009: How do Interest Rates affect different Annuity Types?

IN THIS EPISODE, THE ANNUITY MAN DISCUSS:
- How interest rates affect each annuity type
- How life expectancy and interest rates work with each income annuity type
- What is the interest rate benchmark that the annuity industry follows
- What specific strategies to use instead of trying to “time” interest rates
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
- With lifetime income guaranteed strategies, life expectancy is the primary pricing mechanism
- Interest rates play a secondary pricing role with lifetime income guaranteed strategies
- The US 10 Year Treasury Note is the “bogey” for the annuity industry
- No one on the planet can predict interest rate movement
"Trying to time interest rates with annuities is like trying to nail Jell-O to a wall." — The Annuity Man
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welcome to
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fun with annuities with your host me
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stan
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the annuity man america's annuity agent
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can annuities be fun
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can contractual guarantees be fun
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absolutely they can find out the brutal
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facts about annuities
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with no sales pitches or high pressure
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nonsense
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just the brutal and factual annuity
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truth which is all you need to hear
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let's have some fun with annuities and
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let's have that fun start
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right now
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hey this is stan the annuity man and
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welcome to fun
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with annuities what we're going to talk
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about today is a question that i'm
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getting
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so much i mean daily from multiple
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people
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how do interest rates affect annuities
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and different annuity types
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with interest rates at supposed lows i
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mean people think that they're low just
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because most of us remember jimmy carter
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years where you had cds and
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in the double digits right remember that
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but also your mortgage rates were in the
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double digits
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so there was good and bad but everyone
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is yearning for
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higher interest rates and i do feel for
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the people out there
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that need interest rates to live on
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meaning their cds if their cities were
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better they'd be living better
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eating better it is kind of sad where
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it is right now but with that being said
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and i've been in this thing this annuity
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thing and the financial services
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business i was with dean witter morgan
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stanley payne webber ubs for a long long
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long long time
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when i was out of college until now i've
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been in the financial services industry
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what i do know is you can't predict
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interest rates nobody can
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even though there's people that say that
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they can and number two
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this might be the norm the new normal i
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know that's hard to believe
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because people say well interest rates
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are low and my my question
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is and this it's really i'm not trying
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to be smart
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like a smart a about this but
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low compared to what i mean when you say
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it's low and the bogey that we're all
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looking at in the annuity world and
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probably you two
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outside in the investor world is the
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united states 10 year treasury note you
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know whatever that u.s 10-year treasury
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is
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and people say well you know rates stand
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rates are low compared to what
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when you look at the the 10-year
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treasury equivalent
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in other countries you know japan and
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germany
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you know some of those countries have
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negative
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equivalents meaning you have to pay them
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to keep your money
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so right now the united states senior
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treasury is still the highest
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when compared to other countries so
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you know people say let's introduce a
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low compared to what no actually we're
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the highest
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so this might be normal it might be the
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way it is
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for the rest of our lives our children
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might not see
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really high interest rate this might be
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where it's at because
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you know the stock market's kind of
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driving the train and and driving the
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new cycle
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and it's just hard to predict what the
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fed's going to do
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so with that being said how do you
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as an annuity buyer or someone that's
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interested in doing more research in
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annuities and finding out if it's the
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right thing for you to do
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how do you go about doing that how do
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you how does it affect specific types so
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what we're going to do is go through
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every type of annuity that's out there
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and i'll tell you how interest rates
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affect it whether it's affected a lot or
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affects it some
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obviously interest rates play a role in
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all
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annuities but sometimes it's a primary
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role and then sometimes it's a secondary
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role
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most people think it's primary most
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people think that that interest rates
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drive every train with annuities no
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that's not true at the end of the day
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you're buying a contract at the end of
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the day it's all math at the end of the
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day
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you have to be satisfied with the
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contractual guarantee
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that you shop for and you can't time
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rates please don't try
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i'd rather you try nailing jello to the
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wall or putting a jello
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roof on your house it'd be it'd be more
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fruitful because
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no one can time it the best you can do
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in the annuity world to combat the
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movement of interest rates
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is to ladder them later the purchase or
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latter the start date
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just because you just don't know you
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know what's going to happen
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just here recently i thought interest
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rates you know would be going
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up that was my that was my guess and it
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was nothing more than a guess but of
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course
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all of us were wrong guessing that it
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actually went down so you're like okay
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i don't guess and predict and tell my
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clients to do things based upon my
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guessing and predict i was a personal
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guest i said yeah
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i think they might take it up here no
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they didn't they actually lowered it
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which says
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none of us can predict it so let's go
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through each specific type
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and talk about how it affects each
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specific type of annuity first of all
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let's talk about
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single premium immediate annuities just
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a quick elevator speech on each of these
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immediate annuities are the granddaddy
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of all annuities they're the
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pension annuities income starting within
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30 days of the policy be an issue up to
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as far out as 13 months so it's an
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income now
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type quote immediate annuities are an
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annuitized annuitization means
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creating payments it's in that payment
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stream is a combination
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of return of principal plus interest so
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that interest part
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it is affected by that but with
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immediate annuities
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the primary pricing mechanism is your
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life expectancy or if you're setting up
5:37
joint with someone
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life expectancies plural at the time you
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you take the payment it's a transfer of
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risk bet
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that you're going to live longer than
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the annuity company thinks you're going
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to live and if you do live longer than
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that they are on the hook to pay you
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regardless of how long you live
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rates do play a role but it's secondary
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all right
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and interest rates would really have to
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move significantly
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to move the needle because the life
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expectancy drives the train
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okay so let's go to deferred income
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annuities just
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in a recap deferred income annuity is
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also called a longevity annuity
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it is they it is the cousin or sister or
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brother
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of the immediate annuity because with a
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deferred income annuity
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with an immediate annuity income starts
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as soon as 30 days from the policy being
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issued and
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up to 13 months with a deferred income
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annuity
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if you defer past 13 months and farther
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out than that it's a deferred income
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annuity it just it's the same structure
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very simplistic no market attachments no
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moving parts no annual fees
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but it's the same annuitized structure
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where you're getting payments for life
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you can set up joint
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you can set it up you know single life
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whatever you want to do
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but once again the driving
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pricing mechanism what drives that train
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is life expectancy
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at the time you take the payment do
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interest rates play a role absolutely
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but it's secondary
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it's not a primary factor in the pricing
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of a deferred income annuity so deferred
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income annuity is a future pension
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product
7:09
primarily based on your life expectancy
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and you're transferring that risk to the
7:13
annuity company to pay you for the rest
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of your life
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if the joint rest of your lives
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regardless how long each of you live
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but interest rates do play a role
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because the income stream is a
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combination return of principle plus
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interest
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so secondary it's a secondary pricing
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mechanism
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let's talk about qlax qualified
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longevity annuity contracts
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which are dias it's a deferred income
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annuity
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but you can only use a qualified
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longevity annuity contract qlac
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inside of a traditional ira
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for most p most cases they're trying to
7:52
put them inside of 401ks etc but in
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traditional iras that's where
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the vast majority of people by culax
7:58
once again just like a deferred income
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annuity
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the driving pricing mechanism on it what
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drives the train is life expectancy at
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the time you take the payment
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interest rates play a secondary role
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obviously if they
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move way up it will affect it some but
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they'd have to move
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way way up for it too so people that are
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you know when there's a 25 basis point
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move
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either way it really doesn't
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move the needle 25 basis points is a
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quarter of one percent
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basis points is kind of what what's used
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in the financial world
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um but in english that's 20 you know 25
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of one percent
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so and so if if that's the movement of
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the interest rates it really doesn't
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move the needle because life expectancy
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drives the train
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so with wispias and diaz and kelax
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single premium immediate annuities
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deferred income annuities and qualified
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longevity annuity contracts
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life expectancy is the primary pricing
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mechanism interest rates are secondary
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now let's talk about multi-year
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guarantee annuities which are
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migas multi-year guarantee annuities
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also called fixed
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rate annuities remember it's the
9:05
and i've done a podcast on this as well
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but multi-year guarantee annuities
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are the annuity industry's version of a
9:11
cd
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so a cd pays you an interest rate
9:15
annually for a specific period of time
9:17
that you choose
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a multi-year guarantee annuity is a
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is a fixed rate annuity where it pays
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you a specific interest rate
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for a specific period of time that you
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choose same thing
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the difference between a my gut and a cd
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a multi-year guarantee annuity and a cd
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is that in a non-ira
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account with a cd you have to pay taxes
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on the interest every year
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with a multi-year guarantee annuity in a
9:43
non-ira account
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the interest compounds tax deferred does
9:47
it make it better
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that's just the rule and typically with
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cds
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they offer the highest rates between one
9:55
two three years from three years to five
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years
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it's a miga so multi-year guarantee
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annuities are very very competitive and
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typically offer the highest fixed rate
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when compared to cds three years and out
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but just like a cd multi-year guarantee
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annuity
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they are solely affected 100 by interest
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rates
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because they're not a lifetime income
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product they're not you're not
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annuitizing it you're
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controlling the asset you're protecting
10:21
the principal and you're only getting
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the interest rate that is guaranteed
10:25
within the contract for the specific
10:27
period of time that you choose
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on my site at the annuityman.com we list
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the best fixed rates for your state
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because each state
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fixed annuities are regular at the state
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level and approved at each state level
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so when you go to our site
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the site the annuityman.com and click
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the my feed
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you'll be able to filter your state and
10:45
then duration you're looking at
10:48
and it'll list you know what's approved
10:50
in your state
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but you know 100 affected by interest
10:54
rates just like cds are 100
10:56
affected by interest rates if you want
10:58
to go shop for cds the best place in my
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opinion
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is bankrate.com i have no affiliation
11:04
with them other than
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if you use bankrate.com to shop for your
11:07
cds and you use the annuityman.com to
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shop for your mangas you're going to see
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the best rates in the country period
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and you'll be able to ladder and buy the
11:14
buy the ones that you want to buy
11:16
but yeah my gas are 100
11:19
affected by interest rates so it's it's
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a
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it's it is a barometer interestingly
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enough and people always ask me
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stan do you know when the interest rate
11:28
changes do companies
11:30
just react immediately and i'm like no
11:32
not really
11:33
i call it like the middle school dance
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remember the middle school dance where
11:36
the boys were standing on one side and
11:38
the girls are standing on the other
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and we're just waiting for some some
11:41
person some future ceo with guts right
11:44
the person that went out there and
11:45
danced was probably a ceo
11:46
somewhere to break the ice it's kind of
11:48
like you you know back in the day with
11:50
all of us old people remember jumping
11:52
rope and you had two kids
11:53
turning the rope and then one trying to
11:54
get in jump in and time it right i guess
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annuity companies kind of wait on each
12:00
other to react because they're commodity
12:02
products
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in the migra world you know typically
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when rates go up people move slowly
12:08
carriers move slowly and when rates go
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down they move a little faster that's
12:12
just
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that might not be really true if you
12:14
just did a historical
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look into it but that's just my opinion
12:17
and me watching it for decades
12:20
and being one of the top myga people out
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here that sells those simplistic
12:25
cd type products but my goals yes
12:27
certainly are
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affected 100 by interest rates let's
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talk about indexed annuities indexed
12:32
annuities and interest rates
12:34
it's a couple things number one indexed
12:37
are the gains supposed gains hopeful
12:40
gains potential gains are
12:42
tied to an index option typically the s
12:44
p
12:45
not including dividends and those are
12:47
locked in typically
12:48
with most of the annuities from contract
12:51
anniversary date to a contract
12:52
anniversary date
12:53
there's over 700 index option choices so
12:56
i'm not going to go into all 700 but
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that's just the 30 000 foot view of kind
13:00
of how they work
13:02
do interest rates play a role yes and
13:05
it's
13:05
it's i guess it's semi-primary in my
13:07
opinion
13:08
because the caps and the spreads and
13:11
those are the limitations that are
13:12
placed on the index options not getting
13:14
the weeds here but trying to
13:16
trying to show paintings to blind people
13:18
right no offense to blind people
13:21
is when when interest rates a little bit
13:23
higher then the caps
13:25
the limitations on the upside that you
13:26
can lock in and the spreads
13:28
are more favorable to the consumer so
13:31
the lower the rates
13:33
then the lower the caps and the the less
13:35
favorable the spreads etc so
13:38
indexed annuities are affected
13:41
by low interest rates but the argument
13:43
kind of when i said semi or kind of
13:46
because the s p end
13:50
let's just use the s p index as was s p
13:52
500
13:53
x as one of the indexes that they use
13:56
and that's primarily the one that all of
13:57
them use
13:58
if interest rates are low then markets
14:01
typically go up right
14:03
so i think it somewhat offsets each
14:05
other
14:06
with indexed annuities but understand
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indexed annuities are cd
14:10
products they were designed and
14:11
introduced in 1995 for cd returns
14:14
enhanced
14:15
cds that's really what they are they're
14:17
not market products
14:19
you don't have to have a securities
14:20
license to sell them which should tell
14:22
you everything you need to know you only
14:24
need a life insurance license and if you
14:26
really work hard at it you can take the
14:28
crash course pass it in the week and
14:29
start selling the next week that's not a
14:32
very high bar but that's the way it is
14:34
so
14:35
indexed annuities are affected by by
14:38
interest rates but
14:39
they they also benefit from low interest
14:42
rates affecting the index options
14:44
hopefully going a little bit higher so
14:46
let's move to the next one
14:48
variable annuities variable annuities
14:51
are really
14:52
they're the inside of a variable annuity
14:55
which are the separate accounts well you
14:58
know me and you call them mutual funds
14:59
but in the variable annuity industry
15:01
they call them
15:01
separate accounts but these mutual funds
15:05
are affected by interest rates like just
15:06
like regular mutual funds are depends on
15:08
what the mutual fund
15:10
underlying strategy is but where
15:14
variable annuities and index annuities
15:16
can also be
15:17
affected by interest rates are the
15:19
attached benefit
15:21
income writers so with an income rider
15:24
if interest rates are higher the
15:27
the monopoly money percentage that the
15:29
income benefit grows by
15:31
could be a little bit higher if interest
15:33
rates are higher that doesn't mean
15:35
you're getting a higher yield what that
15:37
means is that your income account is
15:38
growing by a higher percentage of which
15:41
you can
15:42
calculate your first income payment
15:44
that's how income riders work
15:46
so you're not getting a five or six or
15:48
seven percent yield
15:49
yield means you can get to the money you
15:51
can peel off interest you can cash it in
15:53
what you're getting is a growth on that
15:56
income
15:57
benefit asset so that you can
16:00
calculate exactly what the income
16:01
stream's going to be in the future
16:02
because
16:03
it's going to grow by a contractual
16:05
percentage monopoly money percentage
16:07
that you can use to calculate your first
16:08
income payment so
16:10
interest rates do affect the income
16:12
riders as well
16:14
so to kind of go over all of them you
16:16
know the immediate annuities the
16:18
deferred income annuities and the queue
16:19
lacks
16:20
interest rates are secondary pricing
16:23
mechanism life expectancy kind of drives
16:25
the train because those are lifetime
16:26
income guarantees
16:28
caveat to that would be if you're buying
16:30
a period certain
16:32
immediate annuity or a period certain
16:33
deferred income annuity
16:35
then interest rates play the primary
16:38
role because it's there's no life
16:41
lifetime income guarantee transfer of
16:42
risk so that's the caveat
16:45
so if you're saying i need a 10-year
16:46
period certain then it is about interest
16:48
rates
16:49
if you're saying stan i need a lifetime
16:51
income stream with a 10-year period
16:52
certain then it's not about
16:54
interest rates primarily it's about life
16:55
expectancy i know we're kind of getting
16:57
caught in the weeds there but
16:59
you know like any industry it can get as
17:03
complex as you want to so that's when
17:04
when people say i hate annuities or all
17:06
annuities are this or all annuities are
17:08
bad
17:08
that's crazy and it's misinformed and
17:11
uneducated
17:12
and you know better than that when you
17:15
hear that stuff that's that's
17:16
similar to turning on a specific news
17:19
channel
17:20
and believing everything you hear from
17:21
that news channel what what whatever
17:22
side of the ledger you're on
17:24
so yeah the interest rate world is
17:27
interesting
17:28
because you know
17:32
eventually i guess it does have to move
17:33
up i was telling someone the other day
17:35
of all the economic classes that i took
17:37
in college and this person was very
17:39
you know very well educated that he took
17:41
in college
17:42
i was saying you know none of that none
17:44
of that's applying somehow
17:46
somehow all of the economic data
17:49
and the interest rate supposed movements
17:52
based on that economic data
17:54
doesn't seem to be correlating anymore
17:57
so
17:58
all bets are off i guess we're in blue
17:59
water here that nobody really knows
18:02
and the tick data going backwards
18:04
doesn't really count because
18:05
the tick data going way back didn't
18:07
include a 24 7 365 global
18:11
internet attached markets where
18:13
everything's trading real time
18:15
so i really don't know um it is i feel
18:18
for people that really need to
18:19
to live off interest rates and if they
18:21
were higher than the
18:22
then even the products that are that are
18:25
affected you know secondarily
18:26
you know the the lifetime income type
18:28
products those guarantees would be
18:30
higher
18:31
as well and it wouldn't be a tons higher
18:34
but it could be depending on the rate
18:35
movement
18:36
so i tell people all the time if you
18:38
instead of trying to time interest rates
18:40
and getting all caught up in it
18:42
and you know trying to do research on
18:44
when they're going to move
18:45
i mean that's crazy you're not going to
18:47
figure that out nobody is
18:49
the best bet is to ladder the purchase
18:52
like for instance on my you know fixed
18:55
rate annuities
18:56
you just ladder them in different
18:57
durations like you do a three year and a
18:59
four year and a five year ladder
19:01
and have money coming due in case rates
19:03
move obviously that could work against
19:04
you if rates go down
19:06
but that's your only shot in my opinion
19:09
so
19:09
laddering is is the only way to look at
19:12
it
19:12
if you're if you're trying to time it
19:14
also understand that
19:16
all annuity types bsd is my guess culex
19:19
immediate annuity variable annuities
19:21
these are commoditized quotes in my
19:23
opinion
19:24
if you're buying them for the
19:25
contractual guarantees which you should
19:26
you should be quoting
19:28
as many carriers as humanly possible
19:29
which we do looking for the contractual
19:32
guarantees that fit your specific
19:33
situation
19:35
annuities are not one size fits all you
19:37
have to
19:38
all the time shop and don't allow people
19:41
just show you one or two carriers make
19:43
them show you five
19:44
make them go out there and work to show
19:47
you
19:48
as many quotes as seemingly possible on
19:50
our myga feed at the annuityman.com
19:52
you'll see tons uh depending on the
19:55
duration of
19:56
of migas out there with our immediate
19:58
annuity income now quotes
20:00
you know we'll show you 10 or more of
20:02
the top
20:03
in order of the top contractual
20:05
guarantees for our income later
20:07
we do the same thing for our creolitt we
20:09
do the same thing
20:10
we go into all quotes not knowing who's
20:13
going to finish first
20:15
and you know then we have the discussion
20:17
on claims suspendability is this the
20:18
right company do you feel comfortable
20:20
with it do you like the guarantee etc
20:22
but you have to be satisfied with the
20:24
guarantees
20:25
and regardless of interest rates it
20:29
really comes down to once again
20:30
two things pill which is principal
20:32
protection income for life legacy and
20:34
long-term care confinement care
20:36
if you don't need to solve for one of
20:37
those four things you probably don't
20:38
even need an annuity
20:39
if you need market growth you probably
20:41
need just to stay in the market
20:43
so you have an infinite amount of
20:44
choices because any
20:46
annuity that says they can provide
20:49
market growth you're limited
20:50
there's some there's some big time
20:52
limitations
20:53
with with those products so just stay in
20:55
the market if you need market growth
20:57
and then the other the other thing is
20:58
the two questions to determine
21:01
what type of annuity is what do you want
21:03
the money to contractually do and when
21:04
you want those contractual guarantees to
21:06
happen from those two answers
21:08
then we can pinpoint exactly the type of
21:10
annuity that you need
21:12
or that you might need and then we quote
21:14
it and then we start the process
21:16
of of talking about the limitations and
21:17
the benefits so
21:19
in summary about interest rates you know
21:21
how do you how do they affect they
21:22
affect
21:23
all annuities but they affect all
21:24
annuities differently
21:26
depend if it's a lifetime income stream
21:27
annuity it's a secondary pricing
21:30
mechanism if it's
21:31
if it's a fixed rate annuity or it's
21:33
going to affect it 100
21:35
and with variable and index with income
21:37
riders you know
21:39
it's going to affect it on one side good
21:41
and the other side maybe not so good so
21:44
there's no perfect answer there's no
21:45
perfect product there's just a bunch of
21:47
bad sales pitches out there as you know
21:49
so be careful do your homework
21:52
and continue to tune into this podcast
21:55
because i'm going to keep digging down
21:57
into every single aspect of annuities
22:00
good and bad
22:02
and strategies etc so with that my name
22:05
is stan
22:05
the annuity man and you have been
22:07
listening to fun
22:08
with annuities see you next time thanks
22:12
for listening to fun
22:13
with annuities please hit the subscribe
22:15
button and make sure to go to my site
22:17
at the annuityman.com where you can run
22:20
your own spea dia
22:22
and q lat quotes and see a live feed of
22:24
the best mica fix rates
22:26
in the country and even get indexed and
22:28
income writer quotes as well
22:30
you can also sign up for my six annuity
22:33
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22:35
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22:37
obligation i also encourage you to
22:39
schedule a one-on-one call with me
22:42
stan the annuity man so we can have a
22:44
full discussion
22:45
of your specific situation it will be
22:47
the best
22:48
brutally factual and truthful advice you
22:51
will ever get and that's one guarantee
22:54
you should definitely take advantage of
22:55
so join me next time for the number one
22:58
annuity podcast
22:59
on the planet fun with annuities
23:12
you
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