063 Dennis Miller: Your Comfortable Retirement Guarantee

IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN AND DENNIS MILLER DISCUSS:
- What ROMEO is and how it influences Dennis and his writing.
- Why inflation is a personal thing.
- Diversifying for income guarantee and reducing risk.
- Answering the questions Dennis’s readers are asking.
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- You must diversify if you are going to survive as a retiree and not rely solely on any one income stream, including Social Security.
- Plan for Social Security, in some form, but when you’re running the numbers it is not a guaranteed number.
- Once you retire, your mindset towards money changes.
- If it sounds too good to be true, you’re better off continuing to do your research.
"I took annuities, CDs, bonds, dividend paying stocks, preferred dividend paying stocks, and I sliced every one of those just to what was really guaranteed. Are they guaranteed to beat inflation? What I'm telling my readers today is, if you're going to survive as a retiree and make your money last, you've got to diversify and combine them." — Dennis Miller
CONNECT WITH DENNIS MILLER:
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welcome to
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fun with annuities with your host me
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stan
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the annuity man america's annuity agent
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can annuities be fun
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can contractual guarantees be fun
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absolutely they can
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find out the brutal facts about
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annuities with no sales pitches or high
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pressure nonsense
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just the brutal and factual annuity
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truth which is all you need to hear
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let's have some fun with annuities and
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let's have that fun
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start right now
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[Music]
0:41
welcome to fun with annuities the number
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one annuity podcast on the planet i'm
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your host standing udyman america's
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annuity agent licensed in
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all 50 states today we have a special
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guest with us it's dennis miller
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he has a very good newsletter called
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miller on the money that i encourage
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everyone listening to my clients anybody
1:00
that's that's wanting to be a client
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anyone that stumbled across this podcast
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please go to his site at
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milleronthemoney.com and sign up it is a
1:11
free i repeat free newsletter and he's
1:14
been writing and helping
1:16
since 2015. i want to i want to uh
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welcome everybody on all the plot
1:20
podcast
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platforms like itunes and stitcher and
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spotify and all those
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and also the people that are watching
1:26
this uh this video portion
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and we filmed these as well on the fun
1:30
with annuities youtube channel and again
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i also have a youtube channel called
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stan the annuity man for all things
1:36
annuity now a little bit about dennis
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and then i'm going to let him go and and
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talk about a lot of things um he was a
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writer for casey research he's he's
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really knows his stuff
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both him and i were were uh what's
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called retired mentors
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we we wrote for market watch and they
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called all of us people that were
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contributing at that point time retire
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mentors um
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he's just a very smart guy the good part
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about dennis is he's not an advisor
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he just has it in his heart and has a
2:05
passion for
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helping people in retirement shooting it
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straight so there's really no agendas i
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mean his
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his newsletter is free why wouldn't you
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sign up i mean for goodness sakes
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um now we're going to go through a lot
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of things and a lot of things aren't
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going to be about annuities now dennis
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does understand the value of annuities
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and where they fit in the portfolio for
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lifetime income like an immediate
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annuity or if you want to peel off
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interest with like a multi-year
2:30
guarantee annuity
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but uh with that being said let me just
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introduce and welcome to the fun with
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annuities podcast
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dennis miller thanks for being with us
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well thank you stan for inviting me i
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appreciate the uh
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introduction now i got to live up to it
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but thank you
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absolutely um hey let's jump right in on
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a couple of things you have a great
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um article that's getting ready to uh or
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pod uh post on your website
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and on your uh on your newsletter on how
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good
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is your comfortable retirement guarantee
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and i want to dig
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into that and if you don't sign up for
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us for his free newsletter for that
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i don't know what you're doing here um
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but i want to
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start with some fun stuff um you have a
3:12
saying that you use called romeo
3:15
r-o-m-e-o
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and i laughed when i read it because uh
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tell people what romeo
3:20
is and and how that affects
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how you write and how it influences you
3:27
well that's interesting you should ask
3:28
that stan because
3:30
i retired in 2005
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and bluntly i thought i was set for life
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i put a
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certain percentage of my uh portfolio
3:40
into fixed income
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you know guaranteed what does that mean
3:45
to income
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let's stop right there in your world
3:47
back then that was cds and peeling off
3:50
interest correct
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absolutely as a matter of fact stan i
3:52
did something i chatted my father for
3:55
uh because i saw my father and my mother
3:58
invest heavily in cds they were getting
4:00
ready to retire
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and they went into the carter years yeah
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and oh their money was guaranteed but by
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the time their cds matured
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inflation ate away uh 25 percent of
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their buying power yeah
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so here i am 65 years old doing what i
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chided my father for
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in that i put the bulk of our
4:22
investments into cds
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guaranteed so that i knew i would have
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enough
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money to pay the bills and then i put a
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portion
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of our portfolio into the market to
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hedge against
4:37
inflation and stand for three years it
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worked like a charm we were
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actually at the end of the year we'd
4:43
lived a good year
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what were your subjects yielding what
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was the average just ballpark of the
4:47
yield back then oh no
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six solid solid six percent expert
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now on to under the romeo
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all of a sudden in 2008 i log into my
5:00
brokerage account
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and i'm not joking when i say there was
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a whole bunch of cash there
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and where the heck did this cash i said
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to my wife did you win the lottery and
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not tell me where the heck did this
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money come from
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and then it got to be very unfunny
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because i realized
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that was the day they passed the day
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after they passed the bank bailout bill
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and literally all of my cds got called
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in
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yep now i didn't lose some time yep
5:30
but i lost my theoretical guaranteed
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income
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and so i start looking for cds and
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basically they dropped from six percent
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to two percent
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right so i took a 66
5:43
income cut now stan let me tie this to
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romeo's
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uh romeo stands for retired old men
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eating out
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okay and i was a retired owner
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so so women would be rojo right retired
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old women i don't know they had
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they had a julia just us ladies
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got it okay so tell me about the romeo
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how does that play in well
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it wasn't a few days later i go off to
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our romeo breakfast which was every two
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weeks
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and that was the subject that
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everybody was talking about now we ended
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up in
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three different groups one group had
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government retirement plans so the bank
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bailouts
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no big deal they still got paid the same
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anyway yes
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the second group was folks like me
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who had our money in cds and bonds
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they got their bonds or cds redeemed so
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they didn't lose anything
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but they're saying my god how am i going
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to replace the income
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and sad to say the third group
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was people that were heavily invested in
6:56
the market they were still
6:57
not not investing for dividend income
6:59
they were investing for growth
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right and one of the guys half jokingly
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said
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my 401k just turned into a 201k
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and stanley's still working today and
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i'm 80 years old i was
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68 at the time it's very very sad so
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that was the three groups
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so i joined a bunch of these newsletters
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because now i'm trying to figure out how
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am i going to
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invest this money to re replace this
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theoretical guaranteed income
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and i started writing to them and said
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you guys aren't getting it
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you don't get the problem that middle
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class america has
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and i started writing casey research
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which was where i
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ended up meeting you and they wrote back
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and said
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you're right we want you to start
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writing a newsletter
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address to middle america because
7:54
the wealthy people they can afford and
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i'm talking multi-millionaires now sure
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the wealthy people can afford financial
8:02
planners and they can
8:03
pay them to help them but you have this
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huge middle class instead our romeo
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guys they were ex-vice presidents
8:13
of major corporations they were very
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successful people
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and all of a sudden now there was no set
8:20
it and forget it like we thought we had
8:22
with the cds
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and i remember at breakfast one of them
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said i don't care how we made our money
8:27
dr lawyer indian chief whatever
8:30
we're all money managers now and our job
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is to make sure
8:35
that our money lasts throughout our
8:36
retirement
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so i started writing for casey research
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and then uh you and i got involved with
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market watch writing as retired mentors
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right and i told casey research i'm not
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a stock picker
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that's
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dennis does not give advice i mean he's
8:58
not going to put together your portfolio
9:00
but what he does
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provide um are details and facts and
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and and the reason he's on on the
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podcast with me is he's
9:09
100 factual in there and there are no
9:11
agendas i want to kind of
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since our time is limited i kind of want
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to pivot a little bit and get your
9:16
comments on a couple subjects and then
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maybe then
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we can go back to the the article or the
9:21
post that's coming out on your
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newsletter about retirement guarantees
9:25
etc
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um give me your insight right now
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because i know you're a follower of of
9:31
this
9:32
tell me where things land with you and
9:34
what you're telling your readers about
9:36
interest rates right now because you
9:38
know as i tell people
9:39
they're at perceived lows when you when
9:41
you look at jimmy carter
9:43
yield from a long time ago right but if
9:46
you look at senior treasury equivalents
9:48
across the globe we're
9:49
still pretty high what are you telling
9:51
your readers right now other than oh my
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goodness
9:53
goodness i wish they were higher no
9:55
yesterday yesterday
9:57
take that down no one's going to see
9:59
that at all yes
10:01
go to his site and go to a miller on the
10:03
money to he
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he just held something up to the camera
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and of course the camera spit that out
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so give us your opinion on
10:09
in on interest rates well my opinion on
10:12
interest rates are
10:14
that they are so low now i mean
10:16
literally i was showing
10:17
the camera yesterday i ran something off
10:20
about
10:21
bonds and cd interest rates uh if you
10:24
want to buy a five-year cd now
10:26
you'll get point nine percent interest
10:29
and by the way hold that thought real
10:30
quick the sister product for
10:33
annuities the multi-year guarantee
10:35
annuity the cd
10:37
uh their cd alternative in the annuity
10:38
industry you can get three percent on
10:40
five years
10:41
you can get two and a quarter on three
10:42
years so the annuity industry
10:45
has their own cd products so if you're a
10:46
cd buyer
10:48
you might want to go to my site and look
10:50
at the live rates the annuityman.com we
10:52
have a
10:52
listing of all carriers with live rates
10:54
so keep going on those rates because
10:56
i do want people to know there are are
10:58
alternatives to cds that work just like
11:00
them
11:01
10-year treasuries 1.66 now stan you
11:04
asked what i'm telling my readers
11:06
i'm saying there are no safe
11:09
fixed income products today that i would
11:12
ever buy myself other than very short
11:16
term
11:17
to hold cash that are going to beat
11:19
inflation
11:20
so if you want to lose money go buy a
11:22
stop buy a 10-year cd
11:24
let's talk about let's talk about
11:26
inflation i'm going to disagree with you
11:27
a little bit because i'm
11:28
introducing you to multi-year guarantee
11:30
annuities which are the annuity industry
11:32
version of a
11:33
of a cd and if you can get three percent
11:36
i don't know what your
11:37
your um idea on inflation is but
11:40
we are we are raising money by the by
11:43
the millions and millions for people
11:44
that can't buy the cd at point nine
11:47
but want to buy a multi-year guarantee
11:48
annuity at three percent or two and a
11:50
quarter
11:51
but tell me about inflation you you
11:53
threw out inflation
11:54
tell me what you think that really is
11:57
what is that percentage to you
11:59
well the percentage for inflation you
12:02
know that you get all these pundits
12:03
saying it's two percent
12:04
and they do all the technical math and
12:06
the government stuff
12:08
inflation is a very personal thing okay
12:11
uh with me being close to 81 years old
12:15
the cost of medical care has skyrocketed
12:17
so for me my inflation would be higher
12:20
than somebody that's younger however i
12:24
like what you just said but tying it
12:26
back to the article that you mentioned
12:28
where we talked about
12:30
how good is your retirement income
12:33
guarantee because what i'm telling my
12:34
readers
12:36
is i took annuities cds
12:39
bonds dividend-paying stocks preferred
12:43
dividend-paying stocks
12:44
and i i sliced every one of those as to
12:47
what was really guaranteed
12:49
and one of the guarantees is are they
12:51
guaranteed to beat inflation
12:54
and what i'm telling my readers today is
12:57
if you're going to survive as a retiree
13:00
and make your money last
13:01
you've got to diversify and combine them
13:05
and i i think i even put a line in the
13:07
article where i said
13:08
people like the guaranteed income from
13:11
an annuity
13:12
and let's start right there let me
13:14
clarify for people there's two types of
13:16
ways to get income from an annuity and
13:18
there's
13:18
seven different primary annuity types we
13:20
talked about the multi-year guarantee
13:22
annuity which is the annuity industry
13:23
version of a cd
13:24
you can peel off that interest and never
13:26
touch the principle but there are the
13:28
unique
13:28
benefit proposition on on on four
13:31
different types of annuities
13:33
that can provide a lifetime income as
13:34
long as you're breathing that is
13:36
that is unique to the annuity world so
13:38
the question is for
13:39
for people out there your readers my
13:41
listeners is how do you want to take
13:43
income do you want to protect the
13:44
principal and peel off the interest if
13:45
you do that
13:46
we know where interest rates are well
13:49
whether you want a lifetime
13:50
income stream whether it's with yourself
13:52
or joint life
13:53
that's a completely separate strategy
13:57
and there's
13:57
no way to figure out roi until you die
13:59
so with that being said
14:01
go go from there well here's what i want
14:05
as a retiree
14:07
i want to know that money's coming in
14:09
regardless of what happens in the stock
14:11
market
14:12
regardless of what happens and let me
14:14
throw a caveat
14:15
into that because something happened to
14:17
me recently
14:18
which again too many of us
14:22
assume guarantees and let me give you an
14:25
example
14:27
we get social security which i know you
14:29
have said many other times is one of the
14:30
best annuities on the planet it is
14:32
everybody assumes their social security
14:35
is guaranteed
14:37
and it's interesting because my wife had
14:40
part interest in a family farm been in
14:42
the family for 100 years
14:44
and they sold it in 2019.
14:47
well they had a nice capital gains but
14:49
honestly stan we can't take the proceeds
14:52
and invest it and earn nearly what she
14:54
was getting from the farm
14:56
lo and behold i get a notice and she
15:00
gets a notice
15:01
our social security has been dropped
15:04
by 9 000 this year because
15:08
well oh no no social security hasn't
15:11
been dropped your social security
15:12
benefits are the same
15:14
but they raised our medicare premiums 9
15:17
000 bucks
15:18
so here i am thinking i had guaranteed
15:21
i could always count on that deposit
15:23
every month being the same amount for
15:25
social security
15:26
baloney i said to my wife if we had
15:29
money invested in an annuity
15:33
they are contractually obligated to pay
15:35
me that every month
15:37
where as we know now the social security
15:40
the government's changing it all the
15:42
time
15:42
so when i'm talking guaranteed i'm
15:44
talking about
15:46
that is the one part of your retirement
15:49
plan that you
15:50
know you can count on bluntly come hell
15:52
or high water
15:53
yeah in annuities or transfer risk
15:55
products you're transferring the risk to
15:56
the annuity company to either provide a
15:58
lifetime income stream
15:59
or protect the principal and peel off
16:00
the interest let me ask you a question
16:02
about social security
16:04
um do you think in the near future that
16:06
will be
16:07
means tested changed altered because
16:11
and the current path that we're going
16:12
where we're printing money and using as
16:14
much toner as humanly possible to print
16:17
it
16:18
what do you think what's your prediction
16:19
down the road for
16:21
social security and people that are
16:23
already getting it
16:24
do you think they'll be grandfathered in
16:26
and nothing's going to happen what's
16:27
your take on that what do you think is
16:28
going to happen
16:29
well i think you're asking a good
16:32
question yes
16:33
when you take a look at the numbers it's
16:35
impossible for the government to keep
16:37
the promises
16:39
now they're going to try to grandfather
16:42
in
16:43
people that are already have it but stan
16:46
you've educated me that you've used that
16:48
term contractually guaranteed
16:51
yes so if an annuity company wants to
16:54
change my benefits
16:55
i can take them to court absolutely
16:57
without a doubt
16:58
if social security wants to raise my
17:02
medicare premiums
17:04
okay i'm screwed so that
17:07
i believe in the then and there there
17:09
have been proposals in the past where
17:11
they wanted
17:12
to means test it okay uh
17:15
and now they're talking about a wealth
17:18
tax
17:19
and other things so i'm telling
17:23
my readers that yes you should plan for
17:25
social security in some form
17:28
but when you're running the numbers it's
17:31
not a solid
17:32
number i've learned that the hard way
17:34
yeah and i think that
17:35
um and people say well i doubt if
17:36
they're going to mess with social
17:37
security because
17:38
you know those people vote and that's a
17:40
voting block you know with 10 000
17:42
baby boomers reaching the age of 65
17:44
every single day some of them retired
17:46
some some of them not retired but all of
17:48
them thinking about retirement right
17:50
yeah you know that's a voting block they
17:52
want to mess with but i do think they
17:53
will mess with what they perceive
17:56
the politicians perceive and define as
17:58
rich
17:59
and unfortunately a lot of our listeners
18:01
and viewers are probably going to fall
18:03
into the rich category and they don't
18:04
even know they're rich i mean they've
18:05
just penny
18:06
pitched and saved and worked hard and
18:08
done without and done the right thing
18:11
my fear is they're going to punish that
18:13
if they're not already doing that
18:14
they're going to punish it even more
18:16
because politicians in my opinion look
18:18
at everything as a
18:20
voting bloc and rich people are a small
18:22
voting bloc
18:23
in my opinion that's that's where i
18:25
think it's it's going to
18:27
is going to go let me pivot and get your
18:29
opinion
18:30
on the markets right now now
18:33
we're in raising bull market territory
18:35
there are things that are out there like
18:36
bitcoin and
18:38
and cryptocurrency and blockchain
18:40
strategies i did a podcast on that
18:41
recently with an expert in that
18:43
um but these are these are weird times
18:46
even you can admit that having watched
18:48
this for decades and decades and decades
18:50
what are you telling your your readers
18:54
about current market environment and
18:56
valuations at this point
18:58
don't they seem high yes they are i
19:01
stand i want to address one
19:02
real quick point about you and the
19:04
government definition of rich
19:06
they have a history of doing that uh
19:08
when bill clinton passed
19:10
what was the biggest tax increase in the
19:12
history of man
19:14
uh it was to tax the rich and i took an
19:17
article out of the wall street journal
19:18
and sent it to my children
19:20
when you looked at the tax rates while
19:23
they were blaring
19:24
it as rich the wall street journal
19:26
looked into it
19:27
and rich was defined and this is back in
19:29
the clinton years
19:30
as a married couple with combined gross
19:33
income of 75 000
19:35
or more i sent that to my children i
19:38
said they're not going after dad they're
19:40
going after you
19:41
with kids and mortgage payments so that
19:44
you have the rhetoric
19:46
versus the reality of the rates and what
19:48
we're gonna see is the rhetoric
19:50
but then when you start looking at the
19:52
rates it comes out something different
19:54
now
19:54
onto the market yeah you know for 10
19:57
years
19:58
we've been sitting there you know they
20:00
were going to have one bailout to end
20:02
all bailouts in 2008.
20:04
right now we've had we've had two of
20:06
them in the last 12 months and the third
20:07
one
20:08
going so all of this has been pumping up
20:11
the stock market
20:12
so a lot of pundits myself included are
20:16
saying this cannot go on forever
20:18
i mean look at history the problem is
20:22
investors don't have any place place
20:24
else to go
20:25
like they used to it used to be that if
20:29
the stock market got high
20:30
you'd go to bonds and cds right okay
20:33
that's off the table now yes annuities
20:36
can certainly help
20:38
so that the real issue is when you
20:40
diversify and put together
20:42
together a portfolio you hedge your bets
20:46
you have some preferred stocks you're
20:48
looking for dividend
20:50
income stocks as opposed to those
20:53
that are up 200 this year but you want
20:55
them to go up 200
20:57
next year so i'm not investing
21:00
for appreciation whatever i get as a
21:03
bonus
21:04
i want to buy stocks and solid companies
21:07
that are sending me dividends every
21:10
quarter
21:11
that aren't likely to fold if
21:14
the business turns down uh and i've got
21:17
some preferred stocks that i've i've
21:19
been in
21:20
that i'm very comfortable with but again
21:24
you don't put all your eggs in one
21:25
basket because if you do
21:27
you're taking huge risk let me get your
21:29
opinion on this and i don't know if a
21:31
lot of our readers and listeners
21:33
our readers your readers my listeners
21:35
and viewers
21:36
uh understand this but i read an article
21:38
recently that
21:39
over 85 of all trades in the market
21:42
are non-human they're algorithmic black
21:45
box high velocity
21:46
trades computers fighting against
21:48
computers 24 7
21:50
365 and us peons get to go in and play
21:52
from 9 30 to 4.
21:54
sure um the next downturn and me and you
21:57
have been around long enough to see
21:59
multiple downturns i mean i always tell
22:00
people there's a lot of advisors out
22:02
there that i have cowboy boots older
22:03
than that
22:04
than they are and they've never seen any
22:06
they've never seen anything go down
22:08
so everything is a dart throw for them
22:11
how do you think on the next
22:13
hiccup downturn event
22:16
have you given thought to just the fact
22:18
that it's not traders on the floor
22:20
anymore it's
22:21
it's 85 is computer-driven algorithmic
22:24
how is that going to play out well it's
22:27
interesting you say that because i i
22:29
read some stuff recently and i i'm
22:30
thinking i wrote a little bit about it
22:32
and that you know they have
22:34
theoretically
22:35
the plunge protection team so that
22:38
the downward thing spiral starts and it
22:42
goes
22:43
like straight down theoretically that
22:46
they have
22:46
stops that they can put in uh to stop
22:50
the computer trading
22:51
and i read a couple of pundits lately
22:53
that says
22:55
it's going to overwhelm the plunge
22:56
protection team i mean eventually
22:58
they're going to have to open that
23:00
market back up correct
23:01
so i'm you know and that's part of the
23:05
problem you know
23:06
i'm a believer in stop losses on certain
23:08
stocks
23:09
it'll blow through those stop losses you
23:11
and i well the problem is going to be
23:13
when the market shuts down
23:15
you may not have hit your stop loss
23:17
right when it opens up the next day
23:19
you're 100 bucks below your stop loss
23:22
and
23:23
now what are you gonna do in other words
23:24
it will do just what you said it'll blow
23:26
right through that stoplight
23:27
and what's what's interesting about the
23:29
whole thing is you know we
23:31
in 2008 we all had the comments from
23:33
people that said well
23:34
yeah i'm never going to forget this this
23:36
left a scar stand i'm never going to
23:38
forget this
23:38
we're back we're back once again at
23:41
all-time highs and i don't even think
23:43
the
23:43
the true leverage of some of the
23:45
derivatives and some of the the
23:47
the alternative products out there
23:49
that's happening i don't even think
23:51
that can be calculated i've read i've
23:54
read numbers that are just
23:55
astronomical and so high you can't even
23:57
get your arms around like
23:58
60 trillion or some nonsense like that
24:01
don't quote me on it
24:02
but i've heard that and then the other
24:03
thing that that i think is interesting
24:05
i'd like to
24:06
like your comment on family offices have
24:09
kind of taken the place of hedge funds
24:11
and the reason family offices have taken
24:13
the place of hedge funds is family
24:15
offices
24:15
as of the time of this taping they don't
24:17
have to follow the regulations
24:19
procedures and and withhold
24:21
and um and in being transparent on their
24:23
holdings
24:24
like a hedge fund or a brokerage firm
24:26
has to so now
24:27
all of the talent or whatever or the
24:30
speculators are in
24:32
family offices the the guy from archigos
24:34
that just lost 20 billion dollars
24:36
in two days that was a family office
24:39
what's your thought on that and and have
24:42
you alerted your readers to
24:45
what's happening differently this time
24:48
yeah i have but but stan i have to go
24:51
back to day one
24:53
once you get retired you're not buying
24:56
stock that's on margin you're not going
24:58
into hedge funds no now stop for a
25:00
second you're assuming that
25:02
you're assuming and hoping that that's
25:04
you're right but you and i both know
25:07
that greed is overpowering and there's a
25:09
lot of people that are
25:10
long and doing more and and exposing
25:13
themselves to more risk in these markets
25:15
because it's that fomo fear of missing
25:17
out you call it romeo
25:19
i have fomo so yeah in a perfect
25:22
like you can talk about the perfect
25:24
world of this is what people should be
25:26
doing
25:27
but how do you convince your readers
25:28
that aren't doing that to
25:31
start taking some risk off the table
25:33
well i think my biggest problem with my
25:35
readers is
25:37
once you retire your mindset changes
25:40
you've lost your primary source of
25:42
income from your job
25:44
so now you go to oh my gosh i can't lose
25:46
this nest tag it's got to last forever
25:49
here's where my readers are vulnerable
25:52
they go to their local stock broker and
25:55
the stock broker has this fancy title uh
25:58
senior
25:59
investment welfare architect how about
26:01
that yeah yeah
26:02
yeah exactly exactly okay uh
26:05
and you know we asked him what his last
26:07
job was was he sold used cars
26:10
and but the point is they say oh no we
26:12
will take
26:14
and give us the amount of money you want
26:16
you tell us your
26:17
your goals we're going to run it through
26:20
our computer
26:21
and we will give you a safe diversified
26:24
portfolio
26:25
now there's two fallacies for that
26:27
number one is
26:29
the purpose of the computer program is
26:31
to take the
26:33
investors money and shove it into as
26:36
many fee based products as they can
26:38
okay which is not in the clients best
26:41
interest but here's the second problem
26:44
when they start going into these mutual
26:46
funds
26:47
you've got to really read the fine print
26:50
that says are these funds leveraged
26:53
so that my audience is getting that
26:56
exposure
26:58
to high leverage high risk in mutual
27:01
funds
27:01
without even being aware of it so i'm
27:04
telling my readers
27:06
you better dog unsure know what that
27:08
fund is in
27:09
agreed or take the top three or four
27:11
stocks and buy them individually
27:13
because they're having a risk they don't
27:16
know about
27:17
well and here's another thing i tell
27:18
people because my previous life at
27:19
morgan stanley ubs payne weber indeed
27:21
winner
27:22
i do know my way around the bond world
27:24
pretty well sure but when people
27:25
are are buying mutual fund bonds or
27:27
closed in bond funds
27:29
you have to be very careful how much
27:31
they're leveraged because a lot of those
27:33
for instance closed
27:34
closed in bond funds are leveraged now i
27:36
don't give investment advice
27:37
i'm a fixed annuity person only but i
27:39
have a background in that to know
27:41
that when peop people are just buying
27:43
the surface same thing with annuities i
27:45
always tell people there's no urgency to
27:46
buy is the urgency is to understand
27:48
what you're buying and i think the
27:50
that's the same thing with people
27:52
um right now looking for the right
27:55
investments
27:56
another thing i wanted to ask you and
27:57
get your take on any time that we're in
28:00
a
28:00
low perceived low interest rate
28:02
environment i think we all can say
28:04
it might not be low compared to everyone
28:06
else in the in the world but it feels
28:08
pretty darn low
28:10
and it is um that when that happens
28:14
you know the the two good to be true
28:16
products and the two good to be true
28:17
pitches start coming out
28:19
what do you tell your readers about you
28:21
know when they when they contact you and
28:22
say well listen this
28:24
this investment um this guy says six
28:26
percent or twelve percent in fact
28:28
i i'll i'll finish with this and then i
28:30
want to hear your your answer
28:32
there was just a ponzi scheme run out of
28:35
uh hollywood california
28:36
from a from an actor that was promising
28:39
20
28:40
returns by taking supposedly movies and
28:44
selling them to netflix whatever the
28:45
story was
28:47
what do you tell your listeners about
28:48
that because everybody wants it to be
28:49
true don't they
28:51
yeah yeah they do and you know stan this
28:53
one you might want to comment on but i
28:54
got into it on facebook recently
28:57
some somebody posted on facebook about
29:00
an annuity that's guaranteeing you i
29:03
don't think it was double digits it was
29:04
eight or nine percent on your money
29:06
and it can't let me explain that real
29:08
quick well that was my that was what i
29:10
said
29:11
what that is and what that that's a
29:13
semantic word game sales pitch by by
29:15
some sociopath
29:16
um and unfortunately the annuity
29:18
industry has a few um
29:20
anytime you see anything like five six
29:22
or seven percent in the annuity world
29:23
that's what's called an income writer
29:25
it's it's an attachment to an index or
29:27
variable annuity that's a monopoly money
29:29
and a phantom account and not real money
29:30
and you can't cash it in
29:32
and you can't peel off the interest you
29:33
can only use that
29:35
lovely jimmy carter type growth to fact
29:37
to to
29:38
turn on a lifetime income stream so
29:40
someone i get calls every day
29:41
hey stan is about eight percent annuity
29:43
no you didn't and if they argue with me
29:45
well then call then call the annuity
29:46
company and cash it in but yeah
29:49
the person that they're just playing
29:51
word games with people and i think
29:52
people just need to be smart
29:54
out there you don't want to be the rube
29:55
at the table and if you're asking
29:56
yourself in vegas who the rube at the
29:58
table is as i always say
29:59
it's you and you don't want to be that
30:02
so
30:02
go forward with that and the and the
30:04
fraud i saw one last night literally
30:08
where somebody was talking about a
30:12
fund that is paying 33
30:15
yield so i go into my schwab account and
30:18
by golly it is paying 33 yield
30:22
they're in the metals market playing
30:25
options
30:28
okay that's not guaranteed by the way
30:30
for anyone no
30:31
no that's not guaranteed nor nor is it
30:34
guaranteed even from month to month but
30:36
you see stan this goes back to the
30:38
mindset and
30:39
realize now how many in the population
30:42
are baby boomers
30:43
we've got to go back to the fundamental
30:46
premise
30:47
that once your primary source of working
30:51
income has stopped
30:53
you can't take those kinds of risks that
30:56
you did
30:57
when if you screwed up you could make it
30:58
back by working another five years or
31:01
ten years
31:01
i've seen too many of my romeo buddies
31:04
downsize
31:05
i've seen too many of my romeo buddies
31:07
go back to work
31:09
okay and the fact remains is
31:13
you can't take any kind of those unusual
31:17
risks
31:17
if it sounds too good to be true you're
31:20
probably better off continuing to do
31:22
your research because
31:24
the question i ask is you put ten
31:27
thousand bucks in it
31:28
and you lose seven of it can you afford
31:30
it well and i also tell people this and
31:32
i think that um
31:33
your readers will will get a kick out of
31:35
this when they when they listen to this
31:36
review this
31:37
i always tell people the only true
31:39
protection you have from a sales pitch
31:40
is to write down
31:42
exactly how you heard the sales pitch
31:44
how you believe the product's going to
31:46
perform
31:46
in detail in the in the way that you
31:48
understand it
31:50
and then it'd be very detailed at the
31:51
end sign in data and then have that
31:53
agent advisor wealth architect master of
31:55
the universe
31:56
sign and date it as well what you will
31:58
find is either that
32:00
pin weighs a thousand pounds and if they
32:02
do sign it then they own it
32:04
otherwise you it's it's your word
32:06
against theirs but if it's going to be
32:07
your word against theirs
32:09
have it in writing and i call that my my
32:12
in my world my annuity statement
32:13
statement
32:14
of understanding but it really is an
32:16
investor statement of understanding
32:18
um so if you're using an advisor or a
32:20
master of the universe retire
32:22
you know ria or someone's managed your
32:23
money and they pitch you something
32:25
that's too good to be true
32:27
you know use that as a way to protect
32:29
yourself and always tell people but
32:30
don't trust
32:31
anyone trust the contract trust the
32:34
actual
32:34
facts um and that's hard for people to
32:37
do because they want
32:39
they want a golfing buddy they want
32:40
their friend advisors
32:42
should not be your friend financial
32:44
experts
32:45
should not be your friend we are heart
32:48
surgeons or cancer surgeons where
32:50
we got to shoot it straight because it's
32:51
your money and it's your retirement
32:53
money
32:55
so what are people doing here dennis
32:56
from the standpoint of
32:58
are are your readers kind of scared of
33:01
the markets at these at these levels
33:03
what are they saying at this point my
33:06
readers
33:07
are asking for help let's start with
33:10
what do you want
33:11
we want we want to be able to pay our
33:12
bills we want to know we can pay our
33:15
bills
33:15
for the duration right we want to be
33:18
able to sleep at night
33:19
and yeah we'd like to be able to leave
33:22
something to the next generation
33:24
okay so when you take fixed income off
33:28
the table
33:30
what my readers are asking for is help
33:33
okay how do i navigate this minefield
33:37
and i want to throw something in about
33:39
minefield i read something in the
33:40
charlotte observer recently
33:42
that said we normally get a major tax
33:46
change or bill every 10 years
33:49
right we now had three in the last two
33:51
years
33:52
and may have multiple bills coming this
33:54
year
33:55
so that my readers are not only
33:57
experiencing change
33:58
but it's just like how many bailouts
34:00
have we had in the last two years
34:02
the rate of change is accelerating
34:06
and so what they're asking for is
34:09
the goal hasn't changed i'm not working
34:12
anymore i've got to be able to pay the
34:14
bills
34:15
how can i navigate this minefield safely
34:19
and balance this whole thing so that i
34:22
can enjoy what's left of my retirement
34:26
and that's that problem's not going away
34:28
not going to hold you to this but
34:30
do you think interest rates will move
34:32
significantly up
34:34
significantly down or stay kind of in
34:36
the same range
34:37
in the near term one or two years i
34:40
won't hold you to it
34:41
this isn't investment advice this is me
34:43
and dennis talking what do you think
34:45
i i think it's inevitable that our
34:48
government will do two things they will
34:50
go to zero interest rates
34:54
then when they go to zero interest rates
34:56
we're going to find
34:58
digital currency and then once they have
35:01
digital currency
35:03
uh you know because you go to zero
35:04
interest rates or worse
35:06
negative people start hiding their cash
35:08
under the mattress okay
35:11
and the government will not want
35:13
competition
35:15
so you know if you're investing in
35:17
bitcoin
35:18
you better understand that i personally
35:20
this is opinion i'm sure
35:22
not as an advisor i personally think
35:25
that
35:26
governments throughout the world within
35:28
10 years
35:29
are probably going to outline all kinds
35:32
of digital currency
35:34
uh and we're going to see i mean
35:35
negative interest do you realize
35:37
like half the bonds in europe now are
35:39
negative interest rates
35:41
it's crazy yeah people ask me all the
35:43
time how low can it go and i'm like
35:44
zero or negative and here's the
35:47
interesting part about where we are
35:49
at a country as a country right now we
35:51
printed all these trillions and
35:52
trillions and trillions and trillions of
35:54
dollars
35:55
so the the government is not motivated
35:58
to raise interest rates on themselves
36:00
it'd be like me and you raising our
36:01
mortgage rate
36:02
just because we want to if we don't want
36:04
i mean we don't want to do that they
36:06
don't want to do that so there's no
36:08
incentive for them to raise interest
36:10
rates they painted themselves into a
36:11
corner
36:12
and if i'm up there i'm probably
36:14
bullying the fed to go low just so that
36:15
my interest payments aren't as high
36:18
that that dog won't hunt long term as
36:20
they say in the south
36:22
but um where do i mean what's the
36:26
government going to do right now and
36:28
except just raise taxes and and and try
36:31
any type of legal confiscation of
36:34
people's money what are they doing we've
36:36
covered those two the other one is
36:38
uh historically governments have tried
36:42
to inflate their way out of debt
36:45
so that they're paying their obligations
36:47
with cheaper dollars
36:48
right and they made a major change
36:50
remember the fed said they were
36:51
targeting two percent
36:53
yes now they change it they say well we
36:55
want it to
36:56
average two percent but they don't tell
36:58
you how they're going to keep score
36:59
they don't tell you how long over a
37:01
period of time yeah so
37:03
if we get five or six or jimmy carter
37:05
type inflation well yeah but we're
37:07
averaging it
37:08
so that the reality is you know
37:11
let's go back to what you started we
37:13
have 28 trillion dollars now i think we
37:15
just hit for our national debt
37:17
and that's not the unfunded obligations
37:19
like social security correct
37:21
figure one percent of 28 trillion
37:24
dollars
37:25
if if our interest rates went from the
37:28
one percent today back to the six
37:30
percent
37:31
the federal budget would double because
37:33
the interest rates
37:35
would be so high the federal government
37:37
isn't going to do that
37:40
so we just have to learn to live with it
37:42
and work around it
37:44
and you know americans are ingenious
37:46
people
37:47
the the class that you're dealing with
37:50
and my readers
37:51
they're looking for help to try to
37:53
figure out how to do it
37:54
right and and they will but a lot of
37:57
people that don't are going to get hurt
38:00
yeah and that's my fear is that people
38:02
are are
38:04
too long in the markets they have long
38:06
positions or there's too much risk
38:08
or they're leveraged a lot of people are
38:09
using leverage and margin and they
38:11
really don't understand it
38:13
um you know it just seems like it's the
38:15
thing to do and it is in a raging bull
38:17
market so i
38:18
you know i'm working with the same
38:20
people that are your readers which are
38:22
people that are either thinking about
38:23
retirement or already retired and trying
38:25
to figure out how to
38:26
navigate through these really what i
38:28
call blue water we've never seen
38:30
this there's no tick data that we can go
38:33
back and say well the last time we
38:35
printed and whereas
38:36
we're 28 trillion in debt this is what
38:38
happened or the last time
38:40
that all the markets globally were
38:42
interconnected this is what happened or
38:44
the last time
38:45
that we're going to cryptocurrency etc
38:48
this is what happened and getting
38:49
getting back to the cryptocurrency i
38:51
think that governments are going to
38:52
embrace cryptocurrency because it's
38:53
going to be the most efficient way
38:55
to collect taxes and not no one's going
38:57
to be able to hide the money
38:59
because the blockchain technology
39:03
they're going to embrace it and um i
39:05
just saw today at the time of this
39:06
taping the first
39:07
i think cryptocurrency is going public
39:09
um
39:10
and so we're going to see some things
39:11
happen who knows if bitcoin's gonna be
39:14
the winner
39:14
it's gonna would you agree with this
39:16
statement and let me let me ask you this
39:19
at the end of the day i cannot see
39:23
uh any any form or fashion that the
39:25
government
39:26
and the top five banks in this country
39:27
aren't are not going to control or at
39:29
least be a huge part of cryptocurrency
39:32
what's your opinion on that my opinion
39:34
is you're right
39:35
but i want to i want to add a caveat
39:38
the fed chairman recently said that the
39:41
federal reserve
39:42
is looking into a cryptocurrency right
39:44
now we're in a world cryptocurrency race
39:47
with china
39:48
okay so that while you i agree with you
39:52
on cryptocurrency it will be
39:54
government controlled cryptocurrency i
39:57
agree with eliminating
39:58
but even then they're talking now and i
40:01
recently wrote an article about it
40:04
that it it may have an expiration date
40:07
so you have a cryptocurrency balance in
40:09
your account
40:10
it's going to go down which is basically
40:13
negative interest rates
40:14
encouraging you to spend wow
40:18
and the fact is that the government's
40:20
going to know every time you spend
40:22
where you spend it punish their
40:24
political uh
40:25
enemies and reward their political
40:27
friends so yeah
40:29
i'm with you on cryptocurrency i just
40:31
don't think it's going to be independent
40:33
from the government
40:34
i don't either and i always tell people
40:35
you know bitcoin may or may not be the
40:37
winner
40:38
but remember when the internet first got
40:40
going a long time ago you had places
40:42
like myspace
40:43
aol.com and they were not the winners so
40:46
just because you're first to the party
40:48
doesn't mean that there you know it's
40:50
going you're going to be the winner and
40:51
in this case
40:52
it might be bitcoin might not um but i
40:54
do
40:55
truly believe that the the government's
40:57
government's plural
40:58
all over the country but let's just talk
41:00
about ours they are going to be involved
41:02
they're going to be integrally involved
41:04
and the five big banks are going to be
41:05
involved
41:06
um and and just people get used to it
41:10
it's getting ready to happen and that's
41:12
one of the things that
41:13
um five years from now i think
41:14
cryptocurrency in whatever reform it
41:17
ends up being
41:18
is going to be the norm dollar bills i
41:20
mean there's some times
41:21
i go out and i'm travel all the time and
41:24
i try to pay for things with cash and
41:25
they don't accept
41:27
cash do you think cash is going away
41:30
they
41:30
that's eventually uh i think they're
41:32
going to outlaw cash
41:34
because that becomes competition to
41:36
their government digital currency
41:38
right but what's sad to me is i wrote an
41:41
article about it where the chinese are
41:43
testing their cryptocurrency
41:45
and some of them they gave certain
41:47
citizens the amount of cryptocurrency to
41:48
spend the interview
41:50
and one of them said well i don't care
41:54
if the government knows
41:55
where i spend every dime you know i'm
41:58
willing to give up
41:59
a little bit of my sovereignty for
42:01
convenience
42:03
and my answer if that's a little bit of
42:05
sovereignty what's a lot
42:07
that's that's a slippery slope
42:09
definition i've ever heard
42:10
oh absolutely and that's that's part of
42:13
the concern
42:14
it will end up giving the government
42:17
through the banks the banks are going to
42:19
be the enabler just like
42:20
the banks now are enabling the deficit
42:22
spending through the fed
42:24
okay and the banks are going to be the
42:27
enabler but that's going to enable them
42:30
to control
42:31
every facet of people's lives
42:35
and you know i tell my readers those are
42:38
things at this point we don't have any
42:39
control over
42:40
what we have is control over where we
42:42
invest our nest egg
42:44
okay because i also believe something
42:46
else happened i have friends that live
42:47
in argentina
42:48
and argentina has been through this
42:50
thing a half a dozen times
42:52
sure and eventually the sid assistant
42:55
citizens rather develop a system of
42:59
barter to replace the currency that
43:02
becomes outlawed
43:03
so we'll figure it out yeah we always do
43:07
but it ain't going to be pretty stan i
43:09
think no no it's the sausage being made
43:12
it's going to be it's going to be ugly
43:14
big brother
43:15
big brother some final thoughts as we
43:17
kind of wrap it up
43:18
um where do you well you know kobe has
43:21
been a weird one you know and it's
43:23
continuing to be a weird one um
43:27
what's your outlook right here from the
43:28
standpoint of just um
43:30
the country the markets and where we're
43:32
at
43:34
i think covet has certainly had
43:37
a major impact on shutting down our
43:40
economy
43:41
i did an interview yesterday with a very
43:44
well-known
43:45
economist who has a newsletter and
43:49
forgetting the health side he made some
43:52
interesting predictions i hadn't thought
43:53
of
43:54
in that covet basically shut down
43:58
the imported goods okay
44:02
so that'll enable the u.s manufacturers
44:05
to pick up market share and
44:07
raise their prices in the process and
44:10
his contention is when the covid
44:13
restrictions come off
44:15
our porch are already starting to see
44:17
and being flooded with import
44:19
so now we're going to have a market
44:22
challenge where they're fighting over
44:25
market share
44:26
and his contention is that
44:30
that's going to delay inflation
44:34
where prices are going through the roof
44:36
because
44:37
the import of the foreign cheaper goods
44:40
and the u.s manufacturers not wanting to
44:43
lose share
44:44
but eventually you know we're going to
44:47
come back and a lot of those people that
44:50
lost their jobs during covet that's one
44:52
of the things this economist said
44:55
companies are looking for ways to
44:57
offshore jobs again
44:59
and they are looking for automation so i
45:01
think the long-term impact of the cobalt
45:04
is going to be more than just health
45:06
we're going to have a lot of people
45:08
in the workforce that are going to be
45:11
the victims of that when it comes to the
45:13
job market now that may not be where you
45:14
wanted me to go but i thought he made it
45:17
think that i hadn't thought of it you
45:18
know i think that's fantastic i do
45:20
once again i do encourage people to go
45:22
to uh miller
45:23
on the money all all one no spaces
45:27
milleronthemoney.com and sign up for
45:30
dennis's free
45:31
and i repeat free newsletter and he's
45:34
got all kinds of
45:35
offers and downloads and charts and i
45:37
mean it's a it's a
45:39
it's a no-brainer you go there and one
45:41
of the reasons i wanted him to be on is
45:43
just
45:43
for my listeners and viewers to to get
45:45
to know dennis if you didn't already
45:47
know him
45:48
he's well known and well respected in
45:49
the industry because he's a straight
45:51
shooter and he really does have
45:53
compassion and empathy
45:54
for the retiree out there or the person
45:56
struggling to figure it out
45:58
and try to filter out all the noise this
46:00
isn't the last time we'll have dennis on
46:02
but
46:03
hey dennis i really appreciate you being
46:05
on fun with annuities
46:07
and i hope to have you back soon well
46:10
thanks
46:10
for inviting me you know there's a whole
46:14
millions and millions of baby boomers
46:15
out there and they played by the rules
46:17
they worked hard they did it right
46:19
they saved their money they deserve a
46:21
better shake and
46:22
you know you and i and a lot of folks
46:25
are trying to
46:26
help make sure that at least we can as
46:28
you said navigate the blue waters
46:30
abs absolutely well said listen
46:32
everybody listeners and podcast uh
46:34
uh people viewing it on fun with
46:36
annuities youtube channel and the
46:37
podcast listeners thanks for joining us
46:39
we'll see you next week on fun with
46:42
annuities
46:48
thanks for listening to fun with
46:49
annuities please hit the subscribe
46:51
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46:54
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46:57
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47:15
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47:18
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47:20
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47:21
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47:24
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47:24
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47:28
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47:30
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47:32
so join me next time for the number one
47:34
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47:41
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47:50
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47:52
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