100 Michael Finke: Retirees Should Calculate to Not Be a Loser

IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND MICHAEL FINKE DISCUSS:
- Delaying your decision to claim
- Insulating your income from volatility
- Inflation is personal
- Consequences of not annuitizing
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- If you have a good reason to expect that you’re not going to live as long as an average American, then it makes sense to claim early. Unless you have a spouse who can continue to receive your benefit.
- Anybody who’s using stocks to compare the present value of future guaranteed income is insane. Insulate a portion of your income stock-market volatility, that’s just the right thing to do both mathematically and psychologically.
- Inflation is personal. It affects each person differently. When you’re planning for retirement, pay attention to what percentage of your expenses are subject to increases in inflation and what are “stable nominal expenses”.
- Stocks will be more volatile, and bonds less volatile. Either way, there is a lot of probability and risks involved.
"Essentially what you're doing when you’re delaying social security is that you are buying more of a government-provided, inflation-protected, annuity." — Micheal Finke
CONNECT WITH MICHAEL FINKE:
Website: http://www.michaelfinke.com/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-finke-8134808/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mfinke
Twitter: https://twitter.com/FinkeonFinance
CONNECT WITH THE ANNUITY MAN:
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Email: [email protected]
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)
0:04
welcome to fun with annuities with your
0:06
host me stan the annuity man america's
0:09
annuity agent can annuities be fun can
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contractual guarantees be fun
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absolutely they can find out the brutal
0:17
facts about annuities with no sales
0:20
pitches or high pressure nonsense just
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the brutal and factual annuity truth
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which is all you need to hear
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let's have some fun with annuities and
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let's have that fun start right now
0:33
[Music]
0:39
welcome to fun with annuities i'm your
0:41
host stan the annuity man america's
0:42
annuity agent i want to welcome everyone
0:44
on the podcast platforms all of those
0:47
things that i can't remember but there's
0:48
a bunch of them and also the fun with
0:50
annuities youtube channel so you can see
0:52
the dashingly good looks of my guest
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and
0:55
what color baseball cap i have on which
0:57
is always good um i want to welcome back
1:00
a person that i have so much respect for
1:03
and if there's two people on the planet
1:05
that like culax more than
1:07
than me and this person i want to meet
1:09
them in fact he has a cue like hat
1:11
typically that he wears uh he wore it on
1:13
the last podcast but i want to welcome
1:15
back to fun with annuities michael finka
1:17
michael
1:19
great to be back on stan good to see you
1:21
again
1:22
it's good to see you as well you know i
1:24
follow you i stalk you and everything
1:26
that you write out there so there's been
1:28
a couple of articles that have popped
1:31
up and i'm going man i got to get him
1:33
back on and talk about that and the
1:34
first one and i'm just by the way you
1:36
can go to my site at theannuityman.com
1:38
and and read about how wonderful michael
1:40
is and all the accomplishments it's
1:41
ridiculous he's done so much
1:44
um
1:45
you know at his funeral whoever gets up
1:47
to talk and talk about what he's done
1:50
it's going to be a long one
1:52
because he is really accomplished and
1:55
we're so happy to have him on michael
1:56
you did an article for think advisor
1:58
magazine and the title was why claiming
2:02
social security at 64 or 67
2:05
could be a big mistake now social
2:08
security should be handled and advised
2:10
by experts like you and i it drives me
2:12
crazy when the indexed annuity sales
2:14
people have a social security seminar
2:17
and then oh by the way you need an index
2:18
annuity i'm so happy for you to be on
2:21
and and hammer home factually why this
2:24
could be a mistake so i throw the ball
2:26
to you michael finka
2:28
well first of all uh social security is
2:31
an annuity anybody who says that they
2:34
hate annuities should also say that they
2:36
hate social security and pensions
2:38
because
2:39
they're both a form of annuity and it
2:42
just so happens that social security is
2:44
provided by the federal government to
2:46
everybody it's not priced based on
2:49
market prices which is uh important to
2:52
note and i also in my article break down
2:55
how to value the income you get from the
2:58
annuity and i think that's very
2:59
important because it's the same way
3:02
we value a private annuity so when you
3:04
buy a lifetime annuity from an insurance
3:06
company
3:07
there's a way to price it there's
3:09
there's there are actuaries at the
3:11
company who look at mortality tables and
3:13
they look at the rates of return they
3:15
can get from bond investments they have
3:17
to be funded with the safe investments
3:19
if they're going to guarantee the income
3:21
and you can use the same
3:22
way to value the income that you're
3:25
receiving from social security when you
3:28
delay by a year so essentially what
3:31
you're doing when you delay receiving
3:33
social security is you are buying more
3:37
of a government-provided
3:39
inflation-protected annuity
3:42
and inflation-protected annuities take
3:44
away two sources of risk they take away
3:46
longevity risk which a traditional
3:47
annuity does and also reduces inflation
3:51
risk now
3:52
this is i think very important for
3:54
retirees to provide a foundation of
3:57
inflation-protected income
3:59
and when you give up a year this and the
4:01
example i gave in the article is let's
4:03
say that you were born in 1960 uh you're
4:06
62 years old in 2022 and you're trying
4:09
to decide whether to delay social
4:11
security to age 63 you may give up 20
4:14
000 of income
4:15
during your 62nd year
4:18
but
4:18
starting at your 63rd year you now get 5
4:23
more thousand dollars more in lifetime
4:26
income now that doesn't sound like a
4:28
whole lot you give up twenty thousand
4:29
dollars you get a thousand dollars more
4:31
every year for the rest of your life but
4:33
there's a couple things to consider
4:35
first of all how long are you gonna live
4:36
if you're a healthy woman for example on
4:38
average you're gonna live uh to eight
4:41
you have a 50 50 chance of living to age
4:43
90
4:44
and that means you're going to be
4:45
getting those thousand dollar payments
4:47
for the next 27 years
4:50
and they're also inflation protected so
4:51
they're more valuable than just getting
4:53
a thousand an extra thousand dollars a
4:55
year you're getting you know the
4:56
inflation adjustment was was seven
4:59
percent this year so you might get a
5:00
thousand and seventy dollars this next
5:03
year uh so it continues to go up every
5:05
year in retirement so it's very valuable
5:08
and often underappreciated by retirees
5:11
uh and you know you and i see so much
5:13
garbage when it comes to
5:15
deciding whether or not to delay
5:17
claiming social security there is this
5:19
sort of anti-government bent you know
5:22
that right i'm gonna take my money right
5:24
now you know and the reality is that if
5:28
you're a taxpayer you want everybody to
5:30
take their money right now because that
5:31
you're a loser you you will get less
5:34
over the course of your lifetime it's
5:36
essentially as if you're giving up
5:38
lifetime wealth
5:39
um is that a figurative loser or a
5:42
literal loser michael
5:44
you well it is a literal loser so in the
5:46
sense that
5:48
um
5:48
both uh in the sense that you lose
5:51
wealth and and this is absolutely you
5:53
know you can plot out the mathematics of
5:55
it and it's not it's not rocket science
5:57
that
5:58
um you know over the course of your
6:00
expected lifetime you will have less
6:03
money to work with and even if your goal
6:07
is to give your money to your kids
6:09
then it's worth giving up one year of
6:11
income in order to get a higher income
6:14
for the rest of your life on average now
6:17
a big assumption here is
6:19
that you you have to be in okay health
6:21
if you're not in good health you know if
6:23
you're if you have been diagnosed with
6:25
cancer or if you have heart disease or
6:28
you know whatever whatever reason you
6:29
don't expect to live as long as the
6:31
average american then it can make sense
6:33
to claim early unless you have a spouse
6:36
who can then continue to receive your
6:39
benefit so if you're in bad health
6:41
absolutely if you have a high income
6:44
especially if you're a higher earner
6:45
than your spouse
6:47
delay claiming as long as you can to age
6:49
70 and maybe your lifetime is not going
6:52
to be as long as the average american
6:54
but that payment is going to support
6:56
your surviving spouse for the rest of
6:58
their life uh so i i think it's it's you
7:01
know stan what are some of the things
7:02
that you've heard from people who don't
7:05
want to delay claiming social security
7:07
well i think we we all know that there
7:09
are people that have to take it early
7:11
because they don't have any other source
7:13
of income and under that assumption then
7:15
yeah take it but if you are weighing
7:18
should i take it now
7:19
or if some
7:21
non-qualified advisor agent is trying to
7:25
combine the decision with a an indexed
7:27
annuity sale or something like that what
7:29
i would tell you to do is is certainly
7:31
reach out to a cpa tax lawyer or listen
7:34
to someone like michael finka
7:36
we also have a person on occasionally
7:37
you name jeff miller who has a site
7:39
called
7:40
socialsecuritychoices.com ex university
7:43
of delaware professor
7:44
smart people to weigh in i think that
7:47
there's just so much misinformation on
7:49
social security which is very
7:51
interesting because
7:52
it is the best inflation annuity on the
7:54
planet and you would think that
7:56
the government i know i'm hoping here
8:00
would do a better job because of the the
8:02
misinformation that's out there that's
8:04
the reason i wanted to have you on
8:05
because you know when you started the
8:07
first sentence of your of your article
8:09
about you know the bonus retirees get
8:11
from waiting to claim social security
8:13
income benefits increases in two steps
8:15
i'm guaranteeing you that 98 of the
8:18
people don't know what those two steps
8:20
are so tell them those two steps
8:22
yeah so that was the main point of the
8:23
article which of course we haven't
8:24
gotten to yet because i i could talk
8:27
forever about this topic and we're going
8:28
to we're going to talk a long time today
8:31
and by the way stan the the government
8:33
actually listened so a lot of people
8:35
have been saying for a while that the
8:37
information on delayed claiming was not
8:40
in the best interest of good of citizens
8:42
and so they've actually made some
8:44
important changes to their website i
8:46
think they've done they deserve some
8:47
credit they've done a really good job of
8:49
improving it
8:51
now that said the formula for
8:54
figuring out how much more income you
8:56
get every year from delayed claiming
8:58
that formula was put together in the
9:00
early 1980s and uh the formula was was
9:04
meant to make it what's known as
9:06
actuarially fair so if it's actuarially
9:08
fair that's a hard thing to say then the
9:11
present value of what you give up by
9:14
waiting a year should be equal to the
9:17
present value of what you can expect to
9:19
get in increased benefit payments so of
9:22
course
9:23
if you you know increase the income of
9:25
someone from 62 to 63 at age 63 the
9:28
government expects you to get a lot more
9:30
payments over the course of your
9:31
lifetime so the jump up in the bonus
9:34
that you get for delayed claiming is
9:36
only five percent per year um but it
9:38
goes up to six and two-thirds percent
9:41
once you hit age 64. so after your 64th
9:44
birthday all of a sudden every month
9:46
that you delay you get that six and
9:48
two-thirds percent per year increase and
9:51
then after age 67 if for someone who was
9:53
born in 1960 and has full retirement age
9:56
of 67 in 2022
9:58
for them it goes up by 8
10:01
every year between 67 and 68 and if you
10:05
you know those rules were created back
10:07
in the early 1980s with a different
10:09
mortality table that exists in the
10:11
united states right right now which
10:13
means that people are now living longer
10:15
than they did in the early 1980s and
10:17
especially higher income folks so if you
10:20
are a healthy higher income american
10:23
you receive a
10:25
significant benefit in the present value
10:28
of those increased income payments that
10:30
you get from delaying social security uh
10:33
but the the increase the bonus that you
10:36
get is highest at each one of those
10:38
steps where that so that benefit of
10:40
claiming goes up by six and two-thirds
10:42
percent after age 64. and by 8 after age
10:46
67 and you know there is this belief
10:49
that you should at least wait till
10:51
you'll your full retirement age for good
10:53
reason to age 67 because uh if you don't
10:56
then you get taxed on your earnings um
10:59
you know if you're making money outside
11:00
of social security it's a terrible deal
11:02
to take it before a full retirement age
11:04
but if you wait an additional year that
11:08
bonus that you get from waiting from 67
11:10
to 68 is actually the most generous
11:13
bonus from delayed claiming in fact if
11:16
you look for example for an average man
11:18
the bonus from get it from winning
11:19
between 69 and 70 is actually not that
11:22
big
11:22
these bonuses by the way are larger for
11:25
women and again if you have a couple
11:27
where the male is the higher earning
11:29
spouse then that surviving spouse can
11:32
also expect to get that higher income
11:34
payment so don't just base it on whether
11:37
it's a man or a woman if you're a single
11:39
woman you're gonna get a big bonus
11:41
especially if you're healthy from
11:42
delayed claiming
11:44
now that bonus is positive stan and if
11:47
you buy an annuity
11:49
you don't necessarily expect the present
11:52
value to be
11:54
equal to the amount of income payments
11:56
that you're going to get in the future
11:58
because the insurance company has to
11:59
make a little bit of profit to be able
12:01
to provide that guarantee of a lifetime
12:03
income where the government is actually
12:05
paying you to buy an annuity if you
12:08
delay claiming social security so it is
12:10
kind of the opposite of buying a private
12:12
annuity in the sense that the government
12:14
is giving you something for nothing and
12:16
to not take that something for nothing
12:18
if you're a healthy retiree now one of
12:20
the
12:21
one of the
12:22
forms of resistance that i hear is well
12:25
social security is going to go bankrupt
12:27
now let's take a moment and talk about
12:30
what that means it means that sometime a
12:33
little over 10 years from now
12:35
social security is going to have to cut
12:38
benefits if they make no changes in the
12:42
social security system
12:43
what politician is going to get
12:46
reelected if they simply allow social
12:48
security to be cut by 20 percent none i
12:52
mean there's there's zero political
12:54
chance that that's going to happen so
12:56
what is going to happen well most people
12:57
agree that it's probably going to be
12:59
some combination of increases in payroll
13:02
taxes so those who are working are gonna
13:04
have to pay a little bit more those who
13:06
have higher incomes are going to start
13:07
paying more on for social security there
13:10
is an income limit on how much people
13:12
pay for social security that's probably
13:14
going to get increased
13:16
i don't see any way around it at this
13:17
point and probably some of those
13:19
inflation adjustments that people get
13:20
every year are probably going to be uh
13:23
reduced but even if the worst case
13:26
scenario happens
13:28
it still makes economic sense to delay
13:30
claiming social security right now
13:33
given the
13:34
given how expensive safe
13:36
inflation-protected income from the
13:38
government is
13:39
and given that the fact that a lot of
13:41
higher income americans are living
13:43
longer than they ever have
13:45
yeah i found that last statement that
13:47
you said and it was kind of at the end
13:48
of your article talking about
13:50
you know just people that make more
13:52
money and they make people that are rich
13:54
and i know a lot of my listeners
13:58
are what's considered categoric
14:00
categorically rich but they don't think
14:02
they're rich i always tell people oh by
14:04
the way you're the evil rich and like no
14:05
there's no white yeah you are
14:07
um
14:08
is there a
14:10
is there like a income level or asset
14:12
level that
14:13
that you look at from the standpoint of
14:15
people living longer
14:17
et cetera i mean well i mean if you if
14:19
you look at the data you see that those
14:21
who are in the top 10 percentile of
14:23
income
14:24
social security earnings um and and what
14:27
is the top 10 percentile well probably
14:29
people who on average make above 80 or
14:31
90 thousand dollars a year but that
14:33
doesn't sound rich but it's it's the
14:35
reality and
14:37
those are the people who have gained the
14:39
most in terms of longevity over the last
14:41
couple of decades as much as five years
14:43
for men now men have actually made the
14:45
biggest gains in longevity because
14:48
they're not doing as many stupid things
14:51
as they did back in the 1960s and 1970s
14:53
they're not smoking as much they're
14:55
exercising more you know they're
14:57
actually taking care of themselves which
14:58
means that they've got more years in
14:59
retirement
15:01
which means that that benefit from
15:02
delayed claiming is going to be greater
15:04
for them
15:06
i mean that i find that interesting
15:07
because
15:08
that also leads into if if they happen
15:11
to means test
15:13
social security in the in the future
15:16
how are they going to do that no there's
15:17
arguments that they already do that but
15:19
i'm talking about
15:20
you know really kind of wiping out some
15:22
people at the higher level that don't
15:23
really need the income even though
15:25
they've paid in do you have any insight
15:27
into that
15:29
because that's i hear that a lot from
15:31
from people that are my clients or
15:33
people that call me that are that are
15:35
thinking about becoming clients
15:36
they're worried about that they're
15:38
worried about being cut out even though
15:39
they've scrimped and saved and and now
15:41
they're at these asset levels that the
15:43
somebody in the government might in the
15:45
future deem them rich enough to be means
15:48
tested out
15:50
yeah i mean that's a good question i
15:52
think that we're probably going to see
15:53
increasing means testing among retirees
15:57
um you know the government has some
15:58
revenue issues that's going to have to
16:00
get worked out in the future somehow
16:02
um you know that
16:04
i don't see it happening uh i don't see
16:07
taxes going up for social security
16:09
recipients we've already seen some
16:11
red or increase in costs for medicare
16:14
recipients who have higher incomes it's
16:15
also a good argument to
16:17
pay close attention to how much taxable
16:20
income you're generating in retirement
16:22
in other words paying attention to
16:24
taking advantage of roth conversions
16:26
when you can and that's actually another
16:27
benefit of delaying social security is
16:29
that you can start pulling money out of
16:31
your qualified retirement accounts like
16:33
your your iras uh you know what were
16:36
originally your 401k is you can bridge
16:39
your spending by pulling money out of
16:42
that account where you're forced to
16:43
after required minimum distribution
16:45
start kicking in you're forced to take
16:47
money out of that account you have to
16:49
pay income taxes on it and it means
16:51
testing becomes a bigger issue then
16:53
you're kind of locked in uh and if you
16:55
look at the way those rmd rules work you
16:58
know the amount of money that you're
16:59
pulling out actually you could keep
17:01
pushing yourself into a higher income
17:03
tax bracket to the point where by the
17:05
time you reach your late 80s you're
17:08
actually in a higher bracket than you
17:09
were at age 72
17:11
that's a source of risk and one way to
17:13
reduce that source of risk is is by
17:15
changing the account allocation that you
17:18
have to reduce tax risk so you can if
17:21
you've got money in a roth account you
17:22
can pull money out no income taxes um
17:25
you can have greater control over the
17:27
amount of taxable income you generate
17:29
and and this is probably a good point to
17:31
also or a good time to also point out
17:33
that if you buy a
17:35
non-qualified annuity in other words if
17:37
you have money sitting in a taxable
17:39
account so you've got money sitting in a
17:41
checking account or a money market
17:43
account or even in an investment account
17:45
and you buy a lifetime income with
17:47
taxable dollars only a portion of that
17:50
income is actually subject to income
17:53
taxation because of what's known as an
17:55
exclusion ratio so if you buy one it may
17:58
be that only a quarter of it is actually
18:00
especially in a low interest rate
18:01
environment a smaller percentage of your
18:04
payment is subject to taxation because
18:06
that's the percentage that's considered
18:08
to be interest um and that's that can
18:10
actually be a very you know it's a tax
18:12
advantage a lot of people don't really
18:13
talk about including the deferral
18:15
benefit that you get from it until you
18:17
turn the income on but it's a way of
18:19
controlling taxes and retirement as well
18:22
and and stan speak exclusionary issue
18:24
means you're getting
18:26
any type of lifetime income or income
18:27
from an annuity is a combination of
18:29
return or principal plus interest in a
18:30
non-ira account
18:32
you're not going to pay taxes on the
18:33
principal you're going to pay taxes on
18:35
the interest which ie means exclusion
18:37
ratio that's what michael was talking
18:39
about i think one of the things that
18:41
jumped out at me and i did not know this
18:42
and maybe i should was that the social
18:45
social security has its own mortality
18:47
tables
18:48
um that are probably different and
18:50
unique from life insurance is that true
18:53
and and explain why that
18:55
why that's important
18:57
it's important because a lot of these
18:59
formulas like the benefit that you
19:01
receive from delayed claiming are
19:02
partially dependent on what social
19:05
security estimates is a fair amount of
19:07
extra income to give you if you delay
19:09
claiming and the social security average
19:11
i mean that's everybody
19:13
so you know that's
19:15
you've seen your fellow americans the
19:17
the average american is perhaps
19:20
different than
19:22
you i don't want to
19:24
it's it's if you were the kind of person
19:26
who who makes sure that they exercise a
19:29
certain number of times per week who
19:30
goes to whole foods you know who who
19:32
takes care of themselves physically
19:34
you're in a different what's known as a
19:36
mortality pool and that mortality pool
19:39
on average is going to live longer than
19:41
the average american and by quite a big
19:43
difference so when an insurance company
19:45
is pricing an annuity they're using the
19:47
pool of people who actually buy
19:48
annuities who tend to live longer than
19:50
the average american got it so any sort
19:53
of any time you can join a mortality
19:56
pool and the same thing exists with
19:58
pension stand so if you work for an
20:00
employer and the pension income is based
20:04
on all employees
20:06
and you just happen to be healthier than
20:08
your average worker at that company then
20:11
you actually receive more expected value
20:14
from the pension than someone who is a
20:16
lower income
20:18
less healthy worker who is going to not
20:21
live as long in retirement it's actually
20:22
kind of a regressive policy a pension um
20:25
but you know pay attention to the
20:28
mortality pool that you're part of
20:29
because sometimes you can get an extra
20:30
bonus that's very very good and um so
20:34
what you're
20:35
to sum that one up not only social
20:37
security the best inflation annuity on
20:40
the planet it also has the most
20:41
favorable actuarial tables
20:44
for most most listeners to a podcast
20:47
like this which oh by the way michael is
20:49
one of the fastest growing financial
20:50
podcasts in the country because we have
20:53
people like you on it and i
20:55
i really want to thank you for that i
20:57
want you to kind of get in the weeds a
20:58
little bit because um part of the
21:00
article i found fascinating when you
21:02
were talking about
21:03
the the actual fair value
21:06
of delayed claiming and you went into
21:08
tips and you went into all kinds of
21:10
things you gave a pretty good example of
21:12
a 62 year old
21:14
who delays claiming i think you did that
21:16
earlier in the podcast but can you go
21:18
into the weeds of how they
21:20
um the higher fewer higher income
21:23
payments in the future are discounted
21:25
all that
21:26
all that smart guy stuff i need you to
21:28
do that and and explain it to the
21:30
listeners
21:31
so everybody has who is part of a
21:34
mortality pool i mean the way that
21:37
actuaries think about
21:39
human beings
21:40
um is that you know you can look at a
21:43
table and on average i can tell you that
21:46
there's a 50 chance that if you're a
21:49
healthy male and you're age 62 there's a
21:51
50 chance you're going to live to the
21:53
age of 88
21:54
and i know that around that age
21:58
um there is a distribution of deaths and
22:01
the longer you live the less likely it
22:04
is that you're going to make it to your
22:05
next birthday so beyond age 88 for a
22:08
male you know the probability of
22:09
surviving to age 89 goes down
22:11
probability of surviving to age 90 is a
22:13
little bit lower than that um so we can
22:16
actually look at one of these mortality
22:17
tables to estimate how many expected
22:20
income payments the company or the
22:22
government will have to pay you in the
22:25
future now you can flip that around and
22:27
if you're an individual you can say all
22:29
right you know what
22:31
how much on average am i going to
22:33
receive when i buy an annuity or delay
22:36
social security how much on average am i
22:39
going to receive over the course of my
22:40
lifetime and to do that all you have to
22:42
do is take the present value of that
22:45
payment say the payment is going to
22:47
occur at the age of 75. you multiply
22:50
that by the probability that you're
22:52
going to be alive to receive that
22:54
payment and that is the present value of
22:57
that payment to you today so i spent a
22:59
lot of my days you know i know you know
23:01
david blanchard he is the whiz when it
23:04
comes to this stuff so he and i will
23:06
we'll spend a lot of time looking at
23:07
spreadsheets and this this paper came
23:09
because we wrote a paper on social
23:10
security claiming and it was something a
23:12
little idiosyncrat idiosyncrasy that i
23:15
noticed about these steps in retirement
23:17
but what we were doing is constantly
23:19
trying to price out annuities by looking
23:22
at mortality tables looking at the
23:23
present value the other element that you
23:26
have to consider is
23:27
what is the value of an income payment
23:30
in 20 years so in other words if i were
23:32
to buy a bond today a corporate bond or
23:35
a treasury bond and it matured in 20
23:38
years how much would i have to pay for
23:41
that today you know in a low interest
23:42
rate environment i have to i'm gonna
23:43
have to pay 800 bucks to get a thousand
23:46
dollars in 20 years um you know in a
23:50
high interest rate environment i may
23:52
only have to pay 400 bucks to get a
23:53
thousand dollars in 20 years but we have
23:55
to deal with the reality of the low
23:57
interest rate environment that we live
23:58
in so we discount at a lower rate and by
24:02
the way anybody who's using stocks to
24:05
compare the present value of future
24:08
guaranteed income is insane thank you
24:12
mike
24:13
thank you for that
24:15
that i see all the time and i'll tell
24:17
you this is the kind of stuff that
24:19
absolutely drives economists crazy i
24:23
mean bring this up with with bob merton
24:25
and he will you know you get him started
24:29
nobel prize winning economist bob
24:31
and you know the the reality is that
24:34
there is no guaranteed return on a stock
24:37
on average stocks have done well
24:40
historically but everybody who retires
24:43
today is stuck with whatever sequence of
24:46
stock returns they get over the next 20
24:49
years and the way to think about stock
24:51
returns is not that they're always
24:54
going to be 10 it's that there is going
24:56
to be a variation in
24:58
future returns and it may be that stock
25:02
returns over the next 20 years are 10
25:04
percent but it's probably you know a one
25:07
in a hundred chance that they're going
25:08
to be exactly 10
25:09
there's a big chance that they're going
25:11
to be something else and nobody knows in
25:13
advance what that something else is and
25:15
stocks are really well at least they
25:17
were really expensive as a couple weeks
25:19
ago they're still pretty expensive and
25:22
in periods where stocks have been this
25:23
expensive the re the 10-year returns are
25:27
actually not too much more than the
25:29
yield that people are getting on bonds
25:31
right now so this idea that no no don't
25:34
delay social security just take that 20
25:36
000 and invest it and you're gonna get
25:38
more money than if you delayed social
25:39
security no there's no guarantee of that
25:43
you know on average there is what's
25:45
known as a equity risk premium that's
25:48
what the economists call it which is
25:49
basically like historically stocks have
25:51
on average had a higher return than
25:53
bonds but you don't know if you're going
25:56
to be lucky or unlucky over the next 20
25:59
years there's always a chance that
26:01
you're not going to get lucky and you
26:03
don't want to base your lifestyle in 20
26:05
years on luck of the markets
26:08
and that's why i always say that
26:09
everybody should have portions of their
26:11
retirement portfolio invested in risky
26:14
assets because on average they do have a
26:16
higher return especially over longer
26:18
holding periods
26:19
but you have to have a base of income to
26:22
fund your
26:24
inflexible expenses something that we
26:26
talked about last time you have to have
26:27
a base of income
26:29
and you that you should not that should
26:31
not be dependent on the performance you
26:34
get in the stock market so insulate a
26:36
portion of your income from stock market
26:38
volatility and not only is that
26:41
mathematically the right thing to do
26:42
it's also psychologically the right
26:44
thing to do i mean i don't want to base
26:46
i don't have to worry about russia
26:48
invading ukraine and the impact that
26:50
that's going to have on my lifestyle
26:52
next month uh that i mean a lot of
26:54
people are facing that who have had such
26:57
great luck over the last decade
26:58
especially if they really have been
27:00
participating in financial markets over
27:02
the last decade uh in preparation for
27:04
retirement they've gotten i think
27:06
accustomed to this idea that the market
27:08
only goes up but you know that as we
27:10
know uh that doesn't always happen
27:13
yeah what drives me crazy
27:15
when i talk to people and they'll say
27:16
well um you know i could do better
27:18
investing my money than this guaranteed
27:20
lifetime income stream like hey player
27:22
that's apples and oranges okay we're
27:24
talking about two separate things you
27:25
can't make that correlation but the
27:27
problem with that is
27:28
in an article a few years back i'm not
27:31
mistaken and i i don't know if i get his
27:33
name right from pronunciation standpoint
27:35
michael kitsis
27:36
yup is is kind of smart guy in the room
27:38
for advisors and he has advisory service
27:40
and he wrote an article just slamming
27:42
culac saying you know this is not a good
27:44
investment you you historically you
27:46
could do better blah blah blah and i'm
27:47
like what are you even talking about i
27:50
mean to make that correlation
27:53
into and to say well you should just
27:54
keep your money in those dogs
27:56
that's
27:57
insanity and and i think it correlates
28:00
to what you just said about
28:03
um
28:03
yeah stocks are great but they not all
28:05
the time and you can't make that
28:08
correlation okay well you know i'm not
28:10
going to buy qlik because i know
28:12
historically i'm going to do better in
28:13
the market and i think that you know the
28:15
michael kitchis is of the world who i
28:17
totally respect very smart guy but you
28:20
know people read his stuff and they
28:22
believe his stuff which is
28:24
scary when he when he talks about that
28:27
yeah i think the free framing that needs
28:29
to happen is that all retirees have a
28:32
portion of their investments in stocks
28:33
and a portion of their investments in
28:35
bonds agree and if you're going to buy a
28:37
culac
28:38
that's part of the bond portion of your
28:40
portfolio essentially what you're saying
28:42
is that instead of investing in bonds
28:44
i'm going to invest in bonds through an
28:46
insurance company and receive a lifetime
28:49
income guarantee that's going to begin
28:51
later on in retirement to ensure that if
28:54
i don't get lucky with the rest of my
28:55
investments i'm going to have an income
28:58
for the rest of my life that begins
29:00
maybe at the age of 80 or 85 and to
29:03
compare
29:04
stuff that should be from the bond
29:06
portion of your portfolio to the overall
29:09
performance of the portfolio isn't the
29:11
right way to do it it's a the insurance
29:13
company is not investing in stocks
29:15
you're investing in bonds anyway hand
29:18
the money over to the insurance company
29:20
they'll probably do a better and cheaper
29:21
job of investing in bonds than you can
29:24
and they will provide you with that
29:25
lifetime income guarantee because they
29:27
will pool that that longevity risk with
29:30
other retirees like you you essentially
29:32
become part of a long life income club
29:36
well said i know we've kind of gotten
29:37
off the social security topic is there
29:39
anything else that you want to add to
29:41
that because i want to pivot a little
29:43
bit to a couple of the things
29:45
but you've you've hammered away pretty
29:47
well at the social security issue from
29:48
the claiming standpoint anything else
29:51
you know this is another point that i
29:52
think
29:53
retirees don't think enough about is
29:55
that you have a balance sheet at
29:57
retirement and that balance sheet is
30:00
what funds your lifestyle and it funds
30:02
your what you pass on after you die
30:06
um and your your pension your social
30:08
security is absolutely part of that
30:11
balance sheet and so when we look at how
30:13
much you can spend in retirement we're
30:16
looking at the value of your social
30:18
security now the value of social
30:20
security is big uh you know for a lot of
30:23
people it can be maybe seven or eight
30:24
hundred thousand dollars today
30:26
especially if you've delayed claiming
30:28
that's part think of that as simply part
30:30
of the resources that you have available
30:33
to fund the lifestyle that you want to
30:35
live someone who has a pension has a pot
30:38
of money which represents the expected
30:41
amount that you're going to receive from
30:42
that pension over time um and that again
30:45
that's in a bond-like asset social
30:47
security is a bond-like asset if you
30:50
have more and annuities or a bond-like
30:52
asset if you have more of those assets
30:54
you can actually take more risk with the
30:56
remainder of your portfolio because you
30:59
have a big chunk of your portfolio tied
31:01
up in safe investments so consider the
31:05
you know those those those claims those
31:08
guaranteed income sources to be part of
31:10
your retirement portfolio that will
31:12
allow you to make smarter decisions
31:14
about how you invest
31:16
got a great story on that my parents who
31:18
were college basketball coaches which is
31:20
a hellish way to grow up both of them
31:22
were but they were tired and they they
31:24
ended up becoming elementary school
31:27
teachers in the north carolina public
31:28
school system and they retired and they
31:29
had this pension and they never
31:32
understood investments and grew up poor
31:34
mill worker families in north carolina
31:36
and i remember sitting with them when
31:38
they turn on their their pension and
31:40
they said well you know we just don't
31:41
have any money blah blah blah i said let
31:43
me run the number for you and show you
31:45
what it would take
31:46
by an immediate annuity to create the
31:48
lifetime income stream for both of you
31:50
joint life only which is what they're
31:52
getting
31:53
it was it was over a million dollars and
31:55
my dad
31:56
you know up to the day he passed away
31:59
wouldn't believe me on that no i just
32:00
don't believe that i'm like well then
32:01
where's the money coming from but the
32:03
point is you're right about these
32:04
pensions i mean you don't you don't look
32:06
at it as part of your net worth
32:07
obviously because it's not it's not
32:10
transferable to kids etc but it is part
32:12
of that income floor and for people that
32:15
are fortunate enough to have a pension
32:17
um you need to run that number it's
32:19
pretty good so you know for people that
32:21
have been school teachers thank you for
32:22
that
32:23
um you're getting rewarded um i wanted
32:25
to pivot a couple you wrote another
32:28
article on inflation before we get to
32:29
that
32:30
i would like you're not a pro
32:32
prognosticator but i'm dying to get into
32:34
your brain to see what you think about
32:36
the proposed alleged
32:39
fed
32:41
rate hikes that's that might happen
32:43
should happen plan to happen what do you
32:45
think's going to happen
32:47
you know as of i mean first of all
32:50
nobody knows and i i hate progress
32:52
prognosticators in general because the
32:55
reason i framed it so that we're not
32:56
doing that i just went in your brain a
32:58
little bit because i know you're
32:59
thinking about it
33:01
so i mean i think the chances change
33:03
from day to day but today it seems not
33:06
quite as likely that rates are going to
33:09
rise because there is a fear you know
33:11
markets are falling there's a fear that
33:12
the fed is going to stifle economic
33:15
growth if they raise rates right now in
33:18
the face of a potential global conflict
33:20
so
33:21
um who knows and stan this is a great
33:24
opportunity to say
33:26
um you know the time that you spent
33:29
listening to prognosticators in general
33:32
on tv there's i was just noticing that
33:34
jim cramer you know was was recommending
33:37
to buy the dip in the stock market a
33:39
couple days ago and everything was
33:40
saying so that there is this this
33:42
tremendous
33:43
um predictive ability that people like
33:46
he have of of predicting exactly the
33:48
wrong thing and
33:50
um you know a lot of people are have a
33:52
really terrible track record yet
33:54
we still listen to them um you know and
33:57
and if they were actually this good at
33:59
predicting what's going to happen they
34:00
should start their own headshots and
34:01
they would never talk to anybody that
34:03
and one i was i was hoping you were
34:05
going to give an answer somewhat of the
34:06
one you gave which was
34:07
it's day to day and it looks like it
34:09
changed today
34:10
[Laughter]
34:12
which is which is a great answer because
34:15
um you know i have people on the on the
34:17
podcast that are you know
34:19
or or big time advisors and they all
34:21
think this you know this is going to
34:22
happen jeremy siegel said this and
34:24
byron wien said this
34:26
and you know things are so fluid that
34:29
you really don't know so
34:31
my point is with everyone you can't time
34:33
it you can't time annuity purchases
34:34
which isn't a sales pitch it's just the
34:37
way it is which leads me into
34:39
an article you recently wrote about
34:41
inflation
34:43
and
34:45
inflation is personal for everybody as
34:47
you know michael um you know it affects
34:50
people differently since my kids are out
34:51
of the home and
34:53
and out of college you know i'm not
34:54
buying as much milk and taking them to
34:56
dance classes so i'm not driving as much
34:59
but not only are people going to get
35:01
inflation increases this year i'm
35:03
assuming you're thinking they're going
35:04
to get it next year with social security
35:06
as well
35:07
i think definitely and i think actually
35:08
for social security recipients
35:11
they're going to get more maybe more
35:12
than they should
35:13
uh and this is
35:14
wait a minute what are you running for
35:16
office no
35:18
obviously not yeah i'm not voting for
35:20
you i'm kidding explain so so
35:23
a lot of people who are you know
35:25
essentially what's happened
35:27
post pandemic if you can say that we're
35:29
post pandemic but as a lot more people
35:31
started returning to work of course that
35:34
increased demand for cars and gasoline
35:38
we've also seen
35:40
supply issues increasing prices of
35:42
certain types of goods
35:44
like red meat has gone up i've i've
35:46
termed this mannflation because cars and
35:49
gas and red meat have gone up
35:52
but for most retirees it really hasn't
35:55
been quite as serious if you actually
35:57
look at healthcare it's you know been
35:59
totally flat pharmaceuticals have been
36:02
totally flat you know maybe red meat
36:04
goes up but they can substitute poultry
36:06
which didn't even go up by ten percent
36:07
you know there's there's things seniors
36:09
can do to be a little bit more flexible
36:11
and especially if transportation
36:12
expenses are driving that increase in
36:15
inflation then you might actually get an
36:17
improvement in your standard of living
36:19
if your your social security goes up by
36:21
seven percent because your overall
36:23
expenses especially if you you know a
36:24
lot of a lot of people own their own
36:26
house a lot of people have property
36:27
taxes they get limited after a certain
36:29
age
36:30
for them
36:31
um their inflation hasn't gone up and by
36:34
the way when you're planning for
36:36
retirement um
36:37
pay attention to what percentage of your
36:40
expenses are
36:41
subject to increases in inflation and
36:44
what are what we call
36:46
stable nominal expenses so if you have a
36:48
mortgage that's if you have a fixed rate
36:50
mortgage that's a stable nominal expense
36:53
if you have live in a place that caps
36:54
your property taxes that's pretty much a
36:56
stable nominal expense
36:58
um if but you know obviously food that's
37:01
subject to a certain amount of inflation
37:04
you know travel costs may be subject to
37:06
a certain amount of inflation everybody
37:08
has a different rate of inflation for
37:09
the stuff that they buy but that's what
37:11
you really need to pay attention to and
37:13
i think in general for most retirees
37:16
inflation hasn't been as serious an
37:18
issue for them as it has been for say
37:21
younger working americans who have to
37:23
drive to work have to buy a car
37:26
you know for them it was a little bit
37:27
more serious
37:29
it seems like always this affects the
37:31
poor
37:32
more than it affects you know everyone
37:34
else which is sad but it's reality and
37:37
you know people that's the common
37:40
question that people ask me when they
37:42
get me on the phone hey stan what do you
37:43
think about inflation my question back
37:44
to him is tell me about you tell me
37:46
about how it's affecting you is it
37:47
affecting you you know if do you have
37:49
enough income go in it yeah um do you
37:52
have enough money in the bank yeah i
37:53
mean so i think it's personal i think
37:55
that
37:56
once again cable news and in the news
37:59
media they start pounding the table and
38:01
then people get
38:03
you know upset about something they
38:05
might not need to get upset about
38:07
um but there are people that are
38:08
planning et cetera in the past there
38:10
were annuities that had what's called
38:12
cpiu consumer price index for urban
38:15
consumer
38:17
attachments to the income stream but
38:18
those are no longer and they haven't
38:20
been around for a few years maybe
38:22
that'll come back in the future but just
38:24
remember if you want lifetime income
38:26
stream
38:27
and an increase to that lifetime income
38:28
stream annuity companies don't give that
38:30
away they significantly lower that
38:32
initial payment as compared to the exact
38:35
same annuity
38:37
without that cost of living adjustment
38:38
increase so just just put in the back
38:40
your head you already already own the
38:42
best inflation annuity on the planet and
38:44
michael's predicting even a greater
38:46
increase next year as well i mean if
38:49
they're going to go by the formula it
38:50
has to especially
38:52
if gas pops up like it's looking like
38:54
it's popping up
38:56
right you know at this point i think
38:58
it's it's important to talk about how
39:00
retirees spend money and
39:04
we
39:05
we know from the data that spending
39:07
tends to be the highest the first 10
39:08
years of retirement so i tend to worry a
39:12
little bit less about having nominal
39:14
annuity payments because social security
39:16
is going to rise with inflation
39:19
you may want to ensure that part of your
39:23
expenses are covered you know but part
39:25
of your expenses are going to be nominal
39:26
anyway so cover those expenses using a
39:29
nominal not inflation protected annuity
39:32
you already have a big base of inflation
39:33
protective income especially if you
39:35
delay claiming social security
39:38
um and in general what's going to happen
39:40
is you're spending in after inflation
39:42
terms is going to decline as you get
39:45
older in retirement so you're not going
39:46
on as many vacations when you're 80 as
39:49
you did when you were 70
39:51
um and you know health expenses rise
39:53
later on in life but by that time if you
39:55
have significant health expenses you're
39:56
not doing much else so uh spending does
40:00
not tend to continue to rise even in
40:02
those older ages when you have higher
40:05
medical expenses now i often see a culac
40:07
as a form of inflation protection
40:09
because
40:10
you can buy an income that's going to
40:12
pop up but you know maybe maybe you buy
40:14
one that starts at 80 you buy another
40:15
one that starts at 85. all of a sudden
40:17
you've created you've got a inflation
40:19
protected income from social security
40:21
you've created a nominal income through
40:23
an income annuity and then you can
40:25
actually buy an additional source of
40:26
income that pops up later on in life and
40:28
i'm a big fan of those because i think i
40:30
don't want to be managing a pot of money
40:33
to to provide income when i'm 95. i'm
40:36
not going to be as capable as i was when
40:38
i was 75 so automating your income later
40:41
in life
40:42
makes sense another reason why you and i
40:44
are fans of qlex
40:46
well yeah just transferring the risk for
40:48
for lifetime income and you can start it
40:49
at future dates you can ladder the
40:51
purchase you can allow the start date
40:52
you can ladder both you can do you can
40:54
you know you can time you can time those
40:57
purchases you just can't time uh the the
41:00
exact right time to buy an annuity and
41:02
and believe me annuity companies are
41:04
asking the questions that you as the
41:05
consumer are asking should i hold on to
41:07
it or should i buy it later or should i
41:09
defer it they're pricing it so it's not
41:11
a perfect decision on your behalf
41:14
getting back to just what you were
41:15
talking about
41:17
um
41:17
with with
41:18
retirees etc steve paris calls in i
41:21
don't know if it's unique to him but i
41:23
when he said it i loved it it's you know
41:24
you're you're go go slow go no go that's
41:27
your three phases of retirement your go
41:29
go and that's what you talked about the
41:30
first 10 years you're going to spend it
41:32
slogo is that cognitive decline that all
41:34
of us are going to have maybe michael
41:36
won't have that because his brain's
41:37
firing on all 12 cylinders
41:40
but the rest of us are going to have it
41:42
and then there's no go and that's what
41:44
he was talking about which at the at the
41:46
kind of the end of life time period
41:48
you're not going to spend as much money
41:50
because you're not going to be going out
41:51
and you're not as mobile
41:53
etc i think that
41:55
people just need to look at all of this
41:58
whether it's retirement
42:00
buying annuities looking at inflation
42:03
um it's personal it's personal and
42:05
customizable to you don't group yourself
42:08
into what the person on
42:10
fox cnn or msnbc fox business or cnbc
42:14
said it's it's about your situation
42:17
um and i would say tune all of that out
42:20
if you can for sure
42:22
um but inflation is going to be with us
42:24
it's not as janet yellen said transitory
42:27
do you believe that
42:31
i know i don't know who knows you know
42:32
stan none of us know
42:33
frankly um yeah we'll we'll see how it
42:36
all plays out i guess that's the
42:37
definition of transitory what's your
42:39
definition of transitory transitory
42:40
means two years yeah it could be gone in
42:42
two years the transitory is six months
42:44
in your mind
42:45
no it's not gonna be gone in six months
42:47
uh in my opinion just because of just
42:49
kind of what's happening
42:51
um but it is a weird world when i'm
42:53
looking at the gas prices right now i'm
42:55
glad i don't drive but i do fly a lot
42:57
but i i mean my heart goes out to people
42:59
that have to commute and do that for a
43:02
living
43:03
and obviously it's going to get passed
43:04
on to us via higher
43:07
prices at the grocery store etc
43:09
um
43:10
what are you working on right now other
43:12
than your typical digging into charts
43:15
and things like that what's peaking your
43:16
interest right now michael
43:19
you know one of the things that i have
43:21
been giving a lot of thought to is this
43:23
idea of not annuitizing with an
43:25
investment portfolio and what are
43:27
the consequences of not annuitizing sure
43:30
or
43:31
at least a portion of your income in
43:33
retirement
43:34
um if you
43:36
you know
43:36
there's a lot of thought you know people
43:38
who use these monte carlo analyses which
43:40
i i'm a big fan of monte carlo i think
43:42
it tells you something explain to the
43:43
people that not aren't familiar with
43:45
that as as a software they know the uh
43:47
they know the race over there tell them
43:49
what money money carla is spend so much
43:50
time with this stuff that i forget that
43:52
people don't know it so yeah that when
43:54
what is the monte carlo analysis a monte
43:56
carlo analysis is it's pretty
43:58
straightforward so let's say that you
44:00
start out retirement with a million
44:02
dollars and you decide that you want to
44:04
spend 40 000
44:06
per year in retirement from that million
44:09
dollar portfolio and let's say you
44:10
assume that you invest 60 percent of the
44:12
portfolio in stocks and 40 of the
44:14
portfolio in bonds now none of us know
44:17
what the returns on stocks or bonds are
44:19
going to be next year we do know that
44:20
bonds are probably going to be less
44:21
volatile
44:23
stocks are going to be more volatile and
44:25
that means that there is a probability
44:27
that stocks could go up by 20 there's a
44:29
probability they could go down by 20
44:32
we don't know in advance what's going to
44:33
happen so what we do is we simulate a
44:37
sequence of returns over the course of a
44:40
lifetime for thousands of retirees
44:44
it's not a real retiree it's a fake
44:46
retiree but we simulate what they would
44:49
go through if they experienced this
44:51
sequence of return so say retiree a has
44:54
a 40 return the first year in retirement
44:57
then now they they went from a million
44:59
to a million four they're going to be
45:01
withdraw still withdrawing 40 000 a year
45:04
they have a much better chance of being
45:06
able to do that over the course of their
45:08
lifetime now let's say you're an unlucky
45:10
retiree started out with a million you
45:12
have negative 30 percent your first year
45:14
something like 2008 happens all of a
45:17
sudden you go from you know maybe a 90
45:19
chance that you can
45:21
make that lifestyle that you can
45:23
continue to spend 40 000 a year
45:26
now all of a sudden you're down to 60
45:29
and that then what you know then you
45:32
have to cut back uh and that is
45:35
the
45:36
one of the things that i think a lot
45:37
about is
45:39
what is the value of buying some sort of
45:42
portfolio protection so this this is is
45:46
one of these areas and that that i think
45:48
you and i don't wade into all that often
45:51
but this is the idea that a
45:53
institution
45:55
you can go to an insurance company and
45:57
they can buy financial options that do
45:59
really well if the market does poorly
46:02
and they will tell you it's fine if you
46:05
withdraw forty thousand dollars or fifty
46:07
thousand dollars or forty five thousand
46:08
dollars from a million dollar portfolio
46:11
that's invested in stocks and bonds and
46:13
if you run out will be on the hook to
46:16
continue that 45 000 income as long as
46:20
you live now no financial advisor will
46:24
provide you with that guarantee you know
46:26
they'll say well you can you can follow
46:28
the four percent rule and it's worked
46:29
historically uh but if you ask them well
46:32
what if i lived to age 85 and i got
46:34
unlucky and the markets do really bad
46:36
and i run out are you going to are you
46:38
going to pick up the tab and they will
46:40
say well no i would never take that sort
46:42
of a liability well there are people who
46:44
will take that liability sure but they
46:46
will charge you for it because they have
46:48
to buy these options to these financial
46:50
options to protect against that
46:52
potential downside um and so they will
46:55
guarantee that you will continue to
46:58
receive an income if you run out by the
46:59
age of 85. so there is this concept of a
47:02
contingent deferred and the cdas yeah
47:05
they're out there but they're just not
47:07
good in my opinion
47:09
they're they're they're out there and
47:11
whether they're good or not depends on
47:13
the cost of hedging that risk and it's
47:17
expanding
47:18
and the rules underline there are some
47:20
rules
47:21
you have to understand the rules but
47:22
right i think that if you're you know
47:25
there's really two approaches to
47:26
annuitization one is you buy that floor
47:29
of income using bond investments the
47:31
other you have a portfolio and then you
47:33
add protection to that portfolio by
47:36
maybe
47:37
withdrawing you know one and a half
47:39
percent per year to pay for those
47:42
expenses of providing that lifetime
47:44
income guarantee right and it's a
47:45
different philosophy on annuitization
47:48
but it's one that fascinates me because
47:51
i think it is it is a different approach
47:53
to i think it's clear for people to
47:55
think in terms of i'm going to buy a
47:57
base of income with the bond portion of
48:00
my portfolio i'm going to add that to
48:02
social security i know i'm always going
48:04
to have that amount no matter how long i
48:05
live
48:06
but there's a there's a separate
48:08
annuitization feature which is this sort
48:10
of lifetime income feature
48:12
which we're spending some more time
48:15
studying it and it can be relatively
48:17
efficient and it's probably something we
48:20
we have to devote an entire episode to
48:22
some time because it is a completely
48:24
different philosophy on an annuitization
48:26
than the one i normally present but it's
48:28
one that's uh it's legitimate and it's
48:31
worth thinking about i would love to do
48:32
that on the next time we get together
48:34
because i simplify that thought into i
48:37
call it and i've written about it in my
48:38
books defer to spea which you don't
48:41
annuitize and then you annuitize
48:44
at the exact time you need income to
48:46
start
48:47
keeping your powder dry along the way
48:49
now the annuity gods look down upon me
48:52
and say please stop stan because we're
48:54
not getting sales and i tell the annuity
48:56
gods i'm like it doesn't matter what you
48:58
say because and for a lot of people
49:00
defer to spea makes sense and a lot of
49:02
people that
49:04
i feel are managing their portfolio or
49:05
someone's doing a good job with what
49:07
they're doing is like let's wait until
49:08
the exact time and then pull the trigger
49:11
then but with that being said that's a
49:13
very simplistic way i do think that
49:16
annuity companies looking at the
49:18
demographic tidal wave of baby boomers
49:20
retiring and looking for guarantees and
49:22
also looking for unique guarantees that
49:25
allow them to have their cake and eat it
49:26
too
49:28
i think you're going to see products and
49:31
strategies and offerings that are going
49:32
to do what you just said which is
49:34
provide that lifetime income strategy
49:36
while allowing you to continue
49:39
with kind of what you're doing and
49:41
they're called contingent deferred
49:42
annuities but i think in the future
49:44
they're going to be
49:46
um
49:47
better
49:49
better than what's out there because
49:50
it's uh and it's not been presented
49:52
really well
49:54
um and and the masters of the universe
49:57
stock portfolio people don't even want
50:00
to go there because they think they can
50:01
manage it and they can do it themselves
50:03
but i think i think more and more baby
50:05
boomers are pounding the table and
50:06
saying no no we want guarantees too
50:10
and i think that's that's going to be
50:12
you know as soon as you as soon as you
50:13
write the paper or what you want to talk
50:15
about it you know you know definitely
50:17
let's do that we're coming up on the
50:19
kind of the end of this this segment for
50:21
this time as i always do michael there's
50:24
a mic drop moment that i hand to you
50:26
to say something really
50:28
unbelievably
50:30
intellectual to the listeners so that
50:32
they can walk away and go man that was
50:34
great
50:35
so it's a mic drop it's your ball's in
50:37
your court go and say i think we have to
50:39
end it by saying that the best way to
50:41
stick it to the government is by
50:42
delaying your social security not taking
50:44
it early
50:46
something i want everybody to remember
50:47
it because i see it over and over again
50:51
that's michael finka stick it to the
50:53
government the right way
50:55
in your favor and uh that's that's
50:57
definitely a t-shirt material
50:59
and i want to thank michael for being on
51:01
as always it's it's uh every time we do
51:03
this i mean my emails and and messages
51:06
light up because they're like ask him
51:08
this next time ask him that i'm not that
51:09
organized you know we just kind of free
51:11
form this thing michael it's like
51:12
michael and i sitting around just
51:14
talking with cup of coffee but um i want
51:16
to thank everyone for joining us on all
51:18
the major podcast podcast platforms and
51:21
also on the fun with annuities youtube
51:23
channel
51:24
my name is standing nudity man yes this
51:25
is the
51:27
one of the fastest growing podcast on
51:28
the planet if you can believe that fun
51:30
with annuities and i will see you next
51:33
week
51:38
thanks for listening to fun with
51:40
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51:42
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51:47
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52:12
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