Chuck Jaffe: Top Money & Life Topics for 2024

IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND CHUCK JAFFE DISCUSS:
- Politics and economy
- Looking into how inflation affects you
- How Indexed Annuities should be used
- The question for cryptocurrency
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- Politics don’t create the economy. There are a lot more factors that go into it than just who is in power. Economic forecasts sometimes become inaccurate because there is a huge disconnect between how we feel and how we’re doing.
- Don’t let the news dictate what you truly feel. Try to honestly assess how inflation is affecting your life because inflation is not that bad for those who have and are much worse for people who have not.
- Indexed Annuities are often pitched in misleading ways but they are good products if the consumer is taught their true features and function. They can be used as a great delivery system for income rider guarantees when future income is the goal of the client and it beats the deferred income annuity quote.
- The biggest question we must ask about cryptocurrency is this: “What problem does it solve?” The value of cryptocurrency is determined by what the market makes of it. It doesn’t have any value yet except that. Blockchain technology is much more worthy of investment.
"Keep in perspective where money is supposed to be. You didn't make it to save it. You didn't make it to be buried. The richest man in the graveyard is not the happiest man before he got there." — Chuck Jaffe
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)
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[Music]
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welcome to fund with annuities where
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every single week I welcome a celebrity
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guest expert that can help you maximize
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chapter 2 of your life listen learn
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laugh and love every minute of the most
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unique Financial podcast on the planet
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let's get to
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[Music]
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it welcome to fun with annuities I'm
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your host Stan the annuity man America's
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annuity asent yes you are correct I am
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licensed in all 50 states have a repeat
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guest a good friend of mine newly
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married so if you if you're watching us
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on the fun with anties YouTube channel
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and wondering what they were that glow
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is coming from that's from Chuck's newly
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wedness right this is the who I'm
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talking to is Chuck jaffy he is the host
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of money life if you go to moneylife
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show.com please check check out all the
1:00
the repeats and the podcast and all the
1:02
stuff he's one of the best in the
1:03
business has been a columnist at market
1:05
watch and other places for a long long
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time you probably have read his stuff if
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you are in the money world at all and
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trying to care about your retirement so
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with that welcome newlywed Chuck jaffy
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well thanks so much for having me and
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yeah I can't stop smiling so it's a good
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thing it's the perran you know and for
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people like me who's been married 35
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years and all the people that are
1:30
watching and listening they're like come
1:31
on Chuck you're killing me man but
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that's good no that's good so um let's
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Jump Right In I mean when I get you on
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the
1:41
show we have fun and we laugh and we
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Giggle and we but but I really do
1:48
want to hear what you have to say and
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we're going to be all over the board and
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as I told you before we started let's
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just freeform this thing because that's
1:54
how we typically do um let's weigh in on
1:58
elections politics and all that stuff
2:00
and your predictions on maybe what's
2:02
going to happen to the the the markets
2:06
and money and what you're what you're
2:08
telling people at this point in time
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even though at the time of this taping
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um we're we're pre uh presidential
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election hard hard to know a whole lot
2:19
about what's going on right now that's
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for sure the but there is a few things
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that we definitely do know not the least
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of which is that that ultimately
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election years are pretty benign for the
2:32
market this one is likely to be as well
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at least until the end of it because
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you're going to go through I mean it's
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very interesting to me that someone like
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Bob doah former meril Lynch Chief
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investment officer now with crossmar
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global he's the CEO there right in his
2:48
10 forecasts for the year the last one
2:51
is always political and he said we're
2:53
gonna see a flip in the White House the
2:55
Senate and Congress he said all of them
2:57
would flip really and that's the most
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extreme that I've heard but it's coming
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from a guy who's never extreme like
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that's not his Norm
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so I I have to say I don't know how this
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could go yeah but I think that that the
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impact of the election will be much less
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on the market and the economy right now
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than the impact of the FED I mean the
3:22
the the bond market is pricing in six
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Bond uh rate Cuts this year six that's
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what the bond market is pricing in I
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don't know a single person and I
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interview people every single day I do
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not have a single expert who I've talked
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to who said six that's my number I've
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had a couple of people say yeah maybe
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you could get to five but I think it's
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more likely four so there is clearly a
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disconnect between what the market is
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expecting and what the FED is going to
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do and as much as we love to see the
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market at record hindes I will just
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point out if I were Jerome Powell and no
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I do not bear any resemblance to him and
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more importantly I do not want his job
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there you go but if I were Jerome Powell
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a market being at record highs tells me
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I can wait longer before I start cutting
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rates and that while you think it's you
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know okay that's you know the market's
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at record highs that's good but that's
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not necessarily good in terms of the
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economy you're GNA have to have those
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rate cuts for the economy to kind of say
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oh let's get growth back in yeah it's
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interesting having been through a lot of
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these Cycles just like you uh typically
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and what I've seen when I was with you
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know Dean wooders and Morgan Stanley's
4:38
and pay weers and UBS is is not a lot of
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activity during that year of the
4:44
election it's typically static there's
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not a lot happening after the elections
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and things kind of happen so for people
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to be calling for six rate Cuts that's a
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lot and I don't I don't know I might
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have to take the under on that one no I
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I don't see it I really don't see it man
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I don't see it but again so let's look
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back at the last couple years St right
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because in
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2022 every forecast for the year was
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wrong no matter who you talk to there I
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look now now you had people who said oh
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it's gonna be a bad year on the market
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and they were correct about it but
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nobody said the Market's GNA Peak on
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January the 3 and then it's GNA go go
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down ever since so the way the market
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went down in
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2022 made everybody wrong then we got to
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2023 and every Outlook for 2023 was also
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wrong they were wrong for different
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reasons in
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2023 every forecaster was saying we're
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either going to see a landing hard or
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soft we'll see a recession we'll see
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some sort of an event and the market put
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all of that off so now you get to this
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year and they'll probably be right the
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outlooks that we've been hearing but
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they'll probably be right for the wrong
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reasons in other words they're right
5:57
because everybody went benign
6:00
and this Market likely will be fairly
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benign that's it you can't make a case
6:06
that like wow the Market's Going To Go
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Gang Busters that would be a
6:10
surprise you could make a case that
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there could be some trouble ultimately
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what does that mean means we're gonna
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probably have some volatility and then
6:18
we'll see what we scratch out and the
6:20
end of the year may determine it like we
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could be positive until election day and
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then watch the end of the year tank it
6:25
out a little bit and then next year is
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going to be the really CR one because
6:30
you will have whatever the new Power
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structure is and you you will have a
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situation
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where there's enough talk in of what's
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being done that if you give anyone any
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credit for what is happening like that
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politics matters sure then the question
6:49
becomes do you stop what's going on or
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not and let us just point out without
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getting too political because I'm not
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really the guy to talk partisan politics
6:58
with me neither yeah I'm a Centrist yeah
7:01
but wi without getting too political
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there's a huge disconnect in this
7:07
country right now
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between like how we feel and how we're
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actually doing right just this week and
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and as we're recording this it's the
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third week of January just in case
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somebody's listening to it yeah it's G
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to come out next week so it's pry timely
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we
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got great consumer confidence news yet
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if you talk to anybody about what
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they're spending at the grocery store
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about what they're
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spending at the gas pump or God forbid
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because you can put me in this realm I
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my my homeowners insurance bill is due
7:45
and it is up
7:47
39.6% from a year ago like you can talk
7:51
about inflation all you want 5%
7:53
inflation you know oh it's been high 39%
7:57
increase in a year no claims no claims
8:00
history no nothing that should drive it
8:02
other than if something happens to my
8:04
house they're GNA have to pay a lot
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more everyone is
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complaining about their consumer
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experience and
8:12
yet you don't know anybody who really
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wants to be employed who can't find a
8:17
job right now because we're at full
8:18
employment you you know yeah but yeah
8:21
but and I'm gonna step in here coming
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from rural America um I read a article
8:26
recently about the bank list
8:30
society that we're in the 60% of the
8:32
people in the world in in adults in
8:34
United States excuse me have less than
8:36
$400 in their checking account um a vast
8:39
majority at least up to onethird more
8:42
than that in some cases don't have a
8:44
bank account um or checking account or
8:47
savings account so they're they're
8:48
literally carrying their net worth in
8:50
their right right pocket so I think that
8:54
the people that are listening to this
8:55
podcast are obviously wanting to hear
8:57
what you have to say by the way this
8:58
we're talking to Chuck jaffy he's the
9:00
host of uh money life moneyl show.com if
9:03
you want to go there read his articles
9:04
and columns at marketwatch.com he's
9:06
fantastic been doing this a long long
9:08
time it's great Insight but my point is
9:11
we are talking to a bubble so I always
9:13
tell my clients that remember when
9:15
you're on the highway six out of 10
9:17
people have can't if they wrecked their
9:18
car they couldn't fix it so might not
9:21
want to flip those people off but those
9:22
are also called voters and I do think
9:25
that's the angst part that people like
9:27
us forget about a lot of times is that
9:30
let's just say it's a 50% number of
9:32
people that are just living on the edge
9:36
literally every day regardless how much
9:37
they're making and there's Arguments for
9:40
that but you know politically there's no
9:41
good answers to that but it also it also
9:44
explains how politicians and why
9:46
politicians say the things they do and
9:48
talk how they how they talk well but we
9:50
have a k-shaped recovery right that's
9:52
what we seeing is so a k-shaped recovery
9:55
imagine a k where you've got one part
9:57
that comes up one part that goes down so
9:59
the halves are getting more and the have
10:01
knots are not getting more or getting
10:03
less Etc the problem from a political
10:05
standpoint is that the have knots are
10:08
much less active politically much less
10:10
likely to vote but the Oddity of the
10:12
current economy is that the halves
10:14
actually feel like they have nots I know
10:17
I I'm amazed when I talk to people
10:19
because I'll engage on either side I'm
10:21
happy to take up whatever debate we want
10:22
to have sure and I'll engage on either
10:24
side and I'll get people who will talk
10:26
about how miserable the economy is and
10:27
I'll say how is it miserable for you
10:30
like give me a specific where you are
10:32
going this is my terrible thing and then
10:36
size it up because I can I can [ __ ] at
10:38
the gas pump as much as anybody but in
10:41
my case because I work from home and I
10:43
do whatever I go through a tank of gas
10:45
maybe once every three weeks right when
10:47
I'm busy you know so I can complain and
10:50
it's really noticeable oh I didn't
10:52
haven't been to the gas pump for three
10:53
weeks or four weeks and now the price is
10:55
up 20 cents or whatever but I can't tell
11:00
you like that's not make or break for me
11:02
because that's 12 bucks you know now the
11:05
the
11:06
39.6% increase in my home
11:10
insurance you know that's more than the
11:13
stimulus check the government gave me
11:15
during covid so that's a lot more that's
11:18
a different scenario but the vast
11:19
majority of people who are
11:22
complaining their complaints are not
11:24
necessarily their own and that's the
11:26
interesting side look if you're in that
11:28
part that's
11:29
unbanked the question would be were you
11:33
in were you better off in any other
11:36
Administration the answer is probably
11:38
not right and therefore you're proving
11:41
the point that the politics don't make
11:43
the market that that it's something else
11:46
and it's not like quite honestly I don't
11:48
really blame politicians much for
11:50
inflation I I will say you know people
11:52
have asked me I do believe that whoever
11:54
wins this next election is going to be
11:56
saddled with a recession I don't think
11:58
they're going to avoid it it may not be
11:59
a bad one but they're going to be
12:00
settled with a recession and oh by the
12:03
way I would have told you the same thing
12:05
in 2016 and we managed to avoid a
12:08
recession until 2020 and that was some
12:11
good politicking even if you don't
12:13
necessarily like the person who was
12:14
doing that politicking but as a general
12:16
rule I don't give much credit good bad
12:18
or otherwise because it may have been
12:21
good politicking it may have been
12:22
leftover from the guy before him
12:24
whatever so yeah and I and I have
12:27
conversations with clients all the time
12:29
that they're they'll they'll be upset
12:32
about inflation and they'll have $7
12:33
million investable and I'm like you're
12:35
the most arrogant person I know and I'm
12:38
one of the most arrogant people on the
12:39
planet probably but listen you can buy
12:41
the eggs you can buy the gas but you
12:44
know inflation if you have seven figures
12:46
or more probably isn't going to hit you
12:48
and if you're obsessed about it then you
12:49
need to probably get medicated a little
12:51
bit um because it you you and I and I
12:54
know people are on this going Stan I
12:56
hate you please stop talking like that
12:57
you don't understand no actually I do
13:00
understand um and it's and it's called
13:02
math um and I do think you know
13:04
inflation hits that lower end hard but
13:07
for the people on this podcast in most
13:09
cases yes it's annoying inflation's like
13:11
a fly that's flying around your head and
13:13
you can't you can't catch it it keeps
13:15
landing on your ear eventually you're
13:17
going to catch it it's going to go away
13:18
whatever and I do think people and I
13:21
blame the media for for punching the
13:24
inflation um bag too many times because
13:28
the people they're talking to aren't the
13:30
people that's really hitting the people
13:31
that are really hitting aren't watching
13:33
cable news or reading Wall Street
13:35
Journal um so I I have a big Bugaboo
13:39
about people upset about inflation
13:41
because the people that are upset about
13:43
inflation most likely have a lot of
13:44
money and they're just trying to
13:46
navigate that speed bump I don't know if
13:49
you run into that with your callers or
13:50
not but boy I do with my people and I'm
13:52
like inflation I'm like what's like
13:55
playoffs I'm like inflation what are you
13:57
talking about man I think like I said
14:00
inflation's real I can look I can
14:02
complain but I can't say I can't afford
14:04
it and and I think for I I think it
14:07
brings up some good stuff that we can
14:08
get to on the annuity side and the
14:10
savings side as well sure you know at
14:12
the end of every show I my tagline at
14:15
the end of each day is until we do this
14:17
again the next time remember that the
14:18
best thing you could do for your money
14:20
is not worry too much about it right
14:23
true like keep it in perspective and for
14:25
those folks who have that amount of
14:27
money the the thing that I worry about
14:28
with a guy who's complaining at $7
14:30
million yeah who's worried about
14:32
inflation
14:33
right I do not worry that that person's
14:37
seriously going to be impacted by
14:39
inflation but what is making that
14:41
person's life significantly less is
14:45
their own money mindset because if
14:48
they're worried about inflation at that
14:49
point look if you've made that much
14:52
money you were entitled to spend it
14:53
however you want and you should make
14:55
your life as nice as you can and I can't
14:57
tell you the number of people people who
14:58
are in my audience and I'm sure you have
15:00
some in yours too who will tell you that
15:02
they have problems spending money not
15:06
like going to the grocery store paying
15:08
inflation it's I go to book an airline
15:11
flight and it's $28 cheaper to take the
15:15
flight that stops in Baltimore and then
15:17
Charlotte before I get to my destination
15:19
or whatever and I can't bring myself to
15:22
do it or you know I've been having
15:24
problems with my hip and I don't want to
15:27
spend an extra 300 bucks to fly first
15:29
class when all of this is dominous
15:32
amounts right when it comes to what
15:34
they're going to get to and and by the
15:36
way this is a huge part of the planning
15:38
industry like you and I can talk about
15:40
when people make their planning
15:41
assessments and their planning
15:43
adjustments and what they're thinking
15:44
about right and the financial planning
15:46
industry like with the whole 4 perent
15:48
rule right you know don't amass enough
15:51
money so that you're spending you're
15:52
living off of 4% right that is a great
15:56
rule for the financial advisor who gets
15:58
you to follow it because totally agree
16:02
it's been deun so many times I mean come
16:05
on I I agree I agree with that I I think
16:10
that you know it's hard it's hard to
16:12
tell people
16:14
um my wife calls it the scars of
16:17
scarcity and I think that's the best
16:18
phrase I've ever heard because we all
16:20
have scars from when we had no money in
16:23
the past or when our parents had no
16:24
money in the past and now we have money
16:27
and we still have those scars you know
16:28
we all we all can tell those stories um
16:31
a specific story I have one in my head
16:33
that I've told before and every time I
16:34
tell it I cry about when we were newly
16:37
newly married with one kid and I had to
16:39
go buy baby food on a credit card I mean
16:44
that'll make you cry that's a scar of
16:46
scarcity everyone out there listening
16:48
and watching has a scar of scarcity but
16:50
what I'm encouraging people to do is not
16:53
bring that scar with you to your current
16:56
state I always tell people you can
16:58
afford the the eggs and you can buy the
16:59
gas you're good you're fine you can fly
17:01
first class I always tell my clients fly
17:03
first class your kids will it's your
17:05
call you know and so I'm trying I'm
17:08
trying out here to talk about lifestyle
17:10
chapter 2 is all about you chapter two
17:12
is about living your life and we're all
17:15
at the age now where we have friends and
17:17
colleagues that drop dead and not to be
17:20
morbid but you know one of the reasons I
17:23
do these podcasts and the videos is to
17:25
remind people let's spend it you know
17:27
you can't take it with you there's no u-
17:28
huls behind hes so you know I that's
17:31
what I love about your show you give
17:34
Solutions but it's not life or death
17:36
inflation is not life or death politics
17:38
is not life or death even if we have a
17:41
Black Swan event we're going to get
17:44
through
17:46
it well one in 2010 I lost my brother
17:50
who at the time was 57 years old and and
17:53
just sort of won the evil Lottery and
17:55
got a disease and a few months after
17:56
that I had a heart attack so those
17:59
things will change some of your
18:01
perspective and and you know what I had
18:03
always told my kids what my parents told
18:05
me is don't expect an inheritance go do
18:07
your thing and and you know the right
18:09
thing should happen and yeah you may get
18:11
a little bit lucky and whatever that's
18:13
what I'm telling my kids go live your
18:15
life because my only promise to my kids
18:17
is I will not go broke until the day
18:20
after I die in other words we'll be able
18:22
to pay all my bills and do everything
18:24
else there may not be anything left for
18:26
you but I I promise not to outlive my
18:30
money and and that does not take the the
18:33
funny side is you know all of this is
18:35
about math and and you get it in in
18:38
anity side but everything's about you
18:39
know how scary is the math simple
18:42
examples credit card
18:44
debt if you pay the minimum they'll say
18:47
okay well if you've got the minimum if
18:49
you've got the average credit card
18:50
balance and you pay the minimum it's
18:52
going to take you 17 years to pay it
18:55
off but here's the thing let's say that
18:57
your minimum minimum payment that first
18:59
month is $100 you pay the minimum now
19:02
your minimum payment is
19:04
9925 right and then in the next month
19:06
it's 9875 and whatever and your minimum
19:10
comes down if you could afford to pay
19:12
$100 your minimum this month and you
19:14
just kept paying a $100 as your minimum
19:17
goes down but you stick with $100
19:19
because you could afford it instead of
19:21
taking you 17 and a half years it'll
19:23
take you about six is that great is that
19:26
great no but you can play on that you
19:28
don't have to look at six years and go
19:30
oh my God any setback will be horrible
19:33
for me I'll never get out of debt the
19:35
same thing when it comes to savings when
19:38
it comes to savings and you're looking
19:40
at the 4 perent rule or what have you
19:42
you have to save way more money to make
19:44
sure that you never run out of money
19:47
when you can take a realistic look at
19:48
what you're spending and what you hope
19:50
to spend and I mean look you I love
19:52
scars of scarcity I I want to keep that
19:54
and remember that yeah but I mean I'm
19:56
somebody who loves to cook
19:59
and I will tell you that my menu is
20:01
decided pretty much every single week
20:04
based on what's on sale at the grocery
20:07
store now that's not because oh my God
20:10
I'm being cheap no it's just that if I'm
20:13
gonna buy myself really good steak I'm
20:15
gonna buy it when it's on sale because
20:16
the rest of the time I can eat chicken
20:18
or do whatever else I want and eat
20:20
really well I can't stop myself from
20:22
saving the money I then spend that money
20:24
on something else so I try not to make
20:27
it that like it's scars of scarcity
20:30
let's go back to the days when you know
20:31
oh Ramen a a treat and 40 cents and
20:34
we've all been there unless you're
20:36
unless you're an inheritance baby we've
20:38
all been there all of us and even if you
20:40
were an inheritance baby if your parents
20:42
did it right you still had to go through
20:44
some period so you know for me it's much
20:48
more about conscious spending what I
20:50
dislike about inflation and where the
20:52
bringing this back to that side of
20:53
things is that you know I have no
20:55
problems paying my insurance bill but
20:57
it's kind of like you know what Arthur
20:58
Godfrey said about taxes in the United
21:00
States Arthur Godfrey said I'm I'm proud
21:03
to pay taxes to the United States of
21:05
America but I could be just as proud for
21:07
half the money right I I love that you
21:10
know like there's nothing better than
21:12
going oh I paid my insurance bill I
21:13
don't have to worry about that I did
21:14
this I did that I love paying off my
21:16
bills I love being like yep everything's
21:18
going well I'm right where I'm supposed
21:20
to be but I could be just as happy with
21:22
a little bit less money going out the
21:24
door for that stuff so that's how you
21:26
wind up with inflation you know the uh
21:29
really 39 inflation's living in people's
21:32
heads for free and it shouldn't be
21:33
living there in in a lot of cases what
21:36
are your what are your guests and
21:38
callers saying what's what's the
21:40
concerns that keep coming up or that
21:42
have surprised you
21:44
recently oh I don't know that there's
21:46
any that that have surprised me I think
21:50
that the the interesting thing is how
21:54
willing everyone is to believe that the
21:57
consumer can keep going so if you take a
22:00
look at all of the things that had
22:02
people saying in 2023 we expect
22:05
recession they were actually things on
22:07
which we were kind of early like an
22:09
inverted yield curve which we still have
22:12
right an inverted yield curve normally
22:14
takes 18 to 24 months before it really
22:17
comes to
22:18
roost so couple that with the high
22:22
interest rates that we've had what
22:24
happens when interest rates go high you
22:26
get more defaults but we haven't seen
22:29
more to Falls they're creeping they're
22:31
starting to creep the delinquencies are
22:34
starting to creep in exactly right we're
22:36
starting to see numbers that show that
22:38
okay consumers are under stress yeah
22:40
we're seeing numbers that say there's
22:42
record credit card debt and credit card
22:44
debt is at record high levels of
22:45
interest rates correct but it hasn't
22:48
stopped consumers yet there everyone's
22:50
talking about well with these high rates
22:52
nobody can get a mortgage
22:54
well not that many people need them I
22:56
know they do and that's overstating it
22:58
but the fact is we're now at a spot in
23:01
this country where where when couples
23:03
are separating they're not fighting
23:05
about who gets to keep the house they're
23:07
fighting about who gets to keep the
23:08
mortgage because the mortgage is a 3%
23:11
mortgage from X number of years ago like
23:14
I may not want the house but I want the
23:15
document because that's cheap money that
23:17
I can't get someplace else if that falls
23:20
under I used to love you but I love the
23:22
low rates
23:23
more I'm not I'm not sure but I I know
23:27
that it's
23:28
I I know that that you know anybody who
23:31
has
23:33
like as someone who could be looking
23:35
because I just got married my wife and I
23:37
are talking about where we want to be
23:38
living and what we want to be forward I
23:41
will not say that my mortgage is like a
23:42
golden handcuff to the
23:44
house but the math works very
23:48
differently now with me having a low
23:51
rate mortgage and looking at something
23:53
that would be much
23:55
higher you know Etc so it makes me say
23:58
okay what situation do we want and we're
24:00
not quite ready to move to a lower cost
24:03
area of the country we go oh who needs a
24:04
mortgage or whatever but we're close and
24:08
so it changes the conversations and it
24:10
changes the numbers but again the things
24:14
that we haven't seen happen yet there
24:16
has been no wave of defaults not at any
24:18
level we haven't seen junk bonds have a
24:20
wave of of defaults we haven't seen
24:22
creditors have a wave of defaults you
24:25
only have to go back six seven years we
24:28
had municipalities that were on the wave
24:30
of
24:31
default you know Puerto Rico bonds and
24:34
and Chicago bonds and Detroit bonds and
24:36
whatever else we're all in trouble all
24:39
that problem has quote unquote gone away
24:41
and remember we're less than a year
24:43
removed from Silicon Valley Bank and
24:46
problems there now the one that would
24:48
worry me if you want the scary one the
24:52
scary one is how many banks have a
24:54
significant amount of paper out on
24:57
commercial real estate yes and if you
25:00
can't solve the commercial real estate
25:01
problem could you have a wave of bank
25:04
failures you could you
25:07
could and at the same time and let's
25:09
point out I just had a guest on the the
25:13
January 24th edition of money life um
25:16
anat adadi she's a Stanford University
25:18
Professor who wrote a book that that by
25:22
by the way moneylife show.com
25:25
so she wrote a book the Banker's new
25:28
close okay here it is here because I
25:30
just they happen to have it handy and
25:32
it's what's wrong with Banking and what
25:33
to what to do about it and one of the
25:37
things that she points out and I
25:38
strongly believe that this is right is
25:40
that you know we keep saying oh this
25:42
bank is too big to fail and oh you you
25:44
didn't follow FDIC Insurance things but
25:46
we'll insure you anyway Etc all of that
25:49
is incentivizing bad behavior of course
25:52
and so we can't get rid of the bank
25:54
failures until we tell the banks oh
25:56
we're going to let some of you fail like
25:58
guess what you're you're in trouble and
26:00
we're going to let you go down and you
26:03
know politicians but politicians then
26:06
get in the way because now you have
26:08
voters and blah blah blah and that's the
26:11
problem is is there's
26:13
no there's
26:15
no they got there someone's got to pay
26:17
the bill you know and it's just there it
26:22
all of this has got to come home to
26:23
roost eventually you and I both know
26:25
that we're just waiting on it so your
26:27
worry SC scenario the worry scenario is
26:30
there are plenty of things out there
26:32
that had people saying we were going to
26:33
have a hard Landing none of that has
26:35
been repealed right none of that there's
26:38
no guarantee we've just seen enough
26:41
things happen and remember that
26:42
everything that we've seen happened was
26:44
coming out of a covid environment and
26:47
it's not just covid and along side of it
26:50
we had a recession in three months right
26:53
go back they actually consider that a
26:55
recession but they don't consider what
26:57
we were seeing like at the end of last
26:59
year where we had had six months of of
27:02
you know negative GDP growth or whatever
27:04
that's a classic definition of a
27:05
recession with a few other things thrown
27:07
in they weren't willing to call that a
27:09
recession yet the covid drop- down Spike
27:12
they called a recession it messed up
27:15
numbers not just during covid but then
27:17
what are your year-over-year comps and
27:19
what are your whatever comps and right
27:21
you know oh this looks good but where is
27:23
it relative to preco levels versus
27:25
postco levels there a a lot of stuff out
27:28
there that the worry to me the odd case
27:31
is the one that says yeah there's still
27:33
plenty of trouble we got to work it out
27:35
are you bullish on the stock market
27:38
always because my time Horizon is long
27:40
term bullish on the bond
27:42
market right now I am I believe that
27:45
fixed income has been fixed it's
27:47
generating a return for you but I think
27:50
that people want to try to make sure
27:52
that they're getting their returns from
27:53
a couple of different places and
27:55
remember your time Horizon you know
27:59
at this point if all you're worried
28:01
about is a safe haven you can do
28:03
reasonably well in bank accounts sure
28:06
but you're gonna face a lot of
28:07
reinvestment risk and and that's I think
28:10
what we're gonna start to see now once
28:11
rate Cuts happen yeah right once we see
28:14
I don't know is the yield curve disin
28:16
verting un inverting whatever yield the
28:19
yield curve goes back to like being a
28:20
curve sounds like a great jazz album dis
28:23
dis inverting of the uninverted you know
28:26
you know whoever that is
28:28
dis inverting dis inverting the yield
28:30
curve sounds like somebody's next album
28:32
that's like yeah that's like Miles Davis
28:33
the they lost the Lost album exactly the
28:37
Yi curve but yeah I I I think that um I
28:41
think we're all kind of waiting on
28:43
whatever shoe to drop whatever that shoe
28:45
to drop is because there's so much
28:46
happening and I know there's always
28:48
things happening if you go back but you
28:51
know couple couple Wars and you know
28:54
crazy election and I don't know it's
28:57
just uh my clients there the flight to
29:00
safety has been unbelievable in the
29:02
annuity industry because not only can
29:04
you get lifetime income products at very
29:06
good payout rates but you can also get
29:08
guaranteed interest rate products too
29:10
that people have been flocking to that
29:11
combine with treasuries and combined
29:13
with CDs and combined with quality bonds
29:16
for a fixed income portfolio I think the
29:19
Savers are winning here and after
29:22
Decades of them getting hammered I'm I'm
29:24
pulling for them yeah but I'm also
29:26
telling them
29:27
it ain't gonna be here forever player
29:29
because you know the we have to service
29:32
the debt which means they're going to
29:34
have to lower these interest rates
29:36
period here's a question for you with
29:38
regard to what you're seeing from those
29:40
Savers which is as the rate environment
29:43
has changed have some of the people who
29:45
are now turning to you for annuities
29:47
were they not coming to you before
29:49
because they were looking at reverse
29:50
mortgages before in other words no no no
29:53
because because in a rising rate in
29:57
environment you definitely want to go
29:59
with the annuities in a falling rate
30:02
environment in a low rate environment
30:04
you want to go with let me let me that
30:07
that's a logical progression and in a
30:09
perfect world of people with high IQs it
30:11
makes sense but um but in the world of
30:14
annuities where there's a horrific
30:17
messaging of from an industry standpoint
30:19
except for Mah um what happened is
30:22
people realized that there was more than
30:24
one type of annuity see most people are
30:26
walking around there thinking there's an
30:27
immediate annuity and if you die money
30:29
goes poof that's insane but that's what
30:31
a lot of people think they they started
30:33
realizing wait a minute
30:36
annuities plural there there are types
30:38
that are like CDs boy let's buy that
30:41
because we can get a really good yield I
30:43
think it was a discovery of the consumer
30:47
filtering through all of the crap sales
30:49
pitches to find out that there are
30:52
annuities that actually fit what they're
30:53
trying to do and a lot of people have
30:55
enough money always it my my comment is
30:58
if you won the game why are you still
31:00
playing they can they can live off the
31:02
interest they can lock it in long term
31:04
and live off the interest so you know
31:06
obviously the the the the kudin says
31:09
well yeah but what happens after year 10
31:11
let's let's pick up the fork and the
31:13
road at that point in time but if you
31:14
can lock in five six% guaranteed yield
31:17
for 10 consecutive years and you have
31:18
enough money life's pretty good right so
31:21
I think in the annuity space it was
31:25
people like me shouting down the the
31:28
index annuity Gunslingers out there
31:31
selling dreams hopes and upfront bonuses
31:33
to say hey it doesn't have to be that
31:34
complex we're not against index
31:36
annuities we just don't we just sell
31:38
them for what they are which is CD
31:39
products and income writer attachments
31:41
if you need future income but if you
31:43
need to protect the principal and get an
31:45
interest rate that's a Miga period just
31:49
I'm kind of against I'm kind of against
31:51
index new I understand that we use them
31:53
as a delivery system I understand as a
31:55
journalist I'm not really against any
31:57
anything but you know how many times
31:59
have I been to those dinners oh how many
32:01
how many uh uh times you know when I I
32:03
wrote stupid investment of the week for
32:04
a decade and and you know me I I use
32:08
them only as a delivery currently in
32:10
their current form I use them as a
32:12
delivery system for income writer
32:13
guarantees when future income is the
32:15
goal and the income writer beats the
32:17
Deferred income annuity quote but with
32:19
that being said you are correct the the
32:21
sales practices on the index side and
32:24
the buffer annuity side is what needs to
32:26
be clean up but you asked the question
32:28
what happened were people going from
32:30
reverse mortgages annuity no they found
32:32
out about annuity types that were never
32:34
told to them at the bad chicken dinner
32:35
seminar that's what happened and then
32:38
once they found out they they gravitated
32:40
to it because there were such simple
32:42
products in in contractual guarantees
32:44
that they could explain it to their
32:46
spouse and loved ones and they bought
32:47
them in drugs period I I will simply
32:50
point out again because I don't like to
32:51
say that I hate any sort of product sure
32:54
I will simply say that I am on the
32:55
record as saying that the average person
32:59
needs an indexed annuity the way a moose
33:01
needs a hat rack
33:04
okay I'll I'll leave it for everybody to
33:07
else to figure out that joke if you can
33:10
but that's if you take a look at your
33:13
finances and you can do whatever and by
33:15
the way my favorite is going to those
33:17
dinners and saying well if I wanted to
33:20
do the same thing and get a guaranteed
33:21
return why wouldn't I put a certain
33:23
percentage of my money into zero coupon
33:25
bonds it'll give me C amount of
33:28
money and with the rest of it I'll go
33:30
buy an index fund I'll keep my dividends
33:33
right so I'm not giving up things that
33:35
are part of my upside and I'll get to
33:37
the same destination with more money and
33:39
less cost that's the yourself a
33:43
do-it-yourself index annuity you got it
33:46
and by the way when I was talking with
33:48
my dad when my dad was still alive
33:49
you're talking about the amounts of
33:50
money that people get to I had to have
33:53
this meeting with my father where I
33:54
basically said dad you know here it is
33:56
you know that if you have this much
33:57
money you're set for life so you have
34:00
way more than this much money so take
34:02
that amount and that becomes your don't
34:04
screw it up money if you don't screw it
34:07
up you could go buy scratch tickets with
34:09
the rest of it and my father never
34:11
bought a lottery ticket as never have I
34:13
but you know you can do whatever you
34:15
want with that money and you're never
34:17
gonna want and that to me by the way is
34:21
the real reason when people talk to me
34:23
about annuities and oh they're complex
34:25
or whatever I'm like look that complex
34:28
but it's not that complex when you think
34:30
about it from the standpoint of what
34:31
it's doing for you if you can say I can
34:33
wake up every morning and kind of do the
34:35
Forest Gump oh they told me you didn't
34:37
have to worry about money that's one
34:38
less thing to worry about if you can
34:40
basically say hey I can lock this in and
34:42
no that pretty much whatever happens I
34:45
don't have to worry about money the rest
34:47
of my money can go up and down it can do
34:49
whatever I can spend it I cannot spend
34:51
it yep that's the value more so than the
34:55
did I squeeze every pen No Doubt hey
34:58
what's your take on bitcoin I mean we've
35:00
had some um you know it seems like the
35:02
the political uh and and the the media
35:07
has kind of brushed some things under
35:08
the rug you know with Sam Brank been
35:10
freed guilty till proven innocent or
35:12
innocent till proven guilty what's your
35:14
take on that whole Space because it
35:16
seems like it's not as big a part of the
35:20
conversation but it's still there I
35:22
don't you know I'm not a Bitcoin buyer I
35:24
was you know I missed the boat I'm going
35:26
to miss it again um what's your take on
35:30
all that well okay first things first
35:32
it's a much bigger part of the
35:33
conversation in just the last couple of
35:35
weeks because the SEC finally approved
35:38
what they call a spot Bitcoin fund it
35:41
can't really be a spot Bitcoin fund
35:43
because to be a spot Bitcoin fund you'd
35:45
have to hold Bitcoin not in like a a an
35:51
ether wallet or whatever you'd have to
35:53
actually hold physical Bitcoin and
35:54
Bitcoin is not a physical thing so they
35:56
had to get get through that to be able
35:57
to do it but now you can buy funds that
35:59
are tied to the price of Bitcoin what's
36:01
your take on that um if you said you
36:04
wanted to have an asset allocation there
36:07
I'm not going to argue with you if you
36:10
start to tell me it's a currency it
36:12
hasn't proven that yet I think there's
36:15
other cryptos that are more likely now
36:16
let me also by the way full disclosure
36:18
here Stan I own
36:22
$12 of
36:24
cryptocurrency and you also have don't
36:26
you have like a ceramic Bitcoin thing
36:29
that you were given a long time ago I
36:30
have I yeah actually I have it's it is
36:34
you know when you so leave that to me in
36:36
your will write it in your will St no no
36:38
the the so that's actually one of my
36:41
favorite things let me get back to that
36:42
in a second I have1 I have $12 in
36:45
Bitcoin which is or and I'm sorry1 in
36:49
crypto which is $10 of something called
36:52
duck duck coin and $2 of something
36:55
called BBQ coin which I was given and
36:58
I'm not planning to spend it all in the
37:00
same place so I've never actually
37:01
checked to see if it's still worth my
37:03
$12 can we buy barbecue with the BBQ
37:06
coin more on that in a second okay so so
37:10
and yes I do have like they show you the
37:13
the thing that everybody thinks is a
37:14
Bitcoin it's the the gold thing with the
37:16
that looks like a dollar it's it's on
37:18
every story when there's a Bitcoin story
37:20
written that you see this I have one of
37:22
those encased in plastic that I was
37:24
given it is as highlight to say a 100%
37:29
genuine fake Bitcoin 100% it's 100%
37:32
genuine fake it is completely real and
37:35
not real at the same time yep I use it
37:37
my hobby job I officiate lacrosse
37:41
games and I bring that with me and that
37:44
is my coin for my pregame coin toss and
37:47
I ask the kids and their coaches do you
37:51
know what this is and almost invariably
37:54
somebody gets it goes oh that's bitco
37:56
coin and I'm like Yep this is genuine
37:58
fake Bitcoin and I'm going to point out
38:01
today that at some point I'm going to
38:03
blow my whistle and you're gonna look at
38:05
me and go Mr ref that's not right that's
38:08
not uhuh no you got that called wrong
38:11
and I'm gonna point out to you that my
38:15
call like Bitcoin is a currency that is
38:18
determined by what the market makes of
38:20
it and you may think it's worthless but
38:23
when I blew my whistle I can promise you
38:25
I thought it had value you and it did
38:28
because I'm the one who makes the rules
38:31
here's the thing about could you buy
38:32
barbecue coin back in 2011 2010 Bitcoin
38:38
went on a tear it went from from $4 to
38:42
$32 in a span of about four days and it
38:44
was the first time people were learning
38:46
about it right I made it the stupid
38:48
investment of the week at 32 bucks and I
38:52
was literally just introducing people
38:53
into it nobody knew what the hell it was
38:55
sure I will point out stupid investment
38:58
of the week and it went from 32 to three
39:02
and a half in the next six days after I
39:04
wrote that
39:05
com but I get people all the time who
39:09
will say they'll point out that com
39:10
they'll go to Twitter look at this guy
39:13
if you had bought Bitcoin okay you would
39:15
have held Bitcoin through Mount gox at
39:17
that point it was the most popular
39:18
Bitcoin exchange before there was ever
39:21
FTX and people going St bankman freed we
39:23
never heard of anything like this that
39:25
just means you weren't around when GX
39:26
collapsed it did the same damn thing and
39:29
no you didn't hold your money through
39:31
that but while right after that story
39:33
came out back in 2010
39:36
2011 there be suddenly in South Station
39:39
in Boston there is a Bitcoin
39:42
ATM so I call my boss at MarketWatch and
39:46
I say we need to go use this and he goes
39:49
where and I said there's a restaurant in
39:51
Cambridge that has started taking
39:54
Bitcoin and my boss said
39:56
Chuck you can't do the story you just
39:58
wrote a hate a a hate piece on bitcoin
40:00
basically calling it St investment of
40:02
the week you cannot follow up I said
40:04
great but there's people in the Boston
40:06
office who can he said yep go take them
40:08
to lunch do the Bitcoin thing so I call
40:12
my colleagues at the market watch office
40:13
and I say hey who wants lunch they all
40:16
go sure two there's only three of us in
40:18
the Boston office so we are going to
40:21
felonius monkfish is the name of the
40:24
restaurant in and I'm a jazz person so
40:25
stop for a second still
40:28
exists doesn't take
40:30
Bitcoin yeah fonus monkfish in Cambridge
40:33
worth it Stan when you come to Boston we
40:35
can go
40:37
absolutely so so I go we we meet at
40:41
South Station we put a $100 into the
40:43
Bitcoin ATM we go there for lunch we try
40:46
to spend as close to 100 bucks as we can
40:48
we turn in whatever we need to turn in
40:50
to use our Bitcoin and in the space of
40:53
going from South Station to the
40:55
restaurant ordering during lunch Etc
40:57
Bitcoin had dropped enough that our $100
40:59
was worth
41:01
64 so now we got to spend an extra 36
41:06
bucks and then we have to go and expense
41:09
it and that's the really incredible part
41:11
because they're going no you took a
41:13
hundred bucks you bought a hundred bucks
41:14
worth of food we don't owe you 36 and
41:17
we're like no we bought a hundred bucks
41:18
worth of bitcoin and the currency
41:21
fluctuated so much that we need an extra
41:23
36 bucks to pay our $100 bill you you
41:26
know where my brain went on that is the
41:28
is the fundraising Venture Capital pitch
41:32
on the ATMs that some schmuck put
41:34
Bunches of money into that and it's in
41:37
some Warehouse some there's a bunch of
41:38
these Bitcoin ATMs that some schmuck
41:41
owns um and he gets what he deserves no
41:44
but but bottom line it looks like it's
41:46
survived the storm and gonna be here in
41:48
some form or fashion but I don't know
41:50
that it's going to be a currency look if
41:53
you want cryptocurrencies let's talk
41:55
about cryptocur currencies that are
41:56
usable right you have one I bet I bet
42:00
you have one in your house or you know
42:02
people that have one in your house that
42:03
you don't even think of as a
42:05
cryptocurrency it's called an Amazon
42:07
gift card oh absolutely if you have an
42:10
Amazon gift card an Amazon gift card you
42:12
could go to someone else and say hey
42:16
I've got an Amazon gift card it's worth
42:18
50 bucks will you take it they will and
42:20
in fact if you said I only owe you 40
42:22
but I got this gift card I'm not using
42:24
would you take a $50 Amazon gift card
42:26
they most assuredly will right you can
42:29
have absolute economy and by the way it
42:31
is for as much as people go well Bitcoin
42:33
for crime and whatever there's an entire
42:35
elicit economy in this
42:37
country right you talk about there are
42:40
people who who will say oh you know can
42:41
I pay that contractor in cash right well
42:45
I can pay you with a gift card and I can
42:47
pay you with a gift card and you can you
42:49
know think about it you run a small
42:51
business I I run a small business if
42:53
somebody wants to pay me an Amazon gift
42:55
cards I can use that right so you can
42:59
have it Amazon gift cards and other
43:02
things like it are legitimate crypto
43:04
currencies there's just not there's not
43:06
there's not a well expected secondary
43:09
Market you don't have Futures on it you
43:10
don't have other things that you do with
43:12
crypto is it just a toy for is it just a
43:15
toy for Wall
43:17
Street um no I don't think it is because
43:21
I think wall Street's still trying to
43:22
figure out how to use it and what to do
43:24
with it I agree with that and you have
43:26
lot of disagreement I mean you got I
43:29
don't know if was it Jamie Diamond or
43:31
one of the big guys just like they hate
43:33
it obviously Buffett ha hates it his his
43:36
ex compatriot that just passed away
43:38
Charlie Munger hated it you know not
43:41
saying those guys are perfect but but
43:43
they have driven a lot of the sentiment
43:45
for sure well but lizanne Saunders from
43:47
Charles Schwab said on my show and it's
43:51
the thing I come back to tell me what
43:53
problem it solves
43:54
for very good question if that's if you
43:59
say this is here to stay tell me what
44:01
problem solves for and what I compare it
44:02
to is is things like go back to the
44:05
early days of the personal computer
44:08
right I am old enough to remember those
44:10
days really well me if in the 1980s if
44:13
you were gonna say let me bet on a
44:15
personal computer company you would have
44:17
been buying the stock of prime computer
44:19
and Wang labs and Microsoft you'd never
44:21
heard of and you weren't going to buy
44:23
Microsoft and Apple was this company
44:25
that was out of those garage that you
44:27
heard a little something about but you
44:29
were going to buy the wrong things
44:32
because you couldn't tell I'm not sure
44:34
that Bitcoin is ultimately the
44:35
cryptocurrency I think blockchain has
44:38
tremendous value totally told me you
44:40
told me you want to invest in blockchain
44:42
you're buying the picks and shovels of
44:44
the cryptocurrency totally agree fine
44:46
but we're not done having Sam bankman
44:49
freed type failures no it's not you know
44:53
um uh you know that and and so by the
44:56
way as long as we're talking about all
44:58
this right do you want to know because I
45:02
I broke it last year but I'm gonna write
45:04
about it again this year what's that
45:06
we're just about by the time people hear
45:08
this we will know who's going to the
45:10
Super Bowl right that's true yes okay so
45:14
you want the you know um there was a
45:17
Leonard
45:18
Coppel was the journalist sports writer
45:21
who created the Super Bowl indicator
45:24
which he did as a joke and before he
45:25
died he sort of said I wish I hadn't
45:26
done it and you know it's the whole
45:28
thing about with Conference win and what
45:30
it means I'll give you the real Super
45:32
Bowl indicator this is it let me hear it
45:35
any stock any company that is less than
45:38
five years off of its
45:41
IPO or less than three years from having
45:44
its IPO if they are advertising in the
45:46
Super Bowl that company's headed for
45:49
trouble so in other words oh yeah
45:51
there's a gra you want to know what not
45:53
to invest oh yeah oh yeah take any
45:56
public company that is newly public in
45:58
advertising in the Super Bowl do not
46:01
take any company that is so hot that
46:02
it's going to go public after the Super
46:04
Bowl within two years because that IPO
46:08
is gonna go down in flames and there is
46:10
a long history I've now gone back and
46:12
done the research for this entire
46:15
century and there is a long history of
46:17
it and it makes actual economic sense
46:20
which is these companies have a hot IPO
46:22
they don't really know what to do with
46:23
their money right they go spend it Super
46:26
Bowl stuff so that their Executives can
46:28
fly their private jets in and go have a
46:30
grand old time cocacola and Budweiser
46:33
and whatever can afford image ads at the
46:35
Super Bowl but the other guys can't and
46:39
and I defer to South Park I defer to
46:41
South Park where their take on things on
46:43
the Matt Damon commercials for FTX was
46:45
you know what did Matt Damon say fortune
46:47
favors the brave I know you know we all
46:51
invested we all lost all our money but
46:53
we were Brave in doing so well the other
46:56
thing I read an article the other day a
46:58
little bit kind of kind of off subject
47:00
but it was about the private jet
47:03
industry and one of the one of the
47:05
stewardesses had gone you know Rogue and
47:08
talked all about just some of the
47:10
horrific things that they saw and I'm
47:12
thinking to myself if I'm shorting stock
47:14
if my business was shorting stock I
47:16
would be researching these netjets and
47:20
and say who's your worst actor and then
47:22
find out if they run in companies or or
47:24
if they're just went public and I'd
47:26
short the crap out of those people
47:28
because they don't understand money if
47:30
they're up there you know going back and
47:32
forth Etc on jet I will tell you a funny
47:36
story so in my job I am probably the
47:39
only person you know who does not work
47:41
for a fund company who knows every one
47:44
of my fund managers personally if you
47:48
run my money I've met you I've talked to
47:50
you right I've done whatever and I could
47:52
arrange to do that tomorrow if I want to
47:54
find a new fund I could call a guy and
47:56
say hey sure talk to me so I've I know
47:58
every single person who runs a mutual
48:00
fund other than an index fund that I own
48:04
right and at the same time more than
48:07
once in my life I've heard things where
48:08
I'm like oh maybe this guy drank the
48:10
Kool-Aid it is time to to get rid of but
48:14
I will tell you that I once had a
48:17
manager who was coming to
48:18
Boston and it was a fun firm that I'm
48:22
like yeah I really like what I've heard
48:24
this guy say and everything else some
48:26
point this could be on my radar screen
48:28
and we had a reasonably bad
48:31
snowstorm and we were supposed to meet
48:33
for dinner and I probably should have
48:35
been out driving in this and the guy
48:36
says could you meet me downtown let's go
48:39
get this dinner we were GNA have but
48:40
would you mind Drive Me Out to the sub
48:42
he's like you live in the suburbs I'm
48:43
like yeah I do wrong direction right so
48:46
he asked me to drive him out to the
48:47
suburbs he was leaving behind the
48:50
presidential suite in the hotel that he
48:52
was in to move into the president
48:55
residential Suite in a hotel that meant
48:57
that tomorrow morning he could get to
48:59
whatever his meeting
49:00
was right so he was more than doubling
49:03
his cost and in exchange for my troubles
49:06
he spent way way way too much on dinner
49:08
because I would have gone to eat tacos
49:09
like you know sure it's and I watched
49:11
and he talked about he like reveled in
49:15
how much he was spending and I was like
49:18
I will never own your fund not ever I
49:20
just think there's I mean there's
49:22
something to I don't think you have to
49:23
be as Frugal as Sam Walton flying coach
49:25
but but you know I do think that there's
49:27
something to that last question I'm
49:28
going to have to wrap this up in a few
49:30
minutes but does Wall Street like open
49:35
borders
49:37
um I don't actually that's a good
49:39
question that I don't really have an
49:40
answer to I think that Wall Street likes
49:44
what's good for business and to the
49:46
extent that they can say that open
49:48
borders are good for business come on um
49:52
to the extent
49:54
that you can say
49:58
that I I think when you look at this
50:01
question the right way to answer it and
50:04
I haven't done the research to be able
50:05
to answer it for you would be to say
50:09
look at what the economists say on the
50:12
subject but compare academic economists
50:16
to corporate
50:17
economists Angus Deon Nobel
50:20
prizewinning Economist wrote a fabulous
50:23
book that came out near the end of last
50:25
year
50:26
and Angus was on my show and we were
50:28
talking about
50:30
economists and specifically there is a
50:33
significant difference between what
50:35
corporate economists believe and what
50:38
academic economists believe and that
50:42
ultimately you very seldom have anyone
50:46
not coming back to Academia in other
50:49
words the minute I'm no longer employed
50:51
by you my belief system miraculously
50:54
comes back to what the academics think
50:57
and the minute you employ me I may move
51:00
off of whatever but and admittedly he
51:03
owned up to the fact that he's an
51:04
academic Economist so he has maybe a
51:06
bias that he's living in the light and
51:08
not the dark but I would say that that
51:13
if you want to look at it from an
51:15
economic standpoint not so much a market
51:18
standpoint go find the college
51:20
professors and compare what they're
51:21
saying to the corporate economists and
51:23
that your answer will be somewhere in
51:24
the middle it it's just interesting I
51:26
don't I don't trust any cable news
51:28
either side um they're all agenda driven
51:32
news is agenda driven so I look at it
51:34
from a different lens I was just
51:35
wondering your take and that's a really
51:36
good take I heard someone say the other
51:38
night and it hit me that they were
51:40
correct because one of the places I live
51:42
parttime is in Florida and he goes I
51:44
defy you to find a roofer that's not an
51:48
immigrant that's working in Florida and
51:50
I went yeah he's probably right I mean
51:54
probably right I would say you'd have a
51:56
tough time doing it here in
51:57
Massachusetts and we don't have the same
51:59
immigration issues I mean I'll also
52:02
point out I'm first generation American
52:04
my parents were both born in Berlin and
52:07
and my parents had you know um my my
52:11
parents both had pretty amazing stories
52:13
that got them here and what they had to
52:15
go through to get here and who had to
52:17
sponsor them and what they had to do
52:19
yeah and my parents would have told you
52:22
that they were not in favor of open
52:24
borders but they in terms of completely
52:28
open but that you know again what are
52:31
you doing and what are you trying to
52:32
bring in and I will simply point out
52:34
that when someone says yes but what
52:36
they're trying to bring in is drug
52:37
dealers well in the case of my
52:39
grandfather case of my father's father
52:41
that's not true almost certainly he was
52:42
a drug dealer now he would have
52:44
preferred to say it was International
52:46
Pharmaceuticals company you know like an
52:48
international Pharmaceuticals
52:51
company not like a drug dealer well the
52:53
reason the reason I it you could spin it
52:56
that way the reason I asked that
52:57
question was a couple reasons number one
52:59
I want to hear what you had to say
53:00
number two I wanted our listeners and
53:01
viewers to think of it differently not
53:03
through a cable news lens um but I will
53:06
say this the only prediction I have
53:08
about the the elections coming up is
53:11
that whoever wins the presidency will
53:13
have the better message on immigration I
53:16
don't know what that message is but
53:17
whatever that message that they can
53:19
craft to to translate to the people to
53:23
make them feel comfortable about it will
53:24
win that will be the issue I think um
53:28
because it has tentacles all the way
53:30
around and I think either party has the
53:32
ability to to craft that message we'll
53:35
just see but I do think that uh it's not
53:38
as it's not as black and white and
53:40
horrific it's horrific in a lot of ways
53:43
but it's not what I think the media
53:45
portrays in a lot of cases um and I
53:48
heard a pundit say there night and I
53:49
don't agree with him all the time but I
53:51
think he's hilarious his name you know
53:53
you know him James carbal and I I watch
53:56
him because he's funny um but what he
53:58
said was interesting he goes if a lady
54:00
walks 600 miles with her daughter to get
54:02
across her border I kind of want to hire
54:06
her and I went that's interesting now I
54:09
know all the other people on the other
54:11
side are yelling at me right now but I
54:12
want you to think about it think about
54:15
it a little bit and obviously we're
54:17
going to clean that up as a country we
54:19
always do it's you know it's not going
54:21
to be the same but I thought that was an
54:23
interesting com
54:25
you know because you know I'm always
54:27
hiring people I'm always looking for
54:28
work ethic and when he said that I'm
54:29
like wow that's that's that's a good way
54:32
to do it what are the items do you want
54:34
to cover before I wrap this thing up
54:36
Chuck oh Stan it's your it's your show I
54:39
mean all right then here's what we're
54:40
gonna do wait wait wait there is one
54:42
thing there is one thing I wanna I wanna
54:44
point out which is the last time you
54:45
were on my show we taped a couple things
54:47
right before my my wedding in November
54:50
because I did some shows in advance
54:52
before I went away and at the time we I
54:55
had you come in to do a question which
54:56
was not from the audience it was from me
54:58
I know because I had been given a a
55:01
buyout offer on a small pension that I
55:04
had and and your advice was what I
55:07
expected it to be which was you know
55:08
like you can run the math and decide if
55:10
it's something else but you know chances
55:12
are good you want to stick with the
55:14
pension and and I will simply point out
55:17
I did run all the math but more
55:19
importantly I had the conversations with
55:21
Gail I will point out Gail hates money
55:23
like among the things that will tell you
55:25
she's getting with me is the fact that
55:27
hey he'll he'll help me with the money
55:28
decisions and he actually knows what
55:29
he's doing that's that's that second
55:31
part that really is perhaps more
55:33
important but we had all of the money
55:35
discussions about it and she kind of
55:38
recognized like he it wasn't a sharp
55:40
stick in the eye it was easier to do it
55:42
than she would have expected even if she
55:44
doesn't understand how pensions work or
55:47
annuities work in the rest and B the
55:50
peace of mind would have been worth
55:51
whatever we could have done when we did
55:53
the tradeoffs and looked at right and so
55:55
the
55:56
decision that was made when she when we
55:59
finished her thing was I thought we were
56:00
going to have a talk about money and
56:02
instead we had to talk about life and
56:05
you know my show is called money life
56:07
for a reason but when people are having
56:10
those discussions with you yeah remember
56:14
like the only reason my show is called
56:16
money life is because life money sounds
56:19
stupid it doesn't roll off the tongue
56:21
life comes first remember that everybody
56:24
we're talking about Chuck jaffy he's the
56:25
host of money life show Money life
56:28
show.com and it's called money life but
56:30
if you want to go and listen to all the
56:31
re-recordings and all the stuff he has
56:34
out and subscribe I tell you to do that
56:36
moneylife show.com he's also col
56:39
columnist with market watch I used to do
56:41
that gig for a long long time it's kind
56:43
of how we met but at the end of every
56:45
show Chuck as you know I do a mic drop
56:47
moment I count it down 543 21 and then
56:50
you say something that's so
56:51
unbelievable that people will be blown
56:53
away and walk away an amazement of your
56:56
IQ so here we go in five 4 3 2 one Mike
56:59
drop moment Chuck jaffy
57:04
go remember folks keep keep everything
57:07
in perspective where money is supposed
57:09
to be
57:11
okay you you didn't make it to save it
57:15
you didn't make it to be buried with it
57:17
the richest man in the graveyard is not
57:20
the happiest man before he got there so
57:24
there you go I mean that's a mic drop
57:26
Chuck thank you so much and thank you
57:28
everybody for joining us on all major
57:30
podcast platforms and the fun with the's
57:32
YouTube channel I'll see you next time
57:34
take
57:39
care
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