100 Michael Finke: Retirees Should Calculate to Not Be a Loser

March 15, 2022
52 min
100 Michael Finke: Retirees Should Calculate to Not Be a Loser
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IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND MICHAEL FINKE DISCUSS:
- Delaying your decision to claim
- Insulating your income from volatility
- Inflation is personal
- Consequences of not annuitizing

KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- If you have a good reason to expect that you’re not going to live as long as an average American, then it makes sense to claim early. Unless you have a spouse who can continue to receive your benefit.
- Anybody who’s using stocks to compare the present value of future guaranteed income is insane. Insulate a portion of your income stock-market volatility, that’s just the right thing to do both mathematically and psychologically.
- Inflation is personal. It affects each person differently. When you’re planning for retirement, pay attention to what percentage of your expenses are subject to increases in inflation and what are “stable nominal expenses”.
- Stocks will be more volatile, and bonds less volatile. Either way, there is a lot of probability and risks involved.

"Essentially what you're doing when you’re delaying social security is that you are buying more of a government-provided, inflation-protected, annuity." — Micheal Finke

CONNECT WITH MICHAEL FINKE:
Website: http://www.michaelfinke.com/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-finke-8134808/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mfinke
Twitter: https://twitter.com/FinkeonFinance

CONNECT WITH THE ANNUITY MAN:
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)

0:04
welcome to fun with annuities with your

0:06
host me stan the annuity man america's

0:09
annuity agent can annuities be fun can

0:12
contractual guarantees be fun

0:14
absolutely they can find out the brutal

0:17
facts about annuities with no sales

0:20
pitches or high pressure nonsense just

0:23
the brutal and factual annuity truth

0:25
which is all you need to hear

0:27
let's have some fun with annuities and

0:29
let's have that fun start right now

0:33
[Music]

0:39
welcome to fun with annuities i'm your

0:41
host stan the annuity man america's

0:42
annuity agent i want to welcome everyone

0:44
on the podcast platforms all of those

0:47
things that i can't remember but there's

0:48
a bunch of them and also the fun with

0:50
annuities youtube channel so you can see

0:52
the dashingly good looks of my guest

0:55
and

0:55
what color baseball cap i have on which

0:57
is always good um i want to welcome back

1:00
a person that i have so much respect for

1:03
and if there's two people on the planet

1:05
that like culax more than

1:07
than me and this person i want to meet

1:09
them in fact he has a cue like hat

1:11
typically that he wears uh he wore it on

1:13
the last podcast but i want to welcome

1:15
back to fun with annuities michael finka

1:17
michael

1:19
great to be back on stan good to see you

1:21
again

1:22
it's good to see you as well you know i

1:24
follow you i stalk you and everything

1:26
that you write out there so there's been

1:28
a couple of articles that have popped

1:31
up and i'm going man i got to get him

1:33
back on and talk about that and the

1:34
first one and i'm just by the way you

1:36
can go to my site at theannuityman.com

1:38
and and read about how wonderful michael

1:40
is and all the accomplishments it's

1:41
ridiculous he's done so much

1:44
um

1:45
you know at his funeral whoever gets up

1:47
to talk and talk about what he's done

1:50
it's going to be a long one

1:52
because he is really accomplished and

1:55
we're so happy to have him on michael

1:56
you did an article for think advisor

1:58
magazine and the title was why claiming

2:02
social security at 64 or 67

2:05
could be a big mistake now social

2:08
security should be handled and advised

2:10
by experts like you and i it drives me

2:12
crazy when the indexed annuity sales

2:14
people have a social security seminar

2:17
and then oh by the way you need an index

2:18
annuity i'm so happy for you to be on

2:21
and and hammer home factually why this

2:24
could be a mistake so i throw the ball

2:26
to you michael finka

2:28
well first of all uh social security is

2:31
an annuity anybody who says that they

2:34
hate annuities should also say that they

2:36
hate social security and pensions

2:38
because

2:39
they're both a form of annuity and it

2:42
just so happens that social security is

2:44
provided by the federal government to

2:46
everybody it's not priced based on

2:49
market prices which is uh important to

2:52
note and i also in my article break down

2:55
how to value the income you get from the

2:58
annuity and i think that's very

2:59
important because it's the same way

3:02
we value a private annuity so when you

3:04
buy a lifetime annuity from an insurance

3:06
company

3:07
there's a way to price it there's

3:09
there's there are actuaries at the

3:11
company who look at mortality tables and

3:13
they look at the rates of return they

3:15
can get from bond investments they have

3:17
to be funded with the safe investments

3:19
if they're going to guarantee the income

3:21
and you can use the same

3:22
way to value the income that you're

3:25
receiving from social security when you

3:28
delay by a year so essentially what

3:31
you're doing when you delay receiving

3:33
social security is you are buying more

3:37
of a government-provided

3:39
inflation-protected annuity

3:42
and inflation-protected annuities take

3:44
away two sources of risk they take away

3:46
longevity risk which a traditional

3:47
annuity does and also reduces inflation

3:51
risk now

3:52
this is i think very important for

3:54
retirees to provide a foundation of

3:57
inflation-protected income

3:59
and when you give up a year this and the

4:01
example i gave in the article is let's

4:03
say that you were born in 1960 uh you're

4:06
62 years old in 2022 and you're trying

4:09
to decide whether to delay social

4:11
security to age 63 you may give up 20

4:14
000 of income

4:15
during your 62nd year

4:18
but

4:18
starting at your 63rd year you now get 5

4:23
more thousand dollars more in lifetime

4:26
income now that doesn't sound like a

4:28
whole lot you give up twenty thousand

4:29
dollars you get a thousand dollars more

4:31
every year for the rest of your life but

4:33
there's a couple things to consider

4:35
first of all how long are you gonna live

4:36
if you're a healthy woman for example on

4:38
average you're gonna live uh to eight

4:41
you have a 50 50 chance of living to age

4:43
90

4:44
and that means you're going to be

4:45
getting those thousand dollar payments

4:47
for the next 27 years

4:50
and they're also inflation protected so

4:51
they're more valuable than just getting

4:53
a thousand an extra thousand dollars a

4:55
year you're getting you know the

4:56
inflation adjustment was was seven

4:59
percent this year so you might get a

5:00
thousand and seventy dollars this next

5:03
year uh so it continues to go up every

5:05
year in retirement so it's very valuable

5:08
and often underappreciated by retirees

5:11
uh and you know you and i see so much

5:13
garbage when it comes to

5:15
deciding whether or not to delay

5:17
claiming social security there is this

5:19
sort of anti-government bent you know

5:22
that right i'm gonna take my money right

5:24
now you know and the reality is that if

5:28
you're a taxpayer you want everybody to

5:30
take their money right now because that

5:31
you're a loser you you will get less

5:34
over the course of your lifetime it's

5:36
essentially as if you're giving up

5:38
lifetime wealth

5:39
um is that a figurative loser or a

5:42
literal loser michael

5:44
you well it is a literal loser so in the

5:46
sense that

5:48
um

5:48
both uh in the sense that you lose

5:51
wealth and and this is absolutely you

5:53
know you can plot out the mathematics of

5:55
it and it's not it's not rocket science

5:57
that

5:58
um you know over the course of your

6:00
expected lifetime you will have less

6:03
money to work with and even if your goal

6:07
is to give your money to your kids

6:09
then it's worth giving up one year of

6:11
income in order to get a higher income

6:14
for the rest of your life on average now

6:17
a big assumption here is

6:19
that you you have to be in okay health

6:21
if you're not in good health you know if

6:23
you're if you have been diagnosed with

6:25
cancer or if you have heart disease or

6:28
you know whatever whatever reason you

6:29
don't expect to live as long as the

6:31
average american then it can make sense

6:33
to claim early unless you have a spouse

6:36
who can then continue to receive your

6:39
benefit so if you're in bad health

6:41
absolutely if you have a high income

6:44
especially if you're a higher earner

6:45
than your spouse

6:47
delay claiming as long as you can to age

6:49
70 and maybe your lifetime is not going

6:52
to be as long as the average american

6:54
but that payment is going to support

6:56
your surviving spouse for the rest of

6:58
their life uh so i i think it's it's you

7:01
know stan what are some of the things

7:02
that you've heard from people who don't

7:05
want to delay claiming social security

7:07
well i think we we all know that there

7:09
are people that have to take it early

7:11
because they don't have any other source

7:13
of income and under that assumption then

7:15
yeah take it but if you are weighing

7:18
should i take it now

7:19
or if some

7:21
non-qualified advisor agent is trying to

7:25
combine the decision with a an indexed

7:27
annuity sale or something like that what

7:29
i would tell you to do is is certainly

7:31
reach out to a cpa tax lawyer or listen

7:34
to someone like michael finka

7:36
we also have a person on occasionally

7:37
you name jeff miller who has a site

7:39
called

7:40
socialsecuritychoices.com ex university

7:43
of delaware professor

7:44
smart people to weigh in i think that

7:47
there's just so much misinformation on

7:49
social security which is very

7:51
interesting because

7:52
it is the best inflation annuity on the

7:54
planet and you would think that

7:56
the government i know i'm hoping here

8:00
would do a better job because of the the

8:02
misinformation that's out there that's

8:04
the reason i wanted to have you on

8:05
because you know when you started the

8:07
first sentence of your of your article

8:09
about you know the bonus retirees get

8:11
from waiting to claim social security

8:13
income benefits increases in two steps

8:15
i'm guaranteeing you that 98 of the

8:18
people don't know what those two steps

8:20
are so tell them those two steps

8:22
yeah so that was the main point of the

8:23
article which of course we haven't

8:24
gotten to yet because i i could talk

8:27
forever about this topic and we're going

8:28
to we're going to talk a long time today

8:31
and by the way stan the the government

8:33
actually listened so a lot of people

8:35
have been saying for a while that the

8:37
information on delayed claiming was not

8:40
in the best interest of good of citizens

8:42
and so they've actually made some

8:44
important changes to their website i

8:46
think they've done they deserve some

8:47
credit they've done a really good job of

8:49
improving it

8:51
now that said the formula for

8:54
figuring out how much more income you

8:56
get every year from delayed claiming

8:58
that formula was put together in the

9:00
early 1980s and uh the formula was was

9:04
meant to make it what's known as

9:06
actuarially fair so if it's actuarially

9:08
fair that's a hard thing to say then the

9:11
present value of what you give up by

9:14
waiting a year should be equal to the

9:17
present value of what you can expect to

9:19
get in increased benefit payments so of

9:22
course

9:23
if you you know increase the income of

9:25
someone from 62 to 63 at age 63 the

9:28
government expects you to get a lot more

9:30
payments over the course of your

9:31
lifetime so the jump up in the bonus

9:34
that you get for delayed claiming is

9:36
only five percent per year um but it

9:38
goes up to six and two-thirds percent

9:41
once you hit age 64. so after your 64th

9:44
birthday all of a sudden every month

9:46
that you delay you get that six and

9:48
two-thirds percent per year increase and

9:51
then after age 67 if for someone who was

9:53
born in 1960 and has full retirement age

9:56
of 67 in 2022

9:58
for them it goes up by 8

10:01
every year between 67 and 68 and if you

10:05
you know those rules were created back

10:07
in the early 1980s with a different

10:09
mortality table that exists in the

10:11
united states right right now which

10:13
means that people are now living longer

10:15
than they did in the early 1980s and

10:17
especially higher income folks so if you

10:20
are a healthy higher income american

10:23
you receive a

10:25
significant benefit in the present value

10:28
of those increased income payments that

10:30
you get from delaying social security uh

10:33
but the the increase the bonus that you

10:36
get is highest at each one of those

10:38
steps where that so that benefit of

10:40
claiming goes up by six and two-thirds

10:42
percent after age 64. and by 8 after age

10:46
67 and you know there is this belief

10:49
that you should at least wait till

10:51
you'll your full retirement age for good

10:53
reason to age 67 because uh if you don't

10:56
then you get taxed on your earnings um

10:59
you know if you're making money outside

11:00
of social security it's a terrible deal

11:02
to take it before a full retirement age

11:04
but if you wait an additional year that

11:08
bonus that you get from waiting from 67

11:10
to 68 is actually the most generous

11:13
bonus from delayed claiming in fact if

11:16
you look for example for an average man

11:18
the bonus from get it from winning

11:19
between 69 and 70 is actually not that

11:22
big

11:22
these bonuses by the way are larger for

11:25
women and again if you have a couple

11:27
where the male is the higher earning

11:29
spouse then that surviving spouse can

11:32
also expect to get that higher income

11:34
payment so don't just base it on whether

11:37
it's a man or a woman if you're a single

11:39
woman you're gonna get a big bonus

11:41
especially if you're healthy from

11:42
delayed claiming

11:44
now that bonus is positive stan and if

11:47
you buy an annuity

11:49
you don't necessarily expect the present

11:52
value to be

11:54
equal to the amount of income payments

11:56
that you're going to get in the future

11:58
because the insurance company has to

11:59
make a little bit of profit to be able

12:01
to provide that guarantee of a lifetime

12:03
income where the government is actually

12:05
paying you to buy an annuity if you

12:08
delay claiming social security so it is

12:10
kind of the opposite of buying a private

12:12
annuity in the sense that the government

12:14
is giving you something for nothing and

12:16
to not take that something for nothing

12:18
if you're a healthy retiree now one of

12:20
the

12:21
one of the

12:22
forms of resistance that i hear is well

12:25
social security is going to go bankrupt

12:27
now let's take a moment and talk about

12:30
what that means it means that sometime a

12:33
little over 10 years from now

12:35
social security is going to have to cut

12:38
benefits if they make no changes in the

12:42
social security system

12:43
what politician is going to get

12:46
reelected if they simply allow social

12:48
security to be cut by 20 percent none i

12:52
mean there's there's zero political

12:54
chance that that's going to happen so

12:56
what is going to happen well most people

12:57
agree that it's probably going to be

12:59
some combination of increases in payroll

13:02
taxes so those who are working are gonna

13:04
have to pay a little bit more those who

13:06
have higher incomes are going to start

13:07
paying more on for social security there

13:10
is an income limit on how much people

13:12
pay for social security that's probably

13:14
going to get increased

13:16
i don't see any way around it at this

13:17
point and probably some of those

13:19
inflation adjustments that people get

13:20
every year are probably going to be uh

13:23
reduced but even if the worst case

13:26
scenario happens

13:28
it still makes economic sense to delay

13:30
claiming social security right now

13:33
given the

13:34
given how expensive safe

13:36
inflation-protected income from the

13:38
government is

13:39
and given that the fact that a lot of

13:41
higher income americans are living

13:43
longer than they ever have

13:45
yeah i found that last statement that

13:47
you said and it was kind of at the end

13:48
of your article talking about

13:50
you know just people that make more

13:52
money and they make people that are rich

13:54
and i know a lot of my listeners

13:58
are what's considered categoric

14:00
categorically rich but they don't think

14:02
they're rich i always tell people oh by

14:04
the way you're the evil rich and like no

14:05
there's no white yeah you are

14:07
um

14:08
is there a

14:10
is there like a income level or asset

14:12
level that

14:13
that you look at from the standpoint of

14:15
people living longer

14:17
et cetera i mean well i mean if you if

14:19
you look at the data you see that those

14:21
who are in the top 10 percentile of

14:23
income

14:24
social security earnings um and and what

14:27
is the top 10 percentile well probably

14:29
people who on average make above 80 or

14:31
90 thousand dollars a year but that

14:33
doesn't sound rich but it's it's the

14:35
reality and

14:37
those are the people who have gained the

14:39
most in terms of longevity over the last

14:41
couple of decades as much as five years

14:43
for men now men have actually made the

14:45
biggest gains in longevity because

14:48
they're not doing as many stupid things

14:51
as they did back in the 1960s and 1970s

14:53
they're not smoking as much they're

14:55
exercising more you know they're

14:57
actually taking care of themselves which

14:58
means that they've got more years in

14:59
retirement

15:01
which means that that benefit from

15:02
delayed claiming is going to be greater

15:04
for them

15:06
i mean that i find that interesting

15:07
because

15:08
that also leads into if if they happen

15:11
to means test

15:13
social security in the in the future

15:16
how are they going to do that no there's

15:17
arguments that they already do that but

15:19
i'm talking about

15:20
you know really kind of wiping out some

15:22
people at the higher level that don't

15:23
really need the income even though

15:25
they've paid in do you have any insight

15:27
into that

15:29
because that's i hear that a lot from

15:31
from people that are my clients or

15:33
people that call me that are that are

15:35
thinking about becoming clients

15:36
they're worried about that they're

15:38
worried about being cut out even though

15:39
they've scrimped and saved and and now

15:41
they're at these asset levels that the

15:43
somebody in the government might in the

15:45
future deem them rich enough to be means

15:48
tested out

15:50
yeah i mean that's a good question i

15:52
think that we're probably going to see

15:53
increasing means testing among retirees

15:57
um you know the government has some

15:58
revenue issues that's going to have to

16:00
get worked out in the future somehow

16:02
um you know that

16:04
i don't see it happening uh i don't see

16:07
taxes going up for social security

16:09
recipients we've already seen some

16:11
red or increase in costs for medicare

16:14
recipients who have higher incomes it's

16:15
also a good argument to

16:17
pay close attention to how much taxable

16:20
income you're generating in retirement

16:22
in other words paying attention to

16:24
taking advantage of roth conversions

16:26
when you can and that's actually another

16:27
benefit of delaying social security is

16:29
that you can start pulling money out of

16:31
your qualified retirement accounts like

16:33
your your iras uh you know what were

16:36
originally your 401k is you can bridge

16:39
your spending by pulling money out of

16:42
that account where you're forced to

16:43
after required minimum distribution

16:45
start kicking in you're forced to take

16:47
money out of that account you have to

16:49
pay income taxes on it and it means

16:51
testing becomes a bigger issue then

16:53
you're kind of locked in uh and if you

16:55
look at the way those rmd rules work you

16:58
know the amount of money that you're

16:59
pulling out actually you could keep

17:01
pushing yourself into a higher income

17:03
tax bracket to the point where by the

17:05
time you reach your late 80s you're

17:08
actually in a higher bracket than you

17:09
were at age 72

17:11
that's a source of risk and one way to

17:13
reduce that source of risk is is by

17:15
changing the account allocation that you

17:18
have to reduce tax risk so you can if

17:21
you've got money in a roth account you

17:22
can pull money out no income taxes um

17:25
you can have greater control over the

17:27
amount of taxable income you generate

17:29
and and this is probably a good point to

17:31
also or a good time to also point out

17:33
that if you buy a

17:35
non-qualified annuity in other words if

17:37
you have money sitting in a taxable

17:39
account so you've got money sitting in a

17:41
checking account or a money market

17:43
account or even in an investment account

17:45
and you buy a lifetime income with

17:47
taxable dollars only a portion of that

17:50
income is actually subject to income

17:53
taxation because of what's known as an

17:55
exclusion ratio so if you buy one it may

17:58
be that only a quarter of it is actually

18:00
especially in a low interest rate

18:01
environment a smaller percentage of your

18:04
payment is subject to taxation because

18:06
that's the percentage that's considered

18:08
to be interest um and that's that can

18:10
actually be a very you know it's a tax

18:12
advantage a lot of people don't really

18:13
talk about including the deferral

18:15
benefit that you get from it until you

18:17
turn the income on but it's a way of

18:19
controlling taxes and retirement as well

18:22
and and stan speak exclusionary issue

18:24
means you're getting

18:26
any type of lifetime income or income

18:27
from an annuity is a combination of

18:29
return or principal plus interest in a

18:30
non-ira account

18:32
you're not going to pay taxes on the

18:33
principal you're going to pay taxes on

18:35
the interest which ie means exclusion

18:37
ratio that's what michael was talking

18:39
about i think one of the things that

18:41
jumped out at me and i did not know this

18:42
and maybe i should was that the social

18:45
social security has its own mortality

18:47
tables

18:48
um that are probably different and

18:50
unique from life insurance is that true

18:53
and and explain why that

18:55
why that's important

18:57
it's important because a lot of these

18:59
formulas like the benefit that you

19:01
receive from delayed claiming are

19:02
partially dependent on what social

19:05
security estimates is a fair amount of

19:07
extra income to give you if you delay

19:09
claiming and the social security average

19:11
i mean that's everybody

19:13
so you know that's

19:15
you've seen your fellow americans the

19:17
the average american is perhaps

19:20
different than

19:22
you i don't want to

19:24
it's it's if you were the kind of person

19:26
who who makes sure that they exercise a

19:29
certain number of times per week who

19:30
goes to whole foods you know who who

19:32
takes care of themselves physically

19:34
you're in a different what's known as a

19:36
mortality pool and that mortality pool

19:39
on average is going to live longer than

19:41
the average american and by quite a big

19:43
difference so when an insurance company

19:45
is pricing an annuity they're using the

19:47
pool of people who actually buy

19:48
annuities who tend to live longer than

19:50
the average american got it so any sort

19:53
of any time you can join a mortality

19:56
pool and the same thing exists with

19:58
pension stand so if you work for an

20:00
employer and the pension income is based

20:04
on all employees

20:06
and you just happen to be healthier than

20:08
your average worker at that company then

20:11
you actually receive more expected value

20:14
from the pension than someone who is a

20:16
lower income

20:18
less healthy worker who is going to not

20:21
live as long in retirement it's actually

20:22
kind of a regressive policy a pension um

20:25
but you know pay attention to the

20:28
mortality pool that you're part of

20:29
because sometimes you can get an extra

20:30
bonus that's very very good and um so

20:34
what you're

20:35
to sum that one up not only social

20:37
security the best inflation annuity on

20:40
the planet it also has the most

20:41
favorable actuarial tables

20:44
for most most listeners to a podcast

20:47
like this which oh by the way michael is

20:49
one of the fastest growing financial

20:50
podcasts in the country because we have

20:53
people like you on it and i

20:55
i really want to thank you for that i

20:57
want you to kind of get in the weeds a

20:58
little bit because um part of the

21:00
article i found fascinating when you

21:02
were talking about

21:03
the the actual fair value

21:06
of delayed claiming and you went into

21:08
tips and you went into all kinds of

21:10
things you gave a pretty good example of

21:12
a 62 year old

21:14
who delays claiming i think you did that

21:16
earlier in the podcast but can you go

21:18
into the weeds of how they

21:20
um the higher fewer higher income

21:23
payments in the future are discounted

21:25
all that

21:26
all that smart guy stuff i need you to

21:28
do that and and explain it to the

21:30
listeners

21:31
so everybody has who is part of a

21:34
mortality pool i mean the way that

21:37
actuaries think about

21:39
human beings

21:40
um is that you know you can look at a

21:43
table and on average i can tell you that

21:46
there's a 50 chance that if you're a

21:49
healthy male and you're age 62 there's a

21:51
50 chance you're going to live to the

21:53
age of 88

21:54
and i know that around that age

21:58
um there is a distribution of deaths and

22:01
the longer you live the less likely it

22:04
is that you're going to make it to your

22:05
next birthday so beyond age 88 for a

22:08
male you know the probability of

22:09
surviving to age 89 goes down

22:11
probability of surviving to age 90 is a

22:13
little bit lower than that um so we can

22:16
actually look at one of these mortality

22:17
tables to estimate how many expected

22:20
income payments the company or the

22:22
government will have to pay you in the

22:25
future now you can flip that around and

22:27
if you're an individual you can say all

22:29
right you know what

22:31
how much on average am i going to

22:33
receive when i buy an annuity or delay

22:36
social security how much on average am i

22:39
going to receive over the course of my

22:40
lifetime and to do that all you have to

22:42
do is take the present value of that

22:45
payment say the payment is going to

22:47
occur at the age of 75. you multiply

22:50
that by the probability that you're

22:52
going to be alive to receive that

22:54
payment and that is the present value of

22:57
that payment to you today so i spent a

22:59
lot of my days you know i know you know

23:01
david blanchard he is the whiz when it

23:04
comes to this stuff so he and i will

23:06
we'll spend a lot of time looking at

23:07
spreadsheets and this this paper came

23:09
because we wrote a paper on social

23:10
security claiming and it was something a

23:12
little idiosyncrat idiosyncrasy that i

23:15
noticed about these steps in retirement

23:17
but what we were doing is constantly

23:19
trying to price out annuities by looking

23:22
at mortality tables looking at the

23:23
present value the other element that you

23:26
have to consider is

23:27
what is the value of an income payment

23:30
in 20 years so in other words if i were

23:32
to buy a bond today a corporate bond or

23:35
a treasury bond and it matured in 20

23:38
years how much would i have to pay for

23:41
that today you know in a low interest

23:42
rate environment i have to i'm gonna

23:43
have to pay 800 bucks to get a thousand

23:46
dollars in 20 years um you know in a

23:50
high interest rate environment i may

23:52
only have to pay 400 bucks to get a

23:53
thousand dollars in 20 years but we have

23:55
to deal with the reality of the low

23:57
interest rate environment that we live

23:58
in so we discount at a lower rate and by

24:02
the way anybody who's using stocks to

24:05
compare the present value of future

24:08
guaranteed income is insane thank you

24:12
mike

24:13
thank you for that

24:15
that i see all the time and i'll tell

24:17
you this is the kind of stuff that

24:19
absolutely drives economists crazy i

24:23
mean bring this up with with bob merton

24:25
and he will you know you get him started

24:29
nobel prize winning economist bob

24:31
and you know the the reality is that

24:34
there is no guaranteed return on a stock

24:37
on average stocks have done well

24:40
historically but everybody who retires

24:43
today is stuck with whatever sequence of

24:46
stock returns they get over the next 20

24:49
years and the way to think about stock

24:51
returns is not that they're always

24:54
going to be 10 it's that there is going

24:56
to be a variation in

24:58
future returns and it may be that stock

25:02
returns over the next 20 years are 10

25:04
percent but it's probably you know a one

25:07
in a hundred chance that they're going

25:08
to be exactly 10

25:09
there's a big chance that they're going

25:11
to be something else and nobody knows in

25:13
advance what that something else is and

25:15
stocks are really well at least they

25:17
were really expensive as a couple weeks

25:19
ago they're still pretty expensive and

25:22
in periods where stocks have been this

25:23
expensive the re the 10-year returns are

25:27
actually not too much more than the

25:29
yield that people are getting on bonds

25:31
right now so this idea that no no don't

25:34
delay social security just take that 20

25:36
000 and invest it and you're gonna get

25:38
more money than if you delayed social

25:39
security no there's no guarantee of that

25:43
you know on average there is what's

25:45
known as a equity risk premium that's

25:48
what the economists call it which is

25:49
basically like historically stocks have

25:51
on average had a higher return than

25:53
bonds but you don't know if you're going

25:56
to be lucky or unlucky over the next 20

25:59
years there's always a chance that

26:01
you're not going to get lucky and you

26:03
don't want to base your lifestyle in 20

26:05
years on luck of the markets

26:08
and that's why i always say that

26:09
everybody should have portions of their

26:11
retirement portfolio invested in risky

26:14
assets because on average they do have a

26:16
higher return especially over longer

26:18
holding periods

26:19
but you have to have a base of income to

26:22
fund your

26:24
inflexible expenses something that we

26:26
talked about last time you have to have

26:27
a base of income

26:29
and you that you should not that should

26:31
not be dependent on the performance you

26:34
get in the stock market so insulate a

26:36
portion of your income from stock market

26:38
volatility and not only is that

26:41
mathematically the right thing to do

26:42
it's also psychologically the right

26:44
thing to do i mean i don't want to base

26:46
i don't have to worry about russia

26:48
invading ukraine and the impact that

26:50
that's going to have on my lifestyle

26:52
next month uh that i mean a lot of

26:54
people are facing that who have had such

26:57
great luck over the last decade

26:58
especially if they really have been

27:00
participating in financial markets over

27:02
the last decade uh in preparation for

27:04
retirement they've gotten i think

27:06
accustomed to this idea that the market

27:08
only goes up but you know that as we

27:10
know uh that doesn't always happen

27:13
yeah what drives me crazy

27:15
when i talk to people and they'll say

27:16
well um you know i could do better

27:18
investing my money than this guaranteed

27:20
lifetime income stream like hey player

27:22
that's apples and oranges okay we're

27:24
talking about two separate things you

27:25
can't make that correlation but the

27:27
problem with that is

27:28
in an article a few years back i'm not

27:31
mistaken and i i don't know if i get his

27:33
name right from pronunciation standpoint

27:35
michael kitsis

27:36
yup is is kind of smart guy in the room

27:38
for advisors and he has advisory service

27:40
and he wrote an article just slamming

27:42
culac saying you know this is not a good

27:44
investment you you historically you

27:46
could do better blah blah blah and i'm

27:47
like what are you even talking about i

27:50
mean to make that correlation

27:53
into and to say well you should just

27:54
keep your money in those dogs

27:56
that's

27:57
insanity and and i think it correlates

28:00
to what you just said about

28:03
um

28:03
yeah stocks are great but they not all

28:05
the time and you can't make that

28:08
correlation okay well you know i'm not

28:10
going to buy qlik because i know

28:12
historically i'm going to do better in

28:13
the market and i think that you know the

28:15
michael kitchis is of the world who i

28:17
totally respect very smart guy but you

28:20
know people read his stuff and they

28:22
believe his stuff which is

28:24
scary when he when he talks about that

28:27
yeah i think the free framing that needs

28:29
to happen is that all retirees have a

28:32
portion of their investments in stocks

28:33
and a portion of their investments in

28:35
bonds agree and if you're going to buy a

28:37
culac

28:38
that's part of the bond portion of your

28:40
portfolio essentially what you're saying

28:42
is that instead of investing in bonds

28:44
i'm going to invest in bonds through an

28:46
insurance company and receive a lifetime

28:49
income guarantee that's going to begin

28:51
later on in retirement to ensure that if

28:54
i don't get lucky with the rest of my

28:55
investments i'm going to have an income

28:58
for the rest of my life that begins

29:00
maybe at the age of 80 or 85 and to

29:03
compare

29:04
stuff that should be from the bond

29:06
portion of your portfolio to the overall

29:09
performance of the portfolio isn't the

29:11
right way to do it it's a the insurance

29:13
company is not investing in stocks

29:15
you're investing in bonds anyway hand

29:18
the money over to the insurance company

29:20
they'll probably do a better and cheaper

29:21
job of investing in bonds than you can

29:24
and they will provide you with that

29:25
lifetime income guarantee because they

29:27
will pool that that longevity risk with

29:30
other retirees like you you essentially

29:32
become part of a long life income club

29:36
well said i know we've kind of gotten

29:37
off the social security topic is there

29:39
anything else that you want to add to

29:41
that because i want to pivot a little

29:43
bit to a couple of the things

29:45
but you've you've hammered away pretty

29:47
well at the social security issue from

29:48
the claiming standpoint anything else

29:51
you know this is another point that i

29:52
think

29:53
retirees don't think enough about is

29:55
that you have a balance sheet at

29:57
retirement and that balance sheet is

30:00
what funds your lifestyle and it funds

30:02
your what you pass on after you die

30:06
um and your your pension your social

30:08
security is absolutely part of that

30:11
balance sheet and so when we look at how

30:13
much you can spend in retirement we're

30:16
looking at the value of your social

30:18
security now the value of social

30:20
security is big uh you know for a lot of

30:23
people it can be maybe seven or eight

30:24
hundred thousand dollars today

30:26
especially if you've delayed claiming

30:28
that's part think of that as simply part

30:30
of the resources that you have available

30:33
to fund the lifestyle that you want to

30:35
live someone who has a pension has a pot

30:38
of money which represents the expected

30:41
amount that you're going to receive from

30:42
that pension over time um and that again

30:45
that's in a bond-like asset social

30:47
security is a bond-like asset if you

30:50
have more and annuities or a bond-like

30:52
asset if you have more of those assets

30:54
you can actually take more risk with the

30:56
remainder of your portfolio because you

30:59
have a big chunk of your portfolio tied

31:01
up in safe investments so consider the

31:05
you know those those those claims those

31:08
guaranteed income sources to be part of

31:10
your retirement portfolio that will

31:12
allow you to make smarter decisions

31:14
about how you invest

31:16
got a great story on that my parents who

31:18
were college basketball coaches which is

31:20
a hellish way to grow up both of them

31:22
were but they were tired and they they

31:24
ended up becoming elementary school

31:27
teachers in the north carolina public

31:28
school system and they retired and they

31:29
had this pension and they never

31:32
understood investments and grew up poor

31:34
mill worker families in north carolina

31:36
and i remember sitting with them when

31:38
they turn on their their pension and

31:40
they said well you know we just don't

31:41
have any money blah blah blah i said let

31:43
me run the number for you and show you

31:45
what it would take

31:46
by an immediate annuity to create the

31:48
lifetime income stream for both of you

31:50
joint life only which is what they're

31:52
getting

31:53
it was it was over a million dollars and

31:55
my dad

31:56
you know up to the day he passed away

31:59
wouldn't believe me on that no i just

32:00
don't believe that i'm like well then

32:01
where's the money coming from but the

32:03
point is you're right about these

32:04
pensions i mean you don't you don't look

32:06
at it as part of your net worth

32:07
obviously because it's not it's not

32:10
transferable to kids etc but it is part

32:12
of that income floor and for people that

32:15
are fortunate enough to have a pension

32:17
um you need to run that number it's

32:19
pretty good so you know for people that

32:21
have been school teachers thank you for

32:22
that

32:23
um you're getting rewarded um i wanted

32:25
to pivot a couple you wrote another

32:28
article on inflation before we get to

32:29
that

32:30
i would like you're not a pro

32:32
prognosticator but i'm dying to get into

32:34
your brain to see what you think about

32:36
the proposed alleged

32:39
fed

32:41
rate hikes that's that might happen

32:43
should happen plan to happen what do you

32:45
think's going to happen

32:47
you know as of i mean first of all

32:50
nobody knows and i i hate progress

32:52
prognosticators in general because the

32:55
reason i framed it so that we're not

32:56
doing that i just went in your brain a

32:58
little bit because i know you're

32:59
thinking about it

33:01
so i mean i think the chances change

33:03
from day to day but today it seems not

33:06
quite as likely that rates are going to

33:09
rise because there is a fear you know

33:11
markets are falling there's a fear that

33:12
the fed is going to stifle economic

33:15
growth if they raise rates right now in

33:18
the face of a potential global conflict

33:20
so

33:21
um who knows and stan this is a great

33:24
opportunity to say

33:26
um you know the time that you spent

33:29
listening to prognosticators in general

33:32
on tv there's i was just noticing that

33:34
jim cramer you know was was recommending

33:37
to buy the dip in the stock market a

33:39
couple days ago and everything was

33:40
saying so that there is this this

33:42
tremendous

33:43
um predictive ability that people like

33:46
he have of of predicting exactly the

33:48
wrong thing and

33:50
um you know a lot of people are have a

33:52
really terrible track record yet

33:54
we still listen to them um you know and

33:57
and if they were actually this good at

33:59
predicting what's going to happen they

34:00
should start their own headshots and

34:01
they would never talk to anybody that

34:03
and one i was i was hoping you were

34:05
going to give an answer somewhat of the

34:06
one you gave which was

34:07
it's day to day and it looks like it

34:09
changed today

34:10
[Laughter]

34:12
which is which is a great answer because

34:15
um you know i have people on the on the

34:17
podcast that are you know

34:19
or or big time advisors and they all

34:21
think this you know this is going to

34:22
happen jeremy siegel said this and

34:24
byron wien said this

34:26
and you know things are so fluid that

34:29
you really don't know so

34:31
my point is with everyone you can't time

34:33
it you can't time annuity purchases

34:34
which isn't a sales pitch it's just the

34:37
way it is which leads me into

34:39
an article you recently wrote about

34:41
inflation

34:43
and

34:45
inflation is personal for everybody as

34:47
you know michael um you know it affects

34:50
people differently since my kids are out

34:51
of the home and

34:53
and out of college you know i'm not

34:54
buying as much milk and taking them to

34:56
dance classes so i'm not driving as much

34:59
but not only are people going to get

35:01
inflation increases this year i'm

35:03
assuming you're thinking they're going

35:04
to get it next year with social security

35:06
as well

35:07
i think definitely and i think actually

35:08
for social security recipients

35:11
they're going to get more maybe more

35:12
than they should

35:13
uh and this is

35:14
wait a minute what are you running for

35:16
office no

35:18
obviously not yeah i'm not voting for

35:20
you i'm kidding explain so so

35:23
a lot of people who are you know

35:25
essentially what's happened

35:27
post pandemic if you can say that we're

35:29
post pandemic but as a lot more people

35:31
started returning to work of course that

35:34
increased demand for cars and gasoline

35:38
we've also seen

35:40
supply issues increasing prices of

35:42
certain types of goods

35:44
like red meat has gone up i've i've

35:46
termed this mannflation because cars and

35:49
gas and red meat have gone up

35:52
but for most retirees it really hasn't

35:55
been quite as serious if you actually

35:57
look at healthcare it's you know been

35:59
totally flat pharmaceuticals have been

36:02
totally flat you know maybe red meat

36:04
goes up but they can substitute poultry

36:06
which didn't even go up by ten percent

36:07
you know there's there's things seniors

36:09
can do to be a little bit more flexible

36:11
and especially if transportation

36:12
expenses are driving that increase in

36:15
inflation then you might actually get an

36:17
improvement in your standard of living

36:19
if your your social security goes up by

36:21
seven percent because your overall

36:23
expenses especially if you you know a

36:24
lot of a lot of people own their own

36:26
house a lot of people have property

36:27
taxes they get limited after a certain

36:29
age

36:30
for them

36:31
um their inflation hasn't gone up and by

36:34
the way when you're planning for

36:36
retirement um

36:37
pay attention to what percentage of your

36:40
expenses are

36:41
subject to increases in inflation and

36:44
what are what we call

36:46
stable nominal expenses so if you have a

36:48
mortgage that's if you have a fixed rate

36:50
mortgage that's a stable nominal expense

36:53
if you have live in a place that caps

36:54
your property taxes that's pretty much a

36:56
stable nominal expense

36:58
um if but you know obviously food that's

37:01
subject to a certain amount of inflation

37:04
you know travel costs may be subject to

37:06
a certain amount of inflation everybody

37:08
has a different rate of inflation for

37:09
the stuff that they buy but that's what

37:11
you really need to pay attention to and

37:13
i think in general for most retirees

37:16
inflation hasn't been as serious an

37:18
issue for them as it has been for say

37:21
younger working americans who have to

37:23
drive to work have to buy a car

37:26
you know for them it was a little bit

37:27
more serious

37:29
it seems like always this affects the

37:31
poor

37:32
more than it affects you know everyone

37:34
else which is sad but it's reality and

37:37
you know people that's the common

37:40
question that people ask me when they

37:42
get me on the phone hey stan what do you

37:43
think about inflation my question back

37:44
to him is tell me about you tell me

37:46
about how it's affecting you is it

37:47
affecting you you know if do you have

37:49
enough income go in it yeah um do you

37:52
have enough money in the bank yeah i

37:53
mean so i think it's personal i think

37:55
that

37:56
once again cable news and in the news

37:59
media they start pounding the table and

38:01
then people get

38:03
you know upset about something they

38:05
might not need to get upset about

38:07
um but there are people that are

38:08
planning et cetera in the past there

38:10
were annuities that had what's called

38:12
cpiu consumer price index for urban

38:15
consumer

38:17
attachments to the income stream but

38:18
those are no longer and they haven't

38:20
been around for a few years maybe

38:22
that'll come back in the future but just

38:24
remember if you want lifetime income

38:26
stream

38:27
and an increase to that lifetime income

38:28
stream annuity companies don't give that

38:30
away they significantly lower that

38:32
initial payment as compared to the exact

38:35
same annuity

38:37
without that cost of living adjustment

38:38
increase so just just put in the back

38:40
your head you already already own the

38:42
best inflation annuity on the planet and

38:44
michael's predicting even a greater

38:46
increase next year as well i mean if

38:49
they're going to go by the formula it

38:50
has to especially

38:52
if gas pops up like it's looking like

38:54
it's popping up

38:56
right you know at this point i think

38:58
it's it's important to talk about how

39:00
retirees spend money and

39:04
we

39:05
we know from the data that spending

39:07
tends to be the highest the first 10

39:08
years of retirement so i tend to worry a

39:12
little bit less about having nominal

39:14
annuity payments because social security

39:16
is going to rise with inflation

39:19
you may want to ensure that part of your

39:23
expenses are covered you know but part

39:25
of your expenses are going to be nominal

39:26
anyway so cover those expenses using a

39:29
nominal not inflation protected annuity

39:32
you already have a big base of inflation

39:33
protective income especially if you

39:35
delay claiming social security

39:38
um and in general what's going to happen

39:40
is you're spending in after inflation

39:42
terms is going to decline as you get

39:45
older in retirement so you're not going

39:46
on as many vacations when you're 80 as

39:49
you did when you were 70

39:51
um and you know health expenses rise

39:53
later on in life but by that time if you

39:55
have significant health expenses you're

39:56
not doing much else so uh spending does

40:00
not tend to continue to rise even in

40:02
those older ages when you have higher

40:05
medical expenses now i often see a culac

40:07
as a form of inflation protection

40:09
because

40:10
you can buy an income that's going to

40:12
pop up but you know maybe maybe you buy

40:14
one that starts at 80 you buy another

40:15
one that starts at 85. all of a sudden

40:17
you've created you've got a inflation

40:19
protected income from social security

40:21
you've created a nominal income through

40:23
an income annuity and then you can

40:25
actually buy an additional source of

40:26
income that pops up later on in life and

40:28
i'm a big fan of those because i think i

40:30
don't want to be managing a pot of money

40:33
to to provide income when i'm 95. i'm

40:36
not going to be as capable as i was when

40:38
i was 75 so automating your income later

40:41
in life

40:42
makes sense another reason why you and i

40:44
are fans of qlex

40:46
well yeah just transferring the risk for

40:48
for lifetime income and you can start it

40:49
at future dates you can ladder the

40:51
purchase you can allow the start date

40:52
you can ladder both you can do you can

40:54
you know you can time you can time those

40:57
purchases you just can't time uh the the

41:00
exact right time to buy an annuity and

41:02
and believe me annuity companies are

41:04
asking the questions that you as the

41:05
consumer are asking should i hold on to

41:07
it or should i buy it later or should i

41:09
defer it they're pricing it so it's not

41:11
a perfect decision on your behalf

41:14
getting back to just what you were

41:15
talking about

41:17
um

41:17
with with

41:18
retirees etc steve paris calls in i

41:21
don't know if it's unique to him but i

41:23
when he said it i loved it it's you know

41:24
you're you're go go slow go no go that's

41:27
your three phases of retirement your go

41:29
go and that's what you talked about the

41:30
first 10 years you're going to spend it

41:32
slogo is that cognitive decline that all

41:34
of us are going to have maybe michael

41:36
won't have that because his brain's

41:37
firing on all 12 cylinders

41:40
but the rest of us are going to have it

41:42
and then there's no go and that's what

41:44
he was talking about which at the at the

41:46
kind of the end of life time period

41:48
you're not going to spend as much money

41:50
because you're not going to be going out

41:51
and you're not as mobile

41:53
etc i think that

41:55
people just need to look at all of this

41:58
whether it's retirement

42:00
buying annuities looking at inflation

42:03
um it's personal it's personal and

42:05
customizable to you don't group yourself

42:08
into what the person on

42:10
fox cnn or msnbc fox business or cnbc

42:14
said it's it's about your situation

42:17
um and i would say tune all of that out

42:20
if you can for sure

42:22
um but inflation is going to be with us

42:24
it's not as janet yellen said transitory

42:27
do you believe that

42:31
i know i don't know who knows you know

42:32
stan none of us know

42:33
frankly um yeah we'll we'll see how it

42:36
all plays out i guess that's the

42:37
definition of transitory what's your

42:39
definition of transitory transitory

42:40
means two years yeah it could be gone in

42:42
two years the transitory is six months

42:44
in your mind

42:45
no it's not gonna be gone in six months

42:47
uh in my opinion just because of just

42:49
kind of what's happening

42:51
um but it is a weird world when i'm

42:53
looking at the gas prices right now i'm

42:55
glad i don't drive but i do fly a lot

42:57
but i i mean my heart goes out to people

42:59
that have to commute and do that for a

43:02
living

43:03
and obviously it's going to get passed

43:04
on to us via higher

43:07
prices at the grocery store etc

43:09
um

43:10
what are you working on right now other

43:12
than your typical digging into charts

43:15
and things like that what's peaking your

43:16
interest right now michael

43:19
you know one of the things that i have

43:21
been giving a lot of thought to is this

43:23
idea of not annuitizing with an

43:25
investment portfolio and what are

43:27
the consequences of not annuitizing sure

43:30
or

43:31
at least a portion of your income in

43:33
retirement

43:34
um if you

43:36
you know

43:36
there's a lot of thought you know people

43:38
who use these monte carlo analyses which

43:40
i i'm a big fan of monte carlo i think

43:42
it tells you something explain to the

43:43
people that not aren't familiar with

43:45
that as as a software they know the uh

43:47
they know the race over there tell them

43:49
what money money carla is spend so much

43:50
time with this stuff that i forget that

43:52
people don't know it so yeah that when

43:54
what is the monte carlo analysis a monte

43:56
carlo analysis is it's pretty

43:58
straightforward so let's say that you

44:00
start out retirement with a million

44:02
dollars and you decide that you want to

44:04
spend 40 000

44:06
per year in retirement from that million

44:09
dollar portfolio and let's say you

44:10
assume that you invest 60 percent of the

44:12
portfolio in stocks and 40 of the

44:14
portfolio in bonds now none of us know

44:17
what the returns on stocks or bonds are

44:19
going to be next year we do know that

44:20
bonds are probably going to be less

44:21
volatile

44:23
stocks are going to be more volatile and

44:25
that means that there is a probability

44:27
that stocks could go up by 20 there's a

44:29
probability they could go down by 20

44:32
we don't know in advance what's going to

44:33
happen so what we do is we simulate a

44:37
sequence of returns over the course of a

44:40
lifetime for thousands of retirees

44:44
it's not a real retiree it's a fake

44:46
retiree but we simulate what they would

44:49
go through if they experienced this

44:51
sequence of return so say retiree a has

44:54
a 40 return the first year in retirement

44:57
then now they they went from a million

44:59
to a million four they're going to be

45:01
withdraw still withdrawing 40 000 a year

45:04
they have a much better chance of being

45:06
able to do that over the course of their

45:08
lifetime now let's say you're an unlucky

45:10
retiree started out with a million you

45:12
have negative 30 percent your first year

45:14
something like 2008 happens all of a

45:17
sudden you go from you know maybe a 90

45:19
chance that you can

45:21
make that lifestyle that you can

45:23
continue to spend 40 000 a year

45:26
now all of a sudden you're down to 60

45:29
and that then what you know then you

45:32
have to cut back uh and that is

45:35
the

45:36
one of the things that i think a lot

45:37
about is

45:39
what is the value of buying some sort of

45:42
portfolio protection so this this is is

45:46
one of these areas and that that i think

45:48
you and i don't wade into all that often

45:51
but this is the idea that a

45:53
institution

45:55
you can go to an insurance company and

45:57
they can buy financial options that do

45:59
really well if the market does poorly

46:02
and they will tell you it's fine if you

46:05
withdraw forty thousand dollars or fifty

46:07
thousand dollars or forty five thousand

46:08
dollars from a million dollar portfolio

46:11
that's invested in stocks and bonds and

46:13
if you run out will be on the hook to

46:16
continue that 45 000 income as long as

46:20
you live now no financial advisor will

46:24
provide you with that guarantee you know

46:26
they'll say well you can you can follow

46:28
the four percent rule and it's worked

46:29
historically uh but if you ask them well

46:32
what if i lived to age 85 and i got

46:34
unlucky and the markets do really bad

46:36
and i run out are you going to are you

46:38
going to pick up the tab and they will

46:40
say well no i would never take that sort

46:42
of a liability well there are people who

46:44
will take that liability sure but they

46:46
will charge you for it because they have

46:48
to buy these options to these financial

46:50
options to protect against that

46:52
potential downside um and so they will

46:55
guarantee that you will continue to

46:58
receive an income if you run out by the

46:59
age of 85. so there is this concept of a

47:02
contingent deferred and the cdas yeah

47:05
they're out there but they're just not

47:07
good in my opinion

47:09
they're they're they're out there and

47:11
whether they're good or not depends on

47:13
the cost of hedging that risk and it's

47:17
expanding

47:18
and the rules underline there are some

47:20
rules

47:21
you have to understand the rules but

47:22
right i think that if you're you know

47:25
there's really two approaches to

47:26
annuitization one is you buy that floor

47:29
of income using bond investments the

47:31
other you have a portfolio and then you

47:33
add protection to that portfolio by

47:36
maybe

47:37
withdrawing you know one and a half

47:39
percent per year to pay for those

47:42
expenses of providing that lifetime

47:44
income guarantee right and it's a

47:45
different philosophy on annuitization

47:48
but it's one that fascinates me because

47:51
i think it is it is a different approach

47:53
to i think it's clear for people to

47:55
think in terms of i'm going to buy a

47:57
base of income with the bond portion of

48:00
my portfolio i'm going to add that to

48:02
social security i know i'm always going

48:04
to have that amount no matter how long i

48:05
live

48:06
but there's a there's a separate

48:08
annuitization feature which is this sort

48:10
of lifetime income feature

48:12
which we're spending some more time

48:15
studying it and it can be relatively

48:17
efficient and it's probably something we

48:20
we have to devote an entire episode to

48:22
some time because it is a completely

48:24
different philosophy on an annuitization

48:26
than the one i normally present but it's

48:28
one that's uh it's legitimate and it's

48:31
worth thinking about i would love to do

48:32
that on the next time we get together

48:34
because i simplify that thought into i

48:37
call it and i've written about it in my

48:38
books defer to spea which you don't

48:41
annuitize and then you annuitize

48:44
at the exact time you need income to

48:46
start

48:47
keeping your powder dry along the way

48:49
now the annuity gods look down upon me

48:52
and say please stop stan because we're

48:54
not getting sales and i tell the annuity

48:56
gods i'm like it doesn't matter what you

48:58
say because and for a lot of people

49:00
defer to spea makes sense and a lot of

49:02
people that

49:04
i feel are managing their portfolio or

49:05
someone's doing a good job with what

49:07
they're doing is like let's wait until

49:08
the exact time and then pull the trigger

49:11
then but with that being said that's a

49:13
very simplistic way i do think that

49:16
annuity companies looking at the

49:18
demographic tidal wave of baby boomers

49:20
retiring and looking for guarantees and

49:22
also looking for unique guarantees that

49:25
allow them to have their cake and eat it

49:26
too

49:28
i think you're going to see products and

49:31
strategies and offerings that are going

49:32
to do what you just said which is

49:34
provide that lifetime income strategy

49:36
while allowing you to continue

49:39
with kind of what you're doing and

49:41
they're called contingent deferred

49:42
annuities but i think in the future

49:44
they're going to be

49:46
um

49:47
better

49:49
better than what's out there because

49:50
it's uh and it's not been presented

49:52
really well

49:54
um and and the masters of the universe

49:57
stock portfolio people don't even want

50:00
to go there because they think they can

50:01
manage it and they can do it themselves

50:03
but i think i think more and more baby

50:05
boomers are pounding the table and

50:06
saying no no we want guarantees too

50:10
and i think that's that's going to be

50:12
you know as soon as you as soon as you

50:13
write the paper or what you want to talk

50:15
about it you know you know definitely

50:17
let's do that we're coming up on the

50:19
kind of the end of this this segment for

50:21
this time as i always do michael there's

50:24
a mic drop moment that i hand to you

50:26
to say something really

50:28
unbelievably

50:30
intellectual to the listeners so that

50:32
they can walk away and go man that was

50:34
great

50:35
so it's a mic drop it's your ball's in

50:37
your court go and say i think we have to

50:39
end it by saying that the best way to

50:41
stick it to the government is by

50:42
delaying your social security not taking

50:44
it early

50:46
something i want everybody to remember

50:47
it because i see it over and over again

50:51
that's michael finka stick it to the

50:53
government the right way

50:55
in your favor and uh that's that's

50:57
definitely a t-shirt material

50:59
and i want to thank michael for being on

51:01
as always it's it's uh every time we do

51:03
this i mean my emails and and messages

51:06
light up because they're like ask him

51:08
this next time ask him that i'm not that

51:09
organized you know we just kind of free

51:11
form this thing michael it's like

51:12
michael and i sitting around just

51:14
talking with cup of coffee but um i want

51:16
to thank everyone for joining us on all

51:18
the major podcast podcast platforms and

51:21
also on the fun with annuities youtube

51:23
channel

51:24
my name is standing nudity man yes this

51:25
is the

51:27
one of the fastest growing podcast on

51:28
the planet if you can believe that fun

51:30
with annuities and i will see you next

51:33
week

51:38
thanks for listening to fun with

51:40
annuities please hit the subscribe

51:42
button and make sure to go to my site at

51:44
the annuityman.com where you can run

51:47
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51:50
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51:52
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51:54
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51:57
you can also sign up for my six annuity

52:00
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52:02
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52:05
encourage you to schedule a one-on-one

52:07
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52:10
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52:12
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52:15
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52:18
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52:20
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52:32
[Music]

52:43
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