082 Terry Savage: Financial Realities Right Now

November 9, 2021
53 min
082 Terry Savage: Financial Realities Right Now
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IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND TERRY SAVAGE DISCUSS:
- Is inflation going to be transitory?
- Getting ready for a collapse
- The Great Resignation
- Technology’s effect on markets

KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- We have a lot of components of permanent inflation being injected into the economy along with the shortages of goods.
- No one knows for sure that a collapse is coming - everyone can be a little right and a little wrong. But it’s better to be ready and disciplined than to be very wrong at the very worst time, losing all your ability to adjust to the change.
- We not only helped people who are needy but we incented them to not go back to work. COVID is still out there and people are now more afraid to go back to work.
- Technology has allowed the economy to be less volatile, improved the market’s liquidity and allowed better raising of capital.
- Decide who you are. Know yourself and understand the place in history where you’re at right now and recognize the risks, the upsides and the downsides.

"Good judgement comes from experience and experience comes from bad judgement." — Terry Savage

CONNECT WITH TERRY SAVAGE:
Website: https://www.terrysavage.com/
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FUN WITH ANNUITIES (r)

0:04
welcome to fun with annuities with your

0:06
host me stan the annuity man america's

0:09
annuity agent can annuities be fun can

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absolutely they can find out the brutal

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facts about annuities with no sales

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pitches or high pressure nonsense just

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the brutal and factual annuity truth

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which is all you need to hear

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let's have some fun with annuities and

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let's have that fun start right now

0:33
[Music]

0:39
welcome to fun with annuities i'm your

0:41
host stan the annuity man america's

0:42
annuity agent license in all 50 states

0:45
and are saying here at fund with

0:46
annuities is living the reality not the

0:48
dream

0:50
but today's kind of a dream

0:52
because one of my favorite guests has

0:54
returned

0:55
and i'm so happy she is here um she is

0:58
known as the money lady and she is my

1:00
choice for the next fed chairman

1:03
and honestly she is one of the top

1:06
financial minds in the world that is not

1:08
disputable at all

1:10
um and i love reading her stuff we'll

1:13
have all of her information on my site

1:16
at the annuityman.com so you can go to

1:18
her site and watch the videos and read

1:19
her stuff and buy her books

1:21
etc

1:23
and i just want to welcome everybody on

1:25
all the major podcast platforms and on

1:27
the fun with annuities youtube channel

1:28
with that being said

1:30
welcome royalty terry savage how are you

1:33
terry oh i think i just show up so you

1:36
can introduce me because that always

1:37
gets me going for at least a week or ten

1:39
days absolutely i mean the good news is

1:41
you can always just go back and just

1:43
loop it and you know it's on tape so

1:48
um i'm going to include you i just

1:50
looked at my screen i'm like i need to

1:52
get your face up there on the split

1:54
screen because that's the way we like to

1:56
do it let's jump in and talk about

1:57
inflation my my good friend janet yellen

2:00
who i've never met

2:01
she talks about inflation as

2:04
transitory and then the argument is it's

2:07
sustained

2:08
um i could care less what janet yellen

2:11
says i want to know what terry savage

2:13
says well thank you very much um i have

2:15
met janet yellen it's actually i think

2:17
that word transitory is going to go down

2:19
in history and be associated with fed

2:21
chairman jay powell

2:23
and you know allow me to take you back a

2:24
few years do you

2:26
sometimes i think what this proves is

2:28
that fed chairman can say something but

2:31
the markets always have the last word so

2:34
you remember back when alan greenspan

2:35
said a rational exuberance

2:38
kind of he was right only the market

2:39
went up another couple thousand points

2:42
before it collapsed

2:43
and i think jay powell saying that

2:46
inflation is transitory is going to be

2:48
one of those buzzwords that remind us

2:50
that while the fed is powerful the

2:52
markets are more powerful and they will

2:54
eventually have their say

2:57
and i think when you bring up the word

2:59
inflation that's just what's beginning

3:01
to happen

3:03
we are seeing

3:04
not forget the cpi

3:07
and this most recent increase in

3:09
consumer prices you see what's going on

3:11
in the labor market with strike with all

3:14
of these uh unions and others

3:17
who are just not saying i'm not going to

3:18
go back to work you have to be a union

3:20
member to say i demand higher wages we

3:21
have millions of jobs unfilled because

3:24
people won't go back to work there and

3:26
so there's a tremendous wage component

3:29
housing is a huge component of the cpi

3:32
uh now rising interest rates which come

3:34
with inflation typically might

3:36
dim that that the rise of meteoric rise

3:39
in home prices but the fact is we have a

3:41
lot of the components

3:43
of

3:44
permanent inflation being injected into

3:47
the economy along with the shortages has

3:50
been the main headlines recently of

3:51
goods and subs goods that are backed up

3:54
at the port so i think this is actually

3:56
we'll look back on this exact moment as

3:59
when everybody realized the fed can say

4:02
whatever it wants

4:03
inflation's coming and the markets know

4:05
it

4:06
and it's i think it's going to be

4:07
sustained for a longer period of time as

4:09
always tell people inflation's

4:11
customizable and personal i mean i don't

4:13
drive a lot so i don't feel the gas

4:15
crunch but for people that drive

4:17
i really feel sorry for them or if you

4:19
have

4:20
small kids my kids are out of the

4:22
household thank goodness um they're

4:24
still on the payroll terry but they're

4:26
out of the household but anyway um

4:29
you know people with small kids

4:30
inflation hits them differently because

4:33
they have to go the grocery store and

4:34
buy different things can you address

4:36
kind of the customization of inflation

4:38
and for you know most of my listeners

4:41
are either

4:43
retirees they want to be retirees

4:45
they're pointing toward retirement

4:46
they're seniors they're baby boomers

4:48
they're people that are

4:49
do-it-yourselfers that want enough

4:52
information and really good information

4:54
so they can make a decision on their

4:56
terms

4:57
how do you address inflation from that

4:59
group

5:00
yeah well i call us grown-ups

5:02
[Laughter]

5:04
we need grown-ups in the room terry yeah

5:07
we need grown-ups in the room and um all

5:10
grown-ups are going to feel this if you

5:11
keep this this inflation if you heat

5:14
your home with gas

5:15
you you may not have you don't fall to

5:17
futures markets but now gasoline prices

5:19
maybe you don't drive a lot stand but if

5:21
you heat your home with gas which a vast

5:23
majority of america does and that's an

5:25
input into electricity as well

5:28
gas natural gas prices have more than

5:30
doubled so you can expect at least a 50

5:33
increase in your home heating bill this

5:35
winter and and for this particular 50 do

5:38
you're saying 50 percent

5:40
yeah

5:40
your monthly bill in december last year

5:43
it was 382 or whatever it was i think

5:46
you're going to see 500 something

5:48
dollars

5:49
now i i definitely think that's going to

5:51
be passed along and even though we talk

5:53
about it you know i'm on the board of

5:54
directors of cme group the chicago

5:56
mercantile exchange i've watched the

5:58
futures on everything from gold and

6:00
oil we see oil over 80 a barrel now

6:03
again all part of this inflation note so

6:05
seniors just this past week it was

6:07
announced that social security

6:08
recipients will get a 5.9

6:11
increase the cost of living increase

6:13
that's the biggest in 40 years since

6:15
1983. is it 5.4 or

6:19
nine five point nine did it for five

6:21
point nine

6:22
okay so remember back in uh we some of

6:25
us remember 1983 remember the inflation

6:28
we remember in 80 the prime rate at 21

6:31
as paul volcker tried to ring inflation

6:33
out of the economy he was fed chairman

6:35
then we remember treasury bill rates

6:37
that 12 and 13 percent they were and we

6:40
remember that kind of inflation i'm not

6:42
saying that's going to happen today but

6:44
along with inflation tends to come

6:46
higher interest rates so if you think

6:49
that you are um

6:50
blessed now with an almost six percent

6:53
increase in your social security check

6:56
they have not announced the premiums yet

6:58
for medicare part b that's a

7:00
hospitalization and you know those creep

7:02
up every year so that's going to eat up

7:04
a little of your check

7:06
they have not announced yet you know

7:08
every year as a senior about this time

7:09
end of the year you go through at

7:12
medicare.gov your prescription drugs the

7:14
part d plan even if you're not taking

7:17
them

7:17
but if you are you line up all your

7:19
prescriptions and see what they've done

7:21
in your plan and maybe you need to

7:22
switch to another one i can promise you

7:24
that drug prices are going to go up so

7:26
that huge increase you just got in your

7:28
social security check or will get in

7:30
january will be eaten up by your home

7:32
heating oil bill then remember energy

7:34
drives the cost of all the fruits and

7:36
vegetables that we're smart enough to

7:37
eat because those are trucked across the

7:39
country so those will go up uh so your

7:42
home heating bill your medical prices

7:44
your medical services that aren't

7:46
covered by medicare unless you're in an

7:48
advantage program i guarantee you that

7:50
that boost in cola and that social

7:53
security check will be offset by other

7:55
rising costs and the one bright thing is

7:58
you might get a little more interest

8:00
on your cds

8:02
except that the banks that don't want to

8:04
pay you any more interest because

8:05
there's so much let me interject this is

8:07
when i promote myself my goals

8:09
multi-year guarantee annuities

8:11
outperform cds and you can get those

8:13
live rates on my site but i want to go

8:15
back to inflation and i know that you

8:16
are a a big proponent

8:19
of owning stocks over the long run

8:22
but

8:23
these are some markets that and i hear

8:25
this every day from people um

8:28
it you know people that are grown-ups

8:30
terry we've seen markets actually go up

8:33
and down there's a lot of advisors out

8:34
there that always say that i have cowboy

8:36
boots older than they are and they've

8:37
never seen anything go down

8:39
what do you tell the people right here

8:41
even though historically yes stocks work

8:43
what do you say

8:46
well i say i'd like a typical economist

8:49
which i'm not on the one hand and on the

8:51
other hand here's what i know about

8:52
stocks there's never going back a

8:55
hundred years now this is ibbetson's

8:56
research at morningstar never been a

8:58
20-year period where you lost money in a

9:00
diversified portfolio of large companies

9:03
stocks with dividends reinvested that

9:05
that's even adjusted for inflation

9:08
so i know you need a component of stocks

9:11
in your portfolio but i also know that

9:14
as we talk we're so close to all-time

9:16
market highs and anybody who had a 401k

9:19
for years and put that 300 away suddenly

9:22
you've got a real hunk of money you've

9:23
rolled it to an ira you're making

9:25
investment decisions about it and

9:27
because the market's been so generous

9:30
it's been oh my goodness i have more

9:32
money than i ever thought and now the

9:34
question is

9:35
how do you

9:36
get back to an asset allocation that

9:39
makes sense

9:40
so let me just say this

9:42
you got to have stocks that's going to

9:44
offset inflation i know we're going to

9:45
have inflation it

9:47
i don't know am i the only old person

9:49
that remembers the components of

9:50
inflation are too much money pushing up

9:52
prices wages a spiral we're going to see

9:55
that you're con unfortunately you're

9:56
that even though that's a factual

9:58
thought you're somewhat of a contrarian

10:00
right now

10:01
because it seems like everyone's

10:02
forgotten that everybody has forgotten

10:05
that and somebody haven't learned the

10:06
lesson but here's the thing i know

10:08
everyone out there said okay she said we

10:10
have to have some stocks but maybe we

10:11
have too much in stocks where do we put

10:13
it what are our other choices

10:15
okay so

10:17
bonds absolutely not

10:19
because you can lose as much money in

10:21
bonds as you can in stocks who would

10:23
want to lock up your money now for 10

10:25
years at one and a half percent or so in

10:28
u.s treasury bonds if we think

10:31
inflation's coming

10:32
we know the bond market will demand

10:34
higher interest rates when the treasury

10:35
tries to borrow more despite what the

10:37
fed has been able to do recently and so

10:40
you want to be locked up for five or ten

10:42
years so you want your term and then you

10:44
go oh my gosh i went to my bank and

10:46
they're giving me like a quarter of a

10:48
half a percent

10:49
on a one-year cd i just looked those up

10:51
for a show i did recently i mean that

10:53
makes you feel like a fool of inflation

10:55
is up at five percent because you're

10:57
getting a six percent cost of living

10:58
increase you know you're losing

11:00
so stan i turn the microphone back to

11:02
you because what would you do

11:04
well um

11:06
you know i used to live in the world

11:08
with morgan stanley dean witter playing

11:09
weber ubs so i used to be on that side

11:11
of the markets

11:12
um it's it's a tough place to be right

11:15
now just because it is volatile and our

11:18
gut instincts are all telling us

11:20
you know if there was an event this this

11:22
thing could dip i do think i agree with

11:25
you 100 that you're you have to have

11:27
that long-term vision but that's hard to

11:29
do in the short run you do have to be

11:32
disciplined you do have to hang in there

11:34
there are some you know the reason our

11:36
phones ring off the hook right now is

11:37
because

11:38
people are buying these multi-year

11:40
guarantee annuities because they beat

11:41
the cd race that doesn't mean it's

11:43
perfect but that means there's that's

11:44
one of the few places to go

11:47
uh so there's you know as i tell people

11:48
terry there's no perfect answers just

11:50
really bad sales pitches which we don't

11:52
do but i'm really um i'm i'm really

11:55
interested

11:56
to hear your take and insight on

11:59
the corner that the fed has painted

12:02
themselves into

12:04
and we've been around a long time and

12:06
this is blue water i i'm i'm anxiously

12:09
watching just like you are

12:11
what are they going to do i know that i

12:13
think the the chairman gets i think he

12:15
gets reelected or reappointed in january

12:18
do you cons do you think he will then be

12:20
a little bit more autonomous than he is

12:22
now or is he going to continue to be

12:24
bullied by

12:25
you know whoever's in office but let me

12:28
back up a minute because you're not he

12:30
or she okay

12:32
i want to talk about jay paul but i want

12:34
to take a step back because everybody

12:36
out there is going but wait they didn't

12:37
answer my question so what do i now okay

12:41
and you're right no not perfect answers

12:43
but i if there were ever a moment that

12:46
number one

12:47
you had to

12:49
be balanced

12:50
you do need exposure to stocks you do

12:52
need to understand that that's entirely

12:55
possible even if you're 65 or even 70

12:58
you're going to probably live into your

13:00
90s another 15 or 20 years historically

13:02
over a long period stocks have beat

13:04
inflation so you need a component of

13:06
stocks it's not just the economic

13:09
decision you're making it's the

13:10
emotional decision it's easy to say that

13:12
with the dow you know within five

13:14
percent of its all-time highs if the

13:15
market drops 15

13:17
are you going to chicken out all of a

13:18
sudden and dump your stocks and say oh

13:20
my god i can't afford to lose it i won't

13:21
be able to be retired

13:24
then you have to decide that now

13:26
and it's very painful to say i only get

13:29
a half a percent in my cds

13:31
i'm going to talk to stan of i have a

13:33
mica i've i mean i've had a long time

13:35
because i've always bought stuff that i

13:37
wrote about so i could see how it works

13:39
and boy

13:40
you know for a while it lagged the stock

13:41
market it's not in my stock component

13:43
but it makes me feel a lot better as a

13:45
part of my cash component and the fact

13:47
is you need liquidity you need inflation

13:50
protection i'm not against saying with

13:53
gold still under its highest you know

13:55
under that's around 1800 as we talked

13:58
that you might need a gold shares mutual

14:00
fund maybe one that pays dividends i'm

14:02
not going to go tell you to get into

14:03
cryptos if you want to do that you can

14:05
go to go to las vegas and buy some

14:07
cryptos either one

14:09
well what i'm saying is you need a

14:10
really disciplined approach right now in

14:13
a quiet time because otherwise you're

14:15
going to panic and having a little cash

14:17
even if you're losing

14:19
out to inflation right now having some

14:22
liquidity safe money chicken money i

14:24
call it money you can't afford to lose

14:26
on the sidelines will allow you to stick

14:28
with your other investments and not

14:30
panic so i just wanted to finish that up

14:33
i agree with you and i and i think the

14:34
the the conclusion to all that is

14:36
there's no perfect answer yeah and it is

14:38
customizable and you have to it all

14:41
comes down to risk tolerance how much

14:42
risk are you willing to transfer how

14:44
much risk are you willing to shoulder

14:47
um but you i think what i think what i'm

14:49
getting from what you're saying is

14:50
you're sounding the alarm to be

14:52
disciplined because it's coming it's

14:55
like when you're out on the beach and

14:56
you see the wave getting ready to break

14:58
you you get ready for it to hit you

15:01
um i think i think the same thing's

15:03
going to happen

15:05
i run to shore

15:08
none of us knows for sure and so you're

15:10
always going to be a little right and a

15:11
little wrong the problem is you don't

15:12
want to be a lot wrong and then trying

15:15
to fix it at the wrong time okay

15:17
i don't know i think the best

15:20
likelihood is that interest rates go up

15:22
because we have inflation and j powell i

15:25
think has been absolutely independent he

15:27
made it

15:28
okay

15:29
oh yeah i don't i mean i think you know

15:31
people like elizabeth warren say he's so

15:33
independent we've got to get rid of him

15:37
i think the fed

15:39
did a really good job at the beginning

15:42
of covid because we would have had a

15:44
really global financial crisis and the

15:46
fed literally said we're going to print

15:47
enough money and the government said

15:49
great because we're going to pay out

15:51
enough money

15:52
to keep this from being a total global

15:54
collapse because the dollar is the

15:56
center of everything so i'm not down on

15:58
jay powell at all but what i am down on

16:01
is the fact that congress thinks that

16:03
they can keep

16:05
borrowing money because you know they

16:08
say they're going to tax it away but

16:09
they'll never get enough in taxes so

16:10
it'll add to the deficit which they'll

16:12
of course raise in the debt ceiling and

16:15
the fed has been very accommodating

16:18
so whenever the government issues ious

16:20
the fed goes out in the open market and

16:22
buys them for its own portfolio putting

16:25
newly created liquidity into the system

16:27
nobody ever asked jay powell to put his

16:29
driver's license number you know on the

16:30
back of the check it was a great line

16:32
under paul voker davis that is a good

16:33
line yeah but the point is they just

16:36
create new money to give out and that

16:39
creates this inflation spiral which

16:40
we've all forgotten about

16:42
so

16:43
i i think that they should keep jay

16:46
powell he gets it he's done what he has

16:48
to do and he's trying to get congress to

16:50
do something responsible and we should

16:52
all want congress to do something

16:54
responsible

16:55
and uh

16:57
there are good arguments on both sides

17:00
of why there are people that need help i

17:02
don't want to say that that's not a good

17:04
argument

17:05
but we have to think about whether what

17:08
we're doing is really helping we just

17:10
need to get our priorities reorganized

17:12
in this country

17:13
um

17:16
just ask yourself

17:17
why is a baseball player a basketball

17:19
player or football player who plays i

17:22
mean it's yeah you get beat up for an

17:23
hour on the football field why are they

17:25
worth multi-million dollar contracts and

17:28
teachers and day care workers

17:31
get nothing

17:33
hey that's a

17:34
another

17:35
type of problem i was i was wanting to

17:37
also get your

17:39
input on the idea that was quickly

17:42
floated

17:43
about minting a trillion dollar coin oh

17:46
for god's sakes did you fall down and

17:49
just like

17:51
yell at the top of your lungs what did

17:52
you do when you heard that and well well

17:55
what i did and i wish i would you have

17:57
known you were going to bring it i have

17:58
a billion dollar

18:01
zimbabwe banknote of course you do okay

18:04
of course i do and now you can buy those

18:06
on ebay if you want exactly that's a

18:07
couple hundred dollars i want a trillion

18:09
dollar coin terry that's what i want and

18:12
then go and then go to publix and publix

18:14
is the local grocery store in florida

18:16
where i live part of the time and go hey

18:19
um i'd like some bread

18:22
exactly because that's exactly what

18:24
it'll be worth a loaf of bread

18:26
you know

18:26
it's a weird thing that congress did

18:28
that i never even noticed 20 years ago

18:30
where they said that congress could min

18:32
any coin of any denomination as long as

18:34
it wasn't minted in gold silver or

18:37
bronze

18:39
so they could mint a coin that came the

18:42
theory came some idiots in washington

18:44
that said

18:45
okay

18:46
we'll just deposit um we'll just pay

18:49
down a trillion dollars worth of debt or

18:51
we'll just

18:52
deposit this into the system

18:55
i saw janet yellen have to answer that

18:57
question

18:59
greatly gosh she's been the fed chairman

19:00
she's treasury secretary she's danced

19:02
political and the economic lines i mean

19:05
she's one of my heroes and i saw her try

19:07
to answer with a straight face uh when

19:10
that was poster on cnbc that morning and

19:12
i yelled at the tv oh just tell them

19:14
they're a bunch of idiots you know

19:16
well you know the po there's politicians

19:18
out there that would love for interest

19:20
rates to go to zero or negative

19:22
so they could print more money to give

19:24
it away

19:26
i mean people always ask me can interest

19:28
rates go down or up or whatever first of

19:30
all no one knows

19:31
um and if they do they're not telling

19:33
anybody but could they go down

19:35
i'm asking you terry savage i will tell

19:38
you that i was at a private dinner this

19:40
is

19:41
way before covet um

19:43
with

19:44
uh jay paul who was not that yet fed

19:47
chairman he was a fed governor

19:49
and

19:50
everybo those all business people but i

19:52
turn into terry the financial journalist

19:54
in a moment like that for asking these

19:56
easy questions and i i asked him i said

19:59
it was remember when

20:01
50 of the european debt central bank

20:03
debt was negative in other words

20:05
europeans were paying the banks to hold

20:07
their money so it's

20:09
negative interest rates are

20:11
a sign of huge deflation and that could

20:13
come only in a global financial collapse

20:16
which was what was happening this is as

20:18
i said some years ago and i said mr

20:21
powell do you think interest rates

20:23
because t-bill rights were down at

20:25
0.08 percent said do you think interest

20:28
rates will go negative

20:30
in the united states

20:32
i will never forget i'm really

20:34
intimidated stan he looked at me with

20:36
those big bushy eyebrows and he looked

20:38
at me and he said

20:40
interest rates will never be negative in

20:42
the united states

20:44
so i kind of cringed a little bit i said

20:46
well thank you sir never say never as

20:49
they always say

20:51
how about this it just it's just a year

20:54
ago i believe

20:55
that oil prices maybe it's more 15

20:57
months ago that oil prices traded

20:59
negative right and yet oil is 80 a

21:02
barrel right today

21:04
because when markets get pushed to

21:07
extremes by

21:09
what's going on in the economy

21:11
markets react only in china don't

21:13
markets react because the government

21:14
controls them this global tax that

21:17
they're floating too i'm sure you're

21:21
not going

21:22
about something i mean i mean but but

21:24
people want to hear you know when i get

21:25
we would did our last podcast you know

21:28
my emails lit up and and everything lit

21:30
up with you know ask her this ask her

21:32
this and they really people my my

21:34
listeners do want to hear your

21:36
your comments on on pop culture type

21:39
items and political items and that's

21:41
when that was just floated they're

21:42
talking about a global tax

21:45
as a small business owner um you know i

21:47
look at that and go i'm just not sure we

21:49
can take more taxation

21:52
maybe we can maybe we can't but global

21:54
tax seems to me as a as a rabbit hole

21:57
what do you think

21:58
i i haven't

21:59
i'm sorry to say i haven't read about a

22:01
global text i don't know who would love

22:03
you that but i think what there's a lot

22:04
of discussion about is talking about it

22:07
comparative tax rates and why on earth

22:09
we would want to raise the taxes on u.s

22:11
businesses

22:13
to be among the highest in the developed

22:15
world which just only puts our

22:17
businesses at a disadvantage now they're

22:19
actually floating a global tax i don't

22:21
know who would who would who would grab

22:23
it but you know it's it's it's just a

22:25
very fancy form of wealth distribution

22:28
um that's going on

22:30
um but it's interesting

22:33
to watch the first year of this

22:35
administration and i'm not political in

22:37
any way i'm pure capitalist period

22:40
um but doesn't it seem like we're

22:43
spiraling a little bit downward doesn't

22:45
it seem just a tad bit chaotic to you

22:47
because you've seen it all been there

22:49
forgotten more than most people will

22:51
ever know

22:52
you just you know i don't see my hair

22:53
colored again you can't see the grays

22:55
but look stan

22:57
one of the earliest lessons in

22:58
capitalism i remember the man who taught

23:01
it to me i remember the moment i heard

23:03
it and i've carried this thought with me

23:06
uh he said yes

23:09
capitalism is the unequal distribution

23:13
of wealth

23:14
but socialism

23:16
is the equal distribution of poverty

23:20
so we have seen at least

23:23
my generation

23:25
remembers in the old soviet union people

23:27
standing in line for hours for bread or

23:29
a chicken

23:30
cuba

23:32
look what socialism has done in cuba

23:35
china started growing because they let

23:37
their people who haven't

23:39
been told an innate capitalistic tenancy

23:41
over 2 000 years go ahead and be

23:43
capitalist but now they want to

23:45
socialize and equalize everything again

23:48
if we only studied history

23:51
we would learn i i think

23:53
it you know it's not political

23:56
here's another lesson i learned

24:00
a rising tide raises all ships and you

24:03
know who said that

24:05
john f kennedy he was a democrat

24:08
he was the one that put in the kennedy

24:09
round of tax cuts he cut the top tax

24:11
rate from over 90

24:14
to just to 52

24:17
the kennedy round of tariff cuts

24:19
he was the one who said paradoxically

24:23
cutting tax rates

24:25
increases tax revenues

24:28
anybody who doesn't remember you all

24:30
remember but tell your kids kennedy was

24:31
a democrat it wasn't a political thing

24:34
it was an idea that people don't work to

24:37
pay taxes they work to keep an after tax

24:39
return

24:40
so the whole idea that we've lost the

24:43
sense that people don't work to serve

24:45
the government except in places like

24:47
cuba the old soviet union again again in

24:49
china now probably and that really

24:52
destroys an economy so if we want to

24:53
create wealth

24:54
and uplift people we have to have a

24:56
growing economy and taxing incentives

24:59
away will not do that

25:01
that's i mean you may disagree with me

25:04
and i totally agree i totally agree with

25:06
you i mean you out there may disagree

25:08
but i know that ruin history says it's

25:11
true you you can't

25:13
legis legislate equality

25:16
um when business owners are taking risks

25:19
that other people aren't taking there

25:21
needs to be a reward system for that

25:23
which leads us to our friends in dc and

25:25
um it's political silly season obviously

25:30
how how can they

25:32
i literally thought when when the the

25:34
change of uh administrations i thought

25:36
they were walking it even though covet

25:38
is was kind of work its way through

25:41
i thought that that the economy

25:44
would be a non-stop juggernaut how have

25:48
the politicians both parties have they

25:51
screwed this thing up

25:55
well and i want to make clear i do

25:56
believe it's both parties oh absolutely

25:58
they've

26:00
i'm astounded

26:02
at how

26:04
how little they care about the country

26:07
how much untruth they believe

26:10
on both extremes and whether you're

26:12
talking about covet or taxes or whatever

26:15
they're we seem to have taken leave of a

26:18
of historical perspective

26:20
and common sense in washington and

26:23
that's scary but as my other friend

26:25
warren buffett always said you know

26:26
nobody got rich betting against america

26:28
and by the way if you don't believe that

26:30
if you don't believe that she knows

26:32
warren buffett go to her site and watch

26:34
the video with her and warren buffett so

26:36
she wouldn't just she didn't just drop

26:38
that name this is legit

26:40
well i keep that up there because i

26:41
think that that video was done in the

26:44
middle of the financial crisis

26:46
i interviewed him at uh a charity

26:48
benefit where people paid a lot of money

26:50
sure and i and and

26:52
it was the worst time i mean it was back

26:54
in 2008 it's you'll see what i look like

26:56
10 years ago and and the thing is

26:59
um

27:00
he was so optimistic then and everybody

27:03
was so pessimistic because that's when

27:05
the banking system and people were

27:06
losing their houses they were producing

27:08
for goodness sakes today let's think

27:10
about how quickly things move a decade

27:13
ago in the financial crisis the mortgage

27:15
crisis and so forth the banks were

27:17
failing

27:18
you know they were being taken over the

27:20
government was trying to help them out

27:21
general motors was on the brink and we

27:24
were bulldozing houses empty houses in

27:26
california today we don't have enough of

27:28
a supply of houses

27:30
a perspective is really important but we

27:33
we right at our ship and then along came

27:35
prophet

27:36
and i think we will

27:38
i i hope that what we're seeing is such

27:39
an extreme of idiocy in washington that

27:42
the heart of america rises up and says

27:44
stop it you silly kids

27:46
this is our election and voters

27:48
typically do that if they if if

27:51
yeah the pendulum swings

27:53
you know far right or far left they

27:54
always grab the pendulum and say whoa

27:56
stop there for a second um but maybe not

28:00
maybe this time it swings left and stays

28:03
left because people you know i read the

28:05
other day where over 4 million people

28:06
you know kind of quit their jobs and

28:08
said hey i don't want to do this now

28:10
there's arguments for on both sides that

28:12
hey wages might not be high enough or

28:14
the argument on the other side is if you

28:16
pay people more than they make it work

28:17
they're not going to work you know on a

28:19
welfare

28:20
where do you land on all of that and do

28:22
you think this is actually

28:23
can it can it be looked at glass half

28:25
full or is this glass half empty with 4

28:27
million people saying i don't want to

28:28
work well this is a very interesting

28:31
moment as i uh after labor day we

28:34
embarked on a really great social

28:36
experiment and the jury's out on it we

28:38
said all the people that were

28:40
self-employed will stop getting

28:42
unemployment benefits that's when that

28:44
ended the pua plan

28:46
pandemic unemployment assistance uh all

28:48
the extra money that people got and

28:50
unemployment by itself is relatively low

28:53
in every state but that extra 300 a week

28:55
and before that it was 600 a week

28:57
remember um that we paid out certainly

29:01
you know that which you tax you get less

29:03
of that which you incent you get more of

29:05
and and we not only help people who are

29:08
needy but we incented them not to go

29:10
back to work and not to mention

29:13
there's still so much covet in the delta

29:15
variant out there that people are

29:17
legitimately afraid

29:19
to go back to work in the service jobs

29:21
where they meet people face to face so a

29:24
as we get a handle on the pandemic maybe

29:26
that maybe with boosters or whatever it

29:27
takes and b as people are not getting

29:30
the benefits

29:32
there are jobs open

29:34
and the question is what have we done to

29:35
the american psyche

29:36
that people are not willing to do those

29:39
basic jobs and of course

29:41
400 you know our history is replete with

29:43
periods of extremes but what happened

29:47
typically is we had a lot of immigration

29:50
and those were the people around the

29:52
gilded age around in the 1880s 1890s

29:55
they came to america to do the basic

29:57
they were horrible jobs they were

29:59
sweatshirt

30:00
jobs and for young girls sewing and

30:03
being maids and

30:04
and the world's worst jobs but people

30:06
came to america because they knew they

30:08
could make a better life for their

30:09
children we've closed pretty much the

30:11
doors on immigration

30:13
and um so we're now seeing

30:16
that the people who are here

30:18
are not willing to do those jobs we're

30:20
not very interesting social experiment

30:22
i'm fascinated as a

30:24
economic historian of sorts to to look

30:26
and see what develops it is interesting

30:28
to watch i have a theory that the phrase

30:30
labor day

30:32
will be deemed hate speech and we will

30:34
no longer celebrate that anymore because

30:36
it's offensive i'm not kidding and as as

30:38
stupid as that sounds i want you to

30:40
think logically through that

30:42
because

30:43
um

30:44
it's kind of crazy where we're at right

30:46
now where

30:47
we've all had jobs where we didn't like

30:49
it and we had to pay our dues and i'm

30:51
just not sure we're in a society now

30:53
that that feels like they have to now

30:56
when coveted hit it made us realize the

30:58
fragility of of life and and the fact

31:01
that over 700 000 people in this country

31:03
alone have passed away due to whether

31:05
you believe that's a true number or not

31:07
then then if you don't believe that's

31:09
true then

31:10
let's just say it's 300 that's still a

31:12
lot the point is it made people kind of

31:15
do some self-reflection and say hey you

31:18
know what do i want to do the problem is

31:19
that not everybody can be a sculptor or

31:22
a painter or a guitar player a lawyer

31:25
from doing it on zoom or a professional

31:28
and that's the that's where the jobs are

31:30
open

31:31
you want to go out to a great restaurant

31:33
restaurants are open

31:34
but they're only half full but you can't

31:36
get a table because they don't have

31:38
enough cooks or white staff to serve you

31:40
so as i said we're going through a

31:42
really

31:43
a great reorganization of priorities in

31:47
america

31:50
oh that was uh was that warren buffett

31:51
tried to call you right there was that

31:54
actually

31:56
hey terry when you turn on the

31:57
television

31:59
and you see 60 to 80 ships in the los

32:02
angeles port

32:05
what do you think

32:07
i think the president did a great job i

32:09
think someone needs to step up and those

32:11
are you know there are areas that are

32:13
really important for government i think

32:14
to be involved

32:16
and one of those is certainly

32:18
that the safety the the national

32:21
interests

32:22
and i think it's definitely in the

32:24
national interest for

32:25
um for a government to step in

32:28
and deal with national kinds of problems

32:32
so it's not just war

32:34
uh

32:34
national defense i i i was really proud

32:37
that they noticed well i i agree with

32:40
what what the president said which is

32:42
maybe we need to go 24 7 3 24 7 on the

32:45
shipping companies the to to do this

32:48
bottleneck the only problem with that

32:50
thought is they still can't hire people

32:51
to go and drive the trucks i i read an

32:54
article today where they're actually

32:55
thinking about having 18 year olds

32:58
be able to drive long-haul trucks which

33:00
means that i will never drive again

33:02
on the road terry that's all it means i

33:05
know i heard that and i was riding i was

33:08
on the highway this morning actually but

33:10
there were a lot of trucks and i started

33:12
thinking you better stay out of the way

33:13
what if these are some of the amateurs

33:15
that they're hanging again

33:17
it's a question of priorities i mean we

33:20
have tv stars we have media stars

33:23
we have uh athletes

33:26
who that's not going to change terry

33:27
that's like wishing that all of us had

33:29
six-pack ab muscles

33:31
it's just not going to happen yeah the

33:33
priorities from the standpoint of that i

33:35
mean it's just i mean those people

33:36
always going to get overpaid for

33:38
whatever reason because it's

33:39
entertainment entertainment is is skewed

33:42
against the reality of we need to pay

33:45
teachers more i agree with you but

33:47
i don't think that's ever going to

33:48
change or maybe sports or what are those

33:51
things go in cycles

33:53
um

33:54
maybe but i haven't seen any indication

33:56
of that coming up anytime soon

33:58
no it's it's very american it is very

34:00
american it's just that um

34:03
we're seeing the results

34:06
of our priorities now obviously do you

34:08
have to share some of the texts or

34:10
emails you get as a result of this

34:11
discussion because i don't have an

34:13
answer for that

34:15
but i know

34:16
that

34:18
it's a problem that's impacting our

34:20
society now and whether it's truck

34:22
drivers because they get us our food or

34:24
the frontline staff that you know

34:26
walmart or whatever it might be or

34:28
whether it's the teachers i mean

34:31
i think america's having sort of a day

34:33
of reckoning here

34:35
and the only answer to that is growth

34:37
the absolute only answer to that we we

34:40
cannot divide our way out of the

34:42
problems

34:43
by cutting up the pie

34:45
and distributing the crumbs i i firmly

34:48
believe that the real answer to our

34:50
economic problems is economic growth

34:52
raising taxes does not give you economic

34:55
growth i agree and i and i think that

34:57
we're going to find out

34:59
how

35:00
important and most people know this

35:02
already but a lot of people don't how

35:04
important truck drivers are

35:06
i'm telling you right now

35:08
those people

35:10
make this whole thing happen now and i

35:12
know that there's technology there's

35:14
driverless trucks and they're trying to

35:15
figure out how to do this long term but

35:18
if it wasn't for the truck drivers it's

35:20
not happening out there period

35:23
and we got to get roads too and bridges

35:25
that are safe

35:26
so here you go

35:28
agreed um which frustrates me when i

35:30
hear you know

35:32
there's infrastructure bills that should

35:34
go through because we need better roads

35:35
and bridges and i think um

35:37
those are important and then i hear the

35:38
words human infrastructure

35:41
which drives me crazy

35:43
um

35:44
but do you think and you know this this

35:47
will definitely air

35:48
before this podcast will air before um

35:51
you know dc makes a decision but do you

35:54
predict

35:55
a long long time

35:56
do you think they're going to get

35:57
something

35:58
done on the inf the true infrastructure

36:00
bill which i think is needed i think

36:02
everybody in the country says yeah if

36:04
we're going to spend money let's spend

36:05
money there you think they'll at least

36:07
do that

36:09
stan you got to get someone who

36:11
handicaps politics i'm i'm as frustrated

36:14
as any average american and i don't have

36:16
any insight to that i never would have

36:18
believed

36:20
some of the things that are happening

36:21
that have happened in the last couple of

36:23
years or more out of washington

36:25
and i don't you know i i hope we don't

36:27
need a bigger crisis

36:30
to to shake washington up i

36:33
i'm like everyone else you you go get

36:36
both sides to argue this out nobody else

36:38
seems to be able to make headway

36:41
yeah the polarization of the countries

36:43
is bad um

36:45
to say the least

36:47
um

36:47
getting back to the markets um

36:51
you know we've been around a while and

36:52
we remember the dot-com era where there

36:55
were uh companies that were going public

36:57
that had no value and you know they were

36:59
going from 12 to 70 in one day i was

37:02
there i was part of with morgan stanley

37:04
we were part of a lot of those

37:06
underwritings and and i was part of that

37:08
group that was in charge of a lot of

37:10
that in in my region

37:13
and it was crazy is there a

37:15
an eerie feeling the same thing when you

37:17
hear about people margining crypto to

37:20
buy crypto

37:23
well

37:24
you know uh here's another old savage

37:26
truth my book is the savage truth on

37:28
money and and

37:30
it's great for your kids

37:32
it's a great read for all levels period

37:35
long-term care insurance and all those

37:37
sure i don't love very much anymore i i

37:39
do

37:40
television regularly in chicago i on

37:43
radio and wgn tv and radio and

37:47
and i have a syndicated column that runs

37:49
every week so i'm always out there

37:50
talking to what i call regular people

37:52
and you're i'm not giving you the most

37:55
sophisticated stuff but i've been around

37:57
the markets for a long long time i was a

37:59
founding member of the chicago board

38:01
options exchange the first woman trader

38:03
that's how i knew i wasn't a good trader

38:04
not a bad investor

38:06
but not a good trader and so

38:09
you know i look at

38:11
at the markets from a historical

38:13
perspective

38:14
i know i'll give you something i lived

38:17
through

38:18
from night from

38:19
1971 to the dow jones made its high of

38:23
over a thousand

38:24
until 1982 and i was a young stockbroker

38:28
then and then a trader on the options

38:30
exchange which opened in 73.

38:32
not until august of 82 when nixon closed

38:35
the gold window did the dow go over a

38:37
thousand we had a 10-year decade of the

38:39
dow trading under a thousand

38:43
and then i remember distinctly in 1998

38:46
99 saying this is insane there's a great

38:49
chart market capitalization compared to

38:51
gdp this is a chart that was off the

38:54
charts i spent a lot of time speaking to

38:55
corporate audiences and they asked me to

38:58
talk about their 401k plans and i was

39:00
warning people for three years i look

39:02
like such a stupid person because the

39:04
market was going up and going up and my

39:06
chart was going farther off the chart

39:08
and so here's an old savage truth the

39:10
market can stay irrational a lot longer

39:13
than you could stay solvent

39:16
don't fight the market

39:18
allocate to the market and then get out

39:20
of the way

39:22
of trying to decide when enough is

39:24
enough the market will decide when

39:26
enough is enough

39:27
so i

39:29
you know yes there's a lot of craziness

39:31
going on

39:32
but people

39:33
you know it's not your audience you

39:35
defined it but every one of you out

39:37
there if you have a son or daughter in

39:38
their 30s or 40s or 20s probably

39:42
that you should be so excited oh my god

39:44
my son likes my son's an investment

39:47
professional he's older than that but i

39:48
mean these young people oh great they're

39:51
trading at robinhood good they're

39:52
learning how to invest no

39:54
they're doing fantasy football on the

39:57
weekends and they're doing robinhood in

40:00
the middle of the week and it's nothing

40:01
to do with price earnings ratios or cash

40:04
flow models or dividend yields

40:06
whatever so here's the whole thing

40:09
there's a whole piece of the people in

40:12
this boat

40:13
that are

40:15
they're not playing with with the same

40:17
oars they're not rowing with the same

40:19
ores you're rowing with

40:20
and they're going to jump up and down

40:22
and rock the boat while you're sitting

40:24
there going oh i've got my long-term

40:25
investment plan

40:27
they're rocking the boat in ways that

40:28
are unpredictable especially when waves

40:31
come along so you just got to worry

40:33
about yourself right now you've got to

40:35
diversify you must think about your

40:38
future liquidity needs so that you're

40:40
not forced to sell when and if there's a

40:42
huge market decline and you can't tell

40:45
these people they're crazy the market

40:47
will let them know they're all going to

40:49
get a lesson the market always does the

40:52
most unexpected thing it teaches most

40:54
people the greatest lesson

40:56
it will flush them out for sure yeah

40:58
good judgment comes from experience and

41:00
experience comes from bad judgment

41:04
yeah that's good i'm gonna i'm gonna

41:06
date myself a little bit here but you'll

41:07
understand what i'm gonna say when i

41:09
first started in the stock brokers

41:10
business that's what it was called and

41:12
you someone bought a stock you wrote it

41:14
down on a piece of paper you put in a

41:16
vacuum tube the vacuum tube went to the

41:18
the desk the desk inputted the order

41:20
that's how old i am

41:22
well so i said absolutely but let me let

41:25
me finish with my thought there at this

41:28
point in time at the time of this taping

41:31
depending on who's doing the stats over

41:33
80 percent

41:35
of all

41:36
trades

41:37
are done by non-human algorithmic black

41:41
box high velocity 24 7

41:44
computers

41:45
that's a change from when

41:47
me and you were first starting in the

41:49
business

41:51
what is your opinion on

41:53
the technology aspect

41:56
affecting markets

41:58
in a good and or bad way

42:00
well actually i think markets are in a

42:03
way a lot less volatile because there is

42:07
so much volume and it's trading on both

42:11
sides of the market don't forget when

42:12
you and i started out there was a

42:14
specialist on the floor of the new york

42:15
stock exchange

42:16
a lot of money you wouldn't sell you

42:18
know so the gaps were wider we're in

42:21
decimals now instead of quarters and

42:23
sixteenths that's narrowed the spread

42:25
and i i think actually the markets the

42:27
technology has really improved liquidity

42:30
and allowed for better raising of

42:32
capital in the olden days you have to go

42:34
to merrill lynch or dean witter or sure

42:37
happy morgan or

42:39
goldman sachs or whatever to sell stock

42:41
to the public

42:42
now companies can

42:44
sell stock directly on the exchange i

42:47
think technology has been truly enabling

42:49
and i think

42:50
fintech um the whole fintech sector of

42:53
the market i've written stories for the

42:55
last decade about companies that are

42:57
doing everything from refinancing your

42:58
student loans to allowing you to buy

43:01
pennies of you know stockpile.com lets

43:03
you buy penny share you know

43:06
a dollar's worth of shares for your

43:07
grandchild

43:09
the fact technology has improved the

43:12
efficiency of the markets has dim to the

43:14
volatility of the markets and only when

43:17
human nature takes over

43:19
when human nature takes over like you

43:20
saw in the run-up of the mean stocks

43:22
earlier this year sure

43:24
but the market's not bigger than human

43:26
nature human nature can push the market

43:28
to extremes and then the market gets you

43:30
back it always gets you back i believe

43:32
that

43:34
i think that's

43:35
that's a very interesting take on it

43:37
because i think people get scared

43:39
sometimes of the institutional sways

43:42
in the markets and just big money

43:44
driving things and they feel like

43:46
they're

43:47
surfing beside a cruise ship

43:49
and they don't want to get sucked under

43:50
the boat and they want to catch the wave

43:52
if they can which leads back to your

43:54
initial thought about you have to be

43:56
disciplined you do have to to to look at

43:59
the long term and i know that sounds

44:00
cliche to people out there but i think

44:03
it's important for someone like terry

44:04
savage to say that's actually it

44:06
that's actually the secret sauce

44:09
to this whole thing uh because you know

44:11
i was around also with you when day

44:13
trading was it and everyone tried to day

44:15
trade and i went okay that's not gonna

44:16
work

44:17
i mean that's that's gonna that's gonna

44:20
be a mess

44:22
what's your prediction

44:25
technology wise or do you have any for

44:27
where the markets are going or or how

44:30
people are able to interact

44:33
and buy things from an investment

44:35
standpoint are you a fan of some of the

44:38
some of the the things that are popping

44:40
up like the i'm sure you're not a fan of

44:42
the family offices and those things but

44:44
i used to call them holding companies

44:46
they have an acronym for them now that

44:48
are popping up do you like what's

44:49
happening with some of the pools of

44:51
money that's out there that's doing some

44:53
shadow investing

44:56
i did wait you threw a whole lot of

44:57
dirty words off of course of course i

44:59
did that's what i do

45:01
that's such a grab bag on such a beef

45:03
stew of of

45:06
hey first of all

45:07
it doesn't matter how the buyers and

45:09
sellers are organized they have their

45:11
opinions they buy it they sell family

45:13
offices are just simply a way for very

45:15
wealthy people to manage their money and

45:17
they invest in the stock market or in

45:19
venture capital the only problem with

45:20
that is they don't have to this current

45:22
time of the taping they don't have to

45:24
disclose a lot of their holdings which

45:27
main firms do that's that's just a

45:29
asterisk missed savage that we need

45:32
that's a small little piece of the

45:33
market look here's what i know i've been

45:36
around the markets for a long long time

45:38
now i've been around traders i made a

45:40
quip earlier but i really mean this i

45:43
was literally down there on the trading

45:45
floor

45:46
in the olden days when this cboe first

45:49
opened up as i was the first woman

45:51
trader and um

45:53
and i they had these guys on the in the

45:56
booths with headsets on to new york and

45:59
i went wait what they're buying 10 000

46:01
of this how do they know do they know

46:03
what's happening in new york on the

46:04
exchange that a block is going to cross

46:06
of ibm or whatever those stocks those

46:08
days digital equipment was a high-tech

46:10
stock

46:11
and not only that i was the most even

46:14
trade i'd buy 10 of these because that

46:15
was a good idea and i'm a little

46:16
concerned i'll sell 10 of those i'll buy

46:18
15 of this pretty soon i had a big

46:20
portfolio and it was equally balanced

46:22
i'm i think there's a gene i walked

46:24
around interviewing people on the old

46:27
trading floors to see if i could

46:28
discover i'm heck i'm married a trader

46:31
and i have a son and i sent him down to

46:34
the trading floor to work as a clerk one

46:36
one summer figuring if he was really a

46:38
trader like his father

46:40
i wouldn't have to pay for college

46:42
now he's a great and highly respected

46:45
investment professional today i'm never

46:47
allowed to talk about him as firm or

46:48
what he does but the fact is i think

46:50
trading is a gene

46:52
or else it's an addiction and you

46:55
know people they're probably younger

46:57
than you if you're sitting here watching

46:59
this podcast who are really making money

47:01
and you're going why didn't i buy

47:02
bitcoin at 600.

47:04
i told people not to buy it at 600 not

47:06
because it wasn't a good idea but

47:07
because i was afraid it was just a way

47:09
to steal your money that these wallets

47:11
you know you'd forget your access or

47:13
someone would steal it

47:15
so i'm not a trader

47:17
if you want trading advice tune in cnbc

47:20
all day long

47:22
let me see i keep it on it's a wallpaper

47:24
background i mainly look around to see

47:26
what's going on what's the trend

47:28
decide who you are

47:30
know yourself by this time if you're

47:32
listening to this podcast you should

47:34
know yourself

47:36
and then

47:37
understand the place in history where

47:39
we're at right now and the risks to the

47:40
upside and the downside well the place

47:43
we're at right now that's a good that's

47:44
a good segue to my next question

47:47
where we're at right now does this

47:49
remind you of of a specific moment in

47:52
time in the past as you've looked at

47:54
markets and investing or are we at what

47:57
i call blue water which is we've never

47:59
seen it before and this is new

48:02
it's always new stand

48:04
it's always a mistake you mean to look

48:06
back that's not the direction you're

48:08
going you're supposed to learn something

48:11
by

48:12
feeling the waves of history that lead

48:15
to

48:16
extremes on the downside extremes on the

48:18
upside but it's never just the same it's

48:22
always blue water if it weren't there be

48:24
somebody who could give you answers so

48:26
what you have to do you know you have to

48:28
sort of balance yourself and say if this

48:30
happens i'll be really glad i had this

48:33
if that happens i wish i had more of

48:34
that

48:36
that's the only way i know if you want

48:38
to put it all on the line go be a

48:40
traitor it's it's it wasn't my thrill

48:43
and i i now prove to myself i'll tell

48:46
you something i did i mentioned this

48:48
where did i do this for oh

48:50
you know by the way i do a podcast not

48:52
at all like yours with pam krueger of

48:54
wealth ramp and um uh and richard

48:58
eisenberg of pbs's next avenue it's

49:00
called friends talk money you can

49:02
look for friends talk money or go to

49:03
fred's talkmoney.org and we're talking

49:06
about balancing things out so i started

49:10
when they first opened up iras and you

49:12
could put two thousand dollars in i

49:14
opened an ira in a cd

49:16
at the same time i put an ira in an

49:19
index fund and i remember saying yeah

49:22
but the market's going down i'm gonna i

49:24
need some chicken money and it turned

49:27
out that all the projections in my book

49:29
about what two thousand dollars would

49:31
grow to with an average return of 10.1

49:33
percent which has always been the

49:35
historical average return of the stock

49:36
market i just that ira is still sitting

49:40
in my chase account i just always gave

49:42
instructions roll it over so it rolls

49:43
over now at like three hundredths of a

49:45
percent

49:46
it's worth about 7 500

49:49
whereas the i went and did the numbers

49:51
for the stock market because i've had

49:53
lots of different investments and funds

49:55
over the time that same amount of money

49:57
would have been over 58 000 real just

50:00
based on the on the cash value of the

50:03
dow

50:05
you can't be all in chicken money you

50:07
have to believe in the future of america

50:09
if you don't believe in the future of

50:10
america then don't bother investing go

50:11
somewhere else

50:13
no i agree i agree with that terry

50:15
savage you're one of my favorite people

50:17
on the planet

50:18
and i'm so glad that you joined us um

50:21
for the fun with annuities any last

50:23
words as i always like to have my

50:25
celebrity guest

50:27
give kind of the the closing mantra

50:30
as you get in your learjet and and zip

50:32
off to the swiss alps

50:37
and

50:38
i'm i'm gonna give two closing things

50:41
okay first one

50:43
is you've had all my profundities

50:46
nobody knows for sure don't feel bad

50:48
that someone else is getting making a

50:49
lot of money in cryptos and someone else

50:51
has been trading amc the movie theaters

50:53
you know what if you don't want to go

50:55
back to the movies i don't get why those

50:57
stocks should be soaring but that's

50:58
you're never going to beat the market i

51:01
just go to terry savage.com i just

51:03
posted a column by the time he says that

51:05
maybe a week or two old

51:06
you don't have to beat the market s p

51:09
dow jones indus

51:11
indexes keep a score card

51:13
and the score card is how many

51:16
professional money managers of mutual

51:18
funds the kind that you get to choose

51:20
from have beat their benchmark indexes

51:23
and it's like in the last year 70

51:25
percent of the large cap the small cap

51:28
the mid cap

51:29
they've all failed to beat

51:32
their benchmark market indexes

51:34
you don't have to beat the market you

51:36
just have to be the market and over the

51:38
long run

51:39
you will come out ahead so that's a

51:41
savage troop i was just going to say you

51:43
stole my line i was going to end that

51:45
with that is

51:47
the savage truth and it actually is

51:50
terry thank you so much for being on fun

51:52
with annuities i want to thank everybody

51:54
for joining us and i will see you next

51:57
week

52:02
thanks for listening to fun with

52:04
annuities please hit the subscribe

52:06
button and make sure to go to my site at

52:08
the

52:09
annuityman.com where you can run your

52:11
own spea dia and q lat quotes and see a

52:14
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52:17
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52:19
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52:21
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52:24
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52:26
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52:29
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52:31
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52:34
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52:36
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52:39
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52:42
will ever get and that's one guarantee

52:44
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52:46
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52:48
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52:52
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52:56
[Music]

53:06
you

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