31:02
interest they can lock it in long term

31:04
and live off the interest so you know

31:06
obviously the the the the kudin says

31:09
well yeah but what happens after year 10

31:11
let's let's pick up the fork and the

31:13
road at that point in time but if you

31:14
can lock in five six% guaranteed yield

31:17
for 10 consecutive years and you have

31:18
enough money life's pretty good right so

31:21
I think in the annuity space it was

31:25
people like me shouting down the the

31:28
index annuity Gunslingers out there

31:31
selling dreams hopes and upfront bonuses

31:33
to say hey it doesn't have to be that

31:34
complex we're not against index

31:36
annuities we just don't we just sell

31:38
them for what they are which is CD

31:39
products and income writer attachments

31:41
if you need future income but if you

31:43
need to protect the principal and get an

31:45
interest rate that's a Miga period just

31:49
I'm kind of against I'm kind of against

31:51
index new I understand that we use them

31:53
as a delivery system I understand as a

31:55
journalist I'm not really against any

31:57
anything but you know how many times

31:59
have I been to those dinners oh how many

32:01
how many uh uh times you know when I I

32:03
wrote stupid investment of the week for

32:04
a decade and and you know me I I use

32:08
them only as a delivery currently in

32:10
their current form I use them as a

32:12
delivery system for income writer

32:13
guarantees when future income is the

32:15
goal and the income writer beats the

32:17
Deferred income annuity quote but with

32:19
that being said you are correct the the

32:21
sales practices on the index side and

32:24
the buffer annuity side is what needs to

32:26
be clean up but you asked the question

32:28
what happened were people going from

32:30
reverse mortgages annuity no they found

32:32
out about annuity types that were never

32:34
told to them at the bad chicken dinner

32:35
seminar that's what happened and then

32:38
once they found out they they gravitated

32:40
to it because there were such simple

32:42
products in in contractual guarantees

32:44
that they could explain it to their

32:46
spouse and loved ones and they bought

32:47
them in drugs period I I will simply

32:50
point out again because I don't like to

32:51
say that I hate any sort of product sure

32:54
I will simply say that I am on the

32:55
record as saying that the average person

32:59
needs an indexed annuity the way a moose

33:01
needs a hat rack

33:04
okay I'll I'll leave it for everybody to

33:07
else to figure out that joke if you can

33:10
but that's if you take a look at your

33:13
finances and you can do whatever and by

33:15
the way my favorite is going to those

33:17
dinners and saying well if I wanted to

33:20
do the same thing and get a guaranteed

33:21
return why wouldn't I put a certain

33:23
percentage of my money into zero coupon

33:25
bonds it'll give me C amount of

33:28
money and with the rest of it I'll go

33:30
buy an index fund I'll keep my dividends

33:33
right so I'm not giving up things that

33:35
are part of my upside and I'll get to

33:37
the same destination with more money and

33:39
less cost that's the yourself a

33:43
do-it-yourself index annuity you got it

33:46
and by the way when I was talking with

33:48
my dad when my dad was still alive

33:49
you're talking about the amounts of

33:50
money that people get to I had to have

33:53
this meeting with my father where I

33:54
basically said dad you know here it is

33:56
you know that if you have this much

33:57
money you're set for life so you have

34:00
way more than this much money so take

34:02
that amount and that becomes your don't

34:04
screw it up money if you don't screw it

34:07
up you could go buy scratch tickets with

34:09
the rest of it and my father never

34:11
bought a lottery ticket as never have I

34:13
but you know you can do whatever you

34:15
want with that money and you're never

34:17
gonna want and that to me by the way is

34:21
the real reason when people talk to me

34:23
about annuities and oh they're complex

34:25
or whatever I'm like look that complex

34:28
but it's not that complex when you think

34:30
about it from the standpoint of what

34:31
it's doing for you if you can say I can

34:33
wake up every morning and kind of do the

34:35
Forest Gump oh they told me you didn't

34:37
have to worry about money that's one

34:38
less thing to worry about if you can

34:40
basically say hey I can lock this in and

34:42
no that pretty much whatever happens I

34:45
don't have to worry about money the rest

34:47
of my money can go up and down it can do

34:49
whatever I can spend it I cannot spend

34:51
it yep that's the value more so than the

34:55
did I squeeze every pen No Doubt hey

34:58
what's your take on bitcoin I mean we've

35:00
had some um you know it seems like the

35:02
the political uh and and the the media

35:07
has kind of brushed some things under

35:08
the rug you know with Sam Brank been

35:10
freed guilty till proven innocent or

35:12
innocent till proven guilty what's your

35:14
take on that whole Space because it

35:16
seems like it's not as big a part of the

35:20
conversation but it's still there I

35:22
don't you know I'm not a Bitcoin buyer I

35:24
was you know I missed the boat I'm going

35:26
to miss it again um what's your take on

35:30
all that well okay first things first

35:32
it's a much bigger part of the

35:33
conversation in just the last couple of

35:35
weeks because the SEC finally approved

35:38
what they call a spot Bitcoin fund it

35:41
can't really be a spot Bitcoin fund

35:43
because to be a spot Bitcoin fund you'd

35:45
have to hold Bitcoin not in like a a an

35:51
ether wallet or whatever you'd have to

35:53
actually hold physical Bitcoin and

35:54
Bitcoin is not a physical thing so they

35:56
had to get get through that to be able

35:57
to do it but now you can buy funds that

35:59
are tied to the price of Bitcoin what's

36:01
your take on that um if you said you

36:04
wanted to have an asset allocation there

36:07
I'm not going to argue with you if you

36:10
start to tell me it's a currency it

36:12
hasn't proven that yet I think there's

36:15
other cryptos that are more likely now

36:16
let me also by the way full disclosure

36:18
here Stan I own

36:22
$12 of

36:24
cryptocurrency and you also have don't

36:26
you have like a ceramic Bitcoin thing

36:29
that you were given a long time ago I

36:30
have I yeah actually I have it's it is

36:34
you know when you so leave that to me in

36:36
your will write it in your will St no no

36:38
the the so that's actually one of my

36:41
favorite things let me get back to that

36:42
in a second I have1 I have $12 in

36:45
Bitcoin which is or and I'm sorry1 in

36:49
crypto which is $10 of something called

36:52
duck duck coin and $2 of something

36:55
called BBQ coin which I was given and

36:58
I'm not planning to spend it all in the

37:00
same place so I've never actually

37:01
checked to see if it's still worth my

37:03
$12 can we buy barbecue with the BBQ

37:06
coin more on that in a second okay so so

37:10
and yes I do have like they show you the

37:13
the thing that everybody thinks is a

37:14
Bitcoin it's the the gold thing with the

37:16
that looks like a dollar it's it's on

37:18
every story when there's a Bitcoin story

37:20
written that you see this I have one of

37:22
those encased in plastic that I was

37:24
given it is as highlight to say a 100%

37:29
genuine fake Bitcoin 100% it's 100%

37:32
genuine fake it is completely real and

37:35
not real at the same time yep I use it

37:37
my hobby job I officiate lacrosse

37:41
games and I bring that with me and that

37:44
is my coin for my pregame coin toss and

37:47
I ask the kids and their coaches do you

37:51
know what this is and almost invariably

37:54
somebody gets it goes oh that's bitco

37:56
coin and I'm like Yep this is genuine

37:58
fake Bitcoin and I'm going to point out

38:01
today that at some point I'm going to

38:03
blow my whistle and you're gonna look at

38:05
me and go Mr ref that's not right that's

38:08
not uhuh no you got that called wrong

38:11
and I'm gonna point out to you that my

38:15
call like Bitcoin is a currency that is

38:18
determined by what the market makes of

38:20
it and you may think it's worthless but

38:23
when I blew my whistle I can promise you

38:25
I thought it had value you and it did

38:28
because I'm the one who makes the rules

38:31
here's the thing about could you buy

38:32
barbecue coin back in 2011 2010 Bitcoin

38:38
went on a tear it went from from $4 to

38:42
$32 in a span of about four days and it

38:44
was the first time people were learning

38:46
about it right I made it the stupid

38:48
investment of the week at 32 bucks and I

38:52
was literally just introducing people

38:53
into it nobody knew what the hell it was

38:55
sure I will point out stupid investment

38:58
of the week and it went from 32 to three

39:02
and a half in the next six days after I

39:04
wrote that

39:05
com but I get people all the time who

39:09
will say they'll point out that com

39:10
they'll go to Twitter look at this guy

39:13
if you had bought Bitcoin okay you would

39:15
have held Bitcoin through Mount gox at

39:17
that point it was the most popular

39:18
Bitcoin exchange before there was ever

39:21
FTX and people going St bankman freed we

39:23
never heard of anything like this that

39:25
just means you weren't around when GX

39:26
collapsed it did the same damn thing and

39:29
no you didn't hold your money through

39:31
that but while right after that story

39:33
came out back in 2010

39:36
2011 there be suddenly in South Station

39:39
in Boston there is a Bitcoin

39:42
ATM so I call my boss at MarketWatch and

39:46
I say we need to go use this and he goes

39:49
where and I said there's a restaurant in

39:51
Cambridge that has started taking

39:54
Bitcoin and my boss said

39:56
Chuck you can't do the story you just

39:58
wrote a hate a a hate piece on bitcoin

40:00
basically calling it St investment of

40:02
the week you cannot follow up I said

40:04
great but there's people in the Boston

40:06
office who can he said yep go take them

40:08
to lunch do the Bitcoin thing so I call

40:12
my colleagues at the market watch office

40:13
and I say hey who wants lunch they all

40:16
go sure two there's only three of us in

40:18
the Boston office so we are going to

40:21
felonius monkfish is the name of the

40:24
restaurant in and I'm a jazz person so

40:25
stop for a second still

40:28
exists doesn't take

40:30
Bitcoin yeah fonus monkfish in Cambridge

40:33
worth it Stan when you come to Boston we

40:35
can go

40:37
absolutely so so I go we we meet at

40:41
South Station we put a $100 into the

40:43
Bitcoin ATM we go there for lunch we try

40:46
to spend as close to 100 bucks as we can

40:48
we turn in whatever we need to turn in

40:50
to use our Bitcoin and in the space of

40:53
going from South Station to the

40:55
restaurant ordering during lunch Etc

40:57
Bitcoin had dropped enough that our $100

40:59
was worth

41:01
64 so now we got to spend an extra 36

41:06
bucks and then we have to go and expense

41:09
it and that's the really incredible part

41:11
because they're going no you took a

41:13
hundred bucks you bought a hundred bucks

41:14
worth of food we don't owe you 36 and

41:17
we're like no we bought a hundred bucks

41:18
worth of bitcoin and the currency

41:21
fluctuated so much that we need an extra

41:23
36 bucks to pay our $100 bill you you

41:26
know where my brain went on that is the

41:28
is the fundraising Venture Capital pitch

41:32
on the ATMs that some schmuck put

41:34
Bunches of money into that and it's in

41:37
some Warehouse some there's a bunch of

41:38
these Bitcoin ATMs that some schmuck

41:41
owns um and he gets what he deserves no

41:44
but but bottom line it looks like it's

41:46
survived the storm and gonna be here in

41:48
some form or fashion but I don't know

41:50
that it's going to be a currency look if

41:53
you want cryptocurrencies let's talk

41:55
about cryptocur currencies that are

41:56
usable right you have one I bet I bet

42:00
you have one in your house or you know

42:02
people that have one in your house that

42:03
you don't even think of as a

42:05
cryptocurrency it's called an Amazon

42:07
gift card oh absolutely if you have an

42:10
Amazon gift card an Amazon gift card you

42:12
could go to someone else and say hey

42:16
I've got an Amazon gift card it's worth

42:18
50 bucks will you take it they will and

42:20
in fact if you said I only owe you 40

42:22
but I got this gift card I'm not using

42:24
would you take a $50 Amazon gift card

42:26
they most assuredly will right you can

42:29
have absolute economy and by the way it

42:31
is for as much as people go well Bitcoin

42:33
for crime and whatever there's an entire

42:35
elicit economy in this

42:37
country right you talk about there are

42:40
people who who will say oh you know can

42:41
I pay that contractor in cash right well

42:45
I can pay you with a gift card and I can

42:47
pay you with a gift card and you can you

42:49
know think about it you run a small

42:51
business I I run a small business if

42:53
somebody wants to pay me an Amazon gift

42:55
cards I can use that right so you can

42:59
have it Amazon gift cards and other

43:02
things like it are legitimate crypto

43:04
currencies there's just not there's not

43:06
there's not a well expected secondary

43:09
Market you don't have Futures on it you

43:10
don't have other things that you do with

43:12
crypto is it just a toy for is it just a

43:15
toy for Wall

43:17
Street um no I don't think it is because

43:21
I think wall Street's still trying to

43:22
figure out how to use it and what to do

43:24
with it I agree with that and you have

43:26
lot of disagreement I mean you got I

43:29
don't know if was it Jamie Diamond or

43:31
one of the big guys just like they hate

43:33
it obviously Buffett ha hates it his his

43:36
ex compatriot that just passed away

43:38
Charlie Munger hated it you know not

43:41
saying those guys are perfect but but

43:43
they have driven a lot of the sentiment

43:45
for sure well but lizanne Saunders from

43:47
Charles Schwab said on my show and it's

43:51
the thing I come back to tell me what

43:53
problem it solves

43:54
for very good question if that's if you

43:59
say this is here to stay tell me what

44:01
problem solves for and what I compare it

44:02
to is is things like go back to the

44:05
early days of the personal computer

44:08
right I am old enough to remember those

44:10
days really well me if in the 1980s if

44:13
you were gonna say let me bet on a

44:15
personal computer company you would have

44:17
been buying the stock of prime computer

44:19
and Wang labs and Microsoft you'd never

44:21
heard of and you weren't going to buy

44:23
Microsoft and Apple was this company

44:25
that was out of those garage that you

44:27
heard a little something about but you

44:29
were going to buy the wrong things

44:32
because you couldn't tell I'm not sure

44:34
that Bitcoin is ultimately the

44:35
cryptocurrency I think blockchain has

44:38
tremendous value totally told me you

44:40
told me you want to invest in blockchain

44:42
you're buying the picks and shovels of

44:44
the cryptocurrency totally agree fine

44:46
but we're not done having Sam bankman

44:49
freed type failures no it's not you know

44:53
um uh you know that and and so by the

44:56
way as long as we're talking about all

44:58
this right do you want to know because I

45:02
I broke it last year but I'm gonna write

45:04
about it again this year what's that

45:06
we're just about by the time people hear

45:08
this we will know who's going to the

45:10
Super Bowl right that's true yes okay so

45:14
you want the you know um there was a

45:17
Leonard

45:18
Coppel was the journalist sports writer

45:21
who created the Super Bowl indicator

45:24
which he did as a joke and before he

45:25
died he sort of said I wish I hadn't

45:26
done it and you know it's the whole

45:28
thing about with Conference win and what

45:30
it means I'll give you the real Super

45:32
Bowl indicator this is it let me hear it

45:35
any stock any company that is less than

45:38
five years off of its

45:41
IPO or less than three years from having

45:44
its IPO if they are advertising in the

45:46
Super Bowl that company's headed for

45:49
trouble so in other words oh yeah

45:51
there's a gra you want to know what not

45:53
to invest oh yeah oh yeah take any

45:56
public company that is newly public in

45:58
advertising in the Super Bowl do not

46:01
take any company that is so hot that

46:02
it's going to go public after the Super

46:04
Bowl within two years because that IPO

46:08
is gonna go down in flames and there is

46:10
a long history I've now gone back and

46:12
done the research for this entire

46:15
century and there is a long history of

46:17
it and it makes actual economic sense

46:20
which is these companies have a hot IPO

46:22
they don't really know what to do with

46:23
their money right they go spend it Super

46:26
Bowl stuff so that their Executives can

46:28
fly their private jets in and go have a

46:30
grand old time cocacola and Budweiser

46:33
and whatever can afford image ads at the

46:35
Super Bowl but the other guys can't and

46:39
and I defer to South Park I defer to

46:41
South Park where their take on things on

46:43
the Matt Damon commercials for FTX was

46:45
you know what did Matt Damon say fortune

46:47
favors the brave I know you know we all

46:51
invested we all lost all our money but

46:53
we were Brave in doing so well the other

46:56
thing I read an article the other day a

46:58
little bit kind of kind of off subject

47:00
but it was about the private jet

47:03
industry and one of the one of the

47:05
stewardesses had gone you know Rogue and

47:08
talked all about just some of the

47:10
horrific things that they saw and I'm

47:12
thinking to myself if I'm shorting stock

47:14
if my business was shorting stock I

47:16
would be researching these netjets and

47:20
and say who's your worst actor and then

47:22
find out if they run in companies or or

47:24
if they're just went public and I'd

47:26
short the crap out of those people

47:28
because they don't understand money if

47:30
they're up there you know going back and

47:32
forth Etc on jet I will tell you a funny

47:36
story so in my job I am probably the

47:39
only person you know who does not work

47:41
for a fund company who knows every one

47:44
of my fund managers personally if you

47:48
run my money I've met you I've talked to

47:50
you right I've done whatever and I could

47:52
arrange to do that tomorrow if I want to

47:54
find a new fund I could call a guy and

47:56
say hey sure talk to me so I've I know

47:58
every single person who runs a mutual

48:00
fund other than an index fund that I own

48:04
right and at the same time more than

48:07
once in my life I've heard things where

48:08
I'm like oh maybe this guy drank the

48:10
Kool-Aid it is time to to get rid of but

48:14
I will tell you that I once had a

48:17
manager who was coming to

48:18
Boston and it was a fun firm that I'm

48:22
like yeah I really like what I've heard

48:24
this guy say and everything else some

48:26
point this could be on my radar screen

48:28
and we had a reasonably bad

48:31
snowstorm and we were supposed to meet

48:33
for dinner and I probably should have

48:35
been out driving in this and the guy

48:36
says could you meet me downtown let's go

48:39
get this dinner we were GNA have but

48:40
would you mind Drive Me Out to the sub

48:42
he's like you live in the suburbs I'm

48:43
like yeah I do wrong direction right so

48:46
he asked me to drive him out to the

48:47
suburbs he was leaving behind the

48:50
presidential suite in the hotel that he

48:52
was in to move into the president

48:55
residential Suite in a hotel that meant

48:57
that tomorrow morning he could get to

48:59
whatever his meeting

49:00
was right so he was more than doubling

49:03
his cost and in exchange for my troubles

49:06
he spent way way way too much on dinner

49:08
because I would have gone to eat tacos

49:09
like you know sure it's and I watched

49:11
and he talked about he like reveled in

49:15
how much he was spending and I was like

49:18
I will never own your fund not ever I

49:20
just think there's I mean there's

49:22
something to I don't think you have to

49:23
be as Frugal as Sam Walton flying coach

49:25
but but you know I do think that there's

49:27
something to that last question I'm

49:28
going to have to wrap this up in a few

49:30
minutes but does Wall Street like open

49:35
borders

49:37
um I don't actually that's a good

49:39
question that I don't really have an

49:40
answer to I think that Wall Street likes

49:44
what's good for business and to the

49:46
extent that they can say that open

49:48
borders are good for business come on um

49:52
to the extent

49:54
that you can say

49:58
that I I think when you look at this

50:01
question the right way to answer it and

50:04
I haven't done the research to be able

50:05
to answer it for you would be to say

50:09
look at what the economists say on the

50:12
subject but compare academic economists

50:16
to corporate

50:17
economists Angus Deon Nobel

50:20
prizewinning Economist wrote a fabulous

50:23
book that came out near the end of last

50:25
year

50:26
and Angus was on my show and we were

50:28
talking about

50:30
economists and specifically there is a

50:33
significant difference between what

50:35
corporate economists believe and what

50:38
academic economists believe and that

50:42
ultimately you very seldom have anyone

50:46
not coming back to Academia in other

50:49
words the minute I'm no longer employed

50:51
by you my belief system miraculously

50:54
comes back to what the academics think

50:57
and the minute you employ me I may move

51:00
off of whatever but and admittedly he

51:03
owned up to the fact that he's an

51:04
academic Economist so he has maybe a

51:06
bias that he's living in the light and

51:08
not the dark but I would say that that

51:13
if you want to look at it from an

51:15
economic standpoint not so much a market

51:18
standpoint go find the college

51:20
professors and compare what they're

51:21
saying to the corporate economists and

51:23
that your answer will be somewhere in

51:24
the middle it it's just interesting I

51:26
don't I don't trust any cable news

51:28
either side um they're all agenda driven

51:32
news is agenda driven so I look at it

51:34
from a different lens I was just

51:35
wondering your take and that's a really

51:36
good take I heard someone say the other

51:38
night and it hit me that they were

51:40
correct because one of the places I live

51:42
parttime is in Florida and he goes I

51:44
defy you to find a roofer that's not an

51:48
immigrant that's working in Florida and

51:50
I went yeah he's probably right I mean

51:54
probably right I would say you'd have a

51:56
tough time doing it here in

51:57
Massachusetts and we don't have the same

51:59
immigration issues I mean I'll also

52:02
point out I'm first generation American

52:04
my parents were both born in Berlin and

52:07
and my parents had you know um my my

52:11
parents both had pretty amazing stories

52:13
that got them here and what they had to

52:15
go through to get here and who had to

52:17
sponsor them and what they had to do

52:19
yeah and my parents would have told you

52:22
that they were not in favor of open

52:24
borders but they in terms of completely

52:28
open but that you know again what are

52:31
you doing and what are you trying to

52:32
bring in and I will simply point out

52:34
that when someone says yes but what

52:36
they're trying to bring in is drug

52:37
dealers well in the case of my

52:39
grandfather case of my father's father

52:41
that's not true almost certainly he was

52:42
a drug dealer now he would have

52:44
preferred to say it was International

52:46
Pharmaceuticals company you know like an

52:48
international Pharmaceuticals

52:51
company not like a drug dealer well the

52:53
reason the reason I it you could spin it

52:56
that way the reason I asked that

52:57
question was a couple reasons number one

52:59
I want to hear what you had to say

53:00
number two I wanted our listeners and

53:01
viewers to think of it differently not

53:03
through a cable news lens um but I will

53:06
say this the only prediction I have

53:08
about the the elections coming up is

53:11
that whoever wins the presidency will

53:13
have the better message on immigration I

53:16
don't know what that message is but

53:17
whatever that message that they can

53:19
craft to to translate to the people to

53:23
make them feel comfortable about it will

53:24
win that will be the issue I think um

53:28
because it has tentacles all the way

53:30
around and I think either party has the

53:32
ability to to craft that message we'll

53:35
just see but I do think that uh it's not

53:38
as it's not as black and white and

53:40
horrific it's horrific in a lot of ways

53:43
but it's not what I think the media

53:45
portrays in a lot of cases um and I

53:48
heard a pundit say there night and I

53:49
don't agree with him all the time but I

53:51
think he's hilarious his name you know

53:53
you know him James carbal and I I watch

53:56
him because he's funny um but what he

53:58
said was interesting he goes if a lady

54:00
walks 600 miles with her daughter to get

54:02
across her border I kind of want to hire

54:06
her and I went that's interesting now I

54:09
know all the other people on the other

54:11
side are yelling at me right now but I

54:12
want you to think about it think about

54:15
it a little bit and obviously we're

54:17
going to clean that up as a country we

54:19
always do it's you know it's not going

54:21
to be the same but I thought that was an

54:23
interesting com

54:25
you know because you know I'm always

54:27
hiring people I'm always looking for

54:28
work ethic and when he said that I'm

54:29
like wow that's that's that's a good way

54:32
to do it what are the items do you want

54:34
to cover before I wrap this thing up

54:36
Chuck oh Stan it's your it's your show I

54:39
mean all right then here's what we're

54:40
gonna do wait wait wait there is one

54:42
thing there is one thing I wanna I wanna

54:44
point out which is the last time you

54:45
were on my show we taped a couple things

54:47
right before my my wedding in November

54:50
because I did some shows in advance

54:52
before I went away and at the time we I

54:55
had you come in to do a question which

54:56
was not from the audience it was from me

54:58
I know because I had been given a a

55:01
buyout offer on a small pension that I

55:04
had and and your advice was what I

55:07
expected it to be which was you know

55:08
like you can run the math and decide if

55:10
it's something else but you know chances

55:12
are good you want to stick with the

55:14
pension and and I will simply point out

55:17
I did run all the math but more

55:19
importantly I had the conversations with

55:21
Gail I will point out Gail hates money

55:23
like among the things that will tell you

55:25
she's getting with me is the fact that

55:27
hey he'll he'll help me with the money

55:28
decisions and he actually knows what

55:29
he's doing that's that's that second

55:31
part that really is perhaps more

55:33
important but we had all of the money

55:35
discussions about it and she kind of

55:38
recognized like he it wasn't a sharp

55:40
stick in the eye it was easier to do it

55:42
than she would have expected even if she

55:44
doesn't understand how pensions work or

55:47
annuities work in the rest and B the

55:50
peace of mind would have been worth

55:51
whatever we could have done when we did

55:53
the tradeoffs and looked at right and so

55:55
the

55:56
decision that was made when she when we

55:59
finished her thing was I thought we were

56:00
going to have a talk about money and

56:02
instead we had to talk about life and

56:05
you know my show is called money life

56:07
for a reason but when people are having

56:10
those discussions with you yeah remember

56:14
like the only reason my show is called

56:16
money life is because life money sounds

56:19
stupid it doesn't roll off the tongue

56:21
life comes first remember that everybody

56:24
we're talking about Chuck jaffy he's the

56:25
host of money life show Money life

56:28
show.com and it's called money life but

56:30
if you want to go and listen to all the

56:31
re-recordings and all the stuff he has

56:34
out and subscribe I tell you to do that

56:36
moneylife show.com he's also col

56:39
columnist with market watch I used to do

56:41
that gig for a long long time it's kind

56:43
of how we met but at the end of every

56:45
show Chuck as you know I do a mic drop

56:47
moment I count it down 543 21 and then

56:50
you say something that's so

56:51
unbelievable that people will be blown

56:53
away and walk away an amazement of your

56:56
IQ so here we go in five 4 3 2 one Mike

56:59
drop moment Chuck jaffy

57:04
go remember folks keep keep everything

57:07
in perspective where money is supposed

57:09
to be

57:11
okay you you didn't make it to save it

57:15
you didn't make it to be buried with it

57:17
the richest man in the graveyard is not

57:20
the happiest man before he got there so

57:24
there you go I mean that's a mic drop

57:26
Chuck thank you so much and thank you

57:28
everybody for joining us on all major

57:30
podcast platforms and the fun with the's

57:32
YouTube channel I'll see you next time

57:34
take

57:39
care

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